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长实集团少赚23亿,“李超人”降价求市
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-15 11:18
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance for the first half of 2025, with increased property sales revenue but declining sales profit due to market weakness and discounting strategies [2][3][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of HKD 25.386 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.3% [2]. - Shareholder profit was HKD 6.302 billion, a decrease of 26.7% compared to the previous year, with a loss of HKD 0.503 billion from the revaluation of investment properties [2]. - Property sales revenue reached approximately HKD 7.366 billion, a significant increase of 58.92% from HKD 4.635 billion in the same period last year [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The company adopted a strategy of offering discounts to stimulate sales amid cautious market sentiment, leading to a decline in sales profit despite increased revenue [4][5]. - In the Hong Kong market, property sales revenue increased by 7.77%, but sales profit plummeted by 92.91% from HKD 1.044 billion to HKD 0.074 billion [4]. - The company is focusing on clearing inventory, which is expected to continue influencing pricing strategies [8]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The company anticipates a significant increase in revenue in the second half of 2025, with approximately HKD 28.553 billion in signed but unrecognized property sales expected to contribute around HKD 22.898 billion in revenue [9]. - The company holds a land reserve of approximately 67 million square feet, with expectations for stable profit contributions from property development in the coming years [9]. - The company is exploring new investment opportunities, particularly in commercial and retail properties in Hong Kong, leveraging its financial strength and low capital debt ratio [10][11].
李嘉诚,这次嗅到了危险
商业洞察· 2025-08-15 09:24
Core Viewpoint - Li Ka-shing, a prominent Chinese businessman, is rapidly divesting his assets in China, leading to a shift in public perception about him [3][7]. Group 1: Asset Liquidation - In July, Li Ka-shing's Cheung Kong Group sold 400 residential units across four projects, with prices starting as low as 400,000 HKD, which is about one-third of the down payment for similar properties in Hong Kong [5][7]. - By early August, reports indicated a surge in demand from Hong Kong buyers, with many properties selling out quickly [6][7]. Group 2: Market Strategy - Historically, Li Ka-shing has been known for buying land during market downturns and selling during peaks. However, his recent asset liquidation during a market low raises questions about his strategy and intentions [7][10]. - The "art" of land hoarding and slow development has been a hallmark of Li's approach, exemplified by the South City Hub project in Chengdu, where he profited significantly by delaying construction and selling off portions of the project [10][11][15]. Group 3: Regulatory Environment - Since 2015, China's tightening real estate regulations have impacted Li Ka-shing's land hoarding strategies, leading to increased scrutiny and penalties for such practices [25][26]. - The shift in policy indicates a move towards addressing the imbalance in real estate supply and promoting more sustainable development practices [26][28]. Group 4: Broader Implications - Li Ka-shing's rise and current challenges reflect the changing dynamics of the business environment in China, where the focus is shifting towards long-term, sustainable growth rather than speculative practices [30][31]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic shifts are prompting a reevaluation of capital operations, with a growing emphasis on aligning business practices with national interests and social equity [34][35].
