高盛此前指出，继2025年金属市场反弹后，多数大宗商品在2026年初延续了强劲而波动的走势。该行认 为，投资者持续的资产配置调整可能使部分金属(如铜)价格长期处于高位，形成结构性溢价。在宏观与 地缘风险上升的驱动下，投资者分散配置硬资产的意愿已成为本轮商品行情的关键推动力。 本文源自：智通财经网 智通财经获悉，铜业股集体上扬，截至发稿，中国有色矿业(01258)涨5.6%，报15.83港元；五矿资源 (01208)涨4.19%，报10.69港元；中国大冶有色金属(00661)涨4.65%，报0.18港元；江西铜业股份(00358) 涨3.8%，报46.94港元。 花旗发布研报称，短期内看好铜价，预计未来三个月将触及每吨14,000美元。虽然价格走势难以准确判 断，但认为短期内风险回报偏向看涨，料投资者将趁低吸纳，加上春节后中国供应链补充库存，为铜价 走势提供支撑。花旗认为，铜价下行风险有限，相反看好上行风险，原因是市场对铜价周期性增长持乐 观态度，又因去美元化、货币贬值及资源安全等因素，使其建立更多对实物资产持仓。此外，潜在的供 应进一步受阻亦构成上涨因素。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，铜业股集体上扬，截至发稿，中国有色矿业(01258)涨5.6%，报15.83港元；五矿资 源(01208)涨4.19%，报10.69港元；中国大冶有色金属(00661)涨4.65%，报0.18港元；江西铜业股份 (00358)涨3.8%，报46.94港元。 高盛此前指出，继2025年金属市场反弹后，多数大宗商品在2026年初延续了强劲而波动的走势。该行认 为，投资者持续的资产配置调整可能使部分金属(如铜)价格长期处于高位，形成结构性溢价。在宏观与 地缘风险上升的驱动下，投资者分散配置硬资产的意愿已成为本轮商品行情的关键推动力。 花旗发布研报称，短期内看好铜价，预计未来三个月将触及每吨14,000美元。虽然价格走势难以准确判 断，但认为短期内风险回报偏向看涨，料投资者将趁低吸纳，加上春节后中国供应链补充库存，为铜价 走势提供支撑。花旗认为，铜价下行风险有限，相反看好上行风险，原因是市场对铜价周期性增长持乐 观态度，又因去美元化、货币贬值及资源安全等因素，使其建立更多对实物资产持仓。此外，潜在的供 应进一步受阻亦构成上涨因素。 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market has rebounded, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 27,081.91 points, up 2.53% or 668.56 points, and a total trading volume of 172.96 billion HKD [1] - The technology sector is experiencing increased scrutiny and differentiation, with domestic technology valuations remaining relatively low compared to the U.S. [1] Blue-Chip Performance - Zijin Mining (02899) saw a significant increase of 5.35%, closing at 44.95 HKD, contributing 22.03 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip stocks include Meituan-W (03690) up 5.26%, SMIC (00981) up 5.02%, while New Oriental Energy (02688) and Chow Tai Fook (01929) experienced slight declines [2] Sector Highlights - Large technology stocks showed a strong recovery, with Meituan-W rising over 5% and other major players like JD, Alibaba, Xiaomi, and Baidu increasing by over 3% [3] - The precious metals sector, particularly gold and copper, performed well, with Zijin Gold International (02099) rising 6.82% [5] - The AI sector is expected to see significant advancements, with Alibaba Cloud launching a new model at competitive pricing, indicating a potential shift in the global AI landscape by 2026 [4] Lithium and Battery Sector - The lithium and battery sectors are experiencing strong growth, with companies like Ruipu Lanjun (00666) increasing by 15.42% and CATL (03750) up 3.14% [7] - UBS has raised its price forecasts for lithium products, indicating a third super cycle for lithium prices and predicting a significant increase in China's market share in the global electric vehicle sector by 2030 [8] Optical Communication Sector - The optical communication sector is seeing notable gains, with companies like Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869) rising 14.43% due to strong production and demand for high-speed optical modules [6]

Core Viewpoint - The transfer of exploration rights for the Huahonggou Iron Mine to Wukuang Century Mining (Benxi) Co., Ltd. has been completed, marking a significant investment in the mining sector in Liaoning Province, with a total investment plan of 11 billion yuan for the project [1][2]. Group 1 - The exploration rights for the Huahonggou Iron Mine were transferred for a record price of 2.355 billion yuan, setting a new benchmark in Liaoning's exploration rights transfer history [1]. - Wukuang Century Mining, a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Minmetals Mining Holdings Co., Ltd., is established to ensure professional and efficient management of the Huahonggou Iron Mine project [1]. - The project aims to implement advanced mining techniques, including underground filling methods, to enhance resource conservation and environmental protection [2]. Group 2 - The total planned investment for the Huahonggou Iron Mine project is 11 billion yuan, with a construction period of 9 years [2]. - Upon completion, the mine is expected to produce 15 million tons of iron ore annually, with a maximum capacity of 20 million tons, significantly contributing to the stability and competitiveness of the regional steel supply chain [2]. - The project is positioned as a key initiative for the green transformation and high-quality development of the mining economy in Benxi City and Liaoning Province, supporting the establishment of a national iron ore base [2].

