Introduction - The current global environment is characterized by a "chaotic period" as the old order is being disrupted and the new order is not yet clear [3][11] - The recommended asset allocation strategy is a "global barbell strategy" that is anti-fragile and based on an all-weather approach [3][11] 2025H1 Overseas Asset Market Review - The narrative of American exceptionalism is fading, facing three major challenges: the emergence of Deepseek affecting US-China tech narratives, concerns over fiscal tightening due to Musk's Doge initiative, and uncertainties from tariff policies [3][12] - Non-US assets have generally outperformed US assets in the first half of 2025 [12] Winning Probability - Global growth is expected to slow down in the second half of 2025, with the growth momentum between the US and non-US regions likely to converge [15] - Factors causing marginal changes include policy uncertainty damaging market confidence and delayed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts [24] - The overall economic headwinds for the US may ease compared to the first half of the year, but recession risks remain [44] Odds - US assets are currently overvalued compared to non-US assets, indicating asymmetric risks [5][45] - The implied risk pricing for US assets does not adequately reflect the potential for recession, suggesting a need for caution [45][46] Outlook for 2025H2: Global Asset Allocation - The global asset allocation should still follow the anti-fragile "barbell strategy," focusing on three core contradictions: de-globalization, debt cycles, and AI industry trends [72][75] - The strategy involves investing in a majority of low-risk assets while allocating a smaller portion to high-risk, high-reward assets [75] - Specific recommendations include over-allocating to Chinese government bonds and emerging markets in Southeast Asia, while maintaining a cautious stance on US equities due to potential volatility [75][88][104]

Core Insights - The National Equities Exchange and Quotations (NEEQ) has released the market maker evaluation results for Q2 2025, highlighting the performance of various securities firms in the market-making business [1][2] Group 1: Market Maker Evaluation Results - In Q2 2025, three firms, Northeast Securities, Kaiyuan Securities, and Shanghai Securities, ranked in the top 5% and received a 100% fee exemption [1][2] - Six firms, including Haitong Securities and Shenwan Hongyuan, ranked between the top 10% and 20%, receiving a 50% fee exemption [2] - Notable changes in rankings include Guangfa Securities moving from the top 10% to the top 5% and Shenwan Hongyuan entering the top 10% to 20% for the first time [2] Group 2: Industry Trends and Insights - The competition among market makers appears to be less intense, with rankings showing relative stability and some fluctuations due to short-term business variations [3] - Smaller securities firms are gaining an advantage in the NEEQ market-making space, as larger firms focus on other areas [3] - Companies like Guoyuan Securities and Guosen Securities are actively enhancing their market-making capabilities to provide liquidity for small and medium enterprises [3][4] Group 3: Evaluation Criteria and Importance - The evaluation criteria for market makers include trading scale, liquidity provision, and quote quality, with a total score of 100 points [6] - The NEEQ emphasizes the significance of the market maker system in improving market liquidity and facilitating price discovery [6] - Continuous assessment and optimization of the evaluation mechanism are planned to promote the healthy development of the market maker system [6]

