Investment Rating - The beauty and personal care industry is rated as "Recommended" [1] Core Insights - The overall market shows stable growth, with impressive performance in instant retail during the Double Eleven shopping festival, achieving a total e-commerce sales of 1,695 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.2% [2] - The beauty sector outperformed the overall e-commerce market, with skincare sales reaching 991 billion yuan and fragrance and makeup sales at 334 billion yuan, both showing double-digit growth [3] - Domestic brands are gaining strength, with notable performances from brands like Proya and Han Shu, while international luxury brands are also recovering [4][5] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The Double Eleven shopping festival saw a total e-commerce sales of 1,695 billion yuan, with a 14.2% year-on-year growth. Instant retail sales reached 67 billion yuan, marking a significant increase of 138.4% [2] Beauty Sector Performance - The beauty and skincare sales during Double Eleven reached 991 billion yuan, with fragrance and makeup sales at 334 billion yuan, both exceeding the overall market growth rate [3] Brand Analysis - On Tmall, domestic brands occupy five spots in the top 20 beauty brands, with Proya maintaining the top position. International brands like L'Oréal and Estée Lauder also showed improvements [4] - On Douyin, domestic brands hold five spots in the top 10 beauty brands, with Han Shu and Proya leading the rankings [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on brands with strong growth and performance certainty, such as MaoGeping and Marubi. Brands showing significant improvement include Shuiyang and Shanghai Jahwa, while companies with core technology and clear long-term trends like Juzibio are also recommended [6]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Giant Bio (02367) has experienced a significant decline, dropping over 5% during trading, with a current price of HKD 37.62 and a trading volume of HKD 285 million [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of the latest report, Giant Bio's stock is down 4.42% [1] - The company's main product, 可复美, has seen a drop in its ranking on Tmall's beauty list, falling from 5th place in 2023 to 20th place in the current year [1] - On Douyin, 可复美 has continuously fallen out of the top 20 since June of this year [1] Group 2: Sales and Revenue Trends - According to Citigroup's previous research, the promotional strategy for Giant Bio's products has become more stringent, leading to decreased price attractiveness [1] - Data from 蝉妈妈 indicates that from October 9 to 16, 可复美's Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) on Douyin was between HKD 50 million to 75 million, a significant decline from over HKD 100 million during the same period last year [1]

消息面上，据21世纪经济报道，青眼数据显示，2023年—2025年天猫大促美妆榜单中，可复美从第10位 上升至第5位，而后今年回落到第20位。此外，以往常居抖音美妆榜的可复美，自今年6月起连续跌出前 20名。花旗此前研报指出，巨子生物的主打产品在李佳琦直播间预售中因"促销策略更严谨"导致价格吸 引力下降。蝉妈妈数据进一步印证了这一趋势：10月9日至16日，可复美在抖音平台的GMV为0.5—0.75 亿元，较去年同期1亿元以上明显缩水。 智通财经APP获悉，巨子生物(02367)盘中跌超5%，截至发稿，跌4.42%，报37.62港元，成交额2.85亿港 元。 ...

