1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided on the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - The anticipation of a looser supply situation in the zinc concentrate mining sector has largely materialized, with the treatment charge (TC) continuing to rise. The annual production guidance for major overseas zinc concentrate producers remains mostly unchanged, and the upward trend in annual zinc concentrate production is expected to continue [3][50]. - Given the strong expectation of refinery复产 and the off - peak demand season, an inflection point in zinc ingot inventory may emerge [3]. - The zinc price is expected to be strong in the short - term and weak in the long - term. In the short run, low inventory provides some support, but weak demand restricts upward movement. In the long run, with increased supply and limited demand growth, the zinc price may face pressure [4]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Total Overview - In March 2025, the global zinc market surplus narrowed to 23,700 tons. The first three months of 2025 saw a global supply surplus of 143,000 tons, slightly lower than the 148,000 tons surplus in the same period last year [12]. - In Q1 2025, global zinc concentrate production was 2.9021 million tons, a 9.75% decrease quarter - on - quarter and a 2.99% increase year - on - year. Global refined zinc production was 3.278 million tons, a 2.32% decrease quarter - on - quarter and a 3.55% decrease year - on - year [12]. 3.2 Glencore - Glencore's 2025 zinc concentrate production guidance is 93 - 990,000 tons, consistent with the initial expectation. Q1 production was 213,600 tons, a 18.29% decrease quarter - on - quarter and a 3.89% increase year - on - year. Increases mainly came from Antamina and the Australian region [19]. 3.3 Teck - Teck's 2025 zinc concentrate production guidance is 525,000 - 575,000 tons. Q1 production was 177,300 tons, a 6.19% decrease quarter - on - quarter and a 14.08% decrease year - on - year. Reductions mainly came from the Red Dog mine [22]. 3.4 Boliden - In Q1 2025, Boliden's zinc concentrate production was 57,900 tons, a 38.95% increase quarter - on - quarter and a 45.78% increase year - on - year. Increases mainly came from the复产 of the Tara mine [24]. 3.5 Vedanta - In Q1 2025, Vedanta's zinc concentrate production was 264,000 tons, a 5.60% increase quarter - on - quarter and a 4.35% increase year - on - year. Increases mainly came from Gamsberg, partially offset by the reduction at Black Mountain Mine [27]. 3.6 Nexa - Nexa's 2025 zinc concentrate production guidance is 311,000 - 351,000 tons. Q1 production was 67,300 tons, an 8.44% decrease quarter - on - quarter and a 22.82% decrease year - on - year. Except for Cerro Lindo, zinc production at other mines declined [31]. 3.7 MMG - MMG's 2025 zinc concentrate production guidance is 215,000 - 240,000 tons. Q1 production was 51,800 tons, a 19.02% decrease quarter - on - quarter and a 12.65% decrease year - on - year [37]. 3.8 Newmont Goldcorp - Newmont's 2025 zinc concentrate production guidance is 236,000 tons. Q1 production was 59,000 tons, a 23.38% decrease quarter - on - quarter and a 2.42% increase year - on - year [38]. 3.9 BHP - BHP's fiscal 2025 zinc concentrate production guidance is 90,000 - 110,000 tons. Q1 production was 26,000 tons, a 14.19% increase quarter - on - quarter and a 41.38% increase year - on - year [40]. 3.10 Lundin Mining - In Q1 2025, Lundin Mining's zinc concentrate production was 48,900 tons, a 5.77% decrease quarter - on - quarter and a 7.14% increase year - on - year [41]. 3.11 South32 - In Q1 2025, South32's zinc concentrate production was 11,000 tons, a 1.85% increase quarter - on - quarter and a 23.08% decrease year - on - year. The production guidance for the Cannington mine in fiscal 2025 was lowered to 45,000 tons [43]. 3.12 Grupo Mexico - SCC - In Q1 2025, SCC's zinc concentrate production was 39,400 tons, an 8.75% decrease quarter - on - quarter and a 49.40% increase year - on - year. The full - load operation of the Buenavista zinc concentrator contributed to the increase [44]. 3.13 Industrials Pelones - In Q1 2025, Pelones' zinc concentrate production was 57,700 tons, a 5.65% decrease quarter - on - quarter and a 13.86% decrease year - on - year. Reductions mainly came from the closure of the Tizapa mine and the depletion of the San Julian mine [45]. 3.14 Fresnillo plc - Fresnillo plc's 2025 zinc concentrate production guidance is 93,000 - 103,000 tons. Q1 production was 25,200 tons, a 12.79% decrease quarter - on - quarter and a 3.47% decrease year - on - year. Reductions mainly came from lower ore grades at Fresnillo and Cienega and the shutdown of the San Julian mine [47]. 3.15 Kaz Mineral - In Q1 2025, Kaz Mineral's zinc concentrate production was 9,300 tons, a 19.13% decrease quarter - on - quarter and a 11.43% decrease year - on - year, despite the highest quarterly throughput of ore [50]. 3.16 Market Outlook - The anticipation of a looser supply situation in the mining sector has materialized, and the TC continues to rise. The annual production guidance for major overseas zinc concentrate producers remains mostly unchanged, and the upward trend in annual zinc concentrate production is expected to continue. The TC for domestic and imported zinc concentrates has increased [50]. - Given the strong expectation of refinery复产 and the off - peak demand season, an inflection point in zinc ingot inventory may emerge. The zinc price is expected to be strong in the short - term and weak in the long - term [3][4].