Core Insights - The article highlights the launch of the "Guangfa Zhihui" service month to celebrate the third anniversary of the comprehensive service platform for institutional clients, emphasizing digital transformation as the core driver [1][2] - The platform has introduced multiple new services, including market value analysis management, investment research services, and an AI assistant, aiming to meet the comprehensive financial service needs of institutional clients throughout their lifecycle [1][2] Summary by Sections Digital Transformation and Service Upgrades - Guangfa Securities is focusing on digital transformation to enhance its comprehensive financial services, integrating various resources to build a new financial ecosystem [2] - The "Guangfa Zhihui" platform has launched over 80 functional modules and covers multiple service scenarios, including funding and investment services [2] Platform Development and User Growth - As of now, the "Guangfa Zhihui" ecosystem has attracted over 6,000 institutional clients, with a user base exceeding 50,000 [2] - The platform has established a dual-engine model with private equity and corporate versions, progressing towards a one-stop comprehensive financial service platform [2] Operational Achievements - In 2022, the platform integrated five major user systems and built a comprehensive service framework; in 2023, it deepened its layout to enhance core service capabilities [1] - By 2024, the platform achieved full-channel coverage across APP, mini-programs, PC, and API, significantly improving service and operational capabilities [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the significant disparity in underwriting fees for bond issuance, particularly highlighted by the recent case of Guangfa Bank's 35 billion yuan secondary capital bond project, where some institutions bid as low as 700 yuan for underwriting fees, raising concerns in the market [1][4][5] - Different projects exhibit vast differences in underwriting fees, with projects that are difficult to issue commanding higher fees, while those that are easier to issue or essentially non-issue have lower fees [2][17] - The underwriting fee structure is influenced by the issuer's requirements and the competitive landscape among underwriters, with top-tier institutions often willing to accept lower fees to gain market share [5][9][10] Group 2 - The underwriting fee for Guangfa Bank's bond project was notably low, with the total underwriting fee for all six winning institutions amounting to only 63,448 yuan, indicating a trend of "losing money to gain market share" among leading firms [5][6][7] - Regulatory bodies have been increasingly scrutinizing low underwriting fees, with recent guidelines prohibiting institutions from quoting fees below cost, which has led to investigations into firms that engage in such practices [12][13] - The competitive nature of the bond underwriting market has led to a situation where firms prioritize volume over profitability, often resulting in a mix of high and low fees across different projects [10][19]

Core Viewpoint - The evaluation results for market makers in the second quarter of 2025 have been released by the National Equities Exchange and Quotations (NEEQ), highlighting the performance and fee exemptions of various securities firms [1][4]. Group 1: Market Maker Rankings and Fee Exemptions - Northeast Securities, Kaiyuan Securities, and Shanghai Securities ranked in the top 5%, receiving a 100% exemption on transaction fees [2][4]. - In the top 20%, firms like GF Securities and Shenwan Hongyuan saw improvements in their rankings compared to the first quarter of this year [2][5]. - A total of 12 market makers qualified for transaction fee exemptions, with 6 firms in the 10%-20% ranking receiving a 50% exemption [4][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The rankings of market makers show limited volatility over several quarters, indicating a stable competitive landscape, although individual rankings may fluctuate due to short-term business variations [6]. - The list of ranked firms primarily includes smaller securities companies, suggesting a differentiation in competitive strategies, as larger firms tend to dominate in other areas and invest less in the New Third Board market-making business [7]. Group 3: Business Strategies and Market Positioning - Guoyuan Securities emphasized a return to core business principles in its market-making activities, aiming to enhance trading capabilities [8]. - First Capital Securities is adjusting its portfolio based on market conditions to provide liquidity for quality New Third Board companies [8]. - Caida Securities reported a modest involvement in market-making, with a small proportion of its trading assets allocated to this business [8]. Group 4: Evaluation System and Future Directions - The NEEQ's market maker evaluation system, revised multiple times, assesses firms based on various criteria, including market-making scale, liquidity provision, and quote quality [9]. - The NEEQ aims to continuously evaluate the effectiveness of this system to enhance market liquidity and promote a healthy market-making environment [9].

