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持股过节!十大券商集体喊话,布局节后“红包”行情
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 04:16
Core Viewpoint - As the Spring Festival approaches, the choice between "holding stocks or holding cash" has become a focal point for investors, with a consensus emerging among major brokerages favoring "holding stocks" as the better option this year [1][2]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Major brokerages, including Guotai Junan and GF Securities, express optimism about the market's potential for recovery post-holiday, suggesting that the A-share market may experience a favorable "timing, location, and human factors" for an upward trend [2][17]. - Despite a general consensus on holding stocks, several brokerages caution that market performance may still be influenced by multiple risks, including slower-than-expected economic recovery and geopolitical uncertainties [3]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Sector Focus - Guotai Junan recommends focusing on emerging technology and value sectors, highlighting themes such as commercial aerospace, robotics, urban renewal, and domestic consumption [4]. - Dongwu Securities suggests three main investment directions: overvalued technology sectors, booming industries like energy storage and lithium batteries, and themes related to the 14th Five-Year Plan, including commercial aerospace and 6G technology [5]. - Galaxy Securities advocates for a cautious approach with "light positions," emphasizing the importance of the upcoming "Two Sessions" and the shift towards "new productive forces" in sectors like semiconductors and artificial intelligence [6][7]. - Huaxia Securities emphasizes the importance of preparing for the post-holiday "red envelope" market, noting that technology sectors typically show better elasticity after the holiday [13]. - The investment focus should also include sectors that have underperformed but are expected to recover, such as food and beverage, agriculture, and healthcare [12]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Historical Trends - Historical data indicates that the market tends to perform better after the Spring Festival, with a common pattern of "lower before the holiday and higher after" across various style indices [11]. - The current market environment is characterized by a high trading volume, with brokerages maintaining a cautious yet optimistic stance, suggesting that the market is not likely to turn bearish easily [8][9]. - The upcoming Spring Festival is seen as a critical period for potential market recovery, with many brokerages encouraging investors to remain confident and prepared for the first wave of the new year's upward cycle [17].
招商证券:当前做多港股科技,胜率和赔率均较高
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-10 01:54
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the recent volatility in Hong Kong's technology sector, with the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping 6.5% in a week, is primarily due to liquidity shocks, but the outlook for investing in Hong Kong tech stocks remains positive with high odds and win rates [1] - From the perspective of odds, the discount of Hong Kong tech stocks relative to A-share tech stocks is near historical lows, suggesting significant undervaluation, especially in the context of improved regulatory and economic conditions compared to 2022 and 2023 [1] - In terms of win rates, favorable factors are accumulating, including the peak of overseas liquidity shocks having passed, the effectiveness of the "buy the dip" strategy, and the potential for a rebound as the relative valuation of Hong Kong tech stocks approaches historical lows [1] Group 2 - Investment opportunities in Hong Kong tech-related ETFs are highlighted, including the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180.SH), Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330.SH), and Hong Kong Stock Connect Tech ETF (159101.SZ), which provide low-threshold access for A-share investors [2] - The Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330.SH) focuses on major Hong Kong internet companies such as Alibaba, Baidu, Tencent, and NetEase, while the Hong Kong Stock Connect Tech ETF (159101.SZ) emphasizes leading companies and includes innovative pharmaceutical stocks [2] - These ETFs are listed on mainland stock exchanges and support T+0 intraday trading, offering convenience for investors without the need for cross-border accounts or currency exchange [2]
招商证券:当前为何坚定看好恒生科技?
智通财经网· 2026-02-09 22:28
Core Viewpoint - The recent weakness in the Hang Seng Tech index is attributed to a significant liquidity shock, but the fundamental outlook and bullish logic for Hong Kong tech stocks remain unchanged [1][2]. Group 1: Liquidity Analysis - The peak of the overseas liquidity shock has passed, and the "buy the dip" strategy is considered effective [1][2]. - The recent liquidity shock from the "Wash Trade" has led to a sharp decline in Hong Kong stocks, but this is expected to gradually subside [2][3]. - Domestic liquidity disturbances caused by public funds over-allocating to Hong Kong stocks are also coming to an end, reducing selling pressure [3]. Group 2: Valuation Insights - The relative valuation of Hong Kong tech stocks is at a historical low compared to A-share tech stocks, indicating a potential for a rebound [3][4]. - The current valuation levels are significantly lower than previous lows in March and October 2022, suggesting that Hong Kong tech stocks are undervalued in the context of a favorable regulatory and economic environment [3][4]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Fundamentals - Strict control over IPO quality is expected to improve market sentiment, as excessive IPOs have previously contributed to weak performance in Hong Kong stocks [4]. - The fundamental outlook for Hong Kong stocks remains solid, with earnings expectations stabilizing after recent declines [4][5]. - The tech industry is experiencing positive developments, with major companies like Tencent and Alibaba promoting large models, indicating ongoing innovation and growth [4].
