智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研报称，短期美伊谈判僵持，军事部署升级拉高风险溢价;中长期来 看，新旧势力交替，全球地缘局势混乱程度加深。原油运输合规市场需求将集中释放，中短期内行业供 给无法及时满足;头部玩家快速提升市占率或改变行业定价逻辑，预计油轮仍有较大弹性空间，建议重 视中远海能(600026.SH，01138)、招商南油(601975.SH)。 欧美持续加大对伊朗、俄罗斯相关船舶制裁 26年2月初，欧盟提出第20轮对俄制裁方案，对俄罗斯原油实施全面的海上服务禁令(取消俄油限价，部 分欧洲船东(约18.5%)需转向长距离合规运输)。截至2月23日,受制裁VLCC为154条，载重吨占全球运力 为16.87%，相比1月底提升0.3%。目前来看，伴随欧美制裁力度持续加大，预计民营影子船东经营难度 加大，部分船况较差船舶可能将退出市场。 SINOKOR大量购船，行业集中度提升，定价能力改善 SINOKOR核心业务涵盖油轮、集装箱、散货三大板块。其因看好VLCC市场，出售集运船队给MSC， 获取数十亿资金扩大VLCC规模。12-1月累计54条二手VLCC船交易，预计大部分被其收购，待所有船 舶交付完毕，SINO ...

格隆汇2月25日｜招商证券发表报告指，多家机器人公司集中亮相春晚，展示出色的运动控制和自主操 作能力。平衡控制、动态响应、稳定性提升巨大，今年机器人进入政策密集支持阶段。该行称，港股关 注优必选、越疆、极智嘉及敏实，以及泛机器人领域禾赛、速腾聚创及地平线。 报告提到，人形机器人集中亮相，成春晚新主角；相关技术极速进化，将进入政策密集支持阶段。央视 春晚内容通常能反映当下产业政策的导向，今年突显科技春晚主题，安排机器人参演的数量明显增加 (去年只有宇树一家)，体现国家对人形机器人产业做大做强的决心，当前类似新能源汽车产业链的初始 阶段。预计今年进入政策密集支持期，形成国家战略引领+地方落地支撑的政策局面。 ...

招商证券称，今年春晚机器人展示技术难度比往年更高，队形更复杂，但仍保证零失误。群演机器人数 量更多，多机协同能力更强，体现机器人群体控制能力升级。以宇树为例，相比去年其机器人的平衡控 制、动态响应和稳定性有非常大提升，动作敏捷程度提升5至10倍，为将来推出更实用的服务型机器人 奠定基础。 智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研报称，上周一(16日)"年廿九"多家机器人公司集中亮相春晚，展示 出色的运动控制和自主作能力。平衡控制、动态响应、稳定性提升巨大，今年机器人进入政策密集支持 阶段。该行称，港股关注优必选(09880)、越疆(02432)、极智嘉-W(02590)及敏实集团(00425) ，以及泛 机器人领域禾赛-W(02525)、速腾聚创(02498)及地平线机器人-W(09660)。 报告提到，人形机器人集中亮相，成春晚新主角; 相关技术极速进化，将进入政策密集支持阶段。央视 春晚内容通常能反映当下产业政策的导向，今年突显科技春晚主题，安排机器人参演的数量明显增加 (去年只有宇树一家)，体现国家对人形机器人产业做大做强的决心，当前类似新能源汽车产业链的初始 阶段。预计今年进入政策密集支持期，形成国家战略引 ...

在破解AI眼镜"重量、续航、算力"不可能三角过程中，光学显示、结构设计、芯片集成等环节是 解决产业规模化的关键环节 智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研报称，年初Meta计划将2026年AI眼镜产能翻番至2000万件，同 时谷歌与Xreal合作打造Project Aura、苹果公司计划于2026年内推出AI眼镜，国际巨头纷纷押注空间计 算;国内雷鸟创新/Rokid/Memo等本土新锐品牌、华为/小米/理想硬件大厂、字节/阿里/百度等互联网企业 基于国内成熟消费电子产业链，在2025-2026年开启百镜大战，该行判断产业即将在2027年迎来"iPhone 时刻"，建议重视产业投资机遇。 招商证券主要观点如下： AI+AR眼镜即将迎来iPhone时刻 在可穿戴设备中，相较手表、耳机、项链等，眼镜受众群体最广泛、AI交互最自然，在产业链近 眼全彩显示、电池续航提升、空间计算能力进步推动下，AI+AR眼镜或有望成为下一代移动智能终端 设备。IDC统计，2025年智能眼镜(含AI眼镜、AR/VR设备)全球出货量预计1452万台+42.5%，其中AI眼 镜预估在766万台+401%(wellsennXR口径)。中国市场20 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the brokerage sector, indicating a synchronized performance with the market [1]. Core Insights - The brokerage index attempted to strengthen in January 2026 but ultimately failed, resulting in a decline of 1.49%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.65% [5][8]. - The brokerage sector experienced increased differentiation, with a notable number of stocks outperforming the brokerage index, leading to a higher average P/B ratio fluctuating between 1.426 and 1.541 times [5][11][14]. - The overall market conditions for January 2026 were characterized by a significant increase in trading volumes and a record high in margin financing balances, indicating a robust trading environment despite the sector's overall weakness [7][30]. Summary by Sections 1. January 2026 Brokerage Market Review - The brokerage index's performance was weak, with a 1.49% decline, ranking 28th among 30 industry indices [5][8]. - The average P/B ratio for the brokerage sector fluctuated between 1.426 and 1.541 times, reflecting a slight increase in valuation [14]. - A total trading volume of 1.03 trillion yuan was recorded, marking a 40.1% increase month-on-month [9]. 2. Key Market Factors Impacting January 2026 Performance - The equity market faced resistance after an initial rise, while the fixed income market showed signs of mild recovery, contributing to a rebound in proprietary trading [7][18]. - The average daily trading volume reached a historical high of 3.05 trillion yuan, with a total monthly trading volume of 60.90 trillion yuan, indicating a strong recovery in brokerage activity [26]. - Margin financing balances reached 27,153 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.9% month-on-month increase and a 53.1% year-on-year increase [30]. 3. February 2026 Performance Outlook for Listed Brokerages - Proprietary trading is expected to decline due to a cooling equity market, while brokerage activity may experience a seasonal drop in performance [7][40]. - The brokerage index is anticipated to face continued weakness, with a potential drop in overall monthly performance expected to return to relative lows seen in the previous 12 months [7][45]. - The report suggests that if the brokerage sector's valuation drops to 1.3x P/B, it may present a good opportunity for re-entry, particularly for leading firms with strong wealth management capabilities [7].

智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研报称，马斯克在达沃斯论坛上表示Tesla和SpaceX将在三年内在美 国分别建设100GW光伏产能。本轮北美光伏扩产，将给相关国产辅材、设备及头部制造公司带来价值 重估，尤其需要重视辅材机会，其持续性强，且技术路线分歧较小。其中地面辅材确定性高，太空辅材 市场空间大;同时，部分掌握核心专利的主链公司也有望受益。 招商证券主要观点如下： 马斯克在达沃斯论坛上表示Tesla和SpaceX将在三年内在美国分别建设100GW光伏产能 北美地面扩产预计沿用中国成熟技术路线和辅材供应链，而太空设备、辅材需要针对性开发、设计，价 值量将明显高于地面。本轮北美光伏扩产，将给相关国产辅材、设备及头部制造公司带来价值重估，尤 其需要重视辅材机会，其持续性强，且技术路线分歧较小。 北美地面光伏将给中国相关供应链带来机会，太空方案还在迭代 据产业反馈，SpaceX目前方案有可能倾向P-HJT路线，钙钛矿及钙钛矿叠层也在积极尝试，预计HJT与 钙钛矿装备厂会受益。同时，考虑太空复杂环境，超薄硅片和组件封装对相关环节提出更高要求。北美 地面光伏，从经济性出发可能选择N型TOPCon，但专利、工艺掌握在中 ...

t 31 - 11 - 1 Friday of Special A JUDD 深圳商报·读创客户端记者 钟国斌 马年初八将迎来A股首个交易日，A股市场将如何运行？招商证券首席策略分析师张夏接受记者采访时表示，马年A股慢牛行情有望延续。"2026年上市公司 盈利增速有望进一步回升，预测非金融及两油A股上市公司2026年有望实现5%至10%的温和增长，盈利增速将会对A股市场上行产生关键动力。"他分析指 出，2026年A股整体仍处在盈利增速回升和估值温和扩张的阶段，预计上证指数上涨幅度介于10%至15%之间。 "A股本轮上行周期正从流动性驱动、赛道股占优的'牛市第二阶段'，向以盈利改善为驱动力的'牛市第三阶段'过渡。关键观察变量是PPI的触底回升，这通常 标志着企业盈利实质性改善"。张夏表示，在此过渡期内，市场风格将趋于均衡。 2026年以来，A股日均成交额保持在2万亿元上方。张夏认为，在A股过去两年有较好赚钱效应以及整体中高回报率资产荒的背景下，2026年A股资金供需有 望延续较大规模净流入，或达1.56万亿元，为实现慢牛带来流动性支持。 具体来看，资金供给端，公募基金将延续发行回暖趋势，如果能够有效突破扭亏阻力 ...

Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a positive outlook for the non-bank financial sector, driven by favorable policies and continued capital inflow, suggesting potential for sector rebound [1][6]. - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the sector, indicating expected strong performance relative to the market [2]. Market Performance - As of February 14, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.41%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.39%. The CSI 300 Index saw a modest gain of 0.36% [12]. - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.11 trillion yuan, reflecting a 12.3% decrease week-on-week [6]. Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The report indicates that listed insurance companies are expected to maintain high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest margins. The insurance fund utilization scale reached 38.5 trillion yuan in Q4 2025, up 15.7% year-on-year [18]. - The report suggests that the upcoming spring market rally may drive better-than-expected performance for insurance companies in Q1 2026, supported by a stable long-term interest rate and an upward trend in the equity market [18]. Securities Sector - The report discusses the recent optimization measures for refinancing announced by the three major exchanges, which aim to enhance financing efficiency and support high-quality enterprises [19]. - The new refinancing rules are expected to create structural opportunities for securities firms, shifting the focus from compliance to the ability to identify and serve quality clients [20]. - The report emphasizes that the optimization of refinancing will lead to a more differentiated regulatory system, benefiting quality companies while tightening controls on weaker entities [22]. Key Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed valuations for several key companies in the sector, including: - China Ping An (601318.SH) with a target price of 85.17 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - New China Life (601336.SH) with a target price of 94.21 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - China Life (601628.SH) with a target price of 55.47 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - The report also highlights the expected earnings per share (EPS) growth for these companies, indicating a positive outlook for their financial performance in 2025 and 2026 [7].

作者：柳白 中信建投表示，考虑到春节前避险情绪升温，情绪指数回落的季节性效应，预计市场短期面临情绪降温和指数回调压力。综合考虑当前市场增量资金和情绪 指数各分项指标，预计全A指数调整空间有限，且有望在春节前企稳，春节前后迎来新一轮上行行情。 招商证券指出，春节之后，由于临近两会召开，政策催化将会加速出现，春节之后指数有望有更好的表现。基本面层面，1-2月是数据真空期，从目前来 看，产业端的边际变化带来的业绩改善趋势仍然是市场关注的方向。顺周期涨价品种，以半导体光模块为代表的AI链依然是景气趋势之所在。 对于今年的春节行情，天风证券表示，不论是"十五五"开局之年的政策预期，全球流动性宽松前景，还是居民资金向权益资产配置的趋势，都可能强化节后 市场上涨的规律，今年"春节躁动"行情或更持续。另外，今年受"史上超长九天春节假期"的影响，消费需求释放明显早于往年，出行与消费规模有望再突 破，市场对"经济开门红"的预期或更稳定。 粤开证券则对当前市场行情提示了相关风险。粤开证券指出，2月行情并非毫无风险，短期仍需警惕三大扰动因素：一是海外市场的波动传导，美国加征关 税的政策落地、美股科技股的调整，或对A股相关板块形成短期 ...

Core Viewpoint - The January CPI in the U.S. is 2.4% year-on-year, lower than the market expectation of 2.5%, primarily driven by declines in energy prices and used car prices. The core CPI month-on-month increase of 0.3% meets expectations, with moderate trends in rent and persistent price increases in some services. Despite the cooling inflation, overseas markets still anticipate two rate cuts in June as a high-probability scenario due to stable non-farm employment and statements from Federal Reserve officials [2][4]. Inflation Data Summary - January CPI month-on-month is 0.2% (previous value 0.3%), and year-on-year is 2.4% (previous value 2.7%). Core CPI month-on-month is 0.3% (previous value 0.2%), and year-on-year is 2.5% (previous value 2.6%) [1][2]. - Energy prices in January decreased by 1.5% month-on-month (previous value 0.3%), significantly contributing to the cooling inflation. Energy commodities fell by 3.3% month-on-month (previous value -0.3%), with gasoline down 3.2% (previous value -0.3%) and fuel oil down 5.7% (previous value -0.8%) [2][3]. Food Prices and Core CPI - Food prices increased moderately in January, with an overall month-on-month increase of 0.2% (previous value 0.7%). Household food prices rose by 0.2% (previous value 0.6%), while non-household food prices increased by 0.1% (previous value 0.7%). Beef prices fell by 0.4% (previous value 1.1%) due to tariff reductions [3][4]. - The core CPI month-on-month increase of 0.3% (previous value 0.2%) shows a slowdown in rent prices, with rent items rising by 0.2% (previous value 0.4%). Some service prices continue to rise, with overall service CPI increasing by 0.4% (previous value 0.3%) [3][4]. Vehicle Prices and Market Reactions - Prices for new and used vehicles are under pressure from demand-side cooling, with the CPI for used cars and trucks down 1.8% month-on-month (previous value -0.9%). The CPI for new transportation tools rose by 0.1% (previous value 0.0%) [4]. - Following the data release, the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by 3.4 basis points to around 3.41%, and the 10-year yield decreased by 3.6 basis points to approximately 4.06%. The dollar index remained stable around 96.9 [2][4].