SHENZHOU INTL(02313)

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运营韧性凸显,看好市占提升
Tianfeng Securities· 2024-04-02 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a 6-month target price of 74.95 HKD [6] Core Views - The company demonstrated operational resilience despite a 10.1% YoY decline in revenue to 24.97 billion RMB in 2023, primarily due to reduced demand in the European and US markets and brand customers' inventory reduction [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders decreased slightly by 0.1% YoY to 4.557 billion RMB, while gross margin improved by 2.2 percentage points to 24.3% due to increased efficiency in overseas factories and reduced pandemic-related expenses [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of overseas apparel demand as brand customers complete inventory reduction, with projected revenue of 28.76/32.98/37.70 billion RMB for 2024-2026 [4] Business Performance Breakdown By Product Category - Sportswear sales decreased by 13.6% YoY due to declining demand in Europe and the US [1] - Casual wear sales dropped by 1.4% YoY, mainly due to reduced demand in Japan and other markets [1] - Underwear sales increased by 30.2% YoY, driven by rising demand in Japan and other markets [1] - Other knitwear sales fell by 41.6% YoY due to the discontinuation of mask production, but excluding masks, sales increased by 0.4% YoY [1] By Region - China revenue grew by 0.7% YoY to 7.1 billion RMB, accounting for 29% of total revenue [1] - Europe revenue decreased by 19% YoY to 5.0 billion RMB, representing 20% of total revenue [1] - US revenue declined by 20% YoY to 3.9 billion RMB, making up 16% of total revenue [1] - Japan revenue fell by 6% YoY to 3.7 billion RMB, contributing 15% to total revenue [1] - Other regions' revenue decreased by 8% YoY to 5.3 billion RMB, accounting for 21% of total revenue [1] Operational Highlights - Overseas factories accounted for 53% of total garment output in 2023, with Cambodia contributing 26%, up 4 percentage points YoY [2] - Overseas employees represented 57% of the total workforce, an increase of 5 percentage points YoY [2] - The company improved supply chain efficiency through enhanced information sharing and optimized production site selection [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively considering expanding overseas production capacity beyond existing facilities in Vietnam and Cambodia to better meet global customer demand [4] - Efforts are being made to accelerate the application of intelligent manufacturing and digital management, while promoting product diversification and high-end development [4] - The company is increasing R&D investment in innovative and functional products, with a focus on applying new fiber materials in high-end textile fabric development [4]
2023年净利润符合预期,产能利用率已恢复到100%
First Shanghai Securities· 2024-04-01 16:00
Investment Rating - Buy rating with a target price of HKD 98.09, implying a 32.4% upside from the current price of HKD 74.10 [1][3] Core Views - 2023 net profit of RMB 4.56 billion met expectations, with capacity utilization recovering to 100% [1] - Revenue declined 10.1% YoY to RMB 24.97 billion due to weak global consumer demand and customer destocking [1] - Gross margin improved 2.2ppt to 24.3%, driven by higher capacity utilization and overseas factory efficiency [1] - Effective tax rate dropped to 8.8% due to higher overseas profit contribution [1] - Final dividend of HKD 1.08 declared, representing a payout ratio of 60.3% [1] - Double-digit revenue growth expected in 2024 as destocking progresses and capacity utilization remains at 100% [3] Financial Performance - Revenue breakdown by product: sportswear -13.6%, casualwear -1.4%, underwear +30.2%, others -41.6% [2] - Revenue breakdown by region: Europe -19.1%, US -20.4%, Japan -6.4%, other regions -7.6%, China +0.7% [2] - Key customer growth: Nike -10.8%, Adidas -24.1%, Uniqlo +2.9%, Puma -28.1% [2] - Domestic brands' share increased to 11%, while Lululemon accounted for 2% of sales [2] - 2H23 revenue declined 5.5% YoY, with Q4 returning to positive growth [3] - 2H23 gross margin improved 3.1ppt QoQ to 25.8% [3] Forecasts - 2024 revenue forecast at RMB 28.15 billion, +12.8% YoY [4] - 2024 net profit forecast at RMB 5.37 billion, +17.8% YoY [4] - 2024 EPS forecast at RMB 3.57, +17.8% YoY [4] - 2024 dividend forecast at HKD 2.41, with payout ratio maintained at 60% [4] - 2024-2026 revenue CAGR forecast at 13.0% [4] - 2024-2026 net profit CAGR forecast at 17.8% [4] Industry and Company Positioning - The company operates in the apparel and textile industry [2] - It benefits from vertical integration, balanced domestic and overseas presence, and strong management execution [3] - The company is well-positioned as an industry leader with innovative product capabilities [3]
毛利率逐步修复,2024年业绩展望乐观
Orient Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
公司研究 | 动态跟踪 申洲国际 02313.HK 买入(维持) 毛利率逐步修复,2024 年业绩展望乐观 股价(2024年03月28日) 74.1港元 目标价格 97.65港元 52周最高价/最低价 87.25/59.3港元 总股本/流通H股(万股) 150,322/150,322 H股市值(百万港币) 111,389 核心观点 国家/地区 中国 行业 纺织服装 ⚫ 公司发布2023年业绩公告,实现营业收入249.7亿,同比下滑10.1%,实现净利润 报告发布日期 2024年03月29日 45.6亿,同比下滑0.1%,其中23H2收入和归母净利润分别下滑5.8%和增长 10.7%,全年盈利好于市场预期。2023派息比例为60.3%。 1周 1月 3月 12月 ⚫ 欧美运动产品订单拖累公司收入表现,国内市场表现好于国际。具体来看,1)分品 绝对表现% 8.02 12.02 -8.91 -4.31 类来看,2023年运动类/休闲类/内衣类/其他针织品收入分别下滑13.6%、下滑 相对表现% 9.93 11.99 -5.96 12.08 1.4%、增长30.2%和下滑41.6%,其中运动类产品下滑主要系欧洲和美国 ...
