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全文丨国联民生证券总裁葛小波:呼吁以全球化视野推动多元化交易发展
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-10-16 11:49
Core Insights - The 2025 Sustainable Global Leaders Conference was held in Shanghai from October 16 to 18, focusing on the importance of diversified trading to enhance market efficiency and prevent stock price manipulation [1] - The president of Guolian Minsheng Securities emphasized the need for wealth management and diversified trading as essential paths for the high-quality development of the securities industry [4][5] Group 1: International Investment Banking Development - The evolution of international investment banks can be divided into four stages, with wealth management becoming a major business in recent years [4] - Wealth management and asset management now account for a significant portion of the global securities industry, contrasting with the situation in China [4] Group 2: Wealth Management Insights - Buy-side advisory income constitutes over 50% of total wealth management income, highlighting a core change in international investment banking over the past decade [5] - The correlation between stocks and bonds has increased to nearly 50%, affecting trading strategies and leading to a rise in alternative investments, which have grown over tenfold in the past 24 years [5][6] Group 3: Gaps in Domestic Investment Banking - There is a significant gap in wealth management capabilities and services in domestic investment banks compared to international standards, particularly in buy-side advisory [6] - The average level of buy-side advisory in the domestic industry is around 3%, indicating a substantial shortfall [6] - Trust between financial institutions and clients remains underdeveloped, impacting service efficiency and cost [6] Group 4: Wealth Management Demand - The demand for wealth management is increasing as the risk landscape for residents changes, with total household wealth in China estimated at around 600 trillion RMB [7][8] - The transformation of wealth management should focus on buy-side advisory as a key direction, emphasizing risk-return balance and long-term client relationships [8] Group 5: Diversified Trading and Market Efficiency - Diversified trading can significantly enhance market efficiency, which is supported by numerous scientific studies [9] - The fairness of capital markets should focus on the equitable access to information and trading opportunities rather than equalizing outcomes among participants [9] - Multi-strategy trading has positive spillover effects on society, with examples of contributions from AI firms like DeepSeek and XTY Labs [9]
骄成超声:10月14日接受机构调研,国联民生证券、天治基金等多家机构参与
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-16 09:41
Core Viewpoint - The company, Jiao Cheng Ultrasonic (688392), is actively advancing its product offerings in the semiconductor advanced packaging sector, focusing on ultrasonic solutions and establishing significant partnerships with well-known enterprises in the industry [1][3]. Group 1: Product Development and Market Position - The company has developed a comprehensive range of ultrasonic solutions for power semiconductors, including ultrasonic terminal welding machines and ultrasonic bonding machines, which have achieved mass production [1]. - In the advanced packaging field, the company is promoting new products such as advanced ultrasonic scanning microscopes and ultrasonic die bonders, successfully securing formal orders from reputable domestic clients [1][3]. - The company is also making strides in the IC packaging sector, focusing on high-end ultrasonic die bonders and ball bonding machines to break the long-standing monopoly of foreign manufacturers [3][4]. Group 2: Technology Advantages - Ultrasonic detection technology offers significant advantages over optical and X-ray detection methods, particularly in its ability to penetrate materials and quantify internal interface defects without causing damage [2]. - The ultrasonic bonding technology enhances the reliability and efficiency of packaging processes by utilizing ultrasonic energy to facilitate atomic diffusion at the interface, resulting in stronger metal bonds compared to traditional methods [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a main revenue of 323 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 58.04 million yuan, reflecting a substantial year-on-year growth of 1005.12% [6]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw a main revenue of 175 million yuan, up 42.46% year-on-year, with a net profit of 34.40 million yuan, marking a significant increase of 718.65% [6]. Group 4: Client Base and Industry Applications - In the wire harness connector sector, the company's ultrasonic welding machines are utilized in applications such as new energy vehicles and charging stations, collaborating with notable clients like BYD and Amphenol [5]. - The company is also expanding its product offerings in the medical field, having obtained five registration certificates for ultrasonic dental medical devices, with plans for further development in mid-to-high-end applications [6].
国联民生证券总裁葛小波出席2025可持续全球领导者大会
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-10-16 08:26
专题:2025可持续全球领导者大会&首届绿色产业与可持续消费博览会 责任编辑:江钰涵 2025可持续全球领导者大会由世界绿色设计组织(WGDO)与新浪集团联合主办,国际财务报告准则 基金会(IFRS Foundation)北京办公室协办,新浪财经与世界绿色设计组织北京代表处承办,上海市黄 浦区人民政府支持。大会以"携手应对挑战:全球行动、创新与可持续增长"为核心主题,汇聚全球智慧 力量,共探可持续发展新路径,为全球可持续治理注入澎湃的"中国动能"。 本届可持续大会在以往四届"ESG全球领导者大会"的基础上进一步升级!嘉宾阵容强大,可持续大会组 委会邀请约500位中外重磅嘉宾,其中约100位为海外嘉宾,不仅有政要、前政要、国际组织的代表,还 包括了诺贝尔奖得主、图灵奖得主、全球500强企业负责人等国际顶尖学者与业界领军代表。 国联民生证券总裁葛小波出席2025可持续全球领导者大会并做主题演讲。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 2025可持续全球领导者大会于10月16日-18日在上海市黄浦区世博园区召开。 ...
