| 代码 | 名称 | | 涨跌幅 √ | 最新价 | 总市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00017 | 新世界发展 | (0) | 4.35% | 9.830 | 247.39亿 | | 00016 | 新鸿基地产 | | 3.93% | 119.000 | 3448.36 Z | | 00101 | 恒隆地产 | | 3.47% | 9.540 | 482.4 Z | | 01113 | 长实集团 | | 3.14% | 45.360 | 1587.5亿 | | 00083 | 信和置业 | | 3.01% | 11.650 | 1104.94亿 | | 00014 | 第遺兴业 | | 2.75% | 21.660 | 222.45 Z | | 00683 | 嘉里建设 | | 2.70% | 23.620 | 342.8 Z | | 01997 | 九龙合置业 | | 1.98% | 26.800 | 813.71亿 | | 00087 | 太古股份公司B | | 1.12% | 12.640 | 360.11亿 | | 00823 | 领展房 ...

| 联合集团(00373) | 2.960 | 3.020 | 1.00% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 法拉帝(09638) | 37.800 | 40.400 | 1.00% | | 新鸿基地产(00016) | 114.500 | 115.800 | 0.87% | | 银杏教育(01851) | 3.470 | 3.600 | 0.84% | | 哔哩哔哩－Ｗ(09626) | 262.600 | 264.200 | 0.84% | | 长实集团(01 113) | 43.980 | 44.600 | 0.81% | | 华新建材(06655) | 19.960 | 20.100 | 0.80% | | 安井食品(02648) | 75.850 | 79.000 | 0.70% | | 九龙仓置业(01997) | 26.280 | 26.920 | 0.67% | | 海天国际(01882) | 24.580 | 24.660 | 0.65% | | 中国三江化工(02198) | 4.690 | 4.710 | 0.64% | | 中电控股(00002) | 73.6 ...

格隆汇1月22日｜香港本地地产股普涨，其中，希慎兴业涨超5%，九龙仓置业、嘉里建设涨超4%，九 龙仓集团、新鸿基地产涨超3%，太古股份公司B涨近3%，长实集团、信和置业、太古地产、太古股份 公司A涨超1%。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨跌幅 √ | 最新价 | 总市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00014 | 岩慎兴业 | 0 | 5.37% | 21.600 | 221.83亿 | | 01997 | 九龙仓置业 | | 4.81% | 26.600 | 807.64亿 | | 00683 | 嘉里建设 | | 4.58% | 22.840 | 331.48 乙 | | 00004 | 九龙仓集团 | | 3.49% | 24.940 | 762.17亿 | | 00016 | 新鸿基地产 | | 3.36% | 113.900 | 3300.57亿 | | 00087 | 太古股份公司B | | 2.81% | 12.460 | 354.98亿 | | 01113 | 长实集团 | | 1.57% | 43.960 | 1538.5亿 | | 0 ...

Group 1 - Oil stocks generally rose, with CNOOC (02883) up 4.32%, PetroChina (00857) up 3.33%, CNOOC (00883) up 2.98%, and Sinopec (00386) up 3.01%. International oil prices saw a slight increase, with WTI crude oil futures for February closing at $60.62 per barrel, up 0.43%, and Brent crude oil futures for March at $65.24 per barrel, up 0.49% [1] - CATL (03750) fell over 4%, down 4.4% as of the report. A report from Citi raised concerns about CATL's growth prospects due to slowing EV sales in China, rising lithium prices, and reduced export VAT rebates [1] - Kintor Pharmaceutical (02171) rose nearly 4% after announcing a clinical collaboration with Dispatch Bio to initiate a Phase I clinical trial in China by 2026 for a treatment method targeting solid tumors [1] Group 2 - Guoxia Technology (02655) surged over 7% following a strategic cooperation agreement with Shuneng Electric to enhance collaboration in the energy storage sector [2] - Kingsoft Biotech (01548) dropped over 6% after its affiliate Legend Biotech's stock fell more than 11%. Kingsoft reported that Legend's CARVYKTI had a net sales of approximately $555 million for Q4 [2] - Hong Kong real estate stocks saw a general rise, with Hysan Development (00014) up 5.17%, Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) up 3.36%, and Wharf Real Estate (01997) up 4.02%. A report from Citi indicated a recovery in Hong Kong property prices, predicting a continued upward trend, albeit at a moderate pace due to tempered interest rate cut expectations [2] Group 3 - Baidu Group (09888) rose nearly 5%, with a cumulative increase of over 40% in the past two months. The company launched the official version of its Wenxin large model 5.0, featuring 2.4 trillion parameters [3] - Pacific Basin Shipping (02343) increased over 9%, reaching a new high of HKD 2.96, benefiting from a rise in the Baltic Dry Index, which increased by 74 points or 4.3% to 1803 points [3] - GDS Holdings (09698) rose nearly 3% after announcing the sale of shares in DayOne for $385 million, recovering approximately 95% of its investment principal with a return rate close to 6.5 times [4] Group 4 - The US stock market saw an expansion in gains, with the Nasdaq up 1%. Notable tech stocks like Intel (INTC.US) rose 11.72%, reaching a market cap of over $250 billion, the highest in four years [5] - The storage sector continued to strengthen, with Micron Technology (MU.US) up 6.61% and Western Digital (WDC.US) up 8.49%. Counterpoint Research indicated that the storage market has entered a "super bull market" phase, surpassing previous highs due to increased demand from AI and server capacity [5] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index surged 2%, with popular Chinese stocks like Bilibili (BILI.US) up 5.65% and Baidu (BIDU.US) up 8.17% [6]

