Core Viewpoint - Southbound funds reduced their holdings in Shenzhou International (02313.HK) by 138,700 shares on October 15, 2025, while showing a net increase in holdings over the past trading days [1] Group 1: Shareholding Changes - In the last five trading days, southbound funds increased their holdings on three days, with a total net increase of 1,967,500 shares [1] - Over the past 20 trading days, there were 10 days of net increases in holdings, totaling 4,471,100 shares [1] - As of now, southbound funds hold 95,540,000 shares of Shenzhou International, accounting for 6.35% of the company's issued ordinary shares [1] Group 2: Company Overview - Shenzhou International Group Holdings Limited primarily engages in the production and sale of knitted apparel products [2] - The company's main business involves manufacturing knitted products through a combination of Original Equipment Manufacturing (OEM) and Original Design Manufacturing (ODM) for clients [2] - Product categories include sportswear, casual wear, underwear, and other knitted products, with operations in both domestic and international markets [2]

Core Viewpoint - Southbound funds reduced their holdings in Shenzhou International (02313.HK) by 3,300 shares on October 14, 2025, while showing a net increase in holdings over the past 20 trading days [1] Group 1: Shareholding Changes - In the last 5 trading days, southbound funds increased their holdings on 3 days, with a total net increase of 1,270,600 shares [1] - Over the last 20 trading days, there were 10 days of net increases, totaling 4,593,500 shares [1] - As of now, southbound funds hold 95,678,700 shares of Shenzhou International, representing 6.35% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1] Group 2: Company Overview - Shenzhou International Group Holdings Limited primarily engages in the production and sale of knitted apparel products [2] - The company's main business model combines OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer) and ODM (Original Design Manufacturer) to manufacture knitted products for clients [2] - Product categories include sportswear, casual wear, underwear, and other knitted items, with operations in both domestic and international markets [2]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment rating for the apparel industry, highlighting growth potential driven by government support, competitive pricing, and market expansion opportunities [4]. Core Insights - The apparel industry is undergoing a transformation characterized by the integration of technology and fashion, with e-commerce and live-streaming commerce significantly boosting market growth [4]. - China's apparel exports are expected to grow due to favorable government policies, price advantages, and competitive quality in the global market [4]. Industry Definition - The apparel industry encompasses clothing, footwear, and accessories, serving functions such as protection, decoration, and identification [5]. - Apparel can be categorized by gender into men's and women's clothing, each with distinct design and functional characteristics [6]. Industry Characteristics - High raw material costs dominate the cost structure, with raw materials accounting for 76.1% of costs in upstream suppliers and 60% in midstream manufacturing [6][7]. - The export market is diversified, with growth in traditional markets like the US and EU, while emerging markets show mixed results [7]. - The industry exhibits strong cyclicality, with retail sales closely tied to economic growth rates [8]. Development History - The apparel industry in China has evolved through four key stages: industrialization, OEM rise, globalization, and brand and technology upgrades, currently transitioning into a phase driven by national pride and technological innovation [9]. Industry Chain Analysis - The apparel industry chain includes upstream raw material production, midstream manufacturing, and downstream brand sales, with varying levels of bargaining power across segments [14][15]. - Midstream manufacturers face challenges in negotiating with upstream suppliers due to industry fragmentation, leading to lower average profit margins [15]. - Labor cost increases are prompting a shift of the apparel supply chain to Southeast Asian countries [16]. Market Size and Growth - The apparel market size grew from 1,918.03 billion RMB in 2019 to 2,074.29 billion RMB in 2023, with a projected CAGR of 2.15% from 2024 to 2028 [36]. - E-commerce penetration and live-streaming commerce are key drivers of market growth, with significant increases in online shopping users [38][39]. Export Market Dynamics - China's apparel exports are benefiting from a recovery in overseas demand due to loose monetary policies and economic recovery in major markets [40]. - The export market is characterized by structural differentiation, with varying performance across different regions and product categories [40]. Policy Support - Government policies aimed at upgrading the industry and promoting digitalization and innovation are expected to drive future growth in the apparel sector [41][42]. - The competitive pricing of Chinese apparel products is anticipated to enhance export growth, particularly in the context of rising demand for affordable quality products in international markets [42].