Company Overview - Company is a global metal mining giant focused on upstream metal resources, operating internationally with headquarters in Melbourne, Australia [1] - The company has undergone two major transformations since its listing in Hong Kong in 1994, including the acquisition of MMG in 2010 and the purchase of the Las Bambas copper mine in 2014, significantly enhancing its resource strength [1] - In 2024, the company completed the acquisition of the Khoemacau copper mine in Botswana, adding a key copper asset to its portfolio, which now includes five overseas mines (3 copper and 2 zinc) [1] Financial Performance - Copper is the core metal, contributing significantly to revenue, with copper products generating $3.308 billion in revenue in 2024, accounting for 73.86% of total revenue [2] - Las Bambas mine alone contributed $2.978 billion in revenue, representing 66.48% of total revenue and $1.594 billion in EBITDA, which is 77.82% of the company's EBITDA [2] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of $162 million in 2024, a substantial increase of 1699% year-on-year, primarily driven by strong performance from Las Bambas and the acquisition of Khoemacau [2] Production Outlook - Las Bambas is expected to return to normal operations in 2024, with copper production projected at 322,900 tons, and production guidance for 2025 set at 360,000 to 400,000 tons [3] - Kinsevere is transitioning from oxide to sulfide ore, with 2024 copper production expected at 45,000 tons and guidance for 2025 set at 63,000 to 69,000 tons, with a potential reduction in C1 costs [3] - Khoemacau, acquired in 2024, is projected to produce 31,000 tons of copper in 2024, with guidance for 2025 set at 43,000 to 53,000 tons, and expansion plans aiming for an annual capacity of 130,000 tons by 2028 [3] Industry Insights - The copper industry is experiencing tight supply and demand dynamics, with capital expenditures declining and resource depletion creating supply constraints [4] - The recent drop in copper prices is expected to have absorbed pessimistic demand forecasts, with downstream consumption likely to grow as prices stabilize [4] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from rising copper prices due to the growth potential of its three major copper projects and an improving financial structure [4] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is expected to see significant profit growth, with net profits projected at $420 million, $640 million, and $750 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 162%, 50%, and 18% [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be $0.03, $0.05, and $0.06 for the same years, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 10.6, 7.1, and 6.0 [4] - Given the company's resource advantages and growth potential, a target price of HKD 3.5 is set, with an initial "buy" rating based on a valuation of 8.5 times the 2026 earnings [4]

Group 1: Key Insights on the Food and Beverage Industry - The liquor sector is focusing on cultivating new consumer bases among younger demographics, with a current PE-TTM of 19.52X, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to historical levels [3] - Pre-processed food categories are showing varied performance, with specific attention on themes such as cost control and new consumption trends [3] - Dairy products are expected to benefit from ongoing policies related to childbirth and milk powder subsidies, as well as rising beef prices [3] Group 2: Key Insights on Mining and Metals Industry - The company, a global metal mining giant, is expected to see significant revenue growth in 2024, with projected revenues of $4.479 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.05% [4] - The Las Bambas mine is anticipated to contribute nearly 80% of the company's performance, with copper production expected to reach 322,900 tons in 2024 [4][29] - The company’s net profit is projected to increase dramatically to $162 million in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1698.89% [4] Group 3: Key Insights on the Media and Entertainment Industry - The cinema business of the company is maintaining a strong market share, with a significant increase in box office revenue in Q1 2025, reaching $4.709 billion, a 23.23% year-on-year increase [8][20] - The company is innovating its operational strategies by launching a new brand that combines entertainment, social interaction, and consumption [21] - The film production segment is expected to drive revenue growth, with notable box office performances from key releases [22] Group 4: Key Insights on Chemical Industry - The current cycle in the chemical industry is nearing its