KINGSOFT(03888)
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开源证券:Moltbook、元宝、Genie3出圈 继续布局AI社交、游戏、营销
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 11:49
Group 1 - The AI social platform Moltbook has gained significant popularity overseas, featuring 1.5 million AI agents engaging in discussions across thousands of forums, mimicking human social patterns [1][3] - Tencent's AI platform Yuanbao launched a cash red envelope activity on February 1, leading to a surge in downloads, topping the iPhone app rankings on the same day [2][3] - The advancements in large model reasoning and multi-modal capabilities indicate a strong foundation for human-like interactions in AI social platforms, suggesting a pathway from niche applications to broader social engagement [1][3] Group 2 - Google announced the public testing of its world model Genie3, allowing users to create real-time interactive virtual worlds through natural language dialogue, enhancing game development accessibility [4] - The launch of Taptap Maker by Xindong Company enables game creators to develop games directly within a chat interface, significantly lowering the barriers to game development [4] - The gaming sector is expected to benefit from AI advancements, with recommendations to focus on companies with strong platform attributes, including Xindong Company and others [4]
蛋卷、无人机、小米汽车同台——什么才是今年最潮“广货”?
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-01-30 12:57
Core Viewpoint - The "Guanghuo Goes Global · Jingshan New Year Goods Festival" was launched in Zhuhai High-tech Zone, featuring nearly 40 enterprises and around 200 selected products, aiming to provide a high-quality one-stop shopping experience for the New Year [1][3][5]. Group 1: Event Overview - The event is guided by multiple local government bodies and organized by Kingsoft Group in collaboration with various associations, responding to the provincial initiative "Guanghuo Goes Global" [3]. - The festival showcases a variety of products, including traditional foods and innovative tech items, emphasizing quality and local specialties [5][10]. Group 2: Product Highlights - Featured products include traditional delicacies such as Doumen pig's feet ginger and handmade pastries, aimed at promoting local brands to a broader market [7][9]. - The event also includes modern tech displays, such as Xiaomi cars and racing drones, integrating traditional New Year shopping with contemporary technology [9][10]. Group 3: Community and Economic Impact - The festival serves as a platform for local farmers and businesses to increase revenue and enhance regional brand recognition [7]. - Kingsoft Group is actively participating by purchasing local products for internal distribution, promoting a cycle of support for local goods [10]. Group 4: Event Logistics - The festival runs until January 31, with extended free parking for visitors on the last day, facilitating easy access for the community [10].
从代理《鹅鸭杀》到上线AI社交,沉寂7年的金山世游支棱起来了?
3 6 Ke· 2026-01-29 00:25
Tech星球独家获悉,金山世游已在国内正式上线其代理的AI社交App"卿卿我我"。公开信息显示,该产品海外版于2023年推出,上线后表现突出,在亚洲 区域AI应用创收效率排名中位列榜首,超越同期多款头部应用。此次国内版本落地,成为金山世游跳出传统游戏业务范畴,切入AI社交赛道的重要动 作。 公开资料显示,金山世游于2020年从承载金山系游戏老牌业务的西山居独立,此后二者分属不同业务线,独立运营时长至今不足7年。其业务起点以游戏 发行为主,此前凭借爆款游戏《鹅鸭杀》国服公测24小时新增500万用户、登顶iOS免费榜的成绩,成功敲开年轻用户市场。 与此同时,公司仍在持续拓宽产品线,2026年首批游戏版号中,《愤怒的小鸟:经典归来》《愤怒的小鸟:梦幻爆破》两款产品成功获批,传统游戏与新 兴赛道并行的策略,正在助力这家厂商重构增长曲线。 不难发现,金山世游这家从老牌游戏体系中拆分成长的新锐厂商,正以多赛道布局产品的动作完成业务边界的拓展。从游戏发行到自研、从国内到海外、 从传统游戏赛道到现象级社交游戏,再到如今跨界布局AI社交,这一系列动作的背后,正是游戏行业存量竞争加剧的行业大背景中,金山世游的生存之 道。在此之下 ...