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 GF SECURITIES CO., LTD. 廣發証券股份有限公司 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：1776） 海外監管公告 林傳輝 董事長 中國，廣州 2025年7月16日 於本公告日期，本公司董事會成員包括執行董事林傳輝先生、秦力先生、孫曉燕 女士及肖雪生先生；非執行董事李秀林先生、尚書志先生及郭敬誼先生；獨立非 執行董事梁碩玲女士、黎文靖先生、張闖先生及王大樹先生。 证券代码：524375 证券简称：25 广发 C5 广发证券股份有限公司 2025 年面向专业投资者公开发行次级债券（第三期） 票面利率公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條刊發。 根據中華人民共和國的有關法例規定，廣發証券股份有限公司（「本公司」）在深圳 證券交易所網站( http://www.szse.cn )刊發的《廣發証券股份有限公司2025年面向專 業投資者公開發行次級 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 GF SECURITIES CO., LTD. 廣發証券股份有限公司 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：1776） 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條刊發。 董事長 中國，廣州 2025年7月16日 於本公告日期，本公司董事會成員包括執行董事林傳輝先生、秦力先生、孫曉燕 女士及肖雪生先生；非執行董事李秀林先生、尚書志先生及郭敬誼先生；獨立非 執行董事梁碩玲女士、黎文靖先生、張闖先生及王大樹先生。 广发证券股份有限公司 2025 年面向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券（第六期） 在深圳证券交易所上市的公告 根据深圳证券交易所债券上市的有关规定，广发证券股份有限公司 2025 年 面向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券（第六期）符合深圳证券交易所债券上市 条件，将于 2025 年 7 月 17 日起在深圳证券交易所上市，并面向专业投资者中的 机构投资 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 GF SECURITIES CO., LTD. 廣發証券股份有限公司 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：1776） 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條刊發。 根據中華人民共和國的有關法例規定，廣發証券股份有限公司（「本公司」）在深圳 證券交易所網站( http://www.szse.cn )刊發的《關於延長廣發証券股份有限公司2025 年面向專業投資者公開發行次級債券（第三期）簿記建檔時間的公告》。茲載列如 下，僅供參閱。 承董事會命 廣發証券股份有限公司 林傳輝 董事長 中國，廣州 2025年7月16日 於本公告日期，本公司董事會成員包括執行董事林傳輝先生、秦力先生、孫曉燕 女士及肖雪生先生；非執行董事李秀林先生、尚書志先生及郭敬誼先生；獨立非 執行董事梁碩玲女士、黎文靖先生、張闖先生及王大樹先生。 关于延长广发证券股份有限公司 2025 ...

证券代码：524375 证券简称：25 广发 C5 （本页以下无正文） 广发证券股份有限公司 2025 年面向专业投资者公开发行次级债券（第三期） 票面利率公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 广发证券股份有限公司（以下简称"发行人"）面向专业机构投资者公开发 行面值不超过 200 亿元（含）的次级公司债券已获得中国证券监督管理委员会证 监许可〔2024〕1258 号文同意注册。广发证券股份有限公司 2025 年面向专业投 资者公开发行次级债券（第三期）（以下简称"本期债券"）为前述注册批复项下 的第四期发行，计划发行规模不超过 30 亿元（含）。 2025 年 7 月 16 日，发行人和主承销商在网下向专业机构投资者进行了票面 利率询价，利率询价区间为 1.30%-2.30%。根据网下向专业机构投资者询价结果， 经发行人与簿记管理人按照有关规定，在利率询价区间内协商一致，最终确定本 期债券（债券简称："25 广发 C5"，债券代码：524375）票面利率为 1.85%。 发行人将按上述票面利率于 2025 年 7 月 17 日至 2025 年 ...

关于延长广发证券股份有限公司 2025 年面向专业投资者公开发行次级债券（第三期） 簿记建档时间的公告 发行人：广发证券股份有限公司 年 月 日 （本页无正文，为《关于延长广发证券股份有限公司 2025 年面向专业投资者公 开发行次级债券（第三期）簿记建档时间的公告》之盖章页） 广发证券股份有限公司（以下简称"发行人"）面向专业投资者公开发行不 超过人民币200亿元（含）的次级公司债券已获得中国证券监督管理委员会证监 许可〔2024〕1258号文注册。广发证券股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公 开发行次级债券（第三期）（以下简称"本期债券"）为前述注册批复项下的第 四期发行，计划发行规模不超过30亿元（含）。 根据《广发证券股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行次级债券 （第三期）发行公告》，发行人和主承销商于2025年7月16日15:00-18:00以簿记 建档的方式向网下专业机构投资者进行利率询价。 考虑到簿记建档当日市场情况，经发行人和簿记管理人协商一致，决定延长 本期债券发行时间，将簿记建档结束时间由 2025 年 7 月 16 日 18:00 延长至 2025 年 7 月 16 日 19: ...