Core Insights - The refined copper industry in China is experiencing steady development driven by policies promoting clean production, recycling, and industrial upgrades, transitioning towards safety, green practices, and high-end development [1][5][6] - The industry is characterized by a supply-demand gap, with production expected to reach 14.72 million tons and demand at 17.66 million tons by 2025, indicating a narrowing but still existing supply-demand imbalance [1][8][9] - Future trends in the industry will focus on raw material restructuring, technological upgrades, and optimization of the industrial landscape to achieve high-quality development [1][10][12] Industry Overview - Refined copper is a high-purity copper product obtained through various refining processes, essential for electrification and the new energy era [1][3] - The industry is segmented based on refining processes, product forms, and raw material sources, including primary and recycled copper [3][4] Policy Analysis - China's refined copper industry is heavily influenced by a comprehensive policy framework aimed at green transformation, recycling, and industrial upgrades, with multiple initiatives launched to support these goals [5][6] Industry Chain Analysis - The upstream segment focuses on copper ore mining and scrap copper recycling, with a high dependency on foreign copper ore resources exceeding 78% [6][8] - The midstream sector, while globally leading in smelting capacity, faces profit pressures due to international processing fees and raw material costs [6][8] - The downstream demand is characterized by traditional sectors stabilizing and emerging sectors driving growth, with the power industry being the largest consumer [7][8] Current Development Status - China's refined copper production is projected to reach 14.72 million tons by 2025, marking a 10.4% increase, maintaining its position as the world's largest producer [8] - The demand for refined copper is expected to grow to approximately 17.66 million tons by 2025, with emerging sectors like new energy and AI data centers becoming key growth drivers [8][9] Price Trends - Global refined copper prices have remained high, with LME copper futures rising from $8,801 per ton at the beginning of 2025 to $12,496.5 per ton by year-end, reflecting a 41.99% annual increase [9] Future Development Trends - The industry will see a restructuring of raw material supply, with recycled copper becoming a core component, supported by policies promoting circular economy practices [10][11] - Technological innovation will drive the industry towards high-end transformation, focusing on low-energy smelting and high-performance copper materials [12] - The industry structure will continue to optimize, enhancing supply chain resilience and concentration, with a focus on integrating small and medium enterprises into specialized niches [13]

Group 1: Oil and Gas Sector - Oil stocks experienced a decline, with Sinopec (00386) down 3.89%, PetroChina (00857) down 3.17%, and CNOOC (00883) down 2.79%. This follows a drop in WTI crude oil futures by 2.77% to $62.84 per barrel and Brent crude by 2.71% to $67.52 per barrel [1] Group 2: Renewable Energy Sector - Solar stocks fell collectively, with Xinyi Solar (00968) down 3.62% and New Special Energy (01799) down 3.61%. The rise in silver prices has increased silver paste costs, impacting the battery and component sectors [1] Group 3: Precious Metals Sector - Lao Poo Gold (06181) saw a nearly 5% drop. Bank of America Securities reported that the company is expected to benefit from rising gold prices, with a projected revenue increase of 165% year-on-year for the second half of last year [1] Group 4: Pharmaceuticals - Zai Lab (09688) rose by 7% after its injection drug ZL-1310 was proposed for breakthrough therapy designation for extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC), showing promising early clinical data [2] Group 5: Precision Manufacturing - China High Precision (00591) fell over 18% after issuing a profit warning, expecting a profit of approximately RMB 2.5 million to RMB 4.5 million for the six months ending December 31, 2025, due to project delays in the oil and petrochemical sectors [2] Group 6: Non-Ferrous Metals - Non-ferrous stocks faced significant declines, with China Nonferrous Mining (01258) down 5.08% and Zijin Mining (02899) down 5.29%. This is attributed to a "de-risking" sentiment in global financial markets, leading to a sell-off in precious metals [3] Group 7: Biotechnology - Xiansheng Pharmaceutical (02096) increased over 4.4% after announcing a licensing agreement with AbbVie for the investigational drug SIM0500, which includes upfront payments and potential milestone payments totaling up to $1.055 billion [3] Group 8: Gaming Sector - Gaming stocks declined, with Melco International Development (00200) down 6.21%. Wynn Macau reported a 7% year-on-year drop in EBITDA for Q4 2025, which was below market expectations [4] Group 9: Oilfield Services - Anton Oilfield Services (03337) rose over 9% after announcing a profit forecast of approximately RMB 360 million to RMB 380 million for 2025, representing a significant year-on-year increase of 48.4% to 56.6% [4] Group 10: U.S. Market Movements - Arko Petroleum (APC.US) opened with a 2.5% decline after its market debut. The company delivered 1.5 billion gallons of fuel in the nine months ending September 30, 2025 [5] - Albemarle (ALB.US) fell 9.41% despite a 16% year-on-year increase in Q4 sales to $1.4 billion, reporting a net loss of $414 million [5] - Boeing (BA.US) rose 1.31% as it plans to increase the monthly production of its 737 series aircraft to 63 units in the coming years [5] Group 11: Technology Sector - Cisco (CSCO.US) dropped 12.32% as it projected a decline in adjusted gross margin for Q3, indicating a worsening trend compared to previous quarters [7] - Storage stocks saw gains, with SanDisk (SNDK.US) up 5.16% and Western Digital (WDC.US) up 3.78% [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant decline in the prices of non-ferrous metal stocks, driven by a global "de-risking" sentiment in financial markets, leading to a sell-off in precious metals [1] - Specific stock performances include China Nonferrous Mining (01258) down 5.27% to HKD 14.91, Zijin Mining (02899) down 4.98% to HKD 42.78, Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) down 4.71% to HKD 22.24, and Minmetals Resources (01208) down 4.54% to HKD 9.89 [1] - The article notes that the recent drop in metal prices is characterized by algorithmic trading and systematic strategies, particularly a "momentum deleveraging" triggered by programmatic trend funds reducing positions after key price levels were breached [1] Group 2 - According to Dongfang Securities, the previous liquidity shock has been largely absorbed, and the pricing of various metals is expected to return to fundamentals [1] - In the industrial metals sector, despite short-term setbacks in easing narratives, the overall direction remains towards interest rate cuts, with copper and aluminum inventories still accumulating but at a slowing pace [1] - The article indicates that as prices adjust in the short term, downstream acceptance is improving, and overall supply-demand dynamics for certain metals are expected to continue performing well [1]