end, with expectations for demand recovery in 2024 driven by infrastructure and export resilience [10] - The industry is shifting towards a regional cooperation model, focusing on stability and security in supply chains [10] - Investment opportunities are being identified in companies that focus on new material production and breakthroughs in supply chain efficiency [10]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 3.5 HKD, based on a current price of 2.9 HKD [6]. Core Insights - The company is a global metal mining giant focused on upstream metal resources, primarily copper and zinc, with significant operations in Peru, Australia, and the Democratic Republic of Congo [1][14]. - The Las Bambas mine is the main contributor to the company's revenue, accounting for approximately 66.48% of total revenue in 2024, with a strong EBITDA contribution of 77.82% [2][26]. - The company has seen a significant improvement in net profit, reaching 162 million USD in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1699%, driven by strong performance from Las Bambas and the acquisition of the Khoemacau mine [2][21]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company was established in 1988 and has undergone significant transformations, including the acquisition of MMG in 2010 and the Las Bambas mine in 2014, enhancing its resource strength [1][15]. - The company operates five overseas mines, focusing on copper and zinc, and is expanding into nickel with a planned acquisition in Brazil [1][14]. Project Contributions - In 2024, copper products generated 3.308 billion USD in revenue, making up 73.86% of total revenue, with Las Bambas alone contributing 2.978 billion USD [2][29]. - The company expects production from its three main copper projects (Las Bambas, Kinsevere, and Khoemacau) to increase significantly, with total copper production potentially reaching 610,000 tons by 2025 [3][43]. Industry Analysis - The copper market is expected to experience tight supply conditions, with prices likely to rise due to increased demand from traditional and emerging sectors [4][3]. - The report forecasts that the company's net profits will grow significantly in the coming years, with projections of 420 million USD in 2025, 640 million USD in 2026, and 750 million USD in 2027 [4][31].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 3.5 HKD, based on a current price of 2.9 HKD [6]. Core Views - The company is a global metal mining giant focusing on upstream metal resources, with significant operations in copper and zinc, and has recently expanded into nickel [1][14]. - The Las Bambas mine is the primary contributor to the company's revenue, accounting for approximately 66.48% of total revenue in 2024, with a strong EBITDA contribution of 77.82% [2][26]. - The company has shown a significant recovery in 2024, with a net profit of 162 million USD, a year-on-year increase of 1699%, driven by strong performance from Las Bambas and the acquisition of the Khoemacau mine [2][21]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, headquartered in Melbourne, Australia, operates five overseas mines and has a strong focus on copper, zinc, and nickel production [1][14]. - The company has undergone significant transformations since its establishment, including the acquisition of MMG in 2010 and the Las Bambas mine in 2014, enhancing its resource strength [1][15]. Project Developments - The company operates three major copper projects: Las Bambas, Kinsevere, and Khoemacau, with Las Bambas expected to produce between 360,000 to 400,000 tons of copper in 2025 [3][47]. - The Kinsevere project is transitioning from oxide to sulfide ore, with production expected to increase from 45,000 tons in 2024 to between 63,000 to 69,000 tons in 2025 [3]. - The Khoemacau mine, acquired in 2024, is projected to produce 31,000 tons of copper in 2024 and increase to between 43,000 to 53,000 tons in 2025 [3]. Industry Analysis - The copper market is expected to experience tight supply and increasing prices due to rising production costs and strong demand from traditional and emerging sectors [4]. - The report anticipates that the company's financial structure will benefit from rising copper prices, with projected net profits of 420 million USD, 640 million USD, and 750 million USD for 2025-2027, respectively [4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 4.479 billion USD, with copper products contributing 3.308 billion USD, representing 73.86% of total revenue [2][29]. - The company's debt-to-asset ratio improved to 58.1% by the end of 2024, with a continuous decline in loan size from 8.13 billion USD in 2018 to 4.629 billion USD in 2024 [31][32].

