SHENZHOU INTL(02313)

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纺织服装9月投资策略暨中报总结:制造板块中期业绩韧性强,运动板块领跑服饰消费
Guoxin Securities· 2025-09-10 07:41
Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector has shown resilience in mid-term performance, with the sports segment leading apparel consumption [1][12] - In August, the A-share textile and apparel sector slightly underperformed the broader market, but has shown stable performance since September, with brand apparel outperforming textile manufacturing [1][12] Brand Apparel Insights - Retail sales of clothing in July grew by 1.8% year-on-year, with a slight deceleration compared to the previous month [1] - E-commerce growth in July rebounded significantly, with outdoor sports leading the way; growth rates for various segments included sports apparel at +11%, outdoor apparel at +26%, and home textiles at +10% [1] - Notable brand performances included Decathlon with +63%, Puma with +41%, and Lululemon with +39% in sports apparel; outdoor brands like Kailas and Arc'teryx also showed strong growth [1] Textile Manufacturing Insights - In August, Vietnam's textile exports fell by 4.5% year-on-year, while China's textile exports improved slightly with a growth rate of 1.4% [2] - The export performance of apparel and footwear from China was poor, with declines of 10.1% and 17.1% respectively [2] - The price of cotton showed slight fluctuations in August, with a small decline noted in September [2] Sector Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, textile manufacturing revenue grew by 7.8% year-on-year, while the apparel and home textile sector faced a decline of 6.4% [3] - The gross margin for the textile manufacturing sector remained stable at 19.4%, while the apparel and home textile sector's gross margin increased slightly to 46.1% [3] - Key players in the apparel sector, such as Anta and Xtep, maintained steady growth in revenue and profit, while non-sports apparel faced significant challenges [3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on undervalued leaders with strong fundamentals in brand apparel, particularly in the sports segment, with recommendations for Anta Sports, Xtep International, and Li Ning [6] - In textile manufacturing, recommend companies with significant rebound potential and strong fundamentals, such as Shenzhou International and Huayi Group [6]
申洲国际(02313.HK):完善竞争力应对内外部变化

Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-08 19:01
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 15 billion with a year-on-year growth of 15% and a net profit of 3.177 billion, reflecting an 8.39% increase [1] - The sports segment generated 10.1 billion in revenue, up 10%, driven by increased demand in Europe and the US [1] - The leisure segment saw a significant revenue increase of 37% to 3.8 billion, mainly due to demand in Japan and Europe [1] - The lingerie segment achieved 900 million in revenue, growing by 4%, supported by sales in Japan and Europe [1] - The gross profit margin decreased by 1.9 percentage points to 27%, primarily due to increased labor costs from employee salary hikes [1] Production Expansion - The company is expanding its production capacity overseas, with a second fabric factory in Vietnam nearing completion and expected to start production by the end of the year [1] - A new garment factory in Cambodia began operations in March 2025, employing around 4,000 workers, with plans for further production scale increases [1][2] - Domestically, the company is upgrading its existing production facilities, including a new weaving factory in Ningbo and renovations in the garment factory [2] Internal Control and Management - The company is enhancing its internal control systems and optimizing management processes to support global operations [2] - Efforts include standardizing control processes, increasing automation in business reviews, and strengthening procurement controls [2] - The company values long-term relationships with suppliers and is improving supplier evaluation and entry processes to ensure a fair operating environment [2] Financial Forecast Adjustments - Due to tariff uncertainties, the company adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 31.9 billion, 35.5 billion, and 39 billion, respectively [2] - The net profit estimates for the same period are revised to 6.6 billion, 7.3 billion, and 8 billion [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) projections are adjusted to 4.37, 4.83, and 5.31 [2]
纺织服饰周专题:Lululemon发布FY2025Q2季报,公司营收增长7%,低于公司预期
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-09-07 14:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the textile and apparel industry, including Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, with respective 2025 PE ratios of 18x, 19x, and 12x [11][40]. Core Insights - Lululemon's FY2025Q2 revenue grew by 7% year-on-year to $2.5 billion, which was below the company's expectations, primarily due to weak performance in the U.S. market [1][16]. - The report highlights a continued recovery in the consumer environment for apparel, with a focus on the long-term growth potential of the sports footwear and apparel segment [3][24]. - The report emphasizes the importance of product differentiation and brand strength in the jewelry sector, predicting that companies with clear product differentiation will outperform the industry in 2025 [4][24]. Summary by Sections Lululemon's Performance - Lululemon's Q2 revenue was $2.5 billion, with a 7% year-on-year increase, and a 6% increase on a currency-neutral basis. The Americas segment saw a 1% increase, while international revenue grew by 22% [1][16]. - The gross profit increased by 5% to $1.5 billion, but the gross margin decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 58.5% [1][16]. - The company adjusted its FY2025 revenue growth forecast to 2%-4%, with a potential 4%-6% growth on a comparable 52-week basis [1][16]. Regional Analysis - In the U.S., Q2 revenue was flat, with a 1% increase in the Americas segment. The company noted that consumer response to new product colors was below expectations, indicating a potential issue with product lifecycle [20]. - In China, Q2 revenue grew by 24%, driven by the opening of five new stores and various brand-building activities. The company expects a 20%-25% revenue growth in FY2025 for the Chinese market [20][21]. Apparel and Footwear Sector - The report indicates that the sports footwear segment is expected to outperform the overall apparel market, with a healthy inventory turnover ratio of 4-5 [3][24]. - Key recommendations include Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, which are expected to show strong performance due to their operational capabilities and market positioning [27][40]. Jewelry Sector - The report notes that the jewelry market is facing weak demand, with gold jewelry consumption down 27% and 24% in Q1 and Q2, respectively. Companies with strong product and brand capabilities are expected to perform better [39][24]. Manufacturing Sector - The textile manufacturing sector is experiencing changes due to new tariff policies, which may impact profit expectations for 2025-2026. Companies with integrated and international supply chains are expected to gain market share [8][25]. - Recommendations include Shenzhou International and Huayi Group, which are seen as having strong performance and competitive advantages [25][40].