国联民生:拟于10月31日披露2025年第三季度报告
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-16 08:22
Core Viewpoint - The company, Guolian Minsheng (601456.SH), is set to disclose its Q3 2025 financial report on October 31, indicating a focus on maintaining positive growth compared to Q2 [1] Group 1 - An investor inquired about the quarter-on-quarter growth for Q3 compared to Q2 [1] - The company confirmed the upcoming release of its Q3 report, encouraging stakeholders to pay attention to future regular reports [1]
知了问账科普:无锡国联民生证券:中小企融资福音,税务合规先补这堂课
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-16 08:05
Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between Wuxi High-tech Zone and Guolian Minsheng Securities aims to provide comprehensive financial support for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), particularly in the technology and aerospace sectors, addressing their unique financing challenges and tax compliance issues [1]. Group 1: Financing Support for SMEs - The "Investment-Loan Linkage + Inclusive Finance" service is designed to support SMEs with light assets and lack of collateral, offering a full range of support from equity financing to loan guarantees [1]. - A "green channel" for approval is available for enterprises with good tax credit ratings, facilitating easier access to financing [1]. Group 2: Tax Compliance Challenges - The "Tax-Bank Interaction" model links tax credit ratings directly to financing limits, with many SMEs struggling to maintain their credit ratings due to tax compliance issues [3]. - A specific case highlighted that a small aerospace parts company saw its loan limit drop from 2 million to 800,000 due to previous overdue VAT filings, resulting in a credit rating downgrade [3]. Group 3: R&D Subsidy and Tax Overpayment - SMEs often misclassify R&D subsidies, leading to unnecessary tax payments; for instance, a company that received 1.5 million yuan in R&D subsidies incorrectly classified it as taxable income, resulting in an overpayment of 375,000 yuan [4]. - Common errors in R&D expense accounting can lead to tax adjustments and affect financing assessments, as seen in a case where a company was required to adjust three years of tax due to improper expense categorization [4]. Group 4: Equity Financing and Tax Risks - Equity financing from Guolian Minsheng Securities is crucial for startups, but tax issues related to equity changes are often overlooked [5]. - A startup that awarded 20% equity to key personnel failed to withhold individual income tax, leading to penalties during subsequent listing preparations [5]. Group 5: Tools for Financial Management - SMEs face challenges in managing tax compliance due to limited financial personnel; digital tools like the "Zhiliaowenzhang" tax risk detection report can help identify common issues [6]. - These tools can check tax credit records, ensure compliance with R&D subsidy accounting, and clarify individual income tax obligations related to equity changes [6].
国联民生:维持药明合联“买入”评级 上调公司盈利预测
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-16 06:22
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that WuXi AppTec (药明合联) is positioned as a leading player in the global ADC CXO industry, expected to solidify its market leadership due to its advanced technology and product delivery quality amidst rapid industry expansion [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.2%, with a gross profit of 980 million yuan, up 82.2% year-on-year [2]. - Adjusted net profit (excluding interest and expenses) reached 730 million yuan, reflecting a 69.6% year-on-year growth, while the net profit was 750 million yuan, a 52.7% increase [2]. - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 5.99 billion, 8.24 billion, and 10.51 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 47.7%, 37.7%, and 27.5% respectively [1]. Order Backlog and Market Position - As of the first half of 2025, the company’s unfulfilled order total reached 1.33 billion USD, a 57.9% increase year-on-year, with new contract amounts growing by 48.4% [2]. - The global ADC market is projected to reach 13.2 billion USD in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 34.0% from 2020 to 2024, and expected to grow to 66.2 billion USD by 2030 [2]. Strategic Expansion and Capital Expenditure - The company signed 37 new iCMC projects in the first half of 2025, maintaining a robust expansion of its project funnel model [3]. - For 2025, the company plans capital expenditures of 1.56 billion yuan, with significant investments in its Singapore and Wuxi bases, and total capital expenditures expected to exceed 7 billion yuan by 2029 [3].
