Core Insights - The return of the game "Goose Duck" in China has generated significant social media buzz, with over 20 million pre-registrations and billions of views on related topics, indicating its potential as a new "social currency" for Generation Z [1][2][4] Group 1: Game Performance and Market Impact - "Goose Duck" has achieved a remarkable presence on social media, with its pre-registration surpassing 20 million and related topics trending on platforms like Weibo, accumulating hundreds of millions of views [2][3] - The game has strong social attributes, with nearly 80% of its players aged 18-25, highlighting its appeal among younger audiences [4] - Despite initial excitement, there have been complaints regarding server issues and user experience, indicating potential operational challenges [3][4] Group 2: Financial Performance of Kingsoft - Kingsoft's financial performance has been under pressure, with revenue and net profit declining in the first three quarters of 2025, showing a revenue drop of 8.34% to 7.065 billion yuan and a net profit decrease of 5.68% to 1.029 billion yuan [7][8] - The gaming segment has faced significant challenges, with revenue from network games dropping by 26.1% to 2.886 billion yuan, and a nearly 50% decline in the third quarter alone [7][8] - Increased marketing expenses, which rose by 55% year-on-year to 564 million yuan, have not translated into revenue growth, leading to a substantial decline in gaming income [7][8] Group 3: Strategic Challenges and Future Outlook - Kingsoft is transitioning from a short-term hit-driven model to a long-term IP-focused strategy, aiming to integrate games into users' daily lives [6][8] - The company faces a cycle of declining revenue from existing games while new titles have not met market expectations, raising concerns about future growth [8][9] - The CEO has acknowledged that the decline in revenue is primarily due to the aging of flagship games and the underperformance of new releases, alongside increased investments in AI and game development [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The return of the game "Goose Duck" in China has generated significant social media buzz, with over 20 million pre-registrations and billions of views on related topics, positioning it as a new "social currency" for Generation Z. However, the parent company, Kingsoft, is facing performance anxiety as its revenue and net profit have declined significantly, particularly in the gaming sector, which has seen a nearly 50% year-on-year drop in the third quarter [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Game Popularity and Social Impact - "Goose Duck" has achieved a remarkable pre-launch presence, with over 20 million pre-registrations and significant engagement on social media platforms, especially Weibo [5][6]. - The game has become a cultural phenomenon, with players and streamers expressing excitement and sharing personal stories, indicating its strong social attributes [9][10]. - The game targets a young audience, with nearly 80% of its players aged 18-25, highlighting its appeal among Generation Z [10]. Group 2: Company Performance and Challenges - Kingsoft's financial performance has deteriorated, with total revenue of 7.065 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.34%, and net profit of 1.029 billion yuan, down 5.68% [17]. - The gaming segment has been particularly hard hit, with revenues dropping by 26.1% to 2.886 billion yuan, and a significant decline of 47% in the third quarter alone [17][18]. - Increased marketing expenses, which rose by 55% year-on-year, have not translated into revenue growth, leading to a substantial impact on overall company performance [17][18]. Group 3: Strategic Direction and Future Outlook - Kingsoft is shifting from a short-term focus on hit games to a long-term strategy centered on IP development, aiming to integrate games into users' daily lives [13][14][16]. - The company faces a challenging cycle of declining revenues from existing games while new titles have not met market expectations, raising concerns about future growth [18][19]. - The CEO has acknowledged that the decline in revenue is due to reduced contributions from existing games and the need for new titles to establish market presence, while also investing heavily in AI and new game development [18][19].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline in technology stocks, with the Hang Seng Technology Index falling by 1.5% [1] - Notable declines among major companies include Tencent Music down nearly 5%, Alibaba down over 3%, and BYD, Kuaishou, Xpeng Motors, NIO, Kingdee International, Tongcheng Travel, and Bilibili all down over 2% [1] Group 2 - Tencent Music's stock decreased by 4.72%, with a year-to-date decline of 2.03%, and a total market capitalization of 209.41 billion [2] - Alibaba's stock fell by 3.45%, with a year-to-date increase of 1.96%, and a total market capitalization of 2.78 trillion [2] - BYD's stock dropped by 2.82%, with a year-to-date increase of 1.10%, and a total market capitalization of 878.90 billion [2] - Kuaishou's stock decreased by 2.78%, with a year-to-date increase of 14.78%, and a total market capitalization of 319.98 billion [2] - Xpeng Motors' stock fell by 2.63%, with a year-to-date decline of 2.08%, and a total market capitalization of 148.53 