Core Insights - The beauty industry is undergoing a technological transformation, with the integration of medical research driving value upgrades in cosmetics. This dual integration of medicine and beauty is defining a new competitive logic in the industry [3][6][24]. Industry Trends - The 20th China Dermatology Association (CDA) conference showcased over 10,000 dermatologists and more than 100 companies, including both domestic and international beauty brands, highlighting the industry's focus on scientific collaboration [3][4]. - The concept of "medical-research co-creation" emerged as a key theme, with brands actively participating in discussions on how to contribute to the skin science system, moving from mere users of research to active participants in scientific understanding and industry standards [7][24]. Brand Innovations - Winona, a brand known for its scientific foundation, showcased its "NUTE" principle at CDA 2025, which emphasizes clinical needs, unique mechanisms, technology empowerment, and credible evidence in product development [10]. - HBN, a domestic skincare brand, initiated the establishment of a group standard for "Cosmetic Efficacy Evidence Weight Assessment Guidelines," aiming to shift the industry from experience-driven to evidence-based competition [11][13]. - Estee Lauder's Clinique presented a white paper on the causes and distribution patterns of post-inflammatory hyperpigmentation, demonstrating the brand's commitment to scientific validation [14][16]. Research and Development - The integration of research and clinical application is evident in the initiatives taken by brands like Giant Bio and Zhenyan Bio, which are expanding the boundaries of medical-research co-creation through innovative collagen products and clinical studies [20][22]. - The collaboration between brands and medical experts is evolving, with companies like Ximu Yuan conducting extensive research on sensitive skin, showcasing a shift from being mere users of research to contributors to scientific inquiry [24][25]. Future Outlook - The CDA conference highlighted a significant shift in the beauty industry towards a more scientific and collaborative approach, with brands, medical institutions, and research organizations forming a new ecosystem that emphasizes shared data and mutual advancement [47][48]. - The focus on original ingredient research is becoming a core strategy for leading domestic brands, as they aim to differentiate themselves from homogenized competition [38][39].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the beauty industry Core Insights - The beauty industry is experiencing a significant shift with domestic brands gaining market share, while international brands like L'Oréal are facing challenges [4][6][10] - The medical beauty sector is expanding, with companies like Juzhi Biotech and Naturals launching innovative products, indicating a trend towards cross-industry collaboration [4][6] - The soap market is evolving with a focus on high-end products and natural ingredients, appealing to environmentally conscious consumers [6] - PDRN technology is transitioning from niche medical applications to mainstream skincare, enhancing product efficacy and market accessibility [6][10] - Hong Kong is emerging as a testing ground for domestic beauty brands aiming for global expansion, leveraging its mature market and tourism recovery [6][10] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with domestic brands dominating the top rankings and new entrants disrupting traditional market dynamics [4][6][10] Industry Environment - L'Oréal has dropped out of the top 10 rankings in the Douyin beauty market, with domestic brands like Han Shu and Proya leading the charge [4] - The medical beauty market is projected to reach 370 billion by 2025, attracting investments from beauty companies [4] - The soap market is witnessing a shift towards premium products, with handmade soaps gaining traction among consumers [6] - PDRN technology is being adopted in mainstream skincare, with various brands innovating in formulations and applications [6] - Domestic beauty brands are increasingly focusing on international markets, with Hong Kong serving as a strategic entry point [6] Top Brand News - The domestic fragrance brand "Song Dynasty Fragrance" is rapidly expanding, with a unique dual strategy for online and offline sales [12] - Influencer Zhu Guagua has regained prominence in the Douyin beauty market, significantly impacting brand sales through effective marketing strategies [12] - Hermès is exploring the skincare segment, with plans to launch products post-2028, indicating a strategic move to enhance its beauty portfolio [12] - Yatsen Group has released China's first beauty innovation white paper, showcasing advancements in research and sustainable development [12] - Juyi Group has acquired the Italian brand Foltène to strengthen its position in the hair care market, reflecting a trend of consolidation among domestic beauty companies [12]

Core Viewpoint - The collagen market is experiencing a downturn, with major brands like Kefu Mei and Juzhi Biotech showing declining sales and growth rates, indicating a shift from a previously booming market to a more cautious phase [1][3][5]. Market Performance - The overall performance of the collagen sector during the 2025 Double Eleven shopping festival was disappointing, with Kefu Mei's GMV on Douyin dropping to 0.5-0.75 billion yuan, down from over 1 billion yuan in the same period last year [3][4]. - Juzhi Biotech's stock price has fallen by 55.18% since reaching a peak of 85.14 HKD on May 20, 2023, reflecting the company's struggles with slowing growth and ingredient controversies [5][6]. Strategic Shifts - Major players are beginning to cross market boundaries, with Juzhi Biotech expanding into B-end business and Kefu Mei attempting to adapt to changing market dynamics [6][7]. - The market is witnessing a transition from a focus on consumer products to medical applications, as companies aim to leverage technological advancements and regulatory clarity [7][10]. Industry Trends - The industry is moving towards a more scientific and clinical approach, with companies like Huaxi Biotech and Furuida actively pursuing medical device certifications and focusing on the development of injectable collagen products [8][9][10]. - The competitive landscape is shifting from brand recognition and channel dominance to a focus on material science and clinical validation, emphasizing the importance of proving product efficacy [10][11].