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to exceed performance expectations due to a significant increase in copper production and a decrease in costs at the Las Bambas mine in Peru, which is its flagship asset [1][2]. Group 1: Production and Financial Performance - Las Bambas is projected to contribute significantly to the company's copper production, accounting for 81.5%, 89.2%, and 79.8% of total copper production from 2022 to 2024, and 73.4%, 83.8%, and 75.1% of equity copper production [1]. - The company anticipates copper production of 515,000 tons and equity production of 344,000 tons in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.3%, with 66% of this increase coming from Las Bambas [1]. - Las Bambas is expected to account for 64.1%, 78.6%, and 66.5% of total revenue from 2022 to 2024, and its EBITDA contribution is projected to be 73.1%, 94.6%, and 76.6% during the same period [1]. - The company has set a production guidance of 350,000 to 400,000 tons for 2025, with C1 cost guidance of $1.50 to $1.70 per pound [2]. - C1 costs have already decreased to $1.26 per pound in Q1 2025, below the annual guidance [2]. Group 2: Debt and Community Management - The company's debt has significantly reduced from a peak of $7 billion to $900 million, leading to a decrease in the overall debt ratio to 58.1% by the end of 2024 [2]. - The company has developed a management model termed "Las Bambas Heart," which emphasizes sustainable development and reform, aiding in resolving community issues effectively [2][3]. - The ability to manage community issues is considered a critical operational capability for mining companies in South America, and the company is expected to replicate this capability across its other South American mines [3]. Group 3: Valuation and Investment Outlook - The company is undervalued compared to its peers, with a performance elasticity of nearly 30% for every 10% increase in copper prices, assuming a benchmark copper price of $9,500 per ton [3]. - The company has revised its profit forecasts, expecting net profits of $549 million, $694 million, and $703 million for 2025-2027, with corresponding EPS of $0.05, $0.06, and $0.06, and PE ratios of 8, 6, and 6 times [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The flagship mine Las Bambas in Peru is the most important asset for the company, contributing significantly to copper production and revenue [1][14]. - The company is expected to exceed performance expectations due to a decrease in production costs and interest expenses, with a projected copper production of 515,000 tons in 2025, a 36.3% year-on-year increase [2][4]. - The company has a strong capability to manage community issues, which is crucial for mining operations in Peru, and this capability is expected to be replicated across other South American mines [3][61]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Las Bambas accounts for 81.5%, 89.2%, and 79.8% of the company's total copper production from 2022 to 2024, with a projected production of 400,000 tons in 2025 [1][14]. - The mine's EBITDA contribution is significant, with 73.1%, 94.6%, and 76.6% from 2022 to 2024 [1][14]. Production and Cost Expectations - The company expects to achieve a production range of 350,000 to 400,000 tons in 2025, with C1 costs projected between $1.50 and $1.70 per pound [2][32]. - The C1 cost has already dropped to $1.26 per pound in Q1 2025, indicating a potential for further cost reduction [2][43]. Community Management - The company employs a management model termed "Las Bambas Heart," focusing on sustainable development and community engagement, which has proven effective in addressing local community issues [3][60]. - The report highlights that the market underestimates the company's ability to handle community-related challenges, which are common in the mining sector in Peru [3][61]. Financial Projections - The company’s net profit is projected to be $549 million, $694 million, and $703 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of $0.05, $0.06, and $0.06 [4][68]. - The company’s valuation metrics, such as P/E and P/B ratios, are significantly lower than industry averages, indicating potential for price appreciation [4][70]. Market Position - The company is positioned to benefit from rising copper prices, with a performance elasticity of nearly 30% for every 10% increase in copper prices [3][69]. - The report emphasizes that the company’s valuation is attractive compared to peers, with a significant upside potential as copper prices rise [3][69].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The flagship mine Las Bambas in Peru is the most important asset for the company, contributing significantly to copper production and revenue [1][14]. - The company is expected to exceed performance expectations due to a decrease in production costs and interest expenses, with a projected copper production of 515,000 tons in 2025, a 36.3% year-on-year increase [2][4]. - The company has a strong capability to manage community issues, which is crucial for mining operations in Peru, and this capability is expected to be replicated across other South American mines [3][61]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Las Bambas copper mine is projected to account for 79.8% of the company's total copper production in 2024 and is expected to produce 400,000 tons in 2025, re-entering the top ten global copper mines [1][14]. - The mine's EBITDA contribution is significant, with projections showing it will account for 76.6% of total EBITDA in 2024 [1][14]. Production and Cost Projections - The company anticipates a C1 cost of $1.5-$1.7 per pound for 2025, with the first quarter of 2025 already showing a cost of $1.26 per pound, indicating a potential for further cost reductions [2][43]. - The debt of Las Bambas has decreased from a peak of $7 billion to $900 million, contributing to a lower overall debt ratio of 58.1% by the end of 2024 [2][46]. Community Management - The company employs a management model termed "Las Bambas Heart," focusing on sustainable development and community engagement, which has proven effective in addressing local community issues [3][60]. - The report emphasizes that the market underestimates the company's ability to handle community-related challenges, which are common in the mining sector in Peru [3][61]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are $549 million, $694 million, and $703 million, respectively, with corresponding EPS of $0.05, $0.06, and $0.06 [4][68]. - The company is valued lower than its peers, with a significant earnings elasticity of nearly 30% for every 10% increase in copper prices [3][69].