港股评级汇总 | 招银国际给予鸿腾精密买入评级
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 07:45
Group 1 - 招银国际 has given a "Buy" rating to 鸿腾精密 (06088.HK) and raised the target price to HKD 4.96, reflecting a 5% to 15% downward adjustment in earnings per share forecasts for 2025 to 2027 due to the company's business transformation in Q2 [1] - 花旗 maintains a "Buy" rating for 长和 (00001.HK) and has increased the target price to HKD 61, adjusting the net asset value (NAV) forecast to HKD 138.69, with a 56% discount applied [1] - 花旗 has also upgraded the target price for 长实集团 (01113.HK) to HKD 39 while maintaining a neutral rating, citing limited share buyback potential due to global macro uncertainties [1] Group 2 - 汇丰研究 has maintained a "Buy" rating for 网易-S (09999.HK) but lowered the H-share target price to HKD 245, reflecting a 1% to 3% decrease in earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 due to higher promotional costs [2] - 中金公司 has maintained a "Outperform" rating for 腾讯控股 (00700.HK) and raised the target price to HKD 8.4, with Q2 revenue of HKD 184.5 billion, a 15% year-on-year increase [3] - 中信里昂 has given 京东健康 (06618.HK) an "Outperform" rating and raised the target price to HKD 64, increasing net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 15% and 13% respectively [3] Group 3 - 中信证券 has maintained a "Buy" rating for 腾讯控股 (00700.HK), with expectations of Non-IFRS net profits of HKD 258.9 billion, HKD 288.1 billion, and HKD 317.7 billion for 2025 to 2027 [4] - 中信证券 has also maintained a "Buy" rating for 快手-W (01024.HK), highlighting growth potential from AI initiatives and collaborations [4] - 中信证券 has given 优必选 (09880.HK) a "Buy" rating, projecting a compound annual growth rate of 260% for humanoid robot business revenue from 2025 to 2027 [5]
大行评级|花旗:上调长实集团目标价至39港元 因UK Rails交易派特别息机会不大
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-15 06:51
花旗预计,受环球宏观不确定性影响,长实的股份回购规模可能有限。UK Rails股权交易出售料于年内 完成,或为长实带来多于10亿港元收益,花旗认为派特别息机会不大。该行预测2025及2026年盈利表现 及股息将持平,发展物业利润的疲弱或被租金收入及基建业务稳健所抵销,维持"中性"评级,目标价由 35.5港元上调至39港元。 花旗发表研究报告指,长实集团对香港新投资机会仍持积极态度,目前正评估潜在目标。管理层又表示 将考虑重启股份回购,并不再强调过往净现金目标。花旗认为长实具备充裕资源进行再投资,但相信不 会以提高负债水平为代价来进行投资,料将将严格要求项目风险回报。 ...
长实指有兴趣在香港做多些投资
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-15 01:53
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in net profit for the first half of the year, indicating challenges in the Hong Kong retail and commercial property leasing market, while expressing interest in further investments in Hong Kong [1][2][3] Financial Performance - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of the year was HKD 6.302 billion, a decrease of 26.75% year-on-year [1] - Earnings per share stood at HKD 1.8, with an interim dividend maintained at HKD 0.39 [1] - The revaluation surplus before investment properties increased by 1.2% to HKD 6.805 billion, while property sales revenue rose by 58.9% to HKD 7.366 billion, although sales revenue decreased by 2.9% to HKD 1.768 billion due to discounts offered in a weak market [2] Investment Strategy - The company aims to maintain a diversified investment and asset portfolio, leveraging its financial strength and low capital debt ratio to seize global market opportunities [1][2] - There is a strong interest in investing more in commercial and retail properties in Hong Kong, as well as land acquisition, contingent on attractive returns and pricing [2][4] Property Development - The company anticipates profits from multiple projects in Hong Kong, Singapore, and Beijing in the second half of the year, although losses from the Blue Coast project may offset some contributions [3] - The Blue Coast project has sold 900 units out of 1,200, generating HKD 15.2 billion in cash, with an average transaction price of HKD 17 million per unit [3] Rental and Occupancy Rates - The overall occupancy rate for the Hong Kong investment property portfolio is approximately 86%, with specific rates of 75% for the first phase of the Changjiang Center [4] - The hotel business reported an occupancy rate of 89.1% for overnight stays and 88.4% for long-term serviced apartments [5] Financial Position - As of June 30, the company had bank deposits and fixed deposits totaling HKD 33 billion, with a net debt of HKD 21.4 billion, resulting in a net debt to total capital ratio of about 5% [5]
滚动更新丨A股三大股指集体低开,算力产业链领跌
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 01:39
算力产业链领跌,GPU、CPO方向回调明显;人工智能走弱。光刻机、脑机接口题材活跃。 (持续更新中……) 09:25 A股开盘|三大股指集体低开 算力产业链领跌 三大股指集体低开,沪指跌0.18%,深成指跌0.28%,创业板指跌0.2%。算力产业链领跌,GPU、CPO方向回调明显;人工智能走弱。光刻机、脑机接口 题材活跃。 | 板块名称 | 涨幅 | 主力金额 | 板块名称 | 涨幅 | 主力金额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 芬太尼 | +0.59% | -244.9万 | 关装重组概念 | -1.50% | +579.4万 | | 科创次新股 | +0.58% | +1018/כ | 多元金融 | -1.03% | -1670/- | | 超级电容 | +0.57% | -441.2 - | 贵金属 | -0.99% | -912.2 / | | 高压氧舱 | +0.54% | +1118万 | 工程机械 | -0.74% | +1566万 | | 油气开采及服务 | +0.47% | +286.4/7 | F5G概念 | -0.67% | -3353 ...
