GIANT BIOGENE(02367)

Search documents
巨子生物(02367):25H1业绩快速成长,龙头优势与韧性彰显
HTSC· 2025-08-29 11:10
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 82.50 [1]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated rapid growth in H1 2025, achieving revenue of RMB 3.113 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, and a net profit of RMB 1.18 billion, up 20.6% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 37.98% [5]. - The company is focusing on long-term strategies, maintaining stable business operations, and ensuring both revenue and profit growth while keeping profitability relatively stable [5]. - The company is expanding the application boundaries of recombinant collagen through research and development, enhancing brand value, and iterating quality products to create a long-term growth matrix [5][6]. Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company's revenue from its main brand, Kefu Mei, was RMB 2.542 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.7% [6]. - The company reported a gross margin of 81.68%, with a sales and distribution expense ratio of 34.01%, reflecting optimization in sales expenses [8]. - The company expects to maintain its profit forecast, projecting net profits of RMB 2.6 billion, RMB 3.203 billion, and RMB 3.812 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 2.53, RMB 3.11, and RMB 3.71 [9]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company has successfully expanded its offline channels, entering approximately 1,700 public/private hospitals and clinics, and over 13,000 chain pharmacies [7]. - The direct sales through e-commerce platforms showed significant growth, achieving revenue of RMB 391 million, a year-on-year increase of 133.6% [7]. - The company is also exploring international markets, having entered Watsons in Malaysia, which is expected to provide new growth opportunities [7]. Valuation Metrics - The company is valued at a market capitalization of HKD 55.955 billion, with a closing price of HKD 52.25 as of August 28 [1]. - The projected PE ratios for the upcoming years are 24.23 for 2025, 19.22 for 2026, and 15.60 for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [4][11].
瑞银:降巨子生物(02367)目标价至79.5港元 维持“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 09:31
Core Viewpoint - UBS has downgraded the net profit forecast for Giant Bio (02367) for 2025 to 2027 by 4-10%, primarily due to a revision in revenue growth expectations for the Comfy business, although this impact is offset by an improvement in sales expense ratio [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The target price for Giant Bio has been reduced from HKD 93.1 to HKD 79.5 while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - The company's revenue showed a robust growth of 23% year-on-year, driven mainly by online sales rather than distributor channels [1] - The net profit margin reached 38%, with the marketing expense ratio decreasing by 1.1 percentage points to 34% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Brand and Market Position - Despite earlier concerns related to allegations of fraud affecting the Comfy brand's collagen bars, it still contributes nearly 30% to brand sales [1] - Management has reiterated ongoing collaborations with top influencers to enhance consumer education and is on track with preparations for the Double 11 shopping festival [1] Group 3: Future Guidance - The company maintains its guidance for a sales growth of 25% to 28% year-on-year and a profit target of RMB 2.5 billion to 2.55 billion for 2025 [1]
巨子生物(02367):2025 半年报点评:业绩稳健增长,控费良好
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-08-29 09:20
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6][18] Core Insights - The company reported a steady growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with year-on-year increases of 23% and 20% respectively, indicating strong performance and effective cost control [2][10] - The sales expense ratio has decreased year-on-year, highlighting improved operational efficiency [10] - The company is focusing on the performance of key products and new launches, which are expected to drive future growth [10] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 3,524 million RMB, with a growth forecast to 5,539 million RMB in 2024, and reaching 10,402 million RMB by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.4% [4][12] - Net profit is expected to grow from 1,452 million RMB in 2023 to 3,795 million RMB by 2027, with a CAGR of 23.4% [4][12] - The company maintains a high gross profit margin, projected at 81.7% for the first half of 2025, despite a slight year-on-year decrease [10] Revenue Breakdown - For the first half of 2025, revenue from various channels showed significant growth: DTC online direct sales increased by 13%, e-commerce platform direct sales surged by 134%, and offline direct sales rose by 12% [10] - The main brand, "可复美," launched upgraded products that performed well in the market, indicating strong brand momentum [10] Product Development - The company continues to innovate with new product launches, including an upgraded collagen stick and a new skincare series, which are expected to enhance market presence and meet consumer demands [10]
瑞银:降巨子生物目标价至79.5港元 维持“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 08:43
瑞银发布研报称,将巨子生物(02367)2025至27年净利润预测下调4-10%,主要基于Comfy业务营收增长 预期下修,此影响被销售费用率改善所抵销。目标价由93.1港元下调至79.5港元,维持"买入"评级。 与投资者的交流显示,巨子生物在6月18日购物节期间的声誉事件,导致市场对其增长与盈利能力产生 担忧。但该行指上半年业绩缓解部分忧虑,公司营收保持稳健增长,同比上升23%,主要驱动力来自线 上销售而非经销商渠道;旗下品牌Comfy明星产品胶原蛋白棒尽管早前受涉嫌造假事件影响,仍维持近 30%品牌销售贡献度;净利润率达38%,营销费用率同比收缩1.1个百分点至34%。另外,管理层重申正 持续与顶尖网红合作,积极推动消费者教育,双11活动筹备按计划推进,维持2025年销售额25%至28% 同比增长及利润的25亿至25.5亿元人民币的指引。 ...
