FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 申洲國際集團控股有限公司 (於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) 呈交日期: 2026年1月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02313 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 300,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the textile and apparel industry as "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector has underperformed the market, with a year-to-date increase of 12%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 4.1 percentage points, ranking 18th among 31 first-level industries [4][10] - The apparel and home textile segment has seen an 11.3% increase, while the textile manufacturing segment rose by 9.6%, and the accessories segment outperformed with a 17.4% increase [4][10] - The report highlights a potential recovery in demand for textile manufacturing due to stable domestic consumption and a resilient export market, particularly in the U.S. [4][19] - The sleep economy is expanding rapidly, driven by increasing health awareness and consumer spending on sleep-related products [4][63] - The gold and jewelry sector faces short-term demand suppression due to rising gold prices, but consumer spending on gold jewelry remains strong [4][63] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector has a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 27.48, above the historical average since January 2020 [4][14] - The apparel and home textile segment has a TTM P/E ratio of 29.07, while the textile manufacturing segment stands at 23.9, and the accessories segment at 30.27, all above historical averages [4][14] Textile Manufacturing - Raw material prices are at historical lows, with cotton and synthetic fiber prices declining, while Australian wool prices have recently increased [4][19] - Domestic retail sales are showing steady growth, with apparel sales experiencing a slight recovery [4][30] - Export performance is affected by fluctuating tariffs and weak external demand, with a 4.4% year-on-year decline in apparel exports from January to November [4][43] Apparel and Home Textiles - The sleep economy is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to exceed 500 billion yuan in 2024, driven by increased consumer awareness and spending on sleep health products [4][66] - The outdoor sports market is also expanding, with a trend towards specialization and segmentation, supported by rising consumer income levels [4][63] Gold and Jewelry - Gold prices have surged over 50% this year, temporarily suppressing demand for gold jewelry, but overall consumer budgets for gold jewelry are increasing [4][63] - The report notes that consumer preferences are shifting towards lighter and more innovative gold products, with a focus on craftsmanship and cultural connections [4][63] Investment Strategy - The report recommends investing in leading companies with strong barriers in production capacity, technology, and customer relationships within the textile manufacturing sector, such as Shenzhou International and Huayi Group [4][63] - For the apparel and home textile sector, it suggests focusing on high-growth segments related to the sleep economy and outdoor sports [4][63]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [3] Core Views - The report highlights the opportunity in the paper sector due to the recent appreciation of the RMB against the USD, which enhances domestic purchasing power and reduces costs for imported raw materials like wood pulp [5][6] - The report suggests focusing on companies with high wood pulp procurement costs, such as Zhongshun Jierou, and recommends Sun Paper for its integrated advantages in cultural paper production [5][6] - The report also emphasizes the potential for improved profitability in Q4 due to stabilized and rising pulp prices, alongside the release of new production capacity [5][6] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Overview - The light industry sector includes 167 listed companies with a total market value of 1,204.38 billion CNY and a circulating market value of 954.25 billion CNY [1] Market Performance - For the week of December 22-26, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.88%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 3.53%. The light industry index gained 1.69%, ranking 16th among 28 Shenwan industries [10] - The paper sector saw a weekly increase of 4.47%, while the textile and apparel index rose by 2.86% [10] Key Company Recommendations - Sun Paper: Buy rating with projected EPS growth from 1.10 CNY in 2023 to 1.48 CNY in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 14.25 to 10.60 [3] - Baiya Co.: Buy rating with projected EPS growth from 0.54 CNY in 2023 to 1.28 CNY in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 38.94 to 16.49 [3] - Huali Group: Buy rating with projected EPS growth from 2.74 CNY in 2023 to 3.97 CNY in 2027, with a PE ratio decreasing from 19.24 to 13.27 [3] Raw Material Price Trends - The report notes fluctuations in raw material prices, with MDI and TDI prices decreasing, while cotton prices have shown an upward trend [18][22] - The average price of wood pulp and various paper products is tracked, indicating a mixed performance with some prices stabilizing and others showing slight increases [42] Housing Market Data - The report highlights a significant decline in property sales, with a 39.1% year-on-year decrease in transactions among major cities [31] - Cumulative property sales area from January to November 2025 shows a 7.8% decline year-on-year [59] Consumer Goods and AI Applications - The report discusses the potential of AI applications in consumer goods, particularly in the context of new product launches and market expansion opportunities [6] Conclusion - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the paper sector due to favorable currency movements and suggests specific companies for investment based on their cost structures and market positions [5][6]

