Core Viewpoint - China Galaxy Securities initiates coverage on Shenzhou International (02313) with a "Buy" rating, highlighting its strong competitive advantages in R&D, supply chain management, production efficiency, and brand quality, along with deep partnerships with leading international brands [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company is a global leader in vertically integrated knit manufacturing, expecting revenue of 28.663 billion yuan in 2024, a 14.8% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 6.241 billion yuan, up 36.9% [1] - In 2024, sportswear will be the main product line, generating 19.799 billion yuan, accounting for 69.1% of total revenue [1] - The gross margin for 2024 is projected at 28.10%, an increase of 3.83 percentage points, while the net margin is expected to be 21.77%, up 3.52 percentage points [1] - The management expense ratio has been decreasing since 2021, projected at 6.76% in 2024, down 0.77 percentage points [1] - Inventory turnover days are expected to be 114 days, and accounts receivable turnover days are projected at 70 days in 2024 [1] Group 2: Global Capacity Expansion - The company is actively expanding its global production capacity to strengthen its industry leadership, with overseas factories accounting for approximately 53% of total garment output in 2023, a 7 percentage point increase year-on-year [2] - A new garment factory in Cambodia began operations in March 2025, employing around 4,000 staff [2] - A new fabric factory in Vietnam is progressing well, expected to start production by the end of 2025, with a planned capacity of 200 tons per day [2] Group 3: Supply Chain Integration - The company employs a vertically integrated supply chain model that covers the entire industry chain from raw material procurement to finished product delivery, enhancing efficiency through deep integration of production processes [3] - The procurement process incorporates multiple core departments to ensure efficient supply chain management and stable development [3] - The company promotes nearshore and localized procurement to enhance the responsiveness of raw material sourcing, ensuring quick order production and delivery [3] Group 4: Client Relationships - The company has a strong client base in the sports and leisure apparel sector, with major clients like NIKE, ADIDAS, UNIQLO, and PUMA contributing 80.7% of total revenue in 2024 [4] - The company has been expanding its client portfolio by partnering with new brands such as lululemon and Lacoste [4] - Through a dedicated factory model and collaborative R&D, the company provides a comprehensive ODM "one-stop" service that integrates fabric development and garment manufacturing [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Anta Sports, Li Ning, and others, while recommending "Add" for Chow Tai Fook and Chao Hong Ji [5][11]. Core Insights - Inditex, the parent company of Zara, reported a stable performance for FY2025H1, with revenue growth of 1.6% year-on-year to €18.4 billion, and a net profit increase of 0.8% to €2.8 billion [1][16]. - The report highlights the resilience of the sportswear segment, which is expected to outperform the overall apparel market, with a healthy inventory turnover ratio of 4-5 [3][22]. - Long-term growth strategies for Inditex include enhancing brand positioning, customer service, and sustainable practices, with a projected 5% increase in total sales area from 2025 to 2026 [2][21]. Summary by Sections Textile and Apparel - Inditex's FY2025H1 revenue reached €18.4 billion, with a 5.1% increase on a currency-neutral basis, and a gross margin of 58.3% [1][16]. - The company reported a healthy inventory level of €3.466 billion, up 3.1% year-on-year, indicating strong inventory management [1][18]. Sportswear Segment - The sportswear sector is expected to show robust growth, with key companies like Anta Sports and Li Ning recommended for their strong performance and growth potential [25][38]. - The report notes that the sportswear segment's revenue for H1 2025 increased by 9.1% to ¥65.9 billion, with a net profit growth of 8.2% to ¥10.54 billion [34]. Jewelry Sector - The jewelry market is facing challenges, with gold jewelry consumption down 27% and 24% in Q1 and Q2 2025, respectively [37]. - Companies with strong product differentiation and brand power, such as Chow Tai Fook and Chao Hong Ji, are expected to outperform the industry [23][38]. Manufacturing Sector - The textile manufacturing sector is experiencing a shift due to new tariff policies, with companies like Shenzhou International recommended for their stable performance and valuation [24][38]. - The report indicates that the manufacturing segment's revenue grew by 2.7% in H1 2025, while net profit declined by 9.8% [10][36].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the textile and apparel industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that Chaohongji plans to go public in Hong Kong, and Xuezhongfei has proposed a strategic initiative of "brand enhancement and innovative breakthroughs" [1][6]. - The jewelry business of Chaohongji achieved a revenue of 392.4 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 21.2%, while the handbag business saw a decline of 17.4% [17][18]. - The report notes a significant increase in same-store sales for Chaohongji's jewelry business, with self-operated stores growing by 26.5% and franchise stores by 32.0% in the first half of 2025 [18]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The textile and apparel sector saw a decline of 0.26% this week, while the light industry manufacturing sector fell by 0.58%. The SW textile and