金山软件(03888.HK)Q4前瞻:游戏环比趋稳 办公稳健 利润回升
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-27 05:30
Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to see a quarter-on-quarter improvement in performance for Q4 2025, with revenue projected to decline year-on-year but increase sequentially, driven by stable gaming and robust office segments [1][2] Gaming Segment - Revenue for gaming in Q4 2025 is forecasted to decline by 32% year-on-year and by 2% quarter-on-quarter, with the rate of decline narrowing for both comparisons [1] - The new game "Goose Duck" has exceeded expectations, with over 10 million new players within six days of its launch, ranking in the top 2 for iOS game downloads and around 60th in the revenue rankings [1] - The company will continue to monitor the game's popularity and subsequent commercialization process, alongside other IP games like "Angry Birds" [1] Office Segment - The office segment is projected to see a 19% year-on-year revenue increase in Q4 2025, continuing its recovery trend [1] - Growth in the software business is primarily driven by accelerated bidding and acceptance of government and enterprise projects, with WPS 365 benefiting from enhanced collaboration and AI product lines [1] - WPS 365 has been upgraded to a global all-in-one AI collaborative office platform, integrating various functionalities to support enterprise operations [1] Cloud Segment - For the cloud segment, revenue is expected to grow by 20% year-on-year in Q4 2025, with adjusted operating profit slightly in the negative [2] - High capital expenditures are anticipated to continue into 2026, exceeding levels seen in 2025 [2] Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company has slightly raised its revenue forecast for gaming in 2025 and anticipates around 10% growth for 2026-2027, while maintaining previous predictions for the office segment and reducing losses in the cloud segment [2] - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 are -5.7% and +19% year-on-year, respectively, with net profits estimated at 1.74 billion yuan and 1.6 billion yuan [2] - Based on comparable company valuations, the company is assigned a price-to-earnings ratio of 13 for gaming, 35 for office, and 3 for cloud, leading to a target value of 50.25 HKD per share, maintaining a "buy" rating [2]
金山软件(03888):Q4前瞻:游戏环比趋稳,办公稳健,利润回升
GF SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 01:49
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a current price of 30.44 HKD and a target value of 50.25 HKD [4]. Core Insights - The report anticipates a stabilization in gaming revenue, steady performance in office software, and a rebound in profits for Q4. The company is expected to see a 10% quarter-on-quarter revenue increase in Q4 2025, despite a year-on-year decline of 5% [8][10]. - The gaming segment is projected to experience a year-on-year revenue decline of 32% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 2% in Q4 2025, with new game "Goose Duck" exceeding expectations [8][10]. - The office software segment is expected to grow by 19% year-on-year in Q4 2025, driven by government projects and the enhancement of WPS 365 as a global AI collaboration platform [8][10]. - The cloud segment is forecasted to grow by 20% year-on-year in Q4 2025, with continued high capital expenditures expected in 2026 [8][10]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for the company are as follows (in million RMB): - 2023A: 8,534 - 2024A: 10,318 - 2025E: 9,730 - 2026E: 11,571 - 2027E: 13,416 - The growth rates are expected to be 11.7% for 2023, 20.9% for 2024, -5.7% for 2025, 18.9% for 2026, and 15.9% for 2027 [3][10]. - The EBITDA is projected to be 1,268 million RMB in 2023, increasing to 3,511 million RMB by 2027 [3][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 483 million RMB in 2023 to 2,081 million RMB in 2027, with significant growth in 2024 [3][10]. Business Segment Analysis - Gaming revenue is expected to be 3,977 million RMB in 2023, with a decline to 3,768 million RMB in 2025, followed by a recovery to 4,239 million RMB in 2026 [9][10]. - Office revenue is projected to grow from 4,557 million RMB in 2023 to 5,962 million RMB in 2025, and further to 7,332 million RMB in 2026 [9][10]. - The cloud segment is anticipated to generate significant growth, with revenue expected to reach 12,215 million RMB by 2026 [9][10]. Valuation and Investment Recommendation - The report suggests a valuation of 50.25 HKD per share based on a combination of gaming, office, and cloud business valuations, applying a PE ratio of 13x for gaming, 35x for office, and 3x PS for cloud [12][16]. - The overall recommendation remains "Buy" based on the expected performance and growth potential of the company [12].
《鹅鸭杀》手游爆火背后:游戏发行如何“破圈”?
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2026-01-23 20:03
Core Insights - The multiplayer online social deduction game "Goose Duck" has gained immense popularity following its mobile launch, surpassing 10 million new users within just six days and achieving a peak concurrent user count that exceeded its Steam version's historical record [2][3] Group 1: Game Launch and Popularity - "Goose Duck" was developed by Gaggle Studios and first launched on Steam in 2021, featuring gameplay similar to "Werewolf" with multiple roles and a third-party interference mechanism [3] - The game has become a cultural phenomenon, trending on various platforms and generating significant online discussions and memes, contributing to its viral success [3][4] Group 2: Innovative Marketing Strategies - The collaboration between Kingsoft Game and Huya for the game's release has disrupted traditional user acquisition methods, focusing on content-driven marketing rather than conventional paid user acquisition [4][6] - The game has engaged popular streamers and content creators to enhance its visibility and community engagement, marking a shift from passive to active marketing strategies [4][6] Group 3: Financial Implications for Kingsoft - Kingsoft's gaming division, which includes Kingsoft Game and Kingsoft Online, has faced financial challenges, with a reported 17% decline in revenue and a 48% drop in net profit in Q3 2025 [7] - "Goose Duck" is seen as a crucial element for Kingsoft to reverse its declining gaming business performance [8] Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Future Directions - Kingsoft Game has announced a strategic partnership with Rovio Entertainment to leverage the "Angry Birds" IP, indicating a shift towards long-term IP management and development [9] - The company aims to redefine its collaboration approach with overseas developers, focusing on acquiring full IP rights for deeper engagement and sustained user retention [9]
“金山系”再布一子:独家发行并运营《愤怒的小鸟》,游戏业务能否翻身?