Group 1: Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector in 2025 saw a cumulative increase of 12.02%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.08 percentage points, ranking eighteenth among thirty-one Shenwan primary industries [3][17] - The sub-sectors of textile manufacturing, apparel and home textiles, and accessories recorded cumulative increases of 9.65%, 11.31%, and 17.43% respectively [3][17] - The PE-TTM for the textile and apparel sector stands at 20.32 times, which is at the 76.86% percentile of the past five years [3][17] Group 2: Domestic Consumption - In 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 45.61 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.0% [4][30] - The consumer confidence index improved from 86.4 at the end of 2024 to 89.4 in October 2025 [4][30] - Retail sales of textiles and apparel, cosmetics, gold and silver jewelry, and sports/entertainment products grew by 3.5%, 4.8%, 13.5%, and 16.4% respectively from January to November 2025 [4][30] Group 3: International Consumption - U.S. apparel sales showed a year-on-year increase of 5.34% as of October 2025, with inventory levels at a low since 2022 [4][34] - European retail sales indices have turned positive since 2024, maintaining steady low single-digit growth in 2025 [4][34] - Vietnam's textile and footwear exports reached 35.91 billion USD in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 6.7% [4][44] Group 4: Textile Manufacturing - The textile manufacturing sector faced revenue growth challenges in 2025, with a year-on-year revenue increase of only 4.3% and a decline in net profit by 5.6% [5][46] - The sector's performance was impacted by U.S.-China tariff pressures, leading to cautious ordering from brands [5][46] - Recommendations include focusing on leading manufacturers like Yuanyuan Group, Shenzhou International, and Huali Group, which have lower exposure to U.S. markets and strong recovery potential [5][67] Group 5: Apparel and Home Textiles - The apparel sector is experiencing a weak recovery, with a focus on consumer performance and innovation in home textiles [8][4] - Companies like Ge Li Si and Jiangnan Buyi are highlighted for their stable performance, with Ge Li Si showing a 40.2% increase in net profit in Q3 2025 [8][4] - The home textiles sector is driven by major products, with companies like Luolai Life and Mercury Home Textiles showing significant revenue growth [8][4]

Core Insights - Tencent Holdings (00700), Alibaba-W (09988), and Hong Kong Exchanges (00388) led the market in net inflows, with amounts of 1.115 billion, 1.055 billion, and 309 million respectively [1] - China Mobile (00941), Luoyang Molybdenum (03993), and CICC (03908) experienced the highest net outflows, with amounts of -1.053 billion, -184 million, and -181 million respectively [1] - In terms of net inflow ratios, China Telecom Services (00552), Yihua Tong (02402), and Sunshine Insurance (06963) topped the list with ratios of 167.31%, 126.18%, and 118.17% respectively [1] Net Inflow Rankings - Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net inflow of 1.115 billion, representing a 13.09% increase, closing at 614.500 [2] - Alibaba-W (09988) saw a net inflow of 1.055 billion, with a 12.23% increase, closing at 146.400 [2] - Hong Kong Exchanges (00388) recorded a net inflow of 309 million, with a 24.77% increase, closing at 407.000 [2] Net Outflow Rankings - China Mobile (00941) faced a net outflow of -1.053 billion, a decrease of -54.21%, closing at 83.700 [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) had a net outflow of -184 million, down by -29.82%, closing at 19.100 [2] - CICC (03908) experienced a net outflow of -181 million, a decrease of -30.22%, closing at 20.540 [2] Net Inflow Ratio Rankings - China Telecom Services (00552) achieved a net inflow ratio of 167.31%, with a net inflow of 26.5926 million, closing at 4.520 [3] - Yihua Tong (02402) had a net inflow ratio of 126.18%, with a net inflow of 26.5481 million, closing at 23.980 [3] - Sunshine Insurance (06963) recorded a net inflow ratio of 118.17%, with a net inflow of 31.5558 million, closing at 3.940 [3]

Group 1 - The market may have overlooked positive signals for Shenzhou International from Nike's performance, as Nike's apparel sales grew by 4% year-on-year, despite being lower than the previous quarter's 7% growth due to a high base effect [1] - Nike's apparel sales in North America and Europe recorded positive growth during the period, which is beneficial for Shenzhou International, as approximately 40% of its sales come from these regions [1] - In the Greater China region, Nike's apparel sales only declined by 6% year-on-year, significantly less than the 20% drop in footwear sales; this region now accounts for only 11% of Nike's total sales, limiting its impact on Shenzhou International [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Nike's Q2 FY2026 performance negatively affected Shenzhou International's stock performance; however, the market tends to view Shenzhou International as a representative of the domestic sportswear sector in China, while over 75% of its sales come from markets outside China, suggesting resilience in other markets [2] - The recent decline in Shenzhou International's stock price presents a good buying opportunity, with a target price set at HKD 72 and a rating of "Overweight" [2]

