Core Viewpoint - The A-share apparel sector has shown a positive revenue growth in Q3 2025, with significant net profit growth, primarily due to a lower base in Q3 2024. The home textile segment performed particularly well, while the textile manufacturing sector saw a narrowing decline in both revenue and profit [1][3]. Industry Review - Demand Side: - Online retail sales of clothing in China from January to September increased by 2.8% year-on-year, accelerating compared to the previous months [2]. - In the U.S., retail sales of clothing and accessories rose by 8.3% year-on-year in August, marking an acceleration from July, with continuous month-on-month growth since May [2]. - Export Side: - China's textile and apparel exports in September decreased by 1.5% year-on-year, with textile exports up by 6% and garment exports down by 8% [2]. - Vietnam's textile and footwear exports in September increased by 9% year-on-year, showing an acceleration compared to August [2]. Apparel Sector Q3 2025 Summary - Performance Review: - The A-share apparel sector's revenue growth turned positive in Q3 2025, with a net profit increase of 10.6% compared to a decline of 22.0% in Q2 [3]. - The home textile segment, particularly brands like Luolai and Mercury, showed significant revenue and profit growth [3]. - Operational Efficiency: - Most brands experienced an increase in inventory turnover days year-on-year, except for Ge Li Si, Youngor, Luolai Life, and Mercury Home Textile, which saw a decrease [3]. Textile Manufacturing Q3 2025 Summary - Performance Review: - The revenue decline in the A-share textile manufacturing sector narrowed in Q3 2025, with a decrease of 0.4% compared to 1.9% in Q2 [5]. - Profit decline also narrowed, with a decrease of 11.2% in Q3 compared to 20.4% in Q2, with companies like Nanshan Zhishang and Fuchun Dyeing leading in growth [5]. - Future Outlook: - The impact of short-term tariffs is expected to end by year-end, with future order demand being a key variable. Most overseas brands completed price increases in Q3, making Q4 U.S. consumption trends an important observation [5]. - The concentration of orders and capacity advantages for midstream OEMs with mature overseas production capabilities will become more prominent [5]. - The efficiency of new production capacity and the pace of improvement need to be monitored, with a balanced production line allocation mechanism being crucial [5]. Investment Recommendations - For 2026, the performance recovery logic for the export manufacturing sector appears clearer, driven by the implementation of U.S. tariff policies, reduced pressure on brands, and ongoing efficiency improvements [6]. - Recommended stocks include: - For home textiles: Luolai Life, Mercury Home Textile, and Fuanna [6]. - For light luxury: Prada and Samsonite [6]. - For undervalued high-dividend stocks: Bosideng, Jiangnan Buyi, and Taobo [6].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 滔搏國際控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06110 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 20,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.000001 | HKD | | 20,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 20,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.000001 | HKD | | 20,000 | 本月底法定/ ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for FY2026H1, with a focus on the challenges in retail and wholesale segments, while maintaining a strong gross margin and effective cost control [1][2] Revenue Performance - FY2026H1 revenue reached 12.3 billion yuan, down 5.8% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was 790 million yuan, down 9.7% year-on-year [1] - Retail revenue in Q2 showed a significant decline, with high single-digit drop year-on-year, while wholesale revenue decreased by 20% year-on-year, contributing to the overall revenue decline [1] Operational Efficiency - The company closed 332 stores, bringing the total to 4,