申洲国际(02313):完善竞争力应对内外部变化
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-09-07 05:41
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5]. Core Viewpoints - The company reported a revenue of 15 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 15%, and a net profit of 3.177 billion RMB, which is an increase of 8.39% compared to the previous year [1]. - The growth in revenue is attributed to increased demand for sportswear in Europe and the United States, with sportswear sales reaching 10.1 billion RMB, a 10% increase year-on-year. Casual wear saw a significant increase of 37%, reaching 3.8 billion RMB, driven by demand in Japan and Europe [1]. - The company is expanding its production capacity both domestically and internationally, with a new fabric factory in Vietnam nearing completion and a garment factory in Cambodia that began production in March 2025 [2]. - The company is also upgrading its existing domestic production facilities, including a new weaving factory in Ningbo and renovations in its garment factory [2]. - The company is enhancing its internal control systems and optimizing management processes to support its global operations, focusing on standardizing control processes and improving procurement controls [3]. - The revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted to 31.9 billion RMB, 35.5 billion RMB, and 39 billion RMB respectively, with net profits projected at 6.6 billion RMB, 7.3 billion RMB, and 8 billion RMB [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 15 billion RMB, a 15% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.177 billion RMB, an 8.39% increase [1]. Product Segmentation - Sportswear revenue was 10.1 billion RMB, up 10% year-on-year; casual wear revenue was 3.8 billion RMB, up 37%; underwear revenue was 900 million RMB, up 4%; and other knitted products generated 100 million RMB, up 6% [1]. Production Capacity Expansion - The company is making significant investments in expanding production capacity in Vietnam and Cambodia, with new factories expected to enhance production efficiency [2]. Internal Control and Management - The company is focusing on improving internal controls and management processes to enhance operational efficiency and supplier relationships [3]. Earnings Forecast - Adjusted revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 reflect a cautious outlook due to tariff uncertainties, with expected revenues of 31.9 billion RMB, 35.5 billion RMB, and 39 billion RMB, and net profits of 6.6 billion RMB, 7.3 billion RMB, and 8 billion RMB respectively [4].
