东 兴 晨 报 东兴晨报 P1 2025 年 10 月 10 日星期五 经济要闻 本期编辑 | 分析师：沈逸伦 | | | --- | --- | | 010-66554044 | shenyl@dxzq.net.cn | | 执业证书编号： | S1480523060001 | 东兴证券研究所金股推荐 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | | --- | --- | | 002074.SZ | 国轩高科 | | 002850.SZ | 科达利 | | 002991.SZ | 甘源食品 | | 300619.SZ | 金银河 | | 300666.SZ | 江丰电子 | | 600012.SH | 皖通高速 | | 600176.SH | 中国巨石 | | 605123.SH | 派克新材 | | 688103.SH | 国力电子 | | 688111.SH | 金山办公 | | 688627.SH | 精智达 | 数据来源：《十月金股汇》 2025 年 09 月 29 日，东兴证券研究所 东 兴 证 券 股 份 敬请参阅报告结尾处的免责声明 东方财智 兴盛之源 有 限 公 司 1. 商务部：自 2025 年 11 ...

Group 1 - The 2025 China International Service Trade Fair was held in Beijing, showcasing the integration of AI, office, and education technologies by Kingsoft Office with its WPS365 product [1] - WPS365 was selected as a typical case in the "AI Office" category at the fair, highlighting its role in enhancing digital education solutions [1][2] - The "Beijing Solution Exhibition" focused on AI and data empowerment, featuring over 200 digital service solutions, with WPS365's smart teaching solution being one of the 11 selected for its innovative approach [2] Group 2 - The Basic Education Innovation Computer Science Classroom, developed by leading enterprises in Beijing, incorporates Kingsoft Office's teaching applications, providing a comprehensive digital teaching platform [4] - This classroom features various functionalities such as screen sharing, assignment management, internet control, and AI-assisted tools, aimed at revolutionizing information technology education [4] - Kingsoft Office's "Spring Bud Program" aims to provide smart education platforms to 10,000 primary and secondary schools over three years, including 10,000 teaching videos and 1,000 digital public classes [4]

Core Points - The 2025 China International Fair for Trade in Services (CIFTIS) will be held from September 10 to 14, 2025, at Shougang Park in Beijing [1] - WPS365 has been selected as a typical case in the "AI Office" industry and is featured in the "Beijing Solution Exhibition" [1] - The "Beijing Solution Exhibition" focuses on the empowerment of artificial intelligence and data elements, showcasing innovative, replicable, and standardized digital service solutions developed in Beijing [1] - WPS365 provides solutions in the field of smart education, specifically a foundational education information technology classroom [1]

Group 1: Recommended Stocks - Torch Electronics (603678.SH) shows confidence with an employee stock ownership plan despite a 20.04% decline in revenue to CNY 2.8 billion in 2024[9] - Jiejie Microelectronics (300623.SZ) reported a 35.05% increase in revenue to CNY 2.845 billion and a 115.87% rise in net profit to CNY 473 million in 2024[13] - Meige Intelligent (002881.SZ) leads in smart cockpit modules with a 35.1% market share, achieving 881,000 units shipped in 2024[19] - Kingsoft Office (688111.SH) achieved a revenue of CNY 26.57 billion in H1 2025, a 10.12% year-on-year increase[20] - Parker New Materials (605123.SH) aims for high-end markets with a focus on aerospace and energy sectors, despite a 46.37% drop in net profit in 2024[25] - Jinyinhai (300619.SZ) is a leader in lithium battery equipment, expecting revenues of CNY 18.95 billion in 2025[29] Group 2: Financial Metrics and Projections - Torch Electronics forecasts EPS of CNY 1.10, 1.40, and 1.74 for 2025-2027[12] - Jiejie Microelectronics anticipates EPS of CNY 0.78, 1.02, and 1.35 for 2025-2027[16] - Kingsoft Office projects net profits of CNY 17.68 billion, 21.50 billion, and 26.93 billion for 2025-2027, with a PE ratio of 84, 69, and 55 respectively[23] - Jinyinhai expects net profits of CNY 0.11 billion, 0.80 billion, and 2.60 billion for 2025-2027, with a PE ratio of 318.45X, 45.82X, and 14.01X[35]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.657 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.12% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 747 million yuan, an increase of 3.57% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 727 million yuan, up 5.77% [1] - Operating cash flow improved significantly, reaching 738 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.51%, which is higher than the net profit growth rate [1] Revenue and Profit Growth - The WPS personal business generated 1.748 billion yuan in revenue, growing by 8.38% year-on-year [1] - WPS 365 business revenue surged to 309 million yuan, marking a substantial growth of 62.27% [1] - WPS software business revenue slightly declined to 542 million yuan, down 2.08% year-on-year [1] User Growth and Engagement - As of the end of the first half of 2025, the global monthly active devices for WPS Office reached 651 million, up 8.56% from 600 million a year earlier [2] - Monthly active users on PC reached 305 million, with a growth rate of 12.29%, while mobile active users were 346 million, growing by 5.48% [2] - The number of annual paying users for