apparel sector outperformed the market by 0.19 percentage points [19]. - The SW textile manufacturing sub-sector increased by 0.76%, and the SW apparel and home textile sub-sector rose by 0.66% [19]. Company Performance - The report lists the top five companies in the textile and apparel sector by weekly performance: Taimushi (+61.05%), Hongdou (+26.14%), Baoxini (+22.51%), Xingye Technology (+19.90%), and Xinhua Jin (+10.39%) [28]. - Conversely, the bottom five performers included Mankalon (-10.80%), Laishen Tongling (-8.78%), Meibang Apparel (-7.48%), Mingpai Jewelry (-7.35%), and Dia Shares (-7.05%) [28]. Industry Data Tracking - The report provides insights into raw material prices, noting that the cotton price index was 15,283 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2% [33]. - For the first eight months of 2025, China's textile and apparel exports amounted to 94.513 billion and 102.761 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.6% and a decline of 1.7%, respectively [48]. - In August 2025, the domestic retail sales totaled 3.97 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.4% [55]. Industry News - Skechers has completed its privatization and delisting from the New York Stock Exchange, with a transaction price exceeding 9 billion USD [6][67]. - Xuezhongfei debuted its new ice and snow series at the China International Fashion Week, emphasizing its strategic goal to become the leading brand in China's ice and snow down jackets [68][70]. - VF Corporation announced the sale of its Dickies brand for 600 million USD to Bluestar Alliance, aligning with its strategy to focus on core outdoor brands [71][73].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that southbound funds have reduced their holdings in Shenzhou International (02313.HK) by 638,200 shares on September 19, 2025, marking a decrease of 0.68% [1][2] - Over the past five trading days, there have been three days of net reductions in holdings, totaling 350,500 shares [1][2] - In the last 20 trading days, there were 11 days of net increases in holdings, amounting to 4,557,900 shares [1][2] Group 2 - As of now, southbound funds hold 93,446,500 shares of Shenzhou International, which represents 6.2% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1][2] - Shenzhou International Group Holdings Limited primarily engages in the production and sale of knitted apparel products, utilizing a combination of OEM and ODM methods for manufacturing [2] - The company's product categories include sportswear, casual wear, underwear, and other knitted products, and it also engages in trading and property management through its subsidiaries [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market" for the textile and apparel industry [2][27]. Core Insights - In August 2025, domestic retail sales (社零) grew by 3.4% year-on-year, slightly below market expectations, with a total retail sales amounting to 3.97 trillion yuan [5][6]. - The retail sales growth for the textile and apparel sector in the first eight months of 2025 was 2.9%, with a notable increase in sports and entertainment products, which saw a growth of 20.6% [8][10]. - The online retail channel continues to outperform the overall retail market, with a year-on-year growth of 6.4% in physical goods online sales [6][10]. Summary by Sections Retail Performance - In August 2025, the year-on-year growth rates for dining and goods retail were 2.1% and 3.6%, respectively [5]. - The consumer confidence index in July 2025 was 89.0, reflecting a 1.1 point increase [5]. Channel Analysis - Online channels showed a year-on-year growth of 6.4% in physical goods, while offline channels like convenience stores and supermarkets demonstrated stable performance [6]. - For the first eight months of 2025, retail sales in convenience stores, supermarkets, department stores, specialty stores, and brand stores grew by 6.6%, 4.9%, 1.2%, 5.2%, and 1.7%, respectively [6]. Sector-Specific Insights - The jewelry sector saw a significant year-on-year growth of 16.8% in August 2025, with gold prices reaching an average of 775.92 yuan per gram, up 36.7% year-on-year [7][11]. - The textile and apparel sector's year-on-year growth was 3.1% in August 2025, with a marginal improvement compared to previous months [7][10]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on brands like 361 Degrees, with a noted increase in revenue growth among major sports brands [8][10]. - For the textile manufacturing sector, it suggests tracking the recovery of Nike, which could positively impact overall sector valuations [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the textile and apparel industry, highlighting potential investment opportunities in specific segments such as non-woven fabrics and sportswear [2][9]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector underperformed the market, with the SW textile and apparel index rising by 0.7%, lagging behind the SW All A index by 1.5 percentage points [4][6]. - Recent industry data indicates a 2.9% year-on-year increase in retail sales for clothing, shoes, and textiles, totaling 837.1 billion yuan from January to July [30]. - Exports of textiles and apparel decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, amounting to 197.27 billion USD from January to August, with a notable 5.0% decline in August alone [30][31]. Summary by Sections Textile Sector - Focus on investment opportunities in the entire non-woven fabric supply chain, with a significant weekly increase of 26% for Yanjiang Co. The production of non-woven fabrics has been declining since its peak in 2020, but the pandemic has heightened hygiene awareness, maintaining