billion [2] - NIO's stock decreased by 2.52%, with a year-to-date decline of 7.47%, and a total market capitalization of 93.39 billion [2] - Kingdee International's stock fell by 2.39%, with a year-to-date increase of 4.29%, and a total market capitalization of 49.20 billion [2] - Tongcheng Travel's stock decreased by 2.35%, with a year-to-date increase of 3.92%, and a total market capitalization of 54.81 billion [2] - Bilibili's stock fell by 2.33%, with a year-to-date increase of 8.55%, and a total market capitalization of 86.64 billion [2] - Tencent Holdings' stock decreased by 1.82%, with a year-to-date increase of 3.67%, and a total market capitalization of 5.66 trillion [2] - NetEase's stock fell by 1.75%, with a year-to-date increase of 4.94%, and a total market capitalization of 712.98 billion [2]

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The brain-computer interface (BCI) technology is entering a phase of large-scale production, with gaming as a significant application area, expected to benefit continuously [3] - The integration of AI in gaming is enhancing multi-modal capabilities and innovative forms, potentially opening up new industry spaces [3] - The upcoming gaming season, with new game launches and updates to existing games, is anticipated to drive revenue growth [4] Summary by Sections Brain-Computer Interface Developments - BCI technology connects the human brain with external devices for information exchange, enabling previously disabled individuals to engage in gaming through "brain-controlled" interfaces [3] - The launch of China's first fully implanted, wireless BCI product by Shanghai Brain Tiger Technology marks a significant breakthrough in core technology [3] - Companies like 37 Interactive Entertainment and Century Huatong are actively investing in BCI-related projects, indicating a growing interest in this field [3] AI Integration in Gaming - AI is enhancing various aspects of game development, from art resource generation to core creative areas like gameplay design and narrative structure [3] - Tencent reported a 40% reduction in animation production time due to AI integration, showcasing efficiency gains [3] - The number of games utilizing generative AI on the Steam platform has increased significantly, indicating a trend towards AI-enhanced gaming experiences [3] Upcoming Gaming Season - Major game releases and updates are scheduled for January, including anniversary events and new collaborations with popular IPs [4] - The report suggests focusing on the gaming sector due to its favorable valuation and expected demand surge during the holiday season [4] - Recommended companies include Giant Network, Xindong Company, and Tencent Holdings, among others, as potential beneficiaries of this trend [4]

Group 1 - The company is one of the earliest internet software firms in China, established in 1988, with a clear first-mover advantage [2][16] - The business model has formed a dual-engine structure of "office software and services + online games and others," with projected revenues of 5.121 billion yuan from office software and 5.197 billion yuan from gaming in 2024 [2][16] - The company maintains a high gross margin above 80% and has a robust financial structure with ample cash flow [2][16] Group 2 - WPS Office has achieved a global monthly active device count of 669 million as of September 2025, with a total of 41.79 million paid users, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9% and 10% respectively [2][16] - The company has launched WPS AI 3.0, enhancing product capabilities and user experience through five AI applications, significantly boosting user engagement and conversion rates [2][16] - The B-end WPS 365 revenue saw a year-on-year increase of 71.61% in Q3 2025, driven by AI empowerment and the acceleration of government AI product implementation [2][16] Group 3 - The online gaming segment is currently under pressure, with a 47% year-on-year decline in revenue for Q3 2025, primarily due to decreased earnings from existing games [2][16] - The company is diversifying its game offerings beyond traditional martial arts genres, exploring sci-fi and anime categories, and promoting international expansion [2][16] - The long-term operation of the "Jianxia Qinyuan" IP and the launch of the cross-platform version "Jianwang 3 Wujie" have shown significant user return [2][16]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market saw a collective surge in mobile game stocks, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Blueport Interactive rose over 10% [1] - Zhongjiu Mobile and Tanwan increased by over 6% [1] - NetEase and Feiyu Technology both saw gains of over 5% [1] - Boya Interactive climbed over 4% [1] - Friendship Time and Tencent both grew by over 3% [1] - NetDragon, Kingsoft, Bilibili, ZhiJianYueDong, and Seventh Avenue all experienced increases of over 2% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The forecast for Kingsoft's Q4 2025 performance indicates a potential decline in revenue and net profit, with expected revenue ranging from 2.555 to 3.504 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year change of -8.5% to 25.5%, and net profit expected between 307 to 761 million yuan, with a year-on-year change of -33.3% to 65.3% [1][8] Financial Performance Forecast - Q4 revenue forecast: 25.55 to 35.04 