Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [1] Core Views - Social inventory has decreased for the first time, and summer demand is expected to remain strong. Domestic power plants are increasing daily coal consumption, leading to rising coal prices. Policies to control production and improve quality are being emphasized, supporting the fundamentals of both coking coal and thermal coal [6][29] - The report highlights that the overall level of social inventory is stable, with a significant increase in daily consumption expected due to hot weather and ongoing replenishment needs at power plants. The coking coal sector may see marginal improvements in performance due to potential declines in capacity utilization driven by environmental factors [6][29] Summary by Sections Coal Sector Performance - The coal sector saw a weekly increase of 0.71%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 0.82%. A total of 34 stocks in the sector increased in price, while 3 declined. Meijin Energy had the highest weekly increase at 10.8% [2] - Key monitored enterprises reported an average daily coal sales volume of 7.21 million tons from July 4 to July 10, 2025, a week-on-week increase of 3.7% and a year-on-year increase of 2.8% [2] Price Trends - As of July 11, 2025, the price of thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim was 662 CNY/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 0.3%. The price index for imported thermal coal rose by 1.21% to 750 CNY/ton [3] - The price of coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1310 CNY/ton, up 4.8% week-on-week, while the price of metallurgical coke remained stable at 1320 CNY/ton [4] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The cumulative coal sales volume for key monitored enterprises was 131.73 million tons as of July 10, 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.8%. The demand from the power and chemical industries showed a year-on-year decrease of 3% and an increase of 16.6%, respectively [2][28] - The report indicates that the daily coal consumption in the power sector is expected to rise significantly, with the total social inventory of coal at 32.86 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 2.6% [2][28] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend thermal coal companies and coking coal companies that may experience a turnaround. Key companies to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Meijin Energy among others [6][29]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is the early stage of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [11][12] - The underlying investment logic of coal capacity shortages remains unchanged, with short-term supply-demand balance and long-term gaps still present [11][12] - Coal prices have established a bottom and are trending towards a new platform, with high profitability, cash flow, return on equity (ROE) of 10-20%, and dividend yields over 5% for quality coal companies [11][12] - The coal sector is relatively undervalued, with overall valuation expected to improve, supported by high premiums in the primary mining rights market and a price-to-book (PB) ratio around 1 for most companies [11][12] - The coal sector is expected to maintain a tight supply-demand balance over the next 3-5 years, with quality coal companies exhibiting high barriers to entry, cash flow, dividends, and yield characteristics [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of July 12, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 624 CNY/ton, an increase of 8 CNY/ton week-on-week [28] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port is 1310 CNY/ton, up 60 CNY/ton week-on-week [30] Coal Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 93.7%, down 0.3 percentage points week-on-week, while the utilization rate for coking coal mines is 85.52%, up 1.7 percentage points [11][46] - Daily coal consumption in coastal provinces increased by 6.10 thousand tons/day (+2.92%) week-on-week, while inland provinces saw a decrease of 9.50 thousand tons/day (-2.61%) [11][47] Coal Inventory Situation - As of July 10, coal inventory in coastal provinces decreased by 785 thousand tons (-2.18%) week-on-week, while inland provinces saw a slight decrease of 0.70 thousand tons (-0.01%) [11][47] Key Companies to Watch - Focus on stable and robust performers such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Coal Energy [12] - Attention to companies with significant upside potential like Yanzhou Coal Mining, China Power Investment, and Guanghui Energy [12]

Core Insights - The article highlights the revolutionary impact of the "Intelligent Control System for Coal Mining Based on Minhong" on the coal mining industry in Shanxi, marking it as a significant step towards the intelligent transformation of the sector [1][3] Group 1: Technological Innovation - The Minhong project, led by China Coal Energy Group, aims to develop intelligent mining technologies and has successfully completed industrial trials at the Daming Coal Mine [3][7] - The project addresses the fragmentation of communication protocols and the reliance on foreign operating systems, which have hindered the intelligent development of coal mining [5][9] - The Minhong system has established a new industrial IoT architecture that allows direct communication between devices, significantly improving data interaction efficiency [9][11] Group 2: Hardware Development - The Minhong project has achieved breakthroughs in the autonomy of core components, including the development of key devices such as circuit boards and control systems [11][12] - A notable innovation is the mobile driving cabin, which enables remote monitoring and operation of underground equipment, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing errors [11][12] Group 3: Software Advancements - The project has developed the Minhong operating system and various modules that allow for real-time data sharing and fault monitoring across different equipment [13][14] - The implementation of the Minhong system has led to significant