a large market scale [9][12]. - Yanjiang Co. has a global production footprint in China, Egypt, the USA, and India, with major clients including Procter & Gamble and Kimberly-Clark, contributing significantly to its revenue [9][12]. - The report recommends Nobon Co. for its growth potential in personal care and new tobacco products, highlighting its strong market position and technological capabilities [10][12]. Apparel Sector - Jiangnan Buyi reported a stable growth in its latest annual report, with a 4.6% increase in revenue to 5.55 billion yuan and a 6.0% rise in net profit to 900 million yuan for FY25 [12][19]. - The sportswear segment shows resilience, with brands like Anta and Li Ning demonstrating strong performance despite market challenges, with Anta's revenue increasing by 14% year-on-year [13][19]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand recovery in 2025, suggesting that high-quality domestic brands are poised for a turnaround [10][12]. Market Trends - The report notes a K-shaped recovery in retail, with high-end and cost-effective brands performing better. Innovations in retail formats are accelerating, with plans for significant store expansions in the coming year [13][19]. - The textile manufacturing sector is expected to benefit from favorable trade conditions, particularly for manufacturers with strong supply chain capabilities [10][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the textile and apparel industry, including Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, with respective 2025 PE ratios of 18x, 18x, and 12x [11][39]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing a shift in export dynamics due to changes in U.S. tariff policies, leading to a decline in imports from China and an increase from Southeast Asian countries [2][25]. - Major apparel manufacturers reported mixed revenue results for August 2025, with declines for companies like Yuanyuan Group and Ruo Hong, while Feng Tai showed month-on-month improvement [1][16]. - The report anticipates a recovery in orders for upstream manufacturers if the operational performance of core brands like Nike improves, particularly in the Greater China market [3][32]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The textile and apparel sector has seen a decline in U.S. imports from China, with a 23% year-on-year drop from January to July 2025, while imports from Vietnam, India, Bangladesh, and Cambodia increased by 18%, 16%, 22%, and 24% respectively [2][25]. - China's apparel exports from January to August 2025 totaled $102.8 billion, down 1.7% year-on-year, while textile yarn and fabric exports increased by 1.6% to $94.51 billion [2][25]. Company Performance - Nike's revenue for FY2025 showed significant declines across all quarters, with a drop of 10.4% in Q1 and 12.0% in Q4, but the company expects a narrowing of revenue decline in FY2026 [3][32]. - Key manufacturers like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group reported revenue growth of 15% and 10% respectively for the first half of 2025 [10][33]. Market Trends - The report highlights a cautious consumer environment, with the sports footwear segment expected to outperform the overall apparel market, maintaining a healthy inventory turnover ratio of 4-5 [3][36]. - The jewelry sector is also noted for its focus on product differentiation and brand strength, with companies like Chow Tai Fook and Chao Hong Ji recommended for their improving product and channel efficiencies [4][38]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends Shenzhou International for its low exposure to U.S. business and strong profitability, with a 2025 PE of 13x, and Huayi Group for its expanding international capacity, with a 2025 PE of 18x [38]. - In the sportswear segment, Anta Sports and Li Ning are highlighted for their robust operational capabilities, both with a 2025 PE of 18x [39].

Core Viewpoint - First Shanghai maintains a "Buy" rating for Shenzhou International (02313) with a target price of HKD 79.80, highlighting the company's strong performance despite fluctuations in the sports brand and macroeconomic environment [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue increased by 15.3% to RMB 14.97 billion, driven primarily by volume growth, while prices in USD decreased by 0.8% [2] - Gross margin declined by 1.9 percentage points to 27.1%, mainly due to increased employee compensation in the second half of the previous year [2] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders growth of 8.4% to RMB 3.18 billion, with an interim dividend of HKD 1.38, maintaining a stable payout ratio of 60% [2] Group 2: Product and Market Performance - The sports category showed stable growth, with product segments recording changes of +9.9% for sports, +37.4% for leisure, +4.1% for underwear, and +6.0% for others [3] - Growth in the sports category was primarily driven by demand in the US and European markets, while the leisure category benefited from increased demand in Japan, Europe, and other regions [3] - Regional performance showed increases of +19.9% in Europe, +35.8% in the US, +18.1% in Japan, +18.7% in other regions, and a slight decline of -2.1% in the domestic market [3] Group 3: Operational Insights - The company expects high single-digit growth in volume in the second half of the year, with an improvement in gross margin due to faster growth in sports products [4] - In terms of capacity, the company has recruited 4,000 employees in Cambodia in the first half of the year, with a total recruitment target of 6,000 for the year [4] - The acquisition of a factory in Vietnam is expected to increase daily production capacity by 200-300 tons, with minimal impact from tariffs as the company will maintain the FOB model [4]