关于同意招商证券股份有限公司为易方达中证红利低波动交易型开放式指数证券投资基金提供主做市服务的公告
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 10:01
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 上海证券交易所 为促进易方达中证红利低波动交易型开放式指数证券投资基金(以下简称低波红利,基金代 码:563020)的市场流动性和平稳运行,根据《上海证券交易所基金自律监管规则适用指引第2号——上 市基金做市业务》等相关规定,本所同意招商证券股份有限公司自2026年02月10日起为低波红利提供主 做市服务。 2026年02月09日 特此公告。 上证公告(基金)【2026】321号 ...
慕思股份跌1.43% 2022年上市募15.6亿招商证券保荐
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-09 08:22
上市次日即2022年6月24日,慕思股份盘中最高价报61.67元,为该股上市以来最高价。该股目前处 于破发状态。 慕思股份首次公开发行股票募集资金总额为155,758.93万元,扣除发行费用8,044.55万元,募集资金 净额为147,714.38万元。慕思股份于2022年6月13日披露的招股说明书显示,该公司原拟募集资金 147,714.38万元,用于华东健康寝具生产线建设项目、数字化营销项目、健康睡眠技术研究中心建设项 目。 中国经济网北京2月9日讯 慕思股份(001323.SZ)今日股价下跌,该股收盘报28.26元,跌幅1.43%。 (责任编辑:魏京婷) 慕思股份于2022年6月23日在深圳证券交易所主板上市,发行的股票数量为4,001.00万股,发行价格 为38.93元/股,保荐机构为招商证券股份有限公司,保荐代表人为邓永辉、康自强。 慕思股份首次公开发行股票的发行费用约8,044.55万元(各项费用均为不含税金额),其中,保荐 及承销费用5,700.00万元。 慕思股份于2025年8月15日发布分红方案,拟每10股转增1股。除权除息日为2025年8月21日,红股 上市日为2025年8月21日。 ...
招商证券:LCD面板价格2月涨幅扩大 供需共振释放业绩弹性
智通财经网· 2026-02-09 07:01
Supply Side - The oligopoly structure has formed, with mainland Chinese manufacturers achieving absolute dominance in the LCD sector, leading to stable profitability due to cyclical weakening [2] - The reduction in supply from panel manufacturers during the Spring Festival will further support the upward trend in panel prices [3] Demand Side - The World Cup events in North America and Mexico are driving demand, while rising storage costs are accelerating the trend towards larger TV sizes, with BOM cost for storage in TVs expected to rise from 2.5-3% to 6-7% [3] - TCL Electronics' acquisition of Sony's TV division poses a challenge to Samsung's global TV leadership, with projected shipments in 2025 showing only a 1 million unit difference between TCL+Sony and Samsung [3] Upstream Panels - Mainland China's LCD panel global market share is 72%, with TCL Huaxing and BOE holding over 50% market share [4] - The depreciation peak for TCL Huaxing's panel lines has passed, releasing profit elasticity, with overall depreciation expected to decline from 2026 onwards [4] Downstream TVs - The global shipment of MiniLED TVs is expected to exceed 20 million units by 2026, with a penetration rate surpassing 10%, which will indirectly reduce panel cost proportions [5] - The combination of MiniLED technology and larger sizes is expected to alleviate cost pressures, with TCL Electronics and Hisense Visual continuing to be favored for their global strategies and technological leadership [5]
十大券商看后市|无需焦虑短期波动,持股过节兼具胜率与赔率
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 00:25
Core Viewpoint - The majority of brokerages believe that despite recent volatility in the A-share market, market sentiment has been sufficiently released, and the adjustment phase may be nearing its end. The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to bring positive calendar effects, making it a good opportunity to hold stocks during the holiday [1][10][12]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Brokerages suggest that the current external disturbances have not significantly impacted China's industrial fundamentals, and the market's emotional release indicates that the adjustment is largely complete. A spring market rally is anticipated post-Spring Festival, making it advisable to hold stocks during the holiday [1][10][13]. - The sentiment in the market is expected to improve due to the "Spring Festival effect" and increasing event catalysts, which could create a favorable environment for equity assets [14][13]. - Historical data shows that A-shares tend to rise around the Spring Festival, and with manageable external risks, the current market remains in a bullish atmosphere, suggesting that holding stocks during the holiday may be a relatively better strategy [12][10]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Sector Focus - Investment strategies should focus on maintaining a base in "resources + traditional manufacturing," while also increasing allocations in consumer and real estate chains. There is a recommendation to look for opportunities in the technology sector, particularly in AI-related industries [2][4][18]. - The focus on high-growth technology sectors, such as AI computing, robotics, and semiconductors, is emphasized as a key investment direction, alongside cyclical commodities that are expected to see price increases [18][5]. - The market is expected to experience a rotation, with sectors like TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) likely to perform better post-holiday, as historical trends indicate a recovery in risk appetite after the Spring Festival [17][11].