domestic WPS personal business reached 41.79 million, a year-on-year increase of 9.54%, with overseas users totaling 1.89 million [2] AI Product Development - The company is advancing its WPS AI 3.0 initiative, with nearly 30 million monthly active users for its AI products [3] - R&D investment reached 959 million yuan, an increase of 18.70%, with a research expense ratio of approximately 36% [3] - The AI product suite includes features like AI document editing and the "WPS Lingxi" voice assistant, which have received high market recognition [3] Investment Outlook - Adjustments to profit forecasts were made due to macroeconomic conditions and increased investment in AI product development [4] - Revised revenue estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.903 billion, 6.738 billion, and 7.661 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 1.828 billion, 2.122 billion, and 2.431 billion yuan [4] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on the sustained growth of WPS personal and WPS 365 businesses, along with accelerated AI product deployment [4]

Summary of the Conference Call for Kingsoft Office Company Overview - **Company**: Kingsoft Office - **Product**: WPS AI 3.0 - **Market Focus**: Office productivity software, particularly targeting white-collar workers and students Key Points and Arguments Product Features and Advantages - **WPS AI 3.0** significantly enhances office efficiency through AI technology, enabling rapid generation of research reports, PPTs, and knowledge bases, particularly excelling in report writing, PPT creation, and data management [2][3] - The product includes features such as historical version comparison and real-time dynamic optimization of PPTs, which are superior to competing products [2][6] - **AI Document Generation**: Capable of quickly creating content, including research reports, in under a minute, with options for competitive analysis and language style adjustments [3][5] - **AI PPT Creation**: Allows for dynamic optimization and supports custom template uploads, reducing creation time to one or two minutes [5][6] - **AI Knowledge Base**: Facilitates quick organization and analysis of historical data through various upload methods [5] Market Position and Growth Potential - **User Base**: Monthly active users nearing 30 million, with expectations for significant growth following the launch of new products in late 2025 [2][10] - **B-end Business Growth**: The fastest-growing segment, with a dedicated sales team for private enterprises established in 2024, expected to maintain high growth rates [4][12] - **SaaS Model**: Subscription-based procurement enhances customer retention and renewal rates [4][12] Financial Projections - **Revenue Growth**: Anticipated overall performance growth at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20%, with current PE at approximately 76 times and PS at about 25 times, indicating substantial room for stock price appreciation [4][13] - **Market Share in Trustworthy Innovation (信创)**: Over 90% market share, with expected significant revenue and profit boosts due to increased procurement and government support in 2025 [11] Competitive Advantages - **Unique Features**: Historical version comparison and real-time optimization set WPS AI 3.0 apart from competitors, enhancing user experience and increasing platform stickiness [6][9] - **AI Data Utilization**: Extensive document data and user base provide a strong foundation for building personal and enterprise knowledge bases [9][10] Future Outlook - **WPS365**: Targeting the enterprise market with a SaaS revenue model, expected to drive continuous growth and improve overall profitability [14] - **Market Positioning**: Aiming to attract high-quality clients like Microsoft to strengthen market position and increase renewal rates [14] Additional Important Insights - **User Practicality**: WPS AI 3.0 is highly practical for white-collar workers and students, significantly improving efficiency and reducing repetitive tasks [7] - **Technological Advancements**: Transition to a collaborative interface and AI-driven architecture enhances user interaction and operational efficiency [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company reported a significant recovery in revenue growth, with a 10.12% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching 2.657 billion yuan. The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 3.57% to 747 million yuan, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items grew by 5.77% to 727 million yuan. Operating cash flow also saw a notable increase of 17.51% [1][2] - The launch of WPS AI 3.0 marks a transition from a "tool-based" approach to a "collaborative intelligent agent" model, enhancing the integration of AI with office software. The monthly active users of WPS AI reached 29.51 million, a 50% increase compared to the entire year of 2024 [2] - The