Core Viewpoint - The surge in insurance stocks is attributed to the recent adjustment in the predetermined interest rates for insurance products, which is expected to mitigate the risk of interest spread losses for insurance companies [2][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - Insurance stocks experienced a significant rally, with the Hong Kong insurance sector rising over 4%, and China Life's H-shares increasing nearly 6% [1][4]. - In the A-share market, New China Life and China Pacific Insurance also saw substantial gains, contributing to the overall surge in the sector [1][3]. - Various insurance-related warrants, such as Ping An's warrants, achieved a doubling in value within a single day [1][4]. Group 2: Interest Rate Adjustments - The China Insurance Industry Association announced a new predetermined interest rate of 1.99%, which is below the previous 2.25% threshold, triggering adjustments in life insurance product rates [1][6]. - The maximum predetermined interest rates for different insurance products have been set at 2.0% for ordinary insurance, 1.75% for participating insurance, and 1.0% for universal insurance, effective from August 31, 2025 [7][10]. Group 3: Implications for the Insurance Sector - Analysts believe that the adjustment in predetermined interest rates is a significant positive development for insurance stocks, as it helps to prevent potential interest spread losses [2][8]. - The reduction in interest rates is expected to enhance the competitiveness of participating insurance products compared to traditional savings deposits and other investment vehicles [10][11]. - The shift towards participating insurance is anticipated to occur as a response to the large volume of savings deposits maturing, with insurance companies likely to benefit from this transition [11][12].

恒生指数日内上涨1% 中国人寿涨超6%创下近10年新高 智通财经7月28日电，港股高开高走，恒生指数日内上涨1%至25644.83点。金融全线走强，中国人寿涨 超6%创下近10年新高；友邦保险涨超5%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the insurance sector [2]. Core Insights - The PCE-ROCE valuation system is introduced to better reflect the true value of insurance companies under new standards, addressing the limitations of the traditional P/EV system [6][47]. - The report identifies that companies like China Pacific Insurance and China Life Insurance are significantly undervalued in the A-share market, while in the H-share market, China Pacific, China Life, and Sunshine Insurance are also notably undervalued [6][6]. - The insurance sector is characterized by dual benefits: companies possess dividend advantages, and leading firms like Ping An have strategically invested in high-dividend assets, which positively impacts their performance [6]. Summary by Sections 1. Introduction - The P/EV valuation system is under scrutiny due to a prolonged low interest rate environment, leading to a decline in the valuation levels of listed insurance companies [16][16]. - As of July 23, 2025, major insurance companies are trading at historical low P/EV ratios, indicating a potential valuation trap [16][16]. 2. PCE-ROCE Valuation System - The PCE-ROCE system incorporates comprehensive equity (CE) and return on comprehensive equity (ROCE) to provide a more accurate valuation framework [47][48]. - The system aims to mitigate the volatility associated with traditional valuation methods by integrating net assets and contract service margins [6][47]. 3. Comparison with PIEV - The PCE-ROCE system is deemed more effective in reflecting the true value of insurance companies in a low interest rate environment compared to the PIEV system, which relies heavily on long-term investment return assumptions [8][8]. - The report highlights that the PCE-ROCE system offers a balanced valuation approach by considering both net assets and contract service margins [8][8]. 4. Profitability Analysis of Listed Insurance Companies - The report evaluates the profitability of insurance policies under the new standards, focusing on contract service margins (CSM) and new business contract service margins (NBCSM) [8][8]. - A scoring system is established to assess the performance of listed insurance companies based on various profitability indicators, with AIA, PICC, and CPIC scoring the highest [8][8]. 5. Main Conclusions and Investment Recommendations - The report concludes that the insurance sector presents significant investment opportunities, particularly in companies that are undervalued and have strong dividend policies [6][6]. - Recommended companies for investment include New China Life, Ping An, AIA, China Life, China Pacific, and China People’s Insurance [6][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance sector [2]. Core Insights - The P/EV valuation system is facing challenges in a persistently low interest rate environment, leading to significant adjustments in risk discount rates and investment return assumptions, which have resulted in a decline in NBV and EV growth [5][9]. - The introduction of the PCE-ROCE valuation system aims to provide a more comprehensive reflection of the true value of insurance companies by incorporating comprehensive equity (CE) and return on comprehensive equity (ROCE) [31][43]. - The report identifies that A-share listed insurance companies, particularly China Pacific Insurance and China Life Insurance, are relatively undervalued according to the PCE-ROCE valuation system [5][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Introduction - The P/EV valuation system shows signs of "failure" as the valuation levels for A-share listed insurance companies continue to decline, with significant pressure on new business value growth due to macroeconomic factors [9][14]. 