国联民生:维持药明合联(02268)“买入”评级 上调公司盈利预测
智通财经网· 2025-10-16 06:19
Core Viewpoint - WuXi AppTec (02268) is positioned as a leading player in the ADC CXO industry, expected to solidify its market leadership through advanced technology and product delivery quality amid rapid industry expansion [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.2%, with a gross profit of 980 million yuan, up 82.2% [2]. - Adjusted net profit (excluding interest and expenses) reached 730 million yuan, reflecting a 69.6% increase year-on-year, while net profit stood at 750 million yuan, up 52.7% [2]. - The company’s revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 5.99 billion, 8.24 billion, and 10.51 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 47.7%, 37.7%, and 27.5% respectively [1]. Order Backlog and Market Position - As of H1 2025, the company’s unfulfilled order total reached 1.33 billion USD, a 57.9% increase year-on-year, with new contract amounts growing by 48.4% [2]. - The global ADC market is projected to reach 13.2 billion USD in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 34.0% from 2020 to 2024, and expected to grow to 66.2 billion USD by 2030 [2]. Strategic Expansion and Capital Expenditure - The company signed 37 new iCMC projects in H1 2025, maintaining a robust expansion trend in its project funnel model [3]. - Capital expenditures are projected at 1.56 billion yuan for 2025, with significant investments in Singapore and Wuxi bases, and total capital expenditures expected to exceed 7 billion yuan by 2029 [3].
国联民生证券:铜矿供给面临长期矿产资本开支不足 看好铜板块投资机会
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-16 03:59
Group 1 - Peru is the world's second-largest copper producer, with annual production consistently above 2.4 million tons, and holds significant mineral reserves including 12% of the world's copper reserves [1][2] - The country has seen limited new mining projects in the past five years, with only two new mines, Quellaveco and Mina Justa, coming online, reflecting a lack of capital expenditure in copper mining [2] - Peru's economy has shown resilience, recovering from a -10.9% GDP growth in 2020 due to the pandemic, with growth rates of 13.4% in 2021 and 2.7% in 2022, and a projected growth of 3.1% in 2024 [3] Group 2 - The National Infrastructure Plan (PNIC) aims to address a long-term infrastructure gap of approximately $110 billion from 2019 to 2038, with 52 priority projects totaling $28.5 billion expected to be completed by 2025 [3] - Chinese companies control two major mines in Peru, with the Toromocho project being the first large-scale copper mine developed by a Chinese enterprise overseas, expected to produce 300,000 tons of copper concentrate annually after expansion [3] - The Las Bambas project, one of the largest copper mines globally, is a joint venture involving MMG and other partners, with an expected annual production of 280,000 to 320,000 tons of copper concentrate [3]
国联民生证券总裁葛小波: 买方投顾将成为未来财富管理基石
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-10-15 18:10
Core Insights - The future of wealth management in China will be significantly influenced by the buy-side investment advisory model, supported by AI applications to enhance the transmission mechanism from headquarters to frontline and clients [1][2] Group 1: Industry Trends - China has the largest middle-class population globally, necessitating a robust wealth management business to match this demographic [1] - Wealth management and asset management are increasingly becoming a larger share of financial institutions' business, with the buy-side advisory model emerging as mainstream [1] - Currently, over 70% of retail brokerage revenue in China comes from brokerage commissions and margin financing, indicating a potential shift towards increased revenue from buy-side advisory services [1] Group 2: Current State of Wealth Management - The wealth management industry in China is in its early stages, characterized by three key developments: 1. Institutions are increasingly engaging in advisory services as a significant revenue source 2. Securities firms are transforming their organizational structures to reduce reliance on traditional brokerage services 3. There is a notable improvement in team structures, with a significant increase in advisory personnel and a decrease in brokerage staff [1] Group 3: Challenges and Recommendations - The depth of buy-side advisory services in China is currently insufficient, lacking excellent client managers and not fully leveraging long-term investment strategies [2] - The core of buy-side advisory lies in the shift from a pure agency relationship to a full discretionary relationship, requiring a fundamental change in service philosophy from product-oriented to client-oriented [2] - There is a recommendation to expand the range of investment targets for fund advisory services to enhance their effectiveness [2] Group 4: Role of Technology - AI should focus on solving core issues related to asset allocation and its transmission, ensuring that institutional capabilities are effectively communicated to frontline employees and clients [2] - Wealth management remains fundamentally a people-centric business, with technology serving as an auxiliary tool; the true essence lies in the understanding of risk, financial instruments, and compliance by client managers [2]
港股券商股小幅回暖 中国银河涨超4%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-15 02:00
Group 1 - Hong Kong brokerage stocks experienced a slight rebound on October 15, with notable increases in share prices [1] - China Galaxy Securities rose over 4%, while GF Securities increased by 2.86%, Huatai Securities by 2.34%, and Guolian Minsheng by 2.06% [1]