港股早盘反弹 这个板块迎来政策利好
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-05 02:04
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a slight rebound after three consecutive days of decline, with the Hang Seng Index rising 0.35% to 25,145 points and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing 0.52% to 5,608 points [1] - The textile and apparel sector showed overall strength, with notable gains from companies such as Li Ning (up over 3.5%), Anta Sports, and others [1] - The State Council issued an opinion aimed at enhancing sports consumption potential and promoting high-quality development in the sports industry, targeting a total scale exceeding 7 trillion yuan by 2030 [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs raised its target price for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) from 509 HKD to 524 HKD, maintaining a "Buy" rating, reflecting confidence in the company's strategic direction and long-term growth potential [2] - Despite a recent weak performance in the Hong Kong stock market, analysts believe that the market remains undervalued globally, with significant inflows from southbound funds exceeding 112.1 billion HKD in August [2] - Analysts from Guotai Junan Securities (Hong Kong) and Guoyuan Hong Kong express optimism about the structural opportunities in the Hong Kong market, particularly in the technology, consumer, and pharmaceutical sectors [2]
国海证券晨会纪要-20250904
Guohai Securities· 2025-09-04 01:04
Group 1 - The report highlights that SAIC Motor Corporation achieved a total revenue of 299.59 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.02 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.2% [4][5] - The company reported a significant increase in non-recurring net profit, which reached 5.43 billion yuan, up 432.2% year-on-year, indicating strong operational performance despite challenges [4][5] - The sales volume of SAIC Motor's vehicles in H1 2025 was 2.053 million units, an increase of 12.4% year-on-year, with a notable 40.2% increase in new energy vehicle sales [5][6] Group 2 - Shenzhou Taiyue's H1 2025 revenue was 2.685 billion yuan, down 12.05% year-on-year, with a net profit of 509 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 19.26% [11][12] - The gaming segment contributed 75.53% of total revenue, with a significant drop in revenue from major titles, indicating a need for new product launches to drive growth [12][13] - The company is expected to enter a three-year product cycle from 2025 to 2027, with multiple new games set to launch, which could enhance revenue streams [12][14] Group 3 - Lemon Film's H1 2025 revenue reached 401 million yuan, a remarkable increase of 108.5% year-on-year, with a net profit of 10.82 million yuan, compared to a loss in the previous year [17][18] - The growth was driven by overseas distribution and short drama business expansion, alongside effective cost control measures [18][19] - The company is positioned as a leader in the long drama industry, with strong content production capabilities and a focus on overseas and short drama markets [21][22] Group 4 - Jinshi Resources reported a revenue of 1.726 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.24%, primarily due to the release of production capacity in fluorochemical products [23][24] - The company faced a net profit decline of 24.74% due to operational challenges and increased costs associated with mining projects [24][25] - The strategic shift towards global resource integration is expected to yield long-term benefits, with projected revenues of 3.727 billion yuan in 2025 [27][28] Group 5 - Zhongke Chuangda's H1 2025 revenue was 3.299 billion yuan, up 37.44% year-on-year, with a net profit of 158 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 51.84% [29][30] - The smart IoT business saw a remarkable growth of 136%, becoming the fastest-growing segment, while the smart automotive and software businesses maintained steady expansion [30][31] - The company is expected to continue leading in the edge AI sector, with projected revenues of 6.533 billion yuan by 2027 [35] Group 6 - Sound Group Inc. achieved a total revenue of 1.358 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 46.9% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 68 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [39][42] - The audio entertainment segment remains the core revenue driver, while AI-related services are expected to enhance growth potential [39][40] - The company is focusing on user engagement and content creation to improve monetization and user retention [41][42] Group 7 - Beautiful Field Medical Health reported a revenue of 1.459 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 28.2% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 171 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 35.5% [44][45] - The growth was driven by an increase in active members and the expansion of health services, particularly in the sub-health sector [45][46] - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 3 billion yuan by 2027 [46]
申洲国际(02313):2025H1收入表现亮眼,看好海外产能释放
Guohai Securities· 2025-09-03 13:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][10][11] Core Insights - The company achieved a sales revenue of 14.966 billion RMB in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.3%, with a net profit of 3.177 billion RMB, up 8.4% year-on-year [5][7] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by product diversification and the expansion of overseas production capacity [7][10] - The gross margin decreased to 27.1%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to rising labor costs [5][7] Financial Performance - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for H1 2025 was 2.11 RMB, reflecting an 8.2% increase year-on-year [5][7] - The revenue breakdown shows that the sports category generated 10.129 billion RMB (67.7% of total revenue), the leisure category 3.792 billion RMB (25.3%), and the underwear category 0.94 billion RMB (6.3%) [7] - Revenue from key regions includes Europe at 3.029 billion RMB (20.2%), the US at 2.555 billion RMB (17.1%), and Japan at 2.499 billion RMB (16.7%) [7] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 32.039 billion RMB, 35.386 billion RMB, and 38.571 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 12%, 10%, and 9% [9][10] - The projected net profit for the same years is 6.587 billion RMB, 7.323 billion RMB, and 7.996 billion RMB, with growth rates of 6%, 11%, and 9% respectively [9][10] Market Position - The company's four core customers accounted for 82.1% of total revenue, indicating a strong market position and stable order growth [7][8] - The company is well-positioned for future growth due to its brand client expansion and integrated domestic and overseas production capacity [10]