2. PCE-ROCE Valuation System Proposal - The PCE-ROCE system introduces comprehensive equity (CE) and ROCE to better reflect the value of insurance companies under new accounting standards [31][43]. - The system aims to address the limitations of the P/EV system by providing a more stable and predictable valuation framework [5][31]. 3. Comparison of Valuation Systems - The PCE-ROCE system is more effective in reflecting the true value of insurance companies in a low interest rate environment compared to the traditional P/EV system [5][31]. - The report highlights that the P/CE ratio provides a better fit and reflects the comprehensive value of insurance companies compared to P/B and P/EV ratios [5][31]. 4. Analysis of Insurance Companies' Policy Profitability - The report establishes a profitability evaluation system for listed insurance companies based on CSM and NBCSM, identifying key performance indicators to assess profitability [5][31]. - The scoring system ranks companies based on their CSM performance, with AIA, PICC, and CPIC scoring the highest [5][31]. 5. Main Conclusions and Investment Recommendations - The report concludes that several A-share and H-share listed insurance companies are undervalued, suggesting a focus on companies like New China Life, Ping An, AIA, China Life, CPIC, and PICC for potential investment opportunities [5][29].

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF (513750) has reached a record size of 10.364 billion yuan as of July 24, 2025, marking a year-to-date growth of 1213.56% [1] - The ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past 17 days, with a total of 4.966 billion yuan in net inflows, and 5.897 billion yuan over the past month [1] - The ETF has achieved a 52.78% increase since its low point on April 10, 2025, and has a one-year net value increase of 90.63%, ranking in the top 1.36% among 2940 index stock funds [2] Fund Performance - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF recorded a trading volume of 2.158 billion yuan on July 24, 2025, with a turnover rate of 22.14%, indicating active market participation [2] - The ETF has a maximum monthly return of 31.47% since its inception, with the longest consecutive monthly gain being 4 months and an average monthly return of 7.04% [2] - The ETF closely tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial Theme Index, which includes up to 50 listed companies that meet the non-bank financial theme criteria [2] Sector Analysis - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial Theme Index account for 77.92% of the index, with major holdings including China Ping An, AIA, and Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing [3] - Market sentiment has improved in Q2 2025, leading to an increase in the non-bank sector's weight, with expectations for both fundamental and valuation improvements [3] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from a stable interest rate environment and improved investment returns, which could enhance profitability [4]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market opened with the Hang Seng Index down by 0.53% and the Tech Index down by 0.51% [1] - AIA Group Limited (01299.HK) experienced a decline of approximately 2% [1] - Bilibili Inc. (09626.HK) saw a drop of over 2% [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index opened down 0.53% and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.51% [1] - OSL Group's shares dropped by 10% as the company plans to raise approximately HKD 23.55 billion for strategic acquisitions and stablecoin business [1] - AIA Group's shares decreased by about 2%, while Bilibili's shares fell by over 2% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of a regular communication mechanism between relevant authorities and the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) aims to support the capital market in Shenzhen's comprehensive reform, with expectations for a series of reforms, including the return of companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Shenzhen authorities have enhanced communication with various ministries since the issuance of the "Opinions on Deepening the Reform and Innovation of Shenzhen's Comprehensive Reform Pilot" [2] - The market anticipates that the return of companies from the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange will provide more investment opportunities for investors and contribute to the growth of the A-share market [2][3] Group 2: Eligible Companies - There are over 250 companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that are registered in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, with 