Core Viewpoint - Export stocks are generally underperforming due to the announcement of additional tariffs on Chinese goods by the U.S. starting November 1, which may lead to stock volatility in the affected companies [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Companies such as Techtronic Industries (00669) saw a decline of 3.64%, trading at HKD 91.3; Haier Smart Home (06690) dropped 3.38% to HKD 24.56; Shenzhou International (02313) fell 1.71% to HKD 63.15; and QuanFeng Holdings (02285) decreased by 1.04% to HKD 20.84 [1] Group 2: Policy Impact - On October 10, former President Trump announced that the U.S. would impose an additional 100% tariff on Chinese goods starting November 1, along with export controls on key software [1] - Citigroup's report indicates uncertainty regarding the duration of this policy, but suggests that stock volatility during this period may be lower than during the retaliatory tariffs implemented in Q2 2025, as the new tariffs will only apply to manufacturers exporting directly from China to the U.S. [1] Group 3: Stock Preferences - Citigroup's preference order among Chinese exporters is Techtronic Industries > Shenzhou International > JiuXing, considering the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle and the low proportion of Chinese imports in their U.S. sales [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for companies like Yanjiang Co., New Australia Co., and Shenzhou International, highlighting their advantages in global capacity layout and supply chain [4][15]. Core Views - The textile and apparel sector has shown stronger performance than the market, with the SW textile and apparel index increasing by 1.6% from October 9 to October 10, outperforming the SW All A index by 2.0 percentage points [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the significance of companies with established global production capabilities, which can mitigate tariff impacts and capitalize on favorable market conditions [10][11]. - The recent surge in Australian wool prices is expected to enhance the growth potential of New Australia Co., which is positioned to benefit from this trend [13][14]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The textile and apparel sector outperformed the market, with the SW textile manufacturing index rising by 3.0%, exceeding the SW All A index by 3.5 percentage points [4][5]. - Retail sales in the apparel and textile categories reached 940 billion yuan from January to August, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.9% [26]. Trade and Tariff Impacts - The U.S. announced a 100% additional tariff on Chinese imports starting November 1, 2025, increasing uncertainty in the trade environment [10]. - Companies with global production layouts are expected to gain a competitive edge by avoiding tariff costs and seizing market share in more favorable overseas markets [10][11]. Company-Specific Insights - Yanjiang Co. has established overseas production in Egypt, the U.S., and India, allowing it to effectively respond to global trade changes [11]. - New Australia Co. has successfully launched production capacity in Vietnam, which is expected to meet U.S. demand, benefiting from rising wool prices [13][14]. - Nike's FY26Q1 performance showed a revenue of $11.7 billion, a 1% year-on-year increase, indicating a gradual recovery despite challenges in the Greater China region [12][16]. Market Trends - The report notes that the domestic demand is recovering, with innovative retail formats emerging in the sportswear sector, which is expected to drive growth [12]. - The Australian wool auction prices have reached record highs, with a significant increase of 41.8% year-on-year, indicating a strong upward trend in the wool market [13][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for companies like Yanjiang Co., New Australia Co., and Shenzhou International, highlighting their advantages in global capacity layout and supply chain [2][10][16]. Core Views - The textile and apparel sector has shown strong performance against the market, with the SW textile and apparel index increasing by 1.6% from October 9 to October 10, outperforming the SW All A index by 2.0 percentage points [2][3]. - The recent U.S. announcement of a 100% additional tariff on Chinese imports starting November 1, 2025, emphasizes the value of companies with established global production capabilities, allowing them to mitigate tariff costs and capture market share in favorable overseas markets [9][10]. - The report identifies a significant opportunity in the Australian wool market, with prices reaching record highs, benefiting companies like New Australia Co. [13][14]. Industry Data Summary - Retail sales in the apparel and textile category totaled 940 billion yuan from January to August, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.9% [27]. - In August, China's textile and apparel exports amounted to $26.54 billion, a year-on-year decline of 5.0%, with apparel exports specifically down by 10.1% [34]. - Cotton prices have shown slight fluctuations, with the national cotton price B index at 14,775 yuan per ton, down 0.3% this week [37]. - The Chinese sportswear market is projected to reach 408.9 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 6.0% year-on-year, with Anta's market share increasing [40].