billion yuan, year-on-year change of -8.5% to 25.5% [1][8] - Q4 net profit forecast: 3.07 to 7.61 billion yuan, year-on-year change of -33.3% to 65.3% [1][8] - Average revenue forecast: 28.76 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.0% [3] - Median revenue forecast: 28.35 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.5% [3] Business Segment Insights - WPS Office: Global monthly active devices reached 669 million, with a total of 41.79 million paid users, and B-end WPS365 revenue increased by 71.61% year-on-year [4][5][11] - Gaming: The gaming segment is facing short-term challenges, with a 47.4% year-on-year decline in revenue primarily due to poor performance of the game "Jie Xian Ji" [6][12] - Overall company revenue is expected to decline by 17.0% year-on-year, with net profit down by 48.5%, attributed to poor gaming performance and increased marketing expenses [12] Future Growth Projections - Expected revenue for 2024: 5.121 billion yuan from office software and 5.197 billion yuan from gaming, maintaining a gross margin above 80% [4][11] - Projected revenue growth for 2025-2027: 10.568 billion yuan, 11.608 billion yuan, and 13.400 billion yuan, with growth rates of +2.43%, +9.83%, and +15.44% respectively [4][11]

Core Viewpoint - Galaxy Securities has initiated coverage on Kingsoft Corporation (03888) with a "recommended" rating, highlighting its strong position in the domestic office software market and promising prospects driven by AI integration and active changes in its gaming business [1] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of RMB 10.568 billion, RMB 11.608 billion, and RMB 13.4 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with growth rates of 2.43%, 9.83%, and 15.44% respectively [1] - Earnings per share are projected to be RMB 1.00, RMB 1.11, and RMB 1.31 for the same years [1] AI Integration and Business Growth - WPS AI has significantly enhanced user engagement and paid conversion rates, with B-end WPS 365 revenue increasing by 71.61% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [1] - The integration of AI is creating a feedback loop of data and product iteration, with accelerated subscription models and successful implementation of government AI products in central and local government agencies [1] Gaming Business Developments - The company is focusing on its IP "Jianxia Qinyuan," with the online game "Jianwang 3" maintaining vitality through continuous operations, and the cross-platform version "Jianwang 3 Wujie" has seen significant user return [1] - Kingsoft is actively expanding into new categories such as science fiction and anime, and is promoting game exports to reduce reliance on traditional martial arts genres [1] - However, the new game market is experiencing performance divergence, with Q3 revenues from online games and other businesses declining by 47% year-on-year, primarily due to revenue drops from existing games like "Jiexianji," while newly launched games are still in the early stages of market influence [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Galaxy Securities highlights Kingsoft as a leading domestic office software provider with significant potential in AI empowerment and active transformation in its gaming business, initiating coverage with a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: AI Empowerment and Business Growth - WPS AI has significantly enhanced user engagement and paid conversion, with B-end WPS 365 revenue growing by 71.61% year-on-year in the third quarter [1] - The AI empowerment has created a data and product iteration flywheel, accelerating subscription models, with government AI products already implemented in central and local party and government agencies [1] Group 2: Gaming Business Developments - The company focuses on the "Jianxia Qianren" IP, with the online game "Jianwang 3" maintaining vitality through continuous operations, and the cross-platform version "Jianwang 3 Wujie" has seen significant user return [1] - The company is actively expanding into new categories such as science fiction and ACG (Anime, Comic, and Games), and promoting game exports to reduce reliance on traditional martial arts genres, although the performance of new games shows market differentiation, leading to short-term pressure on earnings [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Kingsoft Software has been actively repurchasing its shares, with a total of 248.24 million shares repurchased since December 22, amounting to 69.98 million Hong Kong dollars [2][3] - On December 30, the company repurchased 354,200 shares at a price range of 28.040 to 28.300 Hong Kong dollars, with a total repurchase amount of 9.9962 million Hong Kong dollars [2] - The stock price increased by 1.29% on the same day, closing at 28.260 Hong Kong dollars, with a total trading volume of 194 million Hong Kong dollars [2] Group 2 - Year-to-date, Kingsoft Software has conducted 27 repurchase transactions, totaling 11.7282 million shares and a cumulative repurchase amount of 345 million Hong Kong dollars [3] - The detailed repurchase data shows various dates, share quantities, and price ranges, indicating a consistent strategy to buy back shares [3][4] - The highest repurchase price recorded during this period was 35.100 Hong Kong dollars, while the lowest was 27.260 Hong Kong dollars [4]