纺织服饰行业2025H1总结:运动户外景气成长,服饰制造格局优化
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-09-03 01:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the sports footwear and apparel sector, including Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, with respective 2025 PE ratios of 18x, 19x, and 12x [5][9][10]. Core Insights - The sports footwear and apparel sector shows robust growth, with a 9.1% year-on-year revenue increase to 65.9 billion yuan in H1 2025, and a net profit growth of 8.2% to 10.54 billion yuan after adjusting for one-time gains and losses from the previous year [1][17]. - A-shares in the branded apparel sector experienced stable revenue but significant profit pressure, with a slight revenue decline of 0.1% and a net profit drop of 17.5% in H1 2025 [2][17]. - The textile manufacturing sector faced a weakening trend in Q2 2025 compared to Q1, with a revenue increase of 2.7% but a net profit decline of 9.8% [3][17]. - The gold and jewelry sector saw weak demand, with gold jewelry consumption down 27% and 24% in Q1 and Q2 2025, respectively, highlighting the importance of product and brand strength [4][17]. Summary by Sections H-Shares Sports Footwear and Apparel - Revenue for key companies grew 9.1% to 65.9 billion yuan, with net profit increasing 8.2% to 10.54 billion yuan after adjustments [1][17]. - Companies are focusing on expanding differentiated store formats and enhancing product performance in running shoes while entering new outdoor categories for long-term growth [1][17]. A-Shares Branded Apparel - Revenue remained stable with a slight decline of 0.1%, while net profit fell 17.5% due to increased sales expenses [2][17]. - The home textile category showed stable demand, while fashion and leisure apparel companies exhibited varied performance [2][17]. - The outlook for H2 2025 suggests potential easing of profit pressure as companies manage expenses more effectively [2][17]. Textile Manufacturing - The sector's performance weakened in Q2 2025, with revenue growth of 2.7% and a net profit decline of 9.8% [3][17]. - The impact of changing tariff policies is noted, with Southeast Asian products gaining market share in the U.S. [3][17]. - Companies with integrated and international supply chains are expected to benefit from market share gains in the long term [3][17]. Gold and Jewelry - Overall demand for gold jewelry remains weak, with significant declines in consumption [4][17]. - Companies with strong product and brand capabilities are focusing on product development and marketing to differentiate themselves in a competitive market [4][17].
申洲国际(02313.HK):订单坚挺 海外一体化产能优势凸显
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-02 02:55
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by strong orders from major clients and a robust performance in the leisurewear segment, particularly in the U.S. market [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for 25H1 reached 14.966 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.3%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.177 billion yuan, up 8.4% year-on-year [1]. - The interim dividend per share was 1.38 HKD, representing a 10.4% increase year-on-year, with a payout ratio of approximately 59.6% [1]. Product Performance - Revenue growth by product category for 25H1 was as follows: sportswear +9.9%, leisurewear +37.4%, and underwear +4.1%, with respective revenue shares of 67.7%, 25.3%, and 6.3% [1]. - Leisurewear emerged as the fastest-growing category, benefiting from increased demand in markets such as Japan and Europe, while sportswear growth was steady, driven by demand in the U.S. and Europe [1]. Client Contribution - Revenue from major clients in 25H1 was as follows: Uniqlo 4.33 billion yuan (+27.4%), Adidas 3.44 billion yuan (+6.0%), Nike 2.99 billion yuan (+28.2%), and Puma 1.53 billion yuan (+14.7%) [1]. - Strong order growth was noted from Uniqlo and Adidas, while Nike's order growth remained relatively stable [1]. Regional Performance - Revenue growth by region for 25H1 was as follows: U.S. +35.8%, Europe +19.9%, Japan +18.1%, and mainland China -2.1%, with respective revenue shares of 17.1%, 20.2%, 16.7%, and 24.4% [1]. Cost and Margin Analysis - The gross margin for 25H1 was 27.1%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased labor costs from wage hikes for frontline employees [2]. - The selling and administrative expense ratios for 25H1 were 0.73% and 7.23%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.07 percentage points and a decrease of 0.04 percentage points, respectively [2]. - Financial expenses decreased by approximately 15.5 million yuan year-on-year, attributed to lower average financing costs and interest rates [2]. Other Financial Insights - Government subsidies increased by approximately 179 million yuan to 274 million yuan year-on-year, while income tax expenses rose by about 137 million yuan to 455 million yuan due to changes in Vietnam's tax policies [2]. - The net profit margin for 25H1 was 21.2%, down 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Future Outlook - The company is progressing well with the construction of its second fabric factory in Vietnam, expected to gradually commence production by the end of 2025, with a planned capacity of 200 tons per day [3]. - The new garment factory in Cambodia began operations in March 2025 and is in the process of expanding its workforce [3]. - Net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted from 6.62 billion, 7.38 billion, and 8.16 billion yuan to 6.58 billion, 7.30 billion, and 8.09 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13, 12, and 10 times [3].
星展:升申洲国际目标价至67.5港元 评级升至“买入”

Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 10:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Shenzhou International (02313) has seen its performance stabilize in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year sales increase of 15.3%, particularly strong in the leisurewear segment [1] - The dividend payout ratio reached 59.6%, with a dividend yield of approximately 4-5% [1] - Despite rising labor costs leading to a decline in gross margin, it is expected that the adjustment in labor costs has already been reflected in the stock price, and gross margins are anticipated to stabilize in the second half of the year [1] Group 2 - The target price for Shenzhou International has been raised from HKD 49.2 to HKD 67.5 [1] - The rating has been upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" [1]