Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Nike's management has provided a guidance for a low single-digit decline in sales for the third fiscal quarter, which is seen as slightly negative for ODM suppliers like Shenzhou International [1] - Despite the cautious outlook from Nike, Shenzhou is expected to gain more market share in new product areas such as running, golf, and basketball jerseys this year [1] - Shenzhou's management has also given a conservative forecast, expecting mid-single-digit sales growth in the second half of 2025, which is lower than previous high single-digit predictions, reflecting the impact of Nike's latest outlook [1] Group 2 - Citi predicts that Nike's sales orders for Shenzhou will remain flat rather than decline in 2026, and with visibility on orders from the top four clients, Shenzhou's sales are expected to achieve high single-digit growth in 2026 [1] - The report suggests that if Shenzhou's stock price experiences a pullback due to Nike's cautious outlook, it may present a buying opportunity, maintaining a "buy" rating for Shenzhou with a target price of HKD 94 [1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.65%, gaining 165 points to close at 25,663 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.14%. The morning trading volume reached 97.5 billion HKD [1] - New listings in the Hong Kong stock market included Zhihui Mining (02546), which surged over 110% upon debut, and Xidi Zhijia (03881), which fell over 8% after its listing [1] - The U.S. Senate passed a revised version of the Biodefense Act as part of the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2026, leading to a significant rebound in pharmaceutical stocks, with WuXi Biologics (02269) rising over 6% and 3SBio (01530) increasing by 3.7% [1] Group 2 - HAP Pharmaceuticals-B (02142) saw a nearly 7% increase after signing a business development deal worth over 1 billion USD with Bristol-Myers Squibb [2] - China Duty Free Group (601888) (01880) rebounded nearly 7% after winning bids for two major duty-free projects at Shanghai airports, with market attention on the results of the Capital Airport tender [2] - Youjia Innovation (02431) surged over 12% as L3 large-scale deployment approaches, with the company having made forward-looking arrangements for L2+ and L4 [2] - Nine Dragons Paper (02689) rose over 3% as the industry leader announced a series of shutdown plans to support price and inventory levels before the Spring Festival [2] Group 3 - South Manganese (01091) increased by over 9% due to multiple factors driving the continuous rise in electrolytic manganese prices [3] Group 4 - Yangtze Optical Fibre (601869) (06869) rose over 10%, with a cumulative increase of over 30% in the past three days, driven by sustained demand for optical fibers and cables from AI [4] Group 5 - Ganwan (09890) increased by over 5% after issuing zero-coupon convertible bonds at a premium, raising 450 million HKD to enhance its "AI + gaming" strategy [5] Group 6 - Liqin Resources (02245) rose over 9% as Indonesia plans to significantly reduce its nickel ore production targets by 2026 [6] Group 7 - Shenzhou International (02313) fell over 3% as its major client Nike reported a 32% year-on-year decline in net profit for the second fiscal quarter [7]

Group 1 - Shenzhou International (02313.HK) experienced a decline of over 3%, specifically a drop of 3.02%, bringing its share price to HKD 61.05 [2] - The trading volume for Shenzhou International reached HKD 123 million [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Shenzhou International (02313) experienced a decline of over 3% in its stock price, attributed to the poor financial performance of its major client, Nike, which reported a 32% year-on-year drop in net profit for Q2 of fiscal year 2026 [1][1][1] - Nike's net profit fell from $1.16 billion in the same period last year to $792 million, despite revenue and earnings exceeding market expectations [1][1][1] - Revenue in Greater China for Nike decreased by 17% to $1.7 billion, with EBITDA dropping significantly by 49% [1][1][1] Group 2 - Citigroup recently downgraded its earnings forecast for Shenzhou International for 2025 to 2027 by 2%, lowering the target price from HKD 95 to HKD 94 while maintaining a "buy" rating [1][1][1] - The decline in Shenzhou's stock price may reflect management's conservative outlook on sales, which could present a buying opportunity, as the expected dividend yield for fiscal year 2026 is 4.8% and the projected compound annual growth rate for earnings per share over the next three years is 12% [1][1][1]