非银金融行业:增量资金持续入市,关注非银板块配置机会
GF SECURITIES· 2026-02-08 04:29
Core Insights - The report emphasizes the continuous influx of incremental funds into the market, highlighting investment opportunities in the non-bank financial sector [1][7] - The industry rating remains at "Buy," indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2] Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 6, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4065.58 points, down 1.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 2.11% [12] - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.41 trillion yuan, reflecting a 3.38% decrease [7] Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The performance of listed insurance companies is expected to continue high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest rate spreads [18] - China Ping An Group increased its stake in China Life H shares, indicating positive industry trends [18] - The first quarter of 2026 is anticipated to show better-than-expected performance for some insurance companies due to a low base in the first half of 2025 [18] Securities Sector - A significant increase in new accounts was observed in January 2026, with 491.58 million new A-share accounts opened, a 213% year-on-year increase [19] - The balance of margin trading reached a historical high, providing strong support for interest income in the securities industry [22] - The Hong Kong IPO market is active, with 384 companies applying for listings as of February 6, 2026, and a daily trading volume of 2202 billion yuan in January, a 94% year-on-year increase [24][28] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on specific stocks within the insurance sector, including China Ping An (A/H), China Life (A/H), and New China Life (A/H) [18] - In the securities sector, recommended stocks include Guotai Junan (AH), CICC (H), and Huatai Securities (AH) due to their potential for performance improvement [7][18]
招商证券:公司投行业务将积极把握IPO发行节奏加快的有利时机 多措并举提升收入水平
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-02-06 14:24
Core Viewpoint - The company aims to leverage the accelerating IPO issuance pace to enhance revenue through various strategies, focusing on strengthening its client base and optimizing its investment banking services [1] Group 1: Business Strategy - The company will actively grasp the favorable timing of the accelerated IPO issuance [1] - It plans to enhance revenue levels through multiple measures [1] - The company is committed to deepening its presence in branch institutions, investment platforms, and with China Merchants Bank [1] Group 2: Client Development - The company aims to strengthen its client system and solidify its enterprise customer base [1] - It will continuously build a technology investment banking brand and dynamically optimize the "three investment" linkage mechanism [1] - The company seeks to enhance cooperation with VC institutions, focusing on early identification of quality technology enterprises [1] Group 3: Industry Focus - The company is actively promoting the "Strong Chain Project" to connect "Leaping Enterprises" with leading enterprises [1] - It aims to deepen the integration of industry and finance, focusing on three core tracks: digital technology, green technology, and life sciences [1] - The company intends to explore high-quality enterprises within the industrial chain and actively support China Merchants Group's third entrepreneurial phase [1]
招商证券:公司积极响应国家“数字金融”政策
Core Viewpoint - The company is actively responding to the national "digital finance" policy and is committed to the "AI + finance" strategy of the China Merchants Group, aiming to transform into an "AI securities company" through comprehensive AI integration [1] Group 1: Digital Transformation Strategy - The company has upgraded its "digital planning" to "intelligent planning" and has established the "Tianqi" model system, implementing the "5A methodology" for large language model applications [1] - The company is focusing on a full-scale AI transformation across business development models, service models, operational management mechanisms, and technology platform architecture [1] Group 2: Wealth Management Innovations - In the wealth management sector, the company is exploring the creation of an AI-centric wealth management ecosystem, integrating high-frequency scenarios such as market data, information, asset allocation, investor education, and customer service [1] - The company has developed an AI wealth assistant for C-end clients and an internal AI assistant named "Zhao Xiaogu" for frontline business support [1] Group 3: Institutional Services Enhancement - The company has launched the "Zhao Shang Securities Zhizhi" integrated service brand for institutions, creating a one-stop intelligent research workstation [1] - The "AI Research Institute" has been fully upgraded to assist researchers in generating financial report comments, weekly and monthly reports [1] Group 4: Investment Banking Advancements - The company is focusing on an intelligent undertaking platform in the investment banking sector, launching an operational support platform to enhance marketing success rates, project undertaking efficiency, and integrated management levels [1] Group 5: Investment Research Improvements - The company aims to enhance the trading and market-making capabilities of its investment research platform and to improve its range of business categories [1]