Group 1 - Citi's report indicates that Nike (NKE.US) projects a low single-digit decline in revenue for Q3 of FY2026, aligning with market expectations of a 1% drop [1] - In Q2 performance, North America showed a strong recovery with a 9% revenue increase, primarily driven by a 24% growth in wholesale business, although this growth was largely offset by a 16% decline in revenue from Greater China [1] - Citi believes that if the stock price of Shenzhou International (02313) experiences a pullback due to Nike's cautious outlook, it would present a better buying opportunity, setting a target price of HKD 94 and a "buy" rating [1] Group 2 - Shenzhou International's management has recently provided conservative expectations, anticipating a slowdown in sales growth to mid-single digits in the second half of 2025, which is below Citi's previous forecast of high single digits [1] - Citi's projections are believed to largely reflect the impact of Nike's cautious outlook, but they expect Nike's sales orders for Shenzhou International in 2026 to remain flat rather than decline [1] - Based on visibility of orders from four major clients, Shenzhou International is still expected to achieve high single-digit sales growth in 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Nike's Q2 FY2026 performance negatively impacted the stock performance of Shenzhou International, but the latter is positioned to benefit from resilience in markets outside China [1] Group 1: Nike's Performance - Nike's apparel sales grew by 4% year-over-year at constant currency, although this is lower than the previous quarter's 7% growth due to a high base effect [1] - Apparel sales in North America and Europe recorded positive growth during the period, which is beneficial for Shenzhou International as approximately 40% of its sales come from these regions [1] - In Greater China, Nike's apparel sales declined by only 6% year-over-year, significantly better than the 20% drop in footwear sales; this region now accounts for only 11% of Nike's total sales, limiting its impact on Shenzhou International [1] Group 2: Shenzhou International's Outlook - The market tends to view Shenzhou International as a representative of the domestic sportswear sector in China, but over 75% of its sales come from markets outside China, suggesting it may benefit more from resilience in other markets [1] - The recent decline in Shenzhou International's stock price presents a good buying opportunity, with Morgan Stanley setting a target price of HKD 72 and an "Overweight" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that Nike's Q2 FY2026 performance negatively impacted Shenzhou International's performance, but the market may overlook positive signals for Shenzhou from Nike's results [1] Group 1: Nike's Performance - Nike's apparel sales grew by 4% year-on-year in the quarter, although this was lower than the previous quarter's growth of 7%, attributed to a high base effect [1] - Nike's apparel sales in North America and Europe recorded positive growth during the period, which is beneficial for Shenzhou International as approximately 40% of its sales come from these regions [1] - In Greater China, Nike's apparel sales only declined by 6% year-on-year, significantly better than the 20% decline in footwear sales; this region now accounts for only 11% of Nike's total sales, limiting its impact on Shenzhou International [1] Group 2: Shenzhou International's Market Position - The market tends to view Shenzhou International as a representative of the domestic sportswear sector in China, but over 75% of its sales come from markets outside of China, suggesting it may benefit more from resilience in other markets [1] - The recent decline in Shenzhou International's stock price presents a good buying opportunity, with Morgan Stanley setting a target price of HKD 72 and maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1]

Market Overview - US inflation slowdown supports interest rate cut expectations, while the Bank of Japan raised rates by 25 basis points, leading to a rise in Hong Kong's three major indices. The Hang Seng Index increased by 0.75% to 25,690.53 points, with a total turnover of HKD 221.186 billion. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose by 0.68%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.12% [1] Blue Chip Performance - Shenzhou International (02313) led the decline among blue chips, falling by 3.18% to HKD 60.95, with a turnover of HKD 490 million. Despite exceeding revenue and profit expectations, its net profit dropped by 32% year-on-year due to declining profit margins and ongoing pressures in direct sales [2] - Other blue chips included WuXi Biologics (02269), which rose by 4.4%, and Li Auto-W (02015), which increased by 3.81% [2] Sector Highlights - Large tech stocks mostly rose, with Tencent, Kuaishou, and Meituan gaining over 1%. The L3-level autonomous driving sector saw significant activity, with stocks like Xiaopeng Motors rising over 7% [3] - The pharmaceutical sector rebounded significantly, with companies like Kelun Pharmaceutical (06821) rising by 10.42% and WuXi Biologics (02269) increasing by 4.4% [4] - Lithium stocks also saw gains, with Ganfeng Lithium (01772) up by 1.87% and Tianqi Lithium (09696) rising by 1.72% [4] New Listings - New stocks showed a clear divergence, with Zhihui Mining (02546) soaring by 90.69% to HKD 8.6, while Xidi Intelligent Driving (03881) fell by 13.69% to HKD 227 [7] Company Developments - CIMC Group (02039) saw a strong performance, rising by 15.47% to HKD 8.88 after announcing a buyback plan for H-shares [8] - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) surged by 12.01% to HKD 51.75, driven by signs of recovery in the optical fiber market [9] - China Duty Free Group (01880) saw its A and H shares rise by 6.88% to HKD 70.7, with expectations of increased sales due to optimized offshore duty-free shopping policies [10] - China Tobacco Hong Kong (06055) rose by 6.68% to HKD 34.48, supported by new regulations aimed at strengthening electronic cigarette oversight [11]