personal business segment of WPS showed steady growth, with revenue of 1.748 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, up 8.4% year-on-year. The number of annual paid personal users reached 41.79 million, reflecting a 9.54% increase [2] - The company is increasing its investment in AI research and development, with R&D expenses rising by 18.7% to 959 million yuan in the first half of 2025. The R&D personnel accounted for approximately 66% of the total workforce [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 4.06, 4.77, and 5.69 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 79.11, 67.29, and 56.38 [2][3] Financial Summary - For the fiscal year 2023, total revenue is projected at 4.556 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 17.3%. By 2027, revenue is expected to reach 8.409 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 20.5% [3][4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to grow from 1.318 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.636 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 19.3% [3][4] - The gross margin is expected to remain stable around 85% over the forecast period [3][4]

Group 1: First Capital (002797.SZ) - The core conclusion indicates that First Capital has a distinctive focus on fixed income business, with significant growth potential driven by asset management and investment banking [1][6][7] - The company has transitioned towards a trading-driven model in its fixed income business, with revenue increasing from 288 million to 646 million, and its share of total revenue rising from 11.03% to 18.29% over the past three years [7] - The asset management and investment banking sectors are identified as the main growth drivers, with asset management projected to account for 32.4% of revenue by 2024 [7] Group 2: TMT Technology Industry - The report highlights a positive outlook for the AI computing chain, with expected growth across various sectors including computing chips, servers, and optical modules [2][11] - NVIDIA's introduction of Spectrum-XGS Ethernet aims to create AI super factories by overcoming existing limitations in data center expansion [9] - The domestic computing industry is focusing on enhancing the performance and capacity of domestic computing chips, while the overseas sector is advancing high-end technology and global layout [10] Group 3: Real Estate Industry - Shanghai's recent policy adjustments are seen as a significant step towards market stabilization, with measures including the removal of purchase limits for certain demographics and adjustments to mortgage rates [12][14] - The new policies are expected to stimulate demand and improve sales performance in the real estate market, particularly benefiting first-time buyers and non-local purchasers [13][14] - The report suggests that the recent policy changes serve as a positive signal for the industry, indicating a commitment to stabilizing the market [14] Group 4: Kingsoft Office (688111.SH) - Kingsoft Office reported a steady revenue growth of 10.12% year-on-year, with a projected revenue of 5.9 billion, 7 billion, and 8.5 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][16] - The company is increasing its R&D investment, which reached 9.6 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a 19% year-on-year increase [18] - The WPS365 business is experiencing rapid growth, with a 62.27% increase in revenue, indicating strong market demand for its services [17] Group 5: Huadong Medicine (000963.SZ) - Huadong Medicine reported a revenue increase of 3.39% year-on-year, with a net profit growth of 7.01% in the first half of 2025 [30] - The pharmaceutical industrial segment is showing robust growth, driven by innovative product offerings and increased R&D investment [30][31] - The medical aesthetics segment is experiencing a recovery, with improvements noted in the second quarter of 2025 [31] Group 6: Sunshine Power (300274.SZ) - Sunshine Power achieved a revenue of 43.53 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 40.34%, with a net profit increase of 55.97% [32] - The company is expanding its product offerings in the energy storage sector, which saw a significant revenue increase of 128% [32][33] - New product launches in the energy storage segment are expected to enhance the company's market position [33]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.657 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 10.12% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 747 million yuan, up 3.57% year-over-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 727 million yuan, reflecting a 5.77% increase [1] - The operating cash flow net amount reached 738 million yuan, showing a significant year-over-year growth of 17.51% [1] Revenue Breakdown - The main business achieved a revenue of 2.657 billion yuan, with WPS personal business, WPS365 business, and WPS software