Core Insights - The acquisition of the Bamba copper mine by China Minmetals Corporation is viewed as a strategic foresight that has paid off significantly over the years, turning a controversial investment into a successful case study [2][17] - The investment has generated substantial returns, with reports indicating that China Minmetals has earned 200 billion RMB (approximately 28.5 billion USD) over ten years, and the company's market value has surged by 700 billion RMB (approximately 99.8 billion USD) [1][17] Group 1: Investment Context - Over a decade ago, during a downturn in global copper prices, China Minmetals and CITIC executed a surprising acquisition of the Bamba copper mine for 7 billion USD, which was initially criticized as a gamble [1][9] - At that time, China was the world's largest copper consumer, yet domestic copper resource reserves were limited, with a self-sufficiency rate below 25% [1][9] Group 2: Strategic Importance - The Bamba mine is located in a prime area of Peru, with proven reserves exceeding 10 million tons and a rare copper grade, along with by-products like molybdenum and silver [4][9] - The mine's operation is expected to produce over 3 million tons of copper by 2025, directly supplying high-end manufacturing in China [10][12] Group 3: Operational Strategy - China Minmetals has adopted a collaborative approach in managing the Bamba project, focusing on community engagement and local development, which has improved the company's reputation and governance in the region [6][12] - The company has established a comprehensive operational model that integrates investment, construction, operation, management, and community development, moving beyond traditional mining practices [8][12] Group 4: Broader Implications - The rising global copper prices, driven by the demand for green energy and electric vehicles, have positioned copper as a critical resource, making the Bamba investment a cornerstone of China's resource security strategy [9][17] - The project has also facilitated the export of Chinese machinery and equipment, contributing to local economies and enhancing China's industrial security [12][15] Group 5: Future Outlook - Despite the success, challenges remain, including political instability in Peru and potential disruptions from local protests, necessitating ongoing community cooperation and political engagement [12][14] - The investment in Bamba is seen as a model for future Chinese overseas ventures, emphasizing the importance of strategic foresight and long-term planning in resource acquisition [15][17]

Group 1 - The article highlights a significant decline in the prices of various metal stocks, with Tianqi Lithium Industries (09696) dropping by 12.73% to HKD 43.2, and other companies like Minmetals Resources (01208) and Jiangxi Copper (00358) also experiencing notable losses [1][1][1] - On February 5, the international precious metals market saw a downturn, with spot gold falling below USD 4,800 per ounce and spot silver experiencing a drop of 15%, falling below USD 75 [1][1][1] - The domestic commodity futures market reflected this trend, with lithium carbonate futures hitting a daily limit down and copper futures dropping nearly 4% [1][1][1] Group 2 - According to a report from Guotai Junan Securities, the gold and silver markets are expected to become increasingly volatile, influenced by long-term dollar credit dynamics and shifting asset preferences [1][1][1] - The report suggests that the frequency of global black swan events is leading to a temporary reduction in risk appetite, while rising inflationary pressures in the U.S. are tightening expectations for interest rate cuts [1][1][1] - The potential for a confluence of these factors may lead to significant historical volatility in gold and silver, which could also affect other major asset classes [1][1][1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market's non-ferrous metal sector experienced significant declines, with Tianqi Lithium Industries (09696.HK) dropping over 10% [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) and Minmetals Resources (01208.HK) both fell by more than 5% [1] - Other companies such as Jiangxi Copper (00358.HK), Luoyang Molybdenum (03993.HK), and Zijin Mining International (02259.HK) also saw declines [1]