申洲国际(02313)跌超3%，截至发稿，跌3.02%，报61.05港元，成交额1.23亿港元。 消息面上，申洲国际主要客户耐克于周四盘后发布2026财年第二季度业绩报告，股价重挫超10%。报告 显示，尽管营收与盈利均超出市场预期，但受利润率下滑及直销业务持续承压影响，其净利润同比出现 下滑。该公司期内净利润同比下降32%，由上年同期的11.6亿美元降至7.92亿美元。此外，其在大中华 区的营收同比下降17%至17亿美元，息税前利润更大幅缩水49%。 花旗近期研报指出，将申洲国际2025至27年盈利预测下调2%，目标价相应由95港元降至94港元，维 持"买入"评级，并认为股价下跌或反映管理层对销量展望较为保守，反而提供买入机会，因2026财年预 期股息率达4.8%，且未来3年每股盈利年均复合增长率达12%。 ...

申洲国际集团控股有限公司是一家主要从事生产和销售针织服装产品的投资控股公司。该公司的主营业 务是从事以代工（OEM）及委托设计（ODM）相结合的方式为客户制造针织品。该公司的产品类别包 括运动类、休闲类、内衣类等其他针织品产品。该公司通过其子公司还从事贸易业务和物业管理业务。 该公司主要在国内和国外市场开展其业务。 证券之星消息，12月18日南向资金增持157.26万股申洲国际（02313.HK）。近5个交易日中，获南向资 金增持的有4天，累计净增持486.91万股。近20个交易日中，获南向资金增持的有13天，累计净增持 390.62万股。截至目前，南向资金持有申洲国际（02313.HK）1.04亿股，占公司已发行普通股的 6.91%。 | 交易日 | 持股总数 (股) | 持股变动(股) | 变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-12-18 | 1.04亿 | 157.26万 | 1.53% | | 2025-12-17 | 1.02亿 | 149.30万 | 1.48% | | 2025-12-16 | 1.01亿 | 115.83万 | 1.16% | | 20 ...

港股止跌，整个早盘都维持在中轴附近窄幅盘整，大消费和科技小幅收红，互联网和医疗走了和寂寞。 大消费探底回升后震荡上行，截止午盘小涨0.32%。其中李宁都在4.37%，申洲国际上涨2.26%，石药集 团、老铺黄金、药明生物、泡泡玛特等股涨幅均在1%上方；创科实业、小鹏汽车、地平线等股逆势绿 盘。 科技股开盘一直围绕中轴盘整，截止午盘小涨0.14%。其中美团上涨1.21%，京东集团、阿里巴巴、腾 讯控股、中芯国际等股均小幅收涨；比亚迪股份、网易等股逆势小跌。 恒生医疗走了个寂寞，其中石药集团上涨1.9%，药明生物上涨1.68%，百济神州、信达生物、三生制药 等股均小幅收涨；康方生物、中国生物、京东健康、翰森制药等股均小幅收跌。 内容只是个人观点，仅供参考，不作为投资依据！欢迎关注交流，互相学习、共同探讨！ ...

Group 1: Brand Segment - High-End Leading, Mass Market Under Pressure - Luxury goods in China have shown sequential improvement in sales, driven by a low base in 2024 and the wealth effect from the capital market, leading to stable purchasing power among high-net-worth individuals [2][13] - High-end jewelry is experiencing rapid growth due to rising gold prices and the integration of traditional Chinese culture into high-end brand craftsmanship, with companies like Lao Pu and Chao Hong Ji achieving significant revenue increases [2][17] - High-end sportswear brands are meeting the demands of affluent consumers for running, outdoor activities, and casual wear, with brands like ON and Amer Sports reporting over 100% and 40% growth in the Greater China region, respectively [2][25] Group 2: Mass Market Pressure - Mass market apparel brands like Hailan and Semir are expected to see low single-digit growth, with discounting not significantly improving [3] - Traditional mass-market jewelry brands are facing revenue declines due to rising gold prices and a decrease in purchasing power among their consumer base, leading to a noticeable downward trend in income [3][61] Group 3: Manufacturing Segment - Weak Recovery Expected - The demand for apparel in the U.S. is showing steady growth, with retail inventory levels at a low point, suggesting a potential for inventory replenishment in 2026 [4][64] - Major OEM manufacturers are expected to see improved order growth and marginal profit recovery in 2026, despite cautious expansion due to previous tariff impacts [4][73] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The trend towards high-end jewelry is solidifying, with industry leaders shifting from channel expansion and product homogeneity to focusing on product differentiation and quality [5] - Recommended brands include Lao Pu for its unique gold craftsmanship, and Chow Tai Fook for its brand and channel upgrades [9] - In the sportswear sector, Li Ning is highlighted for its marketing upgrades and product innovations, with a focus on serving the Chinese Olympic Committee and launching new technologies [9][56]

Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for Shenzhou International and Huali Group, with respective 2026 PE ratios of 12x and 18x [2][30]. Core Views - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing fluctuations in revenue, with notable declines in some manufacturers' performance due to changing international trade environments and tariff policies [1][13]. - The report anticipates a recovery in orders and shipments for apparel manufacturers in 2026, driven by improved demand and healthy inventory levels [23][28]. - Key brands like Nike are expected to show gradual improvement in their operational performance, which may positively impact their suppliers [23][24]. Summary by Sections Recent Revenue Performance - In November 2025, revenue for Feng Tai Enterprises, Ruo Hong, and Yu Yuan Group decreased by 11.8%, increased by 1.5%, and decreased by 2.4% year-on-year, respectively [1][13]. - Cumulatively from January to November 2025, Feng Tai's revenue declined by 4.9%, while Ruo Hong and Yu Yuan reported increases of 3.8% and 0.9% [1][13]. Industry Outlook - The report indicates that the apparel manufacturing sector is expected to see a recovery in orders in 2026, with a focus on companies with integrated and international supply chains [28][29]. - The report highlights that the competitive landscape is improving, with leading manufacturers likely to gain market share [2][27]. Key Investment Opportunities - Recommended stocks include Shenzhou International and Huali Group, with a focus on companies that are expected to benefit from improved customer trends and operational efficiencies [2][28]. - Other companies to watch include Weixing Co., Kairun Co., and Jingyuan International, which are also positioned well for future growth [2][28]. Brand Performance - The report emphasizes the importance of brand performance, particularly for Nike in the Greater China region, which is expected to show a turnaround [28]. - Other recommended brands include Anta Sports and Li Ning, with respective 2026 PE ratios of 14x and 16x [28].

Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector in A-shares has underperformed the broader market since December, with textile manufacturing showing better performance than branded apparel, declining by -3.3% and -4.4% respectively [1][13] - The Hong Kong textile and apparel index rose by 2.9% in November but has since turned negative in December [1] Brand Apparel Insights - Retail sales of clothing in October grew by 6.3% year-on-year, with a stable growth rate compared to the previous month, increasing by 1.6 percentage points [2] - E-commerce performance varied significantly between categories from October to November, with outdoor leisure leading, while home textiles and personal care faced declines. Year-on-year growth rates for various categories were: outdoor (+20%), sportswear (0%), leisurewear (+8%), home textiles (-9%), and personal care (-2%) [2] - Notable brands with strong growth included Descente (74%), Lululemon (69%), and Asics (8%) in sportswear; and brands like Atour Planet (43%) and Luolai Home Textile (26%) in home textiles [2] Textile Manufacturing Insights - In November, Vietnam's textile and footwear exports faced a high base effect from the previous year, resulting in a decline of -2.6% and -3.8% respectively. China's textile exports showed a slight recovery at +1.0%, while apparel and footwear exports fell by -10.9% and -17.2% respectively [3] - The macroeconomic environment remains challenging, with fluctuations in cotton prices and a slight increase in wool prices by +4.8% month-on-month and +32.0% year-on-year in November [3] - Taiwanese manufacturers reported improved revenue in November, driven by World Cup-related orders and a return to normalcy in brand ordering rhythms [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the recovery of consumer spending and the rebound in textile manufacturing. It highlights the potential for high-end consumer recovery and the strong outlook for the light luxury outdoor segment [5][6] - Key brands recommended for investment include Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing trends in high-end consumption and outdoor sports [6] - In textile manufacturing, companies like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group are highlighted as beneficiaries of tariff reductions and Nike's recovery, while New Australia and Weixing Holdings are noted for their potential gains from rising wool prices and improved order visibility [7]