business generating 1.748 billion, 309 million, and 542 million yuan respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 8.38%, 62.27%, and a decline of 2.08% [1] - The WPS365 business experienced high growth driven by AI and coverage of private enterprises, while the software business faced a short-term decline due to the normalization of procurement processes [1] R&D and Financial Metrics - The company increased its R&D investment to 959 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 18.70%, focusing on AI product development and launching a new version of WPS international [2] - The gross profit margin was reported at 85.03%, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios at 18.01%, 8.24%, and 36.07% respectively, showing a reasonable control of sales and management expenses [2] Product Innovation - The company launched WPSAI3.0 and the native Office intelligent assistant WPS Lingxi, marking the beginning of the AI office assistant era [3] - The strategic focus on "AI, collaboration, and internationalization" aims to enhance user experience and reshape office productivity [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 6.035 billion, 7.138 billion, and 8.593 billion yuan, with year-over-year growth rates of 17.85%, 18.29%, and 20.37% respectively [3] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 1.769 billion, 2.118 billion, and 2.791 billion yuan, with growth rates of 7.54%, 19.70%, and 31.81% respectively [3]

Summary of the Conference Call for Kingsoft Office Company Overview - **Company**: Kingsoft Office - **Industry**: Office Software and AI Solutions Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Kingsoft Office achieved revenue of 3.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22%, driven by the recovery of C-end business and growth from WPS 365 [2][4] - The software business experienced a slight decline of 2% year-on-year due to customer order timing [2][6] - Operating cash flow reached 738 million yuan, up 18% year-on-year, with contract liabilities increasing by 22% to 3.27 billion yuan [4] Research and Development - The company emphasizes technology as its core strategy, with R&D expenses rising to 36% of revenue, up from 33% [2][5] - R&D personnel account for 66% of the workforce, with a 19% increase in R&D expenses compared to the previous year [5] User Growth and Engagement - WPS AI domestic monthly active users reached 29.51 million, a nearly 50% increase year-on-year, while paid users grew by 10% to 41.79 million [2][9] - Global monthly active devices for WPS Office reached 651 million, an 8.56% increase year-on-year, with PC active users at 305 million, up 12.3% [2][8] AI Product Developments - The launch of Dameng AI 3.0 introduced new features such as document editing and multi-user AI PPT dialogue, enhancing user interaction with AI [2][10] - The company is focusing on natural human-computer interaction, with features like voice command capabilities for document tasks [11] Business Segments Performance - Personal business revenue was 1.748 billion yuan, an 8% increase, while WPS 365 saw a 62% growth from 190 million to 309 million yuan [6] - The B-end business is benefiting from the domestic production process and AI penetration, maintaining a growth rate of over 60% [27] Strategic Adjustments - The company has adjusted its AI strategy to focus on user habit cultivation rather than solely revenue targets, leading to improved user engagement [18] - WPS365 offers integrated solutions with advantages in security control and private cloud deployment, appealing to B-end clients [17] Market Position and Future Outlook - Kingsoft Office aims to enhance its brand influence in the Chinese market to rival Microsoft, focusing on high-end clients for greater market share [31][32] - The company plans to continue developing AI capabilities and expanding its user base, with a goal of increasing AI user numbers significantly in the second half of 2025 [22][23] Challenges and Responses - The company faces challenges from rising costs due to increased TOKEN consumption, with plans to optimize costs through technology and introduce premium user packages [3][16] - Kingsoft Office is also addressing the competitive landscape of AI-native office software by exploring innovative applications and maintaining a focus on user needs [20] ESG and Corporate Responsibility - The company's ESG rating improved from BB to 2A, reflecting its commitment to social responsibility and competitive positioning [15] Additional Important Insights - The integration of AI into office software is seen as a key driver for future growth, with ongoing developments in AI capabilities expected to enhance user experience and operational efficiency [24][21] - The company is strategically targeting larger enterprises for its B-end business, moving away from smaller businesses that may not align with its service offerings [33]