improvements in monitoring capabilities, allowing for quicker fault detection and repair, thus enhancing safety in coal mining operations [13][14] Group 4: Collaborative Efforts - The collaboration between China Coal and Huawei has been crucial in the successful implementation of the Minhong project, with Huawei providing comprehensive technical support [15][16] - The partnership has set a benchmark for intelligent coal mining development in Shanxi and offers a replicable model for the national coal industry [16]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the coal industry, focusing on companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Zhongmei Energy, as well as the dynamics of the coal market in China [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments - **Rising Production Costs**: The average unit cost of thermal coal is projected to be 181 RMB in 2024, which is higher than the 80 RMB during the 13th Five-Year Plan but lower than in 2023 [1][2]. - **Cost Drivers**: Major cost increases for leading companies like China Shenhua and Shaanxi Coal are attributed to rising labor costs and other related expenses, including maintenance, safety, and special reserves [1][3]. - **Special Reserves**: The release of special reserves has been identified as an effective way to lower production costs. Companies like China Shenhua and Zhongmei Energy have successfully reduced their special reserves to enhance performance [1][5]. - **Cost Variability Among Companies**: There are significant differences in cost changes among coal companies. For instance, Shaanxi Coal's costs increased mainly due to depreciation and labor costs, while Zhongmei Energy managed to dilute production costs through new efficient capacity [1][3][6][7]. - **Resource Tax Impact**: The increase in resource tax rates in regions like Shanxi and Inner Mongolia has raised the complete cost of coal production by at least 10 RMB per ton, putting pressure on profitability [1][12]. - **Profitability Metrics**: The profitability of the thermal coal industry is heavily influenced by selling prices. For example, at a selling price of 600 RMB per ton, the profit is approximately 50 RMB, while at 1,000 RMB, the profit increases to about 100 RMB [1][13]. Additional Important Insights - **Cost Composition**: The complete cost in the coal industry consists of production costs, taxes, and additional expenses, with resource tax accounting for 80-90% of the tax component [2][4]. - **Performance of Different Companies**: In 2024, Shaanxi Coal had the highest net profit per ton at 208 RMB, while China Shenhua had a lower net profit of 128 RMB, indicating differences in cost control and pricing strategies [3][14]. - **Market Sentiment**: Current thermal coal prices are around 620 RMB, which is slightly lower than the 13th Five-Year Plan period but comparable to early 2023 levels. The market shows optimism regarding future prices, particularly in the metallurgical coke sector [17][18]. - **Investment Recommendations**: The call suggests focusing on leading companies such as Shaanxi Coal, Zhongmei Energy, and China Shenhua, which have strong competitive advantages and high dividend yields [3][18]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting the coal industry's cost dynamics, profitability, and investment opportunities.

Group 1 - The China Securities Index series includes the CSI 500, CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Small Comprehensive Index, and CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Comprehensive Index, categorized into 11 industries to reflect the overall performance of different industry securities [1][2] - The CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Small Comprehensive Energy Index has shown a 2.88% increase over the past month, a 7.73% increase over the past three months, and a 6.22% decrease year-to-date [1] - The top ten holdings in the CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Small Comprehensive Energy Index include China Coal Energy (11.12%), Jereh Oilfield Services (6.61%), Meijin Energy (4.44%), and others [1] Group 2 - The market share of the CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Small Comprehensive Energy Index is distributed as follows: Shanghai Stock Exchange 52.20%, Shenzhen Stock Exchange 24.29%, and Hong Kong Stock Exchange 23.51% [2] - The industry composition of the index shows that coal accounts for 37.32%, coke for 18.96%, fuel refining for 12.62%, oil and gas extraction for 12.35%, and oilfield services for 9.14% [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the China Hong Kong 300 Resource Index, which has shown a 2.39% increase over the past month, a 22.23% increase over the past three months, and a 9.29% increase year-to-date [1] - The index is composed of securities from various industry themes such as banking, transportation, resources, infrastructure, logistics, and leisure, reflecting the overall performance of different thematic listed companies in the Hong Kong market [1] - The index's top ten holdings include China National Offshore Oil (29.27%), PetroChina (13.19%), Zijin Mining (10.84%), China Shenhua Energy (9.38%), Sinopec (9.08%), China Hongqiao Group (4.51%), China Coal Energy (3.47%), Zhaojin Mining (3.08%), Luoyang Molybdenum (2.86%), and Yanzhou Coal Mining (2.39%) [1] Group 2 - The industry composition of the index shows that oil and gas account for 51.92%, precious metals for 15.97%, coal for 15.72%, industrial metals for 14.86%, rare metals for 0.91%, and other non-ferrous metals and alloys for 0.62% [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - In special circumstances, the index may undergo temporary adjustments, such as when a sample company is delisted or undergoes mergers, acquisitions, or splits [2]