观点直击 长实指有兴趣在香港做多些投资
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-14 18:31
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in net profit for the first half of the year, with a 26.75% drop year-on-year, amounting to HKD 6.302 billion, while maintaining a stable interim dividend of HKD 0.39 per share [1] Financial Performance - The company's investment property revaluation profit increased by 1.2% to HKD 6.805 billion, while property sales revenue surged by 58.9% to HKD 7.366 billion, although sales profit decreased by 2.9% to HKD 1.768 billion due to discounts offered in a weak market [2] - Hong Kong property sales revenue rose by 7.8% to HKD 2.803 billion, but sales profit plummeted by 92.9% to HKD 74 million [2] - The company reported a bank balance and fixed deposits of HKD 33 billion, with a net debt of HKD 21.4 billion, resulting in a net debt to total capital ratio of approximately 5% [5] Business Strategy - The company aims to maintain a diversified investment and asset portfolio, leveraging its financial strength and low capital debt ratio to seize global market opportunities [1] - There is a strong interest in investing more in commercial and retail properties in Hong Kong, as well as land acquisition, contingent on attractive returns and pricing [2][4] - The company plans to continue selling Blue Coast II and pre-selling Kai Tak Flower Sea in the second half of the year [4] Market Conditions - The retail and commercial property leasing sector in Hong Kong remains weak, with rental income and profits from the company's properties showing slight declines compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - The overall occupancy rate of the Hong Kong investment property portfolio is approximately 86%, with specific properties like the Changjiang Center Phase I at 75% occupancy [4] - The hotel business showed a slight increase in revenue, with an occupancy rate of 89.1% for overnight hotels and 88.4% for long-term serviced apartments [5]
长江实业打折卖楼拖累业绩
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-08-14 16:18
Core Viewpoint - The Cheung Kong Group and its subsidiary, CK Asset Holdings, are facing scrutiny due to their strategy of aggressively discounting properties, which has led to increased sales but significant losses in company performance [2][5]. Financial Performance - For the first half of the year, CK Asset reported revenue of approximately HKD 25.386 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.3% [2]. - Shareholder profit was HKD 6.302 billion, a substantial decline of nearly 27%, primarily due to a significant reduction in the valuation of investment properties [2]. Property Sales - The company confirmed property sales revenue of HKD 7.366 billion, a year-on-year increase of nearly 59% [5]. - Mainland property sales accounted for about 52% of total sales, generating HKD 3.83 billion, which represents a year-on-year growth of approximately 117% [5]. - However, the sales revenue from the business segment showed a decline of about 3%, with Hong Kong sales revenue plummeting over 92% to approximately HKD 74 million [5]. Discounting Strategy - Since 2024, CK Asset has frequently discounted various projects in Hong Kong, with the Blue Coast project selling at HKD 21,900 per square foot, which is 30% lower than the surrounding second-hand property prices and 22% below the cost price [5]. - Other projects in Hong Kong, such as the LYOS project and the Tuen Mun project, have also seen varying degrees of discounts [5]. Future Outlook - The low-interest environment in Hong Kong has led to a rebound in transaction volumes, particularly for smaller units, but overall property prices lack upward momentum due to high supply [6]. - The company plans to maintain a flexible pricing strategy to reduce inventory, although the discounting approach will continue to impact performance [6]. - The land reserve is at a relatively low level, with approximately 67 million square feet of developable land, including 6 million square feet in Hong Kong, 58 million square feet in mainland China, and 3 million square feet overseas [6].