30 already listed on the A-share market and 220 yet to return [3] - Among the 220 companies, the top three by market capitalization are AIA Group (737.19 billion HKD), Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (548.47 billion HKD), and Bank of China (Hong Kong) (379.03 billion HKD) [3] Group 3: Regulatory Framework - The National Development and Reform Commission has indicated support for eligible Hong Kong-listed companies to issue depositary receipts on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, clarifying the path for different types of Hong Kong companies to return to A-shares [3][4] - The current rules require that red-chip companies seeking secondary listings on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange must have a market capitalization of at least 200 billion CNY and possess strong technological innovation capabilities [5][6] Group 4: Economic Implications - The return of Hong Kong-listed companies to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange is expected to enrich the industry matrix and enhance the valuation system of the A-share market, potentially attracting international capital [6][7] - The dual listing on both the Shenzhen and Hong Kong exchanges may facilitate the return of offshore RMB, thereby promoting the internationalization of the RMB and enhancing cross-border capital flow [7]

Core Viewpoint - The life insurance industry has experienced significant disparities in performance over the past 16 years, with only a small number of companies successfully distributing dividends while many others have struggled with capital increases and losses [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Life Insurance Industry Dividend Situation - From 2009 to 2024, the life insurance industry has distributed a total of 850.6 billion yuan in dividends, with 180 instances of dividend distribution [7]. - The cumulative capital increase in the life insurance industry during the same period reached 587.7 billion yuan, with 366 instances of capital increase [9]. - The total profit accumulated by the industry over 16 years is 1,989.9 billion yuan, with a peak profit of 320.1 billion yuan in 2024 [10][13]. Company Performance Analysis - Out of 87 companies that have increased capital, only 27 have distributed dividends, indicating a significant divide in performance [14][15]. - The 27 companies that have distributed dividends have a cumulative profit of 2,046.4 billion yuan, while the remaining 62 companies have accumulated losses of 56.6 billion yuan [17]. - The 62 companies that have never distributed dividends accounted for 72% of the total capital increases, totaling 342.3 billion yuan [2][16]. Dividend Distribution Rankings - The top 10 companies in terms of cumulative dividends from 2009 to 2024 include Ping An Life, China Life, and Taiping Life, all of which have distributed dividends exceeding their cumulative shareholder investments [20]. - Notably, 11 companies, including the top three, have also surpassed their cumulative shareholder investments in terms of dividend payouts [20]. - In 2024, three companies made their first dividend distributions: Ping An Health, PICC Health, and Agricultural Bank Life [20].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trend of stock buybacks among Hong Kong-listed companies, particularly in light of the new inventory stock mechanism introduced by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which allows companies to hold repurchased shares as inventory rather than mandatorily canceling them [2][3]. Group 1: Stock Buyback Trends - As of July 21, 2024, a total of 209 companies have repurchased their shares, with a cumulative buyback amount of 1,034.28 million HKD [2]. - In 2024, 279 Hong Kong-listed companies engaged in stock buybacks, totaling 2,655.13 million HKD [2]. - Despite a decrease in buyback activity in the recovering market, the total buyback amount remains above 1,000 million HKD this year [2]. Group 2: Regulatory Changes - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange revised its listing rules in April 2023, introducing a new inventory stock mechanism that allows companies to hold repurchased shares as inventory, enhancing buyback efficiency [2][3]. - This regulatory change is expected to increase the willingness of companies to repurchase shares, with estimates suggesting that buyback amounts in the second half of 2024 will remain around 1,000 million HKD [3]. Group 3: Major Players in Buybacks - Leading companies such as Tencent Holdings, HSBC Holdings, and AIA Group have been significant participants in stock buybacks, with Tencent leading at 400.43 million HKD in buybacks this year [3]. - Tencent has announced plans to repurchase at least 800 million HKD worth of shares in 2025, continuing its trend of substantial buybacks [3]. Group 4: Market Impact - Stock buybacks signal management's confidence in the company's future, helping to stabilize investor sentiment and enhance market confidence [4]. - The influx of capital from buybacks contributes to increased market liquidity and trading activity, supporting overall market stability [4].