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2026-01-21 12:57
Core Insights - The partnership between Kingsoft's subsidiary, Kingsoft Game, and Rovio Entertainment aims to reintroduce the iconic "Angry Birds" series to the Chinese market, with two core titles set for release [1] - Kingsoft Game's recent success with the social deduction game "Goose Goose Duck" highlights its potential to drive growth, as it quickly gained over 10 million users within a week of launch [2] - Kingsoft Software's financial performance has been declining, with a 6.12% drop in revenue and a 5.68% decrease in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating challenges in its gaming business [2][3] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Kingsoft Software reported revenues of 7.065 billion yuan, down 6.12% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.029 billion yuan, down 5.68% [2] - In Q3 2025, the company experienced a significant revenue decline of 17% to 2.419 billion yuan, with gross profit dropping 21% to 1.944 billion yuan, and net profit nearly halving to 213 million yuan [2] - Marketing expenses surged to 564 million yuan in Q3, a 55% increase year-on-year, yet the gaming revenue fell by 47% to 898 million yuan, indicating ineffective spending [3] Game Development and Strategy - Kingsoft Software has restructured its gaming division into two segments: West Mountain Studio, focusing on development, and Kingsoft Game, emphasizing IP strategy and localization [3] - The flagship IP "Jian Xia Qing Yuan" has shown declining performance after 16 years, reflecting a stagnation in its core product [4] - The newly developed sci-fi mech game "Limitless Machine" has underperformed since its release, with a peak online player count dropping significantly shortly after launch [4] Strategic Shifts - Kingsoft Game is positioned as a key player in overcoming current growth challenges, with recent strategic moves indicating a shift in focus towards revitalizing the gaming segment [5] - The reintroduction of "Angry Birds" is part of a broader strategy to leverage classic IPs for market impact, although the long-term success of these titles remains uncertain [5] - Despite the initial success of "Goose Goose Duck," the sustainability of its user engagement and the ability to replicate such success with "Angry Birds" are still in question [5]
富国基金管理有限公司增持金山软件44.88万股 每股作价约31.01港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-21 11:10
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Franklin Templeton Investments has increased its stake in Kingsoft Corporation Limited by purchasing 448,800 shares at a price of HKD 31.0103 per share, totaling approximately HKD 13.9174 million [1] - After the purchase, Franklin Templeton's total shareholding in Kingsoft has reached 70.256 million shares, representing a 5.02% ownership stake in the company [1]
富国基金管理有限公司增持金山软件(03888)44.88万股 每股作价约31.01港元
智通财经网· 2026-01-21 11:07
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Franklin Templeton Investments has increased its stake in Kingsoft Corporation by purchasing 448,800 shares at a price of HKD 31.0103 per share, totaling approximately HKD 13.9174 million [1] - After the purchase, Franklin Templeton's total holdings in Kingsoft reached 70.256 million shares, representing a 5.02% ownership stake in the company [1]
愤怒的小鸟游戏重返中国
盐财经· 2026-01-21 10:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the strategic partnership between Kingsoft Game and Rovio Entertainment, aimed at reintroducing the "Angry Birds" series to the Chinese mainland market [2] - As the first step of this partnership, two core "Angry Birds" IP titles are set to launch in China: "Angry Birds: Classic Return," which features a 3D engine and dynamic level design, and "Angry Birds: Dream Blast," a bubble-popping puzzle game [2] - Rovio Entertainment, known for the "Angry Birds" IP, has expanded its brand from mobile games to various sectors including animation, consumer products, and brand licensing since its inception in 2009 [3] Group 2 - Kingsoft Game, established in 2020 as a subsidiary of Kingsoft Corporation, has launched several products and recently released the social deduction game "Goose Duck Kill," which gained over 5 million new registered users within 24 hours of its launch [4] - "Angry Birds 2" was reintroduced to the public during Xiaomi's product launch event, achieving over 100,000 active users in its first month [3] - The "Angry Birds" series has surpassed 5 billion downloads globally, making it one of the most iconic mobile game IPs in history [3]