Core Viewpoint - First Shanghai maintains a "Buy" rating for Shenzhou International (02313) with a target price of HKD 79.80, highlighting the company's strong performance despite fluctuations in the sports brand and macroeconomic environment [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company's revenue increased by 15.3% to RMB 14.97 billion, driven primarily by volume growth, while prices in USD decreased by 0.8% [1] - Gross margin declined by 1.9 percentage points to 27.1%, mainly due to increased employee compensation in the second half of the previous year [1] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders growth of 8.4% to RMB 3.18 billion, with overall revenue growth exceeding expectations [1] Group 2: Product and Market Performance - The sports category grew by 9.9%, while the leisure category saw a significant increase of 37.4%, driven by demand in the US, Europe, and Japan [2] - Regional performance showed Europe, the US, Japan, and other regions growing by 19.9%, 35.8%, 18.1%, and 18.7% respectively, while the domestic market declined by 2.1% [2] - The growth of major clients like Nike, Adidas, Uniqlo, and Puma was 6.0%, 28.2%, 27.4%, and 14.7% respectively, with their combined market share increasing by 2.7 percentage points to 82.1% [2] Group 3: Future Outlook and Capacity - The company expects high single-digit growth in volume for the second half of the year, with an improvement in gross margin due to faster growth in sports products [3] - In terms of capacity, the company has recruited 4,000 employees in Cambodia in the first half and plans to hire a total of 6,000 by year-end, while the acquisition of a factory in Vietnam will increase daily capacity by 200-300 tons [3] - Capital expenditure for the first half was RMB 1.5 billion, with an estimated total of around RMB 2.3 billion for the year [3]

Summary of Shenzhou International Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shenzhou International - **Industry**: Textile and Apparel Manufacturing Key Points and Arguments 1. **Vertical Integration Model**: Shenzhou International employs a vertical integration model that covers all production stages from fabric manufacturing to garment production, enhancing profitability and responsiveness to customer demands. The delivery cycle has been shortened to 45 days, and in some cases, even 15 days, which significantly improves supply stability, especially during crises [2][6][12] 2. **Southeast Asia Capacity Expansion**: The company has strategically expanded its production capacity in Southeast Asia to benefit from cost and tax advantages, thereby diversifying risks and ensuring stable deliveries. This move addresses rising labor costs in China and aligns with the global textile manufacturing shift towards Southeast Asia [2][8][12] 3. **Partnerships with Leading Brands**: Shenzhou International collaborates deeply with top brands like Nike and Uniqlo to co-develop innovative fabrics, which enhances product value and profitability. The partnerships focus not only on pricing but also on delivery times and quality, creating a win-win situation that accelerates revenue and profit growth [2][9][10] 4. **Financial Performance Trends**: From 2021 to 2023, the company faced challenges such as inventory buildup and pandemic-related restrictions, leading to a decline in net profit and asset turnover rates. The net profit dropped from approximately 22% to around 14%, and the asset turnover rate hit a record low [2][11] 5. **Future Outlook for 2024**: The company anticipates a recovery in profitability and asset turnover in 2024 due to industry restocking and capacity expansion. Shenzhou plans to increase its workforce and invest in new fabric factories, which will enhance overall profitability. The company does not face pressure from clients to share tariff costs, which helps maintain its competitive edge [2][12][15] 6. **Return on Equity (ROE) Analysis**: The ROE of Shenzhou International has varied over different periods, with a notable increase from 26% to 31% between 2008 and 2011 due to improved net profit margins. The company maintained a stable ROE of around 20% from 2012 to 2020, supported by strong capacity and quality client relationships [4][5][14] 7. **Challenges Faced**: The company encountered significant challenges from 2021 to 2023, including inventory pressure and operational disruptions due to the pandemic. These factors adversely affected profitability and operational efficiency [11][12] 8. **Current Financial Status**: The latest half-year report indicates significant revenue growth, although gross margins have been impacted by rising employee compensation. The company remains optimistic about continued revenue growth and potential margin recovery in the latter half of the year [15] Additional Important Insights - **Industry ROE Characteristics**: The apparel manufacturing industry exhibits significant ROE differences across various segments, with yarn production showing low profitability and turnover, while fabric production has high profitability but low turnover. Shenzhou's vertical integration allows it to achieve high profitability with lower turnover, placing it among the industry's top performers [13][14] - **Investment Confidence**: Shenzhou International's ongoing investments in capacity expansion and new facilities reflect its confidence in future growth, with a projected net profit of approximately 6.66 billion yuan for the year, corresponding to a PE ratio of about 12, indicating a safety margin in valuation [15]