港股公司信息更新报告:全年毛利率逐季改善,期待2024年盈利能力再向上
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2024-03-28 16:00
纺织服饰/纺织制造 公 司 全年毛利率逐季改善,期待 2024 年盈利能力再向上 研 申洲国际(02313.HK) 究 ——港股公司信息更新报告 2024年03月29日 吕明(分析师) 周嘉乐(分析师) 张霜凝(联系人) lvming@kysec.cn zhoujiale@kysec.cn zhangshuangning@kysec.cn 投资评级:买入(维持) 证 书编号:S0790520030002 证书编号:S0790522030002 证书编号:S0790122070037 日期 2024/3/28 2023Q2收入降幅收窄,毛利率环比改善,维持“买入”评级 当前股价(港元) 74.100 2023年公司营收249.7亿元(同比-10%,下同),预计销量-15%、美元单价+1%/ 港 一年最高最低(港元) 87.250/60.800 人民币单价+5%。2023 年归母净利润 45.6 亿元(-0.1%),收入下降而业绩基本 股 总市值(亿港元) 1,113.89 持平主要系毛利率恢复&控费&利息收入增加3.9亿元&有效税率下降贡献2.6亿 公 元,剔除政府补助、利息收入、汇兑损益影响,核心利润为3 ...
23H2毛利率环比改善,业绩拐点信号显现
申万宏源· 2024-03-28 16:00
申万宏源研究 上海市南京东路99号 | +86 21 2329 7818 www.swsresearch.com 简单金融 成就梦想 纺织服装 | 公司研究 23H2 毛利率环比改善,业绩拐点信号显现 2024年3月27日 申洲国际 (2313.HK) 买入 公司发布2023年业绩公告,业绩符合预期。23年实现营收250亿元,同比下滑10.1%,归母净 利润45.6亿元,同比下滑0.1%,主要受欧美运动类产品消费需求不足及客户去库存的影响。其中, 维持 23H2实现营收134亿元,同比下滑5.5%,归母净利润24.3亿元,同比增长10.7%,业绩环比上 半年改善,下半年随订单逐步回暖,收入降幅收窄、利润改善程度更高。拟派发末期股息每股1.08 港元,此前已派发中期股息每股0.95港元,23年累计派息每股2.03港元,派息比率达60.3%。 市场数据:2024年3月27日 欧美运动类产品需求暂下滑,内衣品类及新客户贡献提升。1)分品类:内衣类产品收入增速最高。 收盘价(港币) 72.70 23年,运动类产品收入180亿元,同比下滑13.6%,营收占比72.2%,主要系欧美客户处于去库 恒生中国企业指数 5,72 ...
申洲国际(02313)2023年业绩点评报告:海外成衣产能占比提升,看好2024年订单修复
Guohai Securities· 2024-03-28 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][4][5] Core Views - The company experienced a decline in revenue due to inventory destocking by European and American brand clients, with a 10.12% year-on-year decrease in revenue to 24.97 billion RMB in 2023. However, net profit remained stable at 4.557 billion RMB, reflecting a slight increase of 0.12% year-on-year [2][4][6] - The gross margin improved to 24.27%, up 2.22 percentage points from the previous year, attributed to increased capacity utilization and enhanced efficiency of overseas factories [3][6] - The company is transitioning towards a green low-carbon production model, with approximately 50% of its electricity sourced from green energy as of the end of 2023 [6][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company reported total revenue of 24.97 billion RMB, a decrease of 10.12% year-on-year, while net profit was 4.557 billion RMB, showing a marginal increase of 0.12% [4][5] - The sales net profit margin was 18.25%, an increase of 1.82 percentage points from 2022, and the gross margin was 24.27%, up 2.22 percentage points [2][3] Revenue Breakdown - By product category, revenue from sports products was 18.032 billion RMB, down 13.6% year-on-year, while leisure products generated 5.673 billion RMB, down 1.4%. The lingerie segment saw a 30.2% increase to 1.067 billion RMB [2][4] - Geographically, revenue from Europe and the US declined significantly, with decreases of 19.1% and 20.4%, respectively, while domestic market revenue increased by 0.7% to 7.124 billion RMB [2][3] Future Outlook - The company expects revenue growth of 15% in 2024, reaching 28.83 billion RMB, with net profit projected to increase by 17% to 5.337 billion RMB [6][7] - The report highlights the potential for order recovery in the second half of 2024, driven by brand client expansion and improved operational efficiency in overseas factories [5][6]
花旗:予申洲国际(02313)“买入”评级 目标价上调至108港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2024-03-28 08:40
智通财经APP获悉,花旗发布研究报告称,予申洲国际(02313)“买入”评级,将2024年至2025年的每股盈利预测上调3%至4%,并将目标价由102港元上调至108港元。 报告中称,公司2023年业绩的营业收入低于市场普遍预测,不过同一时间公司归属利润符合预期,受毛利率超出预期所带动。该行认为,公司于今年内可实现双位数的销售增长,主要受惠于去年的低基数效应;加上除了Nike以外,所有主要全球及国内品牌订单均录得双位数增长的表现。 此外,花旗预期申洲今年的营业收入成长率为12%,并指公司自去年第四季开始已恢复正增长,预计相关表现在今年第一季仍可维持。该行预期公司今年的毛利率将进一步上调3.5%至27.8%,而且相信未来派息率将维持于60%以上。 ...