长江实业打折卖楼拖累业绩
第一财经· 2025-08-14 16:09
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the financial performance of Cheung Kong Group and its subsidiary, CK Asset Holdings, highlighting the impact of aggressive discounting strategies on property sales and overall profitability [3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, CK Asset Holdings reported revenue of approximately HKD 25.386 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.3% [3]. - Shareholder profit was HKD 6.302 billion, a significant decline of nearly 27%, primarily due to a substantial reduction in the valuation of investment properties [3]. Property Sales - The company confirmed property sales revenue of HKD 7.366 billion, a year-on-year increase of nearly 59% [5]. - Mainland property sales accounted for about 52% of total sales, achieving HKD 3.83 billion, a year-on-year growth of approximately 117% [5]. - However, the sales revenue from the Hong Kong region dropped significantly, with only HKD 74 million realized, a decrease of over 92% [5]. Discounting Strategy - Since 2024, CK Asset has frequently discounted various projects in Hong Kong, with the Blue Coast project selling at HKD 21,900 per square foot, which is 30% lower than the surrounding second-hand property prices and 22% below the cost price [5]. - Similar discounting strategies were observed in mainland projects, such as the discounted pricing for high-end properties in Beijing and Dongguan [5]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that the profitability from property development will not be significant in the coming years, as stated by the financial management team [6][7]. - As of June, CK Asset's land reserves were at a relatively low level, with approximately 67 million square feet available for development, distributed across Hong Kong, mainland China, and overseas [7].
长江实业打折卖楼拖累业绩,集团表示仍会加大去化力度
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 15:49
Core Viewpoint - The Cheung Kong Group, led by the Li Ka-shing family, is facing scrutiny due to its strategy of aggressively discounting properties for sale, which, while boosting sales volume, has negatively impacted the company's financial performance [2][4]. Financial Performance - For the first half of the year, Cheung Kong Group reported revenues of approximately HKD 25.386 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.3% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 6.302 billion, representing a significant decline of nearly 27%, primarily due to substantial reductions in the valuation of investment properties [2]. Property Sales - The confirmed property sales revenue for the first half reached HKD 7.366 billion, marking a substantial year-on-year increase of nearly 59% [4]. - Sales from mainland properties accounted for about 52% of total sales, generating HKD 3.83 billion, which is a year-on-year growth of approximately 117% [4]. - However, the sales revenue from the business segment showed a decline in profit, with a revenue of HKD 1.768 billion, down about 3% [4]. Discounting Strategy - Since 2024, Cheung Kong Group has frequently discounted various projects in Hong Kong, with the Blue Coast project selling at HKD 21,900 per square foot, which is a 30% discount compared to surrounding second-hand property prices [4]. - Other projects, such as the LYOS project and the Tuen Mun project, have also seen varying degrees of price reductions [4]. Future Outlook - The company’s management indicated that the current low-interest environment in Hong Kong has led to a rebound in transaction volumes, particularly for small to medium-sized units, but overall property prices remain under pressure due to high supply [5]. - The strategy of discounting properties is expected to continue affecting the company's performance, with future profitability from property development anticipated to be limited [5]. - As of June, the company's land reserves are at a relatively low level, with approximately 67 million square feet of developable land, including 6 million square feet in Hong Kong, 58 million square feet in mainland China, and 3 million square feet overseas [5].