香港地产股普涨，截至发稿，希慎兴业(00014)涨4.49%，报21.42港元；新鸿基地产(00016)涨3.27%，报 113.8港元；九龙仓置业(01997)涨3.23%，报26.2港元；恒隆集团(00010)涨2.04%，报16.5港元；长实集 团(01113)涨1.25%，报43.82港元。 消息面上，里昂研究报告指出，香港楼价出现复苏，部分新盘销售反应热烈，市场情绪乐观，推动发展 商股价年初至今亦上涨，预测楼价上升趋势将持续，但由于降息预期降温及香港按揭利率具韧性，预期 楼价升幅会较温和。而根据过往经验，当楼价增速减慢或市场情绪见顶时，地产股股价往往会出现回 调。里昂维持对2026年香港楼价增长5%的预测。 此外，根据花旗最新现修订2026年香港住宅楼价预测，由原来升3%上调至升8%，并预期2027年进一步 加速，进入多年以来的上升周期。该行预期，香港地产发展商在2026年上半年可领先，受惠于利润率、 盈利及NAV上行(目前营业利润率5–9%)，新盘成交量创6年新高，房价上升周期(估算房价每升1%，平 均可推动NAV 0.5%/盈利1.5%)，以及NAV折让收窄(现为52%，过往房价上升周期约40% ...

消息面上，里昂研究报告指出，香港楼价出现复苏，部分新盘销售反应热烈，市场情绪乐观，推动发展 商股价年初至今亦上涨，预测楼价上升趋势将持续，但由于降息预期降温及香港按揭利率具韧性，预期 楼价升幅会较温和。而根据过往经验，当楼价增速减慢或市场情绪见顶时，地产股股价往往会出现回 调。里昂维持对2026年香港楼价增长5%的预测。 此外，根据花旗最新现修订2026年香港住宅楼价预测，由原来升3%上调至升8%，并预期2027年进一步 加速，进入多年以来的上升周期。该行预期，香港地产发展商在2026年上半年可领先，受惠于利润率、 盈利及NAV上行(目前营业利润率5–9%)，新盘成交量创6年新高，房价上升周期(估算房价每升1%，平 均可推动NAV 0.5%/盈利1.5%)，以及NAV折让收窄(现为52%，过往房价上升周期约40%)。 智通财经APP获悉，香港地产股普涨，截至发稿，希慎兴业(00014)涨4.49%，报21.42港元；新鸿基地产 (00016)涨3.27%，报113.8港元；九龙仓置业(01997)涨3.23%，报26.2港元；恒隆集团(00010)涨2.04%， 报16.5港元；长实集团(01113)涨1.2 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 76.39 points, a decrease of 0.29%, closing at 26,487.51 points [1] - The total turnover on the main board was HKD 2,377.66 million [1] - The National Enterprises Index dropped by 39.69 points, closing at 9,094.76 points, a decline of 0.43% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 66.54 points, closing at 5,683.44 points, a drop of 1.16% [1] Blue-Chip Stocks - Tencent Holdings decreased by 1.48%, closing at HKD 601 [1] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing fell by 1.11%, closing at HKD 427 [1] - China Mobile remained unchanged, closing at HKD 79.3 [1] - HSBC Holdings increased by 1.1%, closing at HKD 128.4 [1] Local Hong Kong Stocks - Cheung Kong Holdings rose by 0.74%, closing at HKD 43.34 [1] - Sun Hung Kai Properties decreased by 0.99%, closing at HKD 110.2 [1] - Henderson Land Development increased by 0.52%, closing at HKD 31.12 [1] Chinese Financial Stocks - Bank of China fell by 0.45%, closing at HKD 4.47 [1] - China Construction Bank decreased by 0.51%, closing at HKD 7.76 [1] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China dropped by 0.47%, closing at HKD 6.31 [1] - Ping An Insurance rose by 0.88%, closing at HKD 69 [1] - China Life Insurance increased by 4.31%, closing at HKD 33.4 [1] Oil and Petrochemical Stocks - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation fell by 0.61%, closing at HKD 4.92 [1] - China National Petroleum Corporation decreased by 0.12%, closing at HKD 8.21 [1] - CNOOC Limited dropped by 1.74%, closing at HKD 21.52 [1]