Business Strategy and Vision - MMG aims to grow and diversify its resource, production, and value by leveraging Chinese and international expertise, with a vision to become a leading international mining company for a low-carbon future[15, 16] - MMG's strategy includes maximizing asset value and competitiveness by expanding around existing regions and commodities, and stepping into new regions with future-facing commodities[16] Operational Performance and Contribution - MMG's operations span four mineral-rich regions, including Australia, Botswana, Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Peru, contributing to the economic and social development of host countries[26, 27] - Australia operations produced 219,90026 tonnes of zinc in zinc concentrate and 41,65646 tonnes of lead in lead concentrate[27, 32] - Botswana operations produced 30,96152 tonnes of copper in precious metals concentrate[27, 32] - Democratic Republic of the Congo operations produced 44,59710 tonnes of copper cathode[27, 32] - Peru operations produced 322,91284 tonnes of copper in precious metals concentrate and 6,77579 tonnes of molybdenum in concentrate[27, 32] Safety and Sustainability - MMG is committed to reducing its Total Recordable Injury Frequency (TRIF), with a current YTD 2025 TRIF of 204 across all locations[22] - Dugald River solar farm operation led to a 30% reduction in their scope 2[60] Community Partnerships and Social Performance - Las Bambas is investing S/184 million in Cotabambas education[36] - Kutuctay Bridge investment of S/44 million transformed regional connectivity[39] Growth and Diversification - Nickel Brazil acquisition represents a significant milestone in MMG's diversification journey, with ~52 Mt of contained Ni in resources[58, 65]

Summary of MMG Limited Sustainability Briefing Company Overview - **Company**: MMG Limited - **Focus**: Sustainable development, operational efficiency, and safety in mining operations across Australia, Africa, and South America [4][5] Key Industry Insights - **Market Position**: MMG is strategically positioned to meet the increasing global demand for base metals essential for the low carbon transition, including copper, zinc, and nickel [5] - **Production Growth**: In 2024, MMG reported a 15% increase in copper production and an 8% rise in zinc output. For Q1 2025, copper production was over 118,000 tonnes, a 76% increase year-on-year [5][6] - **Future Projections**: Anticipated copper production for 2025 is projected to reach up to 522,000 tonnes, with zinc equivalent production up to 340,000 tonnes [6] Sustainability Commitments - **Safety Practices**: MMG emphasizes a strong safety culture, with a total recordable injury frequency (TRIF) of 2.04 per million hours worked, a slight decrease from 2.06 in 2024 [11] - **Community Engagement**: In 2024, MMG invested US$47.9 million in social initiatives, focusing on infrastructure, healthcare, education, and business opportunities [12] - **Local Business Integration**: The company has increased local business spending by 53% year-on-year, integrating local companies into its value chain [13][14] Human Rights and Social Responsibility - **Human Rights Policy**: MMG is committed to upholding human rights standards, focusing on indigenous peoples, local communities, and workforce rights [19][20] - **Human Rights Impact Assessment**: A comprehensive assessment is underway at the Las Bambas operation in Peru, expected to conclude by Q3 2025 [21] Environmental Strategy - **Nature Strategy**: MMG has developed its first nature strategy, focusing on enhancing ecosystem health and building climate resilience [31][32] - **Decarbonization Efforts**: The company is actively reducing emissions, with projects like solar farms and diesel-electric loaders contributing to significant reductions in emissions [35][36] Growth and Investment - **Acquisitions**: The acquisition of Nicobrazil marks MMG's first investment in Brazil, enhancing its portfolio in nickel production [44] - **Future Projects**: Ongoing projects like the Kinsevere expansion and community partnerships at Las Bambas are aimed at increasing production sustainably [47][48] Conclusion and Future Focus - **Commitment to Safety and Diversity**: MMG prioritizes safety and is focused on building a diverse and inclusive organization [50] - **Sustainability Goals**: The company aims to deepen community partnerships and reduce emissions while enhancing climate resilience [51] This summary encapsulates the key points from the MMG Limited sustainability briefing, highlighting the company's commitment to sustainable practices, community engagement, and future growth strategies.