2023年业绩点评:2023年业绩符合预期,2024年展望乐观
Guotai Junan Securities· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [3][5]. Core Views - The company's 2023 profits met expectations, and the outlook for 2024 is optimistic with a strong recovery in orders anticipated [5]. - The company is expected to see continued growth driven by overseas capacity expansion and the acquisition of new customers and product categories [5]. Financial Summary - In 2023, the company's revenue was 24.97 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 10.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.56 billion RMB, a slight decrease of 0.1% [5][6]. - The gross profit margin improved to 24.3%, up 2.2 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin increased to 18.3%, up 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [5]. - The company expects net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 5.65 billion, 6.55 billion, and 7.31 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16, 14, and 12 times [5][6]. Market Performance - The company's stock price has fluctuated between 61.95 and 86.15 HKD over the past 52 weeks [4]. - The current market capitalization is 98.91 billion HKD with 1.503 billion shares outstanding [4]. Order Recovery and Customer Performance - The company anticipates a recovery in orders for 2024, with expected sales growth in the double digits, particularly from key clients like Uniqlo and Nike [5]. - The first major client, Nike, showed a significant improvement in orders, with revenue increasing by 22% in H1 2023 and 1% in H2 2023 [5]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from improved capacity utilization and a strong recovery in orders, with a positive outlook for profit recovery [5].
2023年业绩点评:下半年收入降幅收窄,24年展望积极
Soochow Securities· 2024-03-27 16:00
证券研究报告·海外公司点评·纺织及服饰(HS) 申洲国际(02313.HK) 2023 年业绩点评:下半年收入降幅收窄,24 年展 2024 年 03月 28日 望积极 买入(维持) 证券分析师 李婕 执业证书:S0600521120003 [盈Ta利bl预e_测EP与S]估 值 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E lijie@dwzq.com.cn 营业总收入(百万元) 27,781 24,970 28,560 32,650 36,634 证券分析师 赵艺原 同比 16.51% -10.12% 14.38% 14.32% 12.20% 执业证书:S0600522090003 归母净利润(百万元) 4,563 4,557 5,574 6,403 7,274 同比 35.33% -0.12% 22.31% 14.87% 13.60% zhaoyy@dwzq.com.cn EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) 3.04 3.03 3.71 4.26 4.84 P/E(现价&最新摊薄) 22.22 22.24 18.19 15.83 13.94 股价走势 [ [TT aab bl le e_ _T S ...
全满的产能利用率和积极的全球招工预示2024年订单强劲
交银国际证券· 2024-03-27 16:00
1 交银国际研究 公司更新 消费 收盘价 目标价 潜在涨幅 2024年3月27日 港元65.80 港元116.00↑ +76.3% 申洲国际 (2313 HK) 全满的产能利用率和积极的全球招工预示 2024 年订单强劲 2023 年净利润符合预期,但销售额不及预期。2023 年销售额同比下降 个股评级 10.1%,净利润同比持平于 46 亿元人民币,符合市场一致/交银国际预期。由 买入 于4季度订单转好,2023 年下半年销售额同比跌幅从上半年的-15%收窄至- 5.5%,而产能利用率的提高也帮助毛利率从上半年的 22.4%回升至下半年的 25.8%。派息率提升至60.3%(原 54.9%),股息率 3.1%。鉴于净现金同比增 1年股价表现 长 40%(每股 8.4 港元,为股价的 13%),我们预计派息率保持 60%的高位。 2313 HK 恒生指数 订单强劲,所有工厂的产能利用率均达到 100%:管理层表示2024 年1季度订 5% 单强劲,预计全年销量同比增长不低于 15%,平均售价(美元)增长 1-2%。 0% -5% 业务的蓬勃发展不仅反映在越南/柬埔寨工厂的招聘计划上,也反映在宁波工 - ...