Core Viewpoint - The MSCI China Healthcare Index has increased by 59.5% year-to-date, outperforming the MSCI China Index by 24%, but has recently experienced a correction of approximately 10% since early October, indicating that some stocks are undervalued and still attractive for investment [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The MSCI China Healthcare Index has shown a significant year-to-date increase of 59.5% [1] - This index has outperformed the MSCI China Index by 24% [1] - The healthcare sector has seen a recent correction, with a decline of about 10% since early October [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report highlights several companies with "buy" ratings, including: - 3SBio (01530) - Genscript Biotech (02273) - Junshi Biosciences (02367) - WuXi AppTec (02268) - Innovent Biologics (01801) - China Biologic Products (01177) [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - The capital market is expected to see a recovery in financing activities [1] - There is an anticipated expansion in the overseas trading scale of innovative drugs [1] - Domestic demand for innovative drug research and development is expected to rebound [1] - The U.S. entering a rate-cutting cycle may lead to a recovery in the performance of CXO companies in the second half of the year [1] - The clinical development of authorized innovative drug pipelines overseas is expected to be a significant catalyst for the innovative drug sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - The MSCI China Healthcare Index has increased by 59.5% year-to-date, outperforming the MSCI China Index by 24%, but has recently experienced a correction of approximately 10% since early October, indicating potential investment opportunities in undervalued stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The MSCI China Healthcare Index has shown a significant year-to-date increase of 59.5% [1] - This index has outperformed the MSCI China Index by 24% [1] - The healthcare sector has seen a recent correction, with a decline of about 10% since early October [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Certain stocks are considered undervalued and attractive, including: - 3SBio Inc. (01530) - Genscript Biotech Corporation (02273) - Junshi Biosciences (02367) - WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. (02268) - Innovent Biologics, Inc. (01801) - China National Pharmaceutical Group (01177) - All the mentioned stocks have been given a "Buy" rating [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - The capital market is expected to see a recovery in financing activities [1] - There is an anticipated expansion in the trading scale of innovative drugs overseas [1] - Domestic demand for innovative drug research and development is expected to rebound [1] - The U.S. entering a rate-cutting cycle may lead to a recovery in the performance of CXO companies in the second half of the year [1] - The clinical development of authorized innovative drug pipelines overseas is expected to be a significant catalyst for the innovative drug sector [1]

Group 1 - The MSCI China Healthcare Index has increased by 59.5% year-to-date, outperforming the MSCI China Index by 24% [1] - The healthcare sector has recently experienced a correction, declining approximately 10% since early October, leading to some stocks being viewed as undervalued and attractive [1] - Companies such as 3SBio, Genscript Biotech, Junshi Biosciences, WuXi AppTec, Innovent Biologics, and China National Pharmaceutical Group are favored with a "buy" rating [1] Group 2 - The capital market is expected to see a recovery in financing activities, with an expansion in the overseas trading scale of innovative drugs [1] - There is a rebound in domestic demand for innovative drug research and development, alongside the U.S. entering a rate-cutting cycle [1] - The performance of CXO companies is anticipated to improve in the second half of the year, with the clinical development of authorized innovative drug pipelines overseas being a significant catalyst for the sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - The consumer sector is showing signs of recovery, driven by favorable policies, rising CPI, and the imminent closure of Hainan Free Trade Port, leading to increased investment enthusiasm in the sector [2][4]. Group 1: Consumer Sector Analysis - The consumer sector is believed to be at the bottom, with fundamentals gradually improving, as indicated by the third-quarter reports [4]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of consumption, suggesting a positive outlook for the sector [4]. - Key investment opportunities include the restaurant chain sector, which is nearing the end of price wars, and companies like Anjiexin Foods and Lihai Foods are seeing improved net profit margins [4]. Group 2: Duty-Free Industry Insights - Hainan's duty-free sales data shows a significant recovery in Q3 2025, with a notable increase in average transaction value, and a stable outlook for Q4 [5]. - Continuous policy support, including a clear timeline for the island's closure and an expanded range of duty-free products, is expected to enhance the operational conditions for companies like China Duty Free Group and Hainan Development [5]. Group 3: Structural Upgrades in Consumption - The toy industry is evolving with IP incubation and category innovation, favoring leading companies with strong design and supply chain capabilities [6]. - The beauty industry is integrating medical, beauty, and health services, which is expected to enhance customer spending and repeat purchases [6]. - The consumer industry is transitioning from "functional supply" to "scenario value supply," indicating a structural upgrade in brand consumer goods [6]. Group 4: New Consumption Trends - Four new consumption themes are emerging: 1. Brand globalization 2.0, focusing on pricing power and emerging markets [7]. 2. Emotional value sectors like trendy toys and pet products are expected to benefit from rising GDP per capita [7]. 3. AI-driven consumption in service sectors is showing potential for profitability [7]. 4. Channel transformation emphasizing user experience and operational efficiency, particularly in instant retail and cost-effective dining [7]. Group 5: High-Growth Opportunities in Emotional Consumption - The gold and jewelry sector is undergoing significant changes, with rising gold prices and a shift towards emotional consumption, suggesting opportunities in high-end and trendy gold segments [8]. - Retail e-commerce is focusing on offline retail transformation and AI-enabled cross-border e-commerce leaders [8]. - The cosmetics sector is seeing growth in domestic brands that meet emotional value and safety ingredient innovation [8]. - The medical beauty sector remains resilient, with opportunities in differentiated products and mergers in downstream medical beauty institutions [8].