Group 1 - The Invesco Great Wall CSI National New Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend ETF (520990) closed up 1.05% on July 10, with a trading volume of 163 million yuan [1] - The fund was established on June 26, 2024, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1] - As of July 9, 2024, the fund's latest share count was 4.955 billion, with a total size of 4.699 billion yuan, reflecting a year-to-date share increase of 32.27% and a size increase of 34.20% [1] Group 2 - The current fund managers are Zhang Xiaonan and Gong Lili, with Zhang managing since June 26, 2024, yielding a return of -1.91%, while Gong has managed since July 25, 2024, with a return of 10.03% [2] - The fund's top holdings include China Mobile, China Petroleum, COSCO Shipping, CNOOC, China Shenhua, Sinopec, China Telecom, China Unicom, China Coal Energy, and China Merchants Bank, with respective holding percentages [2] Group 3 - The top holdings and their respective percentages are as follows: - China Mobile: 11.04% - China Petroleum: 10.43% - COSCO Shipping: 10.25% - CNOOC: 10.01% - China Shenhua: 8.89% - Sinopec: 8.21% - China Telecom: 5.39% - China Unicom: 3.65% - China Coal Energy: 2.38% - China Merchants Bank: 2.33% [3]

Group 1 - The core index, the China Securities Hong Kong 300 Upstream Index (H300 Upstream), reported a value of 2572.51 points, with a 2.22% increase over the past month, a 25.04% increase over the past three months, and a 9.20% increase year-to-date [1] - The index reflects the overall performance of theme securities listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, selected based on the China Securities industry classification [1] - The top ten holdings of the H300 Upstream Index include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (28.81%), PetroChina Company Limited (12.85%), Zijin Mining Group (10.9%), China Shenhua Energy Company (9.29%), Sinopec Limited (8.93%), China Hongqiao Group (4.48%), China Coal Energy Company (3.4%), Zhaojin Mining Industry Company (3.06%), Luoyang Molybdenum Company (2.89%), and Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (2.35%) [1] Group 2 - The industry composition of the H300 Upstream Index shows that oil and gas account for 50.95%, precious metals for 16.02%, coal for 15.56%, industrial metals for 14.84%, oil and gas extraction and field services for 1.07%, rare metals for 0.89%, and other non-ferrous metals and alloys for 0.67% [2] - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year, with provisions for temporary adjustments in special circumstances [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal industry [10]. Core Insights - The current profitability of the coal industry is better than that before the supply-side reform in 2016, but coking coal profitability is lower than thermal coal, indicating a stronger necessity for reform [7][8]. - The "anti-involution" measures in the coal industry are expected to primarily involve production limits and capacity exits, which could raise the price baseline in a favorable demand environment. However, the current demand pressure is greater than in 2016 [6][7]. - Short-term price elasticity may be limited due to high inventory and suppressed demand, but unexpected demand improvements could lead to price rebounds [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The coal index (Yangtze) increased by 1.67%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.13 percentage points, ranking 11th out of 32 industries [21]. - As of July 4, the market price for Qinhuangdao thermal coal was 623 RMB/ton, a weekly increase of 3 RMB/ton [21]. Thermal Coal Analysis - Daily coal consumption in 25 provinces reached 573.3 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 3.3% [22]. - The inventory of power plants was 125.22 million tons, with a usable days count of 21.8 days, a decrease of 0.4 days week-on-week [22]. Coking Coal Analysis - The price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port was stable at 1230 RMB/ton as of July 4 [21]. - Coking coal inventory increased by 0.55% week-on-week, indicating a need to monitor supply recovery and seasonal demand [22][53]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include long-term stable profit leaders such as China Coal Energy, China Shenhua Energy, and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry [8]. - Growth-oriented companies include Electric Power Investment and New Hope Liuhe, while flexible growth stocks include Yanzhou Coal Mining and Huayang Co [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [10][11] - The underlying investment logic of coal capacity shortages remains unchanged, with a short-term supply-demand balance and a long-term gap still present [10] - The trend of coal prices establishing a bottom and moving to a new platform is expected to continue, with high profitability, cash flow, return on equity (ROE), and dividends from quality coal companies [10][11] - The coal sector is viewed as undervalued, with overall valuation expected to improve, supported by high premiums in the primary mining rights market and a public fund allocation that is currently underweight in coal [10][11] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of July 5, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 616 CNY/ton, a week-on-week increase of 2 CNY/ton [28] - The price for thermal coal from Shaanxi Yulin (Q6000) is 600 CNY/ton, up 5.0 CNY/ton week-on-week [28] - The international thermal coal price at Newcastle (NEWC5500) is 64.8 USD/ton, down 0.3 USD/ton week-on-week [28] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 94%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points week-on-week [46] - The capacity utilization rate for sample coking coal mines is 83.82%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points week-on-week [46] - Coastal provinces' daily coal consumption increased by 18.80 thousand tons/day (+9.90%) while inland provinces' daily consumption decreased by 0.60 thousand tons/day (-0.16%) [47] Investment Recommendations - Focus on stable and robust performance companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy [11] - Consider companies with significant rebound potential like Yanzhou Coal, Electric Power Energy, and Guanghui Energy [11] - Pay attention to high-quality metallurgical coal companies such as Huabei Mining and Pingmei Shenma [11]