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in holiday travel and consumption, with an average of 3.04 billion people traveling daily from October 1 to 8, a year-on-year increase of 6.3% [3][11] - Domestic consumption is showing steady improvement, with average daily sales in related sectors increasing by 4.5% during the holiday period, driven by strong performance in digital products, jewelry, and cultural services [3][15] - The offline performance of the entertainment sector is robust, with a 39.5% year-on-year increase in audience numbers for live performances during the holiday [3][20] Summary by Sections Holiday Consumption Trends - The report notes a rise in domestic travel, with 8.88 billion domestic trips taken during the holiday, an increase of 1.23 billion trips compared to the previous year [11][12] - The average spending per person decreased by 13% despite the increase in total expenditure, which reached 809 billion yuan [11][12] Retail and E-commerce Performance - Key retail and catering enterprises saw a 2.7% year-on-year increase in sales during the holiday [19] - E-commerce platforms experienced a surge in sales of green organic foods (up 27.9%), smart home products (up 14.3%), and domestic fashion brands (up 14.1%) [19][20] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on several sectors for potential investment, including: 1. Major appliances benefiting from trade-in programs, recommending companies like Midea Group, Haier Smart Home, and Gree Electric [4][23] 2. The pet industry, which is expected to remain resilient, with recommendations for companies like Guai Bao Pet and Zhongchong Co [4][23] 3. Small appliances and branded apparel, which may see a rebound in demand, with recommendations for companies like Bear Electric and Anta Sports [4][23] 4. Electric two-wheelers, with a strong outlook for domestic sales improvement, recommending companies like Ninebot and Yadea [4][23] Global Market Opportunities - The report emphasizes the long-term theme of international expansion, recommending companies like Ecovacs and Roborock in the cleaning appliance sector, and Midea and Haier in the major appliance sector [5][24] - It also highlights the potential for motorcycle brands to increase their market share overseas, suggesting companies like Chunfeng Power and Longxin General [5][24] Market Data - The home appliance sector saw a slight decline of 0.4% this week, with specific segments showing varied performance: white goods up 0.8%, black goods down 0.3%, and kitchen appliances down 1.0% [25]

Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector has underperformed the broader market since September, with textile manufacturing outperforming branded apparel, showing +0.1% and -1.6% respectively as of October 9 [1][13] - Key companies that have seen significant gains since September include Xin'ao Co. (+16.9%), Fengtai Enterprise (+14.9%), Adidas (+11.6%), and others [1] Brand Apparel Insights - Retail sales of clothing in August grew by 3.1% year-on-year, with a 1.3 percentage point increase from the previous month [2] - The sales pressure is expected in September due to the absence of the Mid-Autumn Festival and high temperatures affecting consumer behavior [2] - E-commerce channels showed strong growth in outdoor apparel, with sportswear brands like Descente (+51%) and Lululemon (+35%) leading the way [2] Textile Manufacturing Insights - Vietnam's textile exports in September increased by 9.4% year-on-year, while footwear exports rose by 9.0% [3] - China's textile exports showed a slight improvement in August, with a 1.4% increase, although apparel and footwear exports declined significantly [3] - Wool prices saw a notable increase in September, rising by 17.5% month-on-month and 28.3% year-on-year [3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the rebound opportunities in textile manufacturing, with expectations for order recovery in Q4 [5] - Companies like Shenzhou International, which is Nike's largest apparel supplier, and Huayi Group are highlighted as key beneficiaries of tariff changes and Nike's recovery [5] - The report suggests that the impact of tariffs will diminish in Q4, leading to a stabilization of orders [5] Key Company Forecasts - Shenzhou International is rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 4.37 in 2025 and a PE ratio of 13.9 [8] - Other companies such as Huayi Group and Kai Run Co. are also rated "Outperform" with positive growth forecasts [8]

Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector has underperformed the broader market since September, with textile manufacturing showing better performance than branded apparel, with respective changes of +0.1% and -1.6% as of October 9 [1][13] - Key companies that have seen significant gains since September include Xin'ao Co. (+16.9%), Fengtai Enterprise (+14.9%), Adidas (+11.6%), and others [1] Brand Apparel Insights - Retail sales of clothing increased by 3.1% year-on-year in August, with a 1.3 percentage point improvement from the previous month. However, sales in September are expected to face pressure due to the absence of the Mid-Autumn Festival and continued warm weather [2] - E-commerce channels showed strong growth in outdoor apparel, with categories like sportswear and outdoor clothing growing by 22% and 51% respectively for leading brands [2] - On social media platform Xiaohongshu, the top three brands in the sports and outdoor category saw significant follower growth, indicating strong consumer interest [2] Textile Manufacturing Insights - Vietnam's textile exports saw a year-on-year increase of 9.4% in September, while footwear exports rose by 9.0%, indicating a recovery in the sector [3] - The price of wool significantly increased in September, with a month-on-month rise of 17.5% and a year-on-year increase of 28.3% [3] - Companies like Ruohong have visibility on orders extending to Q1 2026, maintaining a revenue target of over 3 billion yuan per month [3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on textile manufacturing rebound opportunities, particularly after the release of Q3 reports. The impact of U.S. tariffs is expected to diminish, with orders stabilizing [5] - Key companies to watch include Shenzhou International, Huayi Group, and Kai Run Co., which are positioned to benefit from tariff changes and recovery in demand [5][7] - In the branded apparel segment, long-term growth is anticipated in the sports category, with recommendations for brands like Anta Sports, Xtep International, and Li Ning [7]

Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the impressive financial performance of Shenzhou International Group Holdings Limited, showcasing its ability to achieve high profits and growth in the traditional textile industry, often perceived as low-margin and labor-intensive [1][12]. Financial Performance - For the six months ending June 30, 2025, the company reported sales revenue of approximately 14.966 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 15.3%, and a profit attributable to shareholders of 3.177 billion RMB, up 8.4%, both reaching historical highs for the same period [1][3]. - The gross profit margin decreased to 27.1% from 29.0%, while the operating profit margin fell to 21.2% from 22.6% [3]. Market Performance - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by strong performance in overseas markets and continuous optimization of product structure [4]. - By product category, sports products accounted for 10.129 billion RMB (67.7% of total revenue), with a year-on-year growth of 9.9%, while leisure products saw a significant increase of 37.4%, reaching 3.792 billion RMB [5]. - In terms of geographical sales, international sales totaled 11.321 billion RMB (75.6% of total revenue), with notable growth in the U.S. (35.8%), Europe (19.9%), and Japan (18.1%), contrasting with a 2.1% decline in domestic sales [6]. Competitive Advantages - The company's success is attributed to its unique vertical integration model, which encompasses all production stages from textile to finished garments, enhancing product quality and supply chain efficiency [7]. - Shenzhou International has established a global production footprint, starting with a base in Cambodia and expanding to Vietnam, optimizing cost structures and mitigating trade barriers [8]. - The company maintains deep partnerships with major global brands like Nike and Adidas, participating in early product development and fabric research, which strengthens its position in the supply chain [9]. - Continuous investment in technology, including automation and smart manufacturing systems, is a key focus, with initiatives like 3D visual inspection and AI-driven decision-making systems [10]. Future Strategies - The company aims to address challenges such as rising labor costs and environmental pressures by expanding its market presence, nurturing high-potential new clients, and enhancing the development of functional and eco-friendly fabrics [11]. - A dual strategy of "new construction + renovation" will be implemented to accelerate the smart upgrade of global production bases, focusing on automation in cutting, warehousing, and logistics [11]. - Shenzhou International plans to upgrade its internal control systems and optimize its procurement management to improve operational efficiency and risk management [11].