巨子生物(02367):2025年半年报点评:25H1收入利润稳健增长,销售费用率同比优化
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-08-29 07:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][7] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 3.113 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.5%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.182 billion yuan, up 20.2% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 81.68%, a slight decrease of 0.72 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 37.99%, down 0.61 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The sales expense ratio improved by 1 percentage point year-on-year to 34.01%, while the management expense ratio increased by 0.07 percentage points to 2.65% [1] Revenue and Profit Growth - The company's brand "可复美" generated revenue of 2.54 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 22.7% [2] - The "可丽金" brand achieved revenue of 500 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 26.9% year-on-year [2] Channel Performance - Direct sales channels contributed 2.325 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 74.7% of total revenue, with DTC channels generating 1.816 billion yuan [3] - The company has expanded its offline presence, covering approximately 1,700 public hospitals and 3,000 private hospitals and clinics, along with over 130,000 pharmacy stores [3] Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.505 billion yuan, 3.102 billion yuan, and 3.732 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 21, 17, and 14 [4][6]
美银证券:微升巨子生物(02367)目标价至79.5港元 重申“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 07:40
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities has raised the target price for Giant Bio (02367) to HKD 79.5, maintaining a "Buy" rating due to the strong visibility of growth in its collagen product restructuring [1][2]. Financial Performance - Giant Bio's revenue for the first half of the year reached RMB 3.113 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.5% [2]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecast for the Comfy brand upwards based on the strong performance in July [2]. Earnings Forecast - The total revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been increased by 1.9% each [2]. - Earnings per share forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been raised by 2%, 1.7%, and 1.7% respectively [2]. Cost Structure - Due to a decrease in the contribution from live streaming revenue, the sales expense ratio for 2025 has been lowered [2].
美银证券:微升巨子生物目标价至79.5港元 重申“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 07:27
美银证券发布研报称,巨子生物(02367)上半年业绩略超预期,总收入31.13亿元人民币,同比增长 22.5%。该行基于上半年表现及今年7月强劲的线上表现,上调公司旗下品牌可复美(Comfy)的收入预 测,并将2025至2027年的总收入预测各上调1.9%。此外,因巨子生物的直播收入贡献降低,下调2025 年销售费用比率;将2025至207年每股盈利预测分别上调2%、1.7%及1.7%。对其目标价由79港元微升至 79.5港元,重申"买入"评级,因为重组胶原蛋白产品的增长可见度高。 ...
麦格理:升巨子生物目标价至80港元 评级“跑赢大市”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 06:44
该行相信,巨子生物将加大广告和推广力度,以在双十一期间举办一系列营销活动,重建消费者信任。 该行认为投资增幅应该可控,且可以通过改善营运效率和有利的电商平台组合变化来部分抵销。至于线 下渠道,药房和OTC渠道保持稳定,因此该行认为不需要额外的投资。另外,正在发展的Sephora合作 伙伴关系亦值得市场关注。 麦格理发布研报称,巨子生物(02367)上半年业绩稳固,收入同比增22.5%,纯利升20.2%,直播恢复工 作进展顺利。该行预期,在接近双十一预售期间,将会有更多高知名度的KOL进行直播。该行上调巨 子生物今明两年的净利润预测2.7%和5.8%,以反映上半年利润胜于预期及Comfy的销售逐步复苏,目标 价由76港元升至80港元,评级跑赢大市。 ...
麦格理:升巨子生物(02367)目标价至80港元 评级“跑赢大市”
智通财经网· 2025-08-29 06:40
Core Viewpoint - Macquarie's report indicates that Giant Bio (02367) has shown solid performance in the first half of the year, with revenue increasing by 22.5% year-on-year and net profit rising by 20.2% [1] Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 22.5% year-on-year [1] - Net profit rose by 20.2% [1] Future Outlook - Macquarie expects more high-profile KOLs to participate in live streaming during the pre-sale period of Double Eleven [1] - The net profit forecasts for Giant Bio have been raised by 2.7% and 5.8% for the current and next year, respectively, reflecting better-than-expected profits in the first half and gradual recovery in Comfy's sales [1] - The target price has been increased from 76 HKD to 80 HKD, maintaining an outperform rating [1] Marketing Strategy - The company is expected to increase advertising and promotional efforts to conduct a series of marketing activities during Double Eleven to rebuild consumer trust [1] - Investment growth is anticipated to be manageable, with potential offsets from improved operational efficiency and favorable changes in e-commerce platform combinations [1] Channel Stability - Offline channels, including pharmacies and OTC channels, remain stable, indicating no need for additional investment [1] - The developing partnership with Sephora is also highlighted as a point of interest for the market [1]
巨子生物(02367):港股公司信息更新报告:2025H1业绩稳健,大单品迭代与渠道拓展持续验证
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-29 06:26
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported steady growth in H1 2025, achieving revenue of 3.113 billion yuan (up 22.5% year-on-year) and a net profit of 1.182 billion yuan (up 20.2% year-on-year). As a leader in the collagen protein sector, the company is expected to continue delivering strong performance [4] - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 2.597 billion, 3.185 billion, and 3.834 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.51, 3.07, and 3.70 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 19.7, 16.0, and 13.3 times for the respective years [4] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue for 2023 was 3.524 billion yuan, with projections of 5.539 billion for 2024, 7.186 billion for 2025, 9.022 billion for 2026, and 11.024 billion for 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 49.0%, 57.2%, 29.7%, 25.5%, and 22.2% respectively [8] - Net profit for 2023 was 1.452 billion yuan, with projections of 2.062 billion for 2024, 2.597 billion for 2025, 3.185 billion for 2026, and 3.834 billion for 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 44.9%, 42.1%, 25.9%, 22.6%, and 20.4% respectively [8] - The gross margin for 2025 is projected to be 81.6%, with net margins of 36.1% and ROE of 28.8% [8] - The diluted EPS is expected to be 2.5 yuan for 2025, with P/E ratios decreasing from 35.2 in 2023 to 19.7 in 2025 [8]