Core Viewpoint - As of January 15, a total of 105 stocks reached their 52-week highs, with notable performers including 德莱建业 (01546), 东曜药业－Ｂ (01875), and 大森控股 (01580) achieving high rates of 78.00%, 51.36%, and 37.61% respectively [1]. Summary by Category 52-Week Highs - 德莱建业 (01546) closed at 0.355, with a peak of 0.445, marking a high rate of 78.00% [1]. - 东曜药业－Ｂ (01875) closed at 4.190, reaching a high of 4.450, with a high rate of 51.36% [1]. - 大森控股 (01580) closed at 0.275, with a peak of 0.300, achieving a high rate of 37.61% [1]. - 顺兴集团控股 (01637) and 怡园酒业 (08146) also showed significant increases, with high rates of 36.36% and 24.74% respectively [1]. Additional Notable Stocks - JBB BUILDERS (01903) reached a high rate of 24.12% with a closing price of 2.830 [1]. - 天臣控股 (01201) and 江苏创新 (02116) had high rates of 15.38% and 15.00% respectively [1]. - 万国黄金集团 (03939) and 竣球控股 (01481) also performed well, with high rates of 12.95% and 12.44% respectively [1]. 52-Week Lows - The report also noted stocks reaching 52-week lows, with 天彩控股 (03882) showing a low rate of -14.42% [3]. - 中国智慧能源 (01004) and 基石控股 (01592) followed with low rates of -13.64% and -12.86% respectively [3]. - 弘毅文化集团－旧 (02990) and 中原建业 (09982) also reported significant declines of -9.09% and -6.06% respectively [3].

Group 1 - The core view of the report is that the Hong Kong residential market is expected to bottom out by mid-2025, with a recovery anticipated to strengthen in 2026, extending to the CBD office and high-end retail sectors [1] - The report forecasts a 5% to 10% increase in Hong Kong residential prices in 2026, followed by a further 5% increase in 2027 [1] - The valuation of the sector is believed to have normalized, leading to a more moderate price increase outlook [1] Group 2 - The company has raised target prices for several stocks by an average of 8% to reflect a stronger outlook for residential prices and a 50 basis point reduction in capitalization rates to 4.5% to 5.25% [1] - The report highlights a positive outlook for "buy" ratings on Cheung Kong Holdings (01113), Swire Properties (01972), and Hang Lung Properties (00101), while reiterating a "underperform" rating for MTR Corporation (00066) due to its large capital expenditure plans [1] - The report identifies potential catalysts for Hang Lung Properties, Henderson Land (00012), and Wharf Real Estate Investment (01997) in the first quarter [1] Group 3 - The report suggests that developers have already factored in a 5% to 10% increase in residential prices when comparing current residential prices and stock prices to 2021 [1] - Hang Lung Properties is expected to announce a new Singapore property fund and increase share buybacks by at least $200 million [1] - There is a divergence of opinions among investors regarding whether Henderson Land will cut dividends for the fiscal year 2025, which may lead to stock price volatility after earnings announcements [1] Group 4 - The report indicates that the rebound in earnings will be key for further revaluation of the sector, with Henderson Land expected to be the only Hong Kong developer to record a significant earnings rebound for the fiscal year 2026 [2] - Cheung Kong Holdings and Kerry Properties (00683) are projected to lead the earnings rebound for developers from 2025 to 2028, with an average annual rebound exceeding 10% [2] - Swire Properties and Hang Lung Properties are expected to lead earnings growth for owners during the same period [2]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America forecasts that the Hong Kong residential market will bottom out in mid-2025, with a recovery expected to strengthen in 2026, extending to CBD office and high-end retail sectors [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - Residential prices in Hong Kong are expected to rise by 5% to 10% in 2026 and by 5% in 2027 [1] - The bank believes that sector valuations have normalized, anticipating a moderate increase in prices [1] Group 2: Target Price Adjustments - The bank has raised target prices for several companies by an average of 8% to reflect stronger residential price outlook and a 50 basis point reduction in capitalization rates to 4.5% to 5.25% [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The bank maintains a "buy" rating for Cheung Kong Holdings (01113), Swire Properties (01972), and Hang Lung Properties (00101) [1] - MTR Corporation (00066) is reiterated with an "underperform" rating due to low likelihood of significant dividend increases amid large capital expenditure plans [1] Group 4: Potential Catalysts - Hang Lung Properties is expected to announce a new Singapore property fund and plans to increase share buybacks by at least $200 million [1] - There is a divergence of opinions among investors regarding whether Henderson Land Development (00012) will cut dividends for the fiscal year 2025, which may lead to stock price volatility post-earnings announcement [1] - Wharf Holdings (01997) is projected to see a 7% increase in dividends for the fiscal year 2025, supported by a decline in HIBOR and rising excess rents [1] Group 5: Earnings Recovery - The bank believes that earnings recovery will be key for further revaluation of the sector, with Henderson Land Development expected to be the only Hong Kong developer to record significant earnings rebound in fiscal year 2026 [2] - Cheung Kong Holdings and Kerry Properties (00683) are anticipated to lead the earnings rebound for developers from fiscal years 2025 to 2028, with an average annual rebound exceeding 10% [2] - Swire Properties and Hang Lung Properties are expected to lead earnings growth for owners during the same period [2]