Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The dairy industry in China is experiencing a structural adjustment due to declining milk prices and rising production costs, leading to increased losses among dairy farms and a reduction in the number of dairy cows [1][22][27] - The dairy product market is dominated by a few major players, with a notable performance in flavored milk and online sales channels, indicating potential growth areas despite overall consumption decline [2][42][61] - Tianjin is emerging as a significant urban dairy industry cluster, leveraging advanced DHI measurement technology to enhance milk production efficiency [3][67][76] Summary by Sections 1. China's Dairy Industry and Production Adjustments - Inner Mongolia is the largest milk-producing region, accounting for over 19% of national milk production in 2024 [1] - The average price of fresh milk has decreased by 11.75% year-on-year in the first half of 2024, leading to a cost-price inversion for dairy farms [22][25] - The number of dairy cows in China is projected to decrease by over 500,000 heads in 2024 compared to 2023 [27][36] 2. Dairy Product Market Dynamics - The production of dairy products from large-scale enterprises is expected to decline by 1.90% in 2024, with a total output of 29.62 million tons [2][42] - The market share of flavored milk products is increasing, with online sales channels showing significant growth potential [2][61] - The average per capita consumption of dairy products in China is only 40.5 kg/year, significantly lower than the recommended dietary intake and below levels in developed countries [54] 3. Tianjin's Dairy Industry Development - Tianjin's dairy industry has achieved an annual output value exceeding 11.68 billion yuan, with a slight increase in dairy cow inventory in 2024 [3][70] - The DHI measurement technology in Tianjin is leading nationally, with a full coverage of DHI testing for all dairy cows in the region [3][76] - The average milk yield per cow in Tianjin is significantly higher than the national average, showcasing the effectiveness of local dairy management practices [3][70]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責， 對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何 部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 – 1 – 刊發發售通函 CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY COMPANY LIMITED 中國蒙牛乳業有限公司* （在開曼群島註冊成立之有限公司） （「本公司」）（股份代號：2319） 二零三零年到期之人民幣2,000,000,000元2.0厘之可持續發展債券 （債務股份代號：85042） 二零三五年到期之人民幣1,500,000,000元2.3厘之可持續發展債券 （債務股份代號：85043） 本公告及本公告所指的上市文件乃按香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則規定僅 供參考之用，並不構成出售任何證券的邀請或要約，亦不構成購買任何證券的要約 邀請。本公告及本公告所述任何內容（包括上市文件）並非任何合約或承諾的依據。 為免生疑，刊發本公告及本公告所指的上市文件不應被視為就香港法例第32章公司 （清盤及雜項條文）條例而言由本公司（定義見下文）或其代表刊發的招股章程提出的 證券發售要約，亦不屬於香港法例 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責， 對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何 部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 本公告僅供參考，並不構成收購、購買或認購證券的邀請或要約。 本公告並不構成或組成在美國或未根據其證券法例登記或不符合資格即提呈出售、 招攬或銷售任何證券即屬違法的任何其他司法權區提呈出售或招攬提呈收購、購買 或認購任何證券的任何要約。本公告或其任何內容並非任何合約或承諾之基礎。證 券並無亦不會根據一九三三年美國證券法（經修訂）（「證券法」）或美國任何州或其他 司法權區之證券法例登記。除非予以登記，否則證券僅可在根據證券法或任何其他 司法權區的證券法例獲豁免登記的交易中提呈發售。證券可根據證券法S規例於美 國境外提呈發售及銷售，惟不會在美國或任何其他限制或禁止此類發售的司法權區 公開發售。 – 1 – 於香港聯合交易所有限公司 上市的通告 CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY COMPANY LIMITED 中國蒙牛乳業有限公司* （在開曼群島註冊成立之有限公司） （股份代號：2319） 二零三零年到期 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market indices continued to decline in the afternoon, with the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping over 3.1% at one point, ultimately closing down 2.72%, marking five consecutive days of decline [1] - The Hang Seng Index and the State-Owned Enterprises Index saw slight increases of 1.36% and 1.18%, respectively [1] Sector Performance - Major technology stocks experienced widespread declines, with Alibaba and JD.com falling nearly 3%, and Baidu down 2% [2] - The automotive sector faced significant pressure, with July retail sales of narrow passenger vehicles reportedly down over 11% month-on-month, leading to increased selling in automotive stocks [2] - Semiconductor stocks underperformed throughout the day, with leading company SMIC dropping nearly 6% [2] - Biopharmaceutical stocks, which had been rising, saw a correction [2] - Oil prices rebounded to around $70 due to geopolitical tensions, benefiting oil stocks, with China Petroleum rising nearly 4% [2] - The "three-child" concept stocks gained momentum, while coal, electricity, and steel sectors showed relative activity as part of the "anti-involution" theme [2] Notable Stock Movements - Li Auto saw a significant drop of over 12%, while other major players like BYD, Xpeng, and NIO fell over 5% [4][9] - Semiconductor stocks led the declines, with SMIC down over 6% and other semiconductor companies also experiencing losses [5][6] - Apple-related stocks declined, with GoerTek falling over 5% and other related companies like Sunny Optical and BYD Electronics also down [7][8] - Oil stocks rose, with China Petroleum and Sinopec both increasing by over 3% [10][11] - The "three-child" concept stocks performed well, with H&H International Holdings rising over 11% [12][13] Capital Flows - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of HKD 11.714 billion, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing HKD 6.427 billion and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing HKD 5.287 billion [20] Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the Hong Kong market may continue to experience a gradual recovery driven by fundamental factors, with a focus on the Hang Seng Tech Index, biopharmaceuticals, and AI concepts [22]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the impact of the national unified childcare subsidy policy on various sectors, particularly focusing on the maternal and infant industry, food and beverage sector, and related consumer goods [1][5][12]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Childcare Subsidy Policy**: The national unified childcare subsidy policy is expected to require approximately 120 billion yuan in funding for 2025, accounting for about 0.4% of the general fiscal budget. The central government will primarily fund this, with regional subsidies varying by area [1][3]. 2. **Impact on Retail and Consumption**: The subsidy is projected to boost the social retail total by about 0.2 percentage points, significantly affecting essential categories like maternal and infant food, especially in central and western regions [1][5]. 3. **Investment Opportunities**: Investors are advised to focus on industry rotation opportunities arising from the subsidy, particularly in undervalued Hong Kong stocks. Consumer goods and related supply chains are seen as relatively undervalued, with the subsidy acting as a catalyst for industry rotation rather than an immediate improvement in fundamentals [1][8]. 4. **Market Performance**: In a bullish market atmosphere, public fund positions in Hong Kong stocks have rapidly increased, with total holdings around 17% and investable fund positions nearing 29%. Cyclical industries and consumer goods are expected to be the next focus areas [1][9]. 5. **Healthcare Sector**: The subsidy policy is anticipated to stimulate demand in reproductive health and maternal health sectors in the short term, with companies like Jinxin Reproductive and BGI being highlighted. Mid-term focus includes pediatric drug development, while long-term attention is directed towards specialized services like ophthalmology and dental check-ups [1][11]. Additional Important Content 1. **Food and Beverage Sector**: The food and beverage industry is expected to benefit from increased demand for maternal and infant products, particularly infant formula and dairy products. Companies like Yili, Mengniu, and New Hope are recommended due to their strong market positions [3][13][14]. 2. **Consumer Electronics**: The maternal and infant small appliance market is experiencing rapid growth, with online sales projected to reach approximately 5.3 billion yuan in 2024, showing a compound annual growth rate of 25% from 2017 to 2024. Brands like Bear Electric and Supor are increasing their market share [19][20][21]. 3. **Textile and Apparel Opportunities**: Despite a decline in newborn numbers over the past seven years, the overall market size is growing due to refined parenting and consumption upgrades. Brands in children's clothing and home textiles are expected to benefit from this trend [15]. 4. **Investment in Nursing Centers**: High-end nursing center services are highlighted as a growth area, with companies like Shengmeila showing potential due to their service offerings and market positioning [16]. 5. **Cross-Border E-commerce**: Companies involved in cross-border e-commerce for maternal and infant products, such as Anzheng Fashion, are expected to benefit from the rise in maternal and infant consumption [17]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the implications of the childcare subsidy policy across various industries and highlighting potential investment opportunities.

Summary of Conference Call on National Childcare Subsidy Policy Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the impact of the national childcare subsidy policy on various industries, particularly focusing on the maternal and infant products market, including companies like Feihe, Jianhe International, Aoyou Dairy, and Mengniu Dairy [1][3][5]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Childcare Subsidy Policy Implementation**: Starting January 1, 2025, the government will provide a monthly subsidy of 300 yuan for children under three years old, applicable to those born after January 1, 2022 [2][6]. 2. **Impact on Maternal and Infant Products Market**: The subsidy is expected to enhance family consumption capacity, benefiting retail companies like Aiyingshi and Haiziwang significantly [1][5]. 3. **Feihe's Financial Performance**: Feihe anticipates a revenue of 20.7 billion yuan in 2024, a 6.2% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.65 billion yuan, up 11% [1][3]. 4. **Jianhe International's Strategy**: The company has diversified its product offerings, with infant nutrition accounting for about half of its revenue. It has expanded its market presence, particularly in lower-tier cities, and aims to increase customer acquisition through promotional events [7][10]. 5. **Aoyou Dairy's Market Position**: Aoyou Dairy leads in the goat milk powder segment and has secured 70% of its raw milk costs, ensuring stable profit margins amid the new policy [8][4]. 6. **Mengniu Dairy's Growth Potential**: Although Mengniu's infant formula business is relatively small, its organic milk powder products are expected to benefit from the subsidy, potentially increasing sales and profitability [9][4]. 7. **Retail Sector Dynamics**: The retail sector, especially maternal and infant products, is poised for growth due to the subsidy, with companies like Aiyingshi and Haiziwang expanding their store networks and product offerings [10][5]. 8. **Consumer Electronics Impact**: Companies like Bear Electric are expected to benefit from the subsidy, with significant growth in maternal and infant appliances, projecting over 40% growth in related product sales [18][3]. 9. **Clothing Market Influence**: The subsidy is likely to boost clothing consumption, particularly in the children's apparel sector, with an estimated increase in spending on children's clothing due to the financial support [19][20]. 10. **Healthcare and Medical Products**: The conference also highlights the potential benefits for healthcare products related to infants, including vaccines and medical services, as the demand for these products is expected to rise with the increase in newborns [16][17]. Other Important Insights - The national subsidy policy represents a significant shift from previous local pilot programs, providing a more inclusive and direct financial support mechanism for families [6][12]. - The policy is expected to stimulate demand across various sectors, including retail, healthcare, and consumer electronics, creating a ripple effect in the economy [12][18]. - Companies are adapting their strategies to leverage the new policy, focusing on expanding product lines and enhancing customer engagement through innovative marketing approaches [7][10]. This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call regarding the national childcare subsidy policy and its implications across various industries.

Group 1 - The implementation of the "Childcare Subsidy System" is set to begin on January 1, 2025, providing annual subsidies of 3600 yuan per child for families with children under three years old, benefiting over 20 million families annually [1] - Local governments are also introducing their own subsidy programs, with examples including Hubei Ezhou offering 500 yuan per year for second children and 800 yuan for third children, and Inner Mongolia providing a one-time subsidy of 10,000 yuan for first children [1] - Companies like Feihe and Yili are also entering the market with their own subsidy programs, with Yili announcing a 1.6 billion yuan subsidy plan [2] Group 2 - The infant formula market is experiencing polarization, driven by high-end products, with ultra-high-end products capturing 33.2% of the market share [3] - Companies such as Feihe, FrieslandCampina, Danone, and Nestlé are maintaining growth in high-end products, while Mengniu's milk powder business is declining [3][4] - Feihe expects a revenue decline of 8% to 10% in the first half of the year due to reduced purchasing demand from the introduction of subsidies and inventory clearance [4] - The increasing subsidies are likely to further drive the premiumization of the maternal and infant market [5]

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of offshore sustainable dim sum bonds by Mengniu Dairy has reignited market interest in the offshore RMB bond market, highlighting its significance in expanding financing channels for domestic and foreign enterprises and enhancing the international status of the RMB [1][3]. Dim Sum Bond Market Overview - As of July 28, over 700 dim sum bonds have been issued this year, with a total issuance scale exceeding 500 billion RMB, although both the number and scale have decreased compared to the same period last year [1][2]. - The dim sum bond market has seen a significant increase in issuance volume and scale since 2022, with 2023 projected to reach 1,468 bonds and a scale of 925.11 billion RMB, and 2024 expected to further increase to 2,062 bonds and 1,205.52 billion RMB [5]. Factors Driving Growth - The rapid expansion of the dim sum bond market is attributed to several factors, including the rising costs of issuing US dollar bonds due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, leading domestic issuers to shift towards dim sum bonds for financing [7]. - The tightening of domestic city investment bond approvals has also created new financing channels through dim sum bonds, while the declining risk-free interest rates in China have made dim sum bonds more attractive compared to US dollar bonds [7][9]. Impact on RMB Internationalization - Dim sum bonds not only provide diversified financing options for domestic and Hong Kong enterprises but also significantly enhance the international status and influence of the RMB [9][10]. - The main issuers of dim sum bonds include city investment companies and financial institutions, with a notable increase in issuance from city investment companies in recent years [9]. Investment Demand and Market Dynamics - There is a growing demand from domestic investors for high-yield assets, alongside increased international interest in RMB-denominated assets, making offshore RMB bonds appealing to both domestic and foreign investors [12][13]. - The potential for further expansion in the dim sum bond market is supported by the expectation of a weakening US dollar and the continued attractiveness of RMB assets, which may lead to lower financing costs in the offshore market [13].

发行规模超5000亿元 近日，港股上市公司蒙牛乳业发布公告称，公司成功发行了20亿元5年期及15亿元10年期高级无抵押境外可持续发展离岸人民币债券。此次发行标志着蒙牛乳业时 隔5年后再次成功发行境外高级债券，也是公司更新境外可持续融资框架后的首笔可持续债券发行。 据了解，本次发行属于境外点心（离岸人民币）债券市场的高质量稀缺供应。公司此次发行吸引了最高值399亿元的认购，认购倍数超11倍。 随着蒙牛乳业成功发行首笔境外可持续点心债，这一离岸人民币债券市场再次引发市场关注。 证券时报记者根据Wind数据统计，今年以来，截至7月28日，点心债市场合计发行了超700只点心债，发行规模超5000亿元。与去年同期相比，发行数量和发行规模 均有所下降，但整体维持在高位水平。 业内人士指出，作为中资境外债中一个重要组成部分，点心债不仅拓宽了境内外企业的融资渠道，为投资者丰富了投资渠道和投资产品类别，而且增加了人民币在 境外的流通和使用，提升了人民币的国际地位和影响力。 点心债，又称"离岸人民币债券"，是指中国境外发行的，以人民币计价，定期获得利息、到期归还本金及利息皆以人民币支付的债券。 近年来，在我国无风险利率持续走低的 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The primary market issuance of Chinese offshore bonds declined last week, while the secondary market continued to rise slightly. The 10-year US Treasury yield fluctuated downward, and there were multiple macroeconomic events and data changes in the US and other regions [1][4]. Summary by Directory 1. Primary Market - Last week, the primary market issuance of Chinese offshore bonds declined, with 12 bonds issued, totaling approximately $1.988 billion, mainly in the financial and urban investment sectors [6]. - Mengniu Dairy issued two sustainable development bonds totaling RMB 3.5 billion, the largest issuance scale last week, with a final subscription over 5 times; Dazhou Kaisheng Construction and Development Group issued a $70 million green bond with a coupon rate of 7%, the highest - priced new bond last week [1][9]. 2. Secondary Market 2.1 Chinese US Dollar Bond Index Performance - Last week, the Chinese US dollar bond index (Bloomberg Barclays) rose 0.26% week - on - week, the emerging market US dollar bond index rose 0.56%. The investment - grade index of Chinese US dollar bonds was at 196.273, with a weekly increase of 0.26%; the high - yield index was at 161.38, with a weekly increase of 0.23% [8]. - The Chinese US dollar bond return index (Markit iBoxx) rose 0.21% week - on - week. The investment - grade return index was at 237.5951, with a weekly increase of 0.21%; the high - yield return index was at 240.6378, with a weekly increase of 0.23% [14]. 2.2 Chinese US Dollar Bond Industry Performance - In terms of industries, the healthcare and materials sectors led the gains, while the real estate and communication sectors led the losses. The healthcare sector's yield decreased by 515.7bps, and the materials sector's yield decreased by 35.4bps; the real estate sector's yield increased by 1.3Mbps, and the communication sector's yield increased by 6.9bps [19]. 2.3 Chinese US Dollar Bond Different Rating Performance - According to Bloomberg's comprehensive rating, investment - grade names all rose, with the A - grade weekly yield down 4.4bps and the BBB - grade weekly yield down 10.4bps; most high - yield names fell, with the BB - grade yield down 11.8bps, the DD + to NR - grade yield up about 25.7bps, and the unrated names' yield up 762.0bps [21]. 2.4 Last Week's Bond Market Hot Events - Shanghai Shimao Construction Co., Ltd.'s controlling shareholder, Shimao Group, had its overseas debt restructuring take effect on July 21, 2025 [24]. - Guangzhou R&F Properties Co., Ltd. was added to the list of dishonest被执行人, but it has not had a significant adverse impact on the company's daily operations and onshore bond repayment ability for now [25]. 2.5 Last Week's Subject Rating Adjustments - Multiple companies' ratings or outlooks were adjusted, including Zhangzhou Transportation Group, Bank of Communications Financial Leasing, and others, mainly due to factors such as government support, parent - company relationships, and company fundamentals [27]. 3. US Treasury Bond Quotes - The report provides quotes for 30 US Treasury bonds with maturities over 6 months, sorted by yield to maturity from high to low [28]. 4. Macroeconomic Data Tracking - As of July 25, the 1 - year US Treasury yield was 4.0932%, up 2.99bps from last week; the 2 - year yield was 3.9232%, up 5.41bps; the 5 - year yield was 3.9573%, up 1.08bps; the 10 - year yield was 4.3878%, down 2.77bps [33]. 5. Macroeconomic News - The US July S&P Global manufacturing PMI preliminary value dropped to 49.5, a new low since December 2024, but the service PMI and composite PMI reached new highs since December 2024 [31]. - The number of initial jobless claims in the US last week was 217,000, dropping for the sixth consecutive week [32]. - US existing - home sales in June decreased by 2.7% [33]. - There were also multiple international trade, policy, and economic events, such as the EU's plan to impose counter - tariffs on US products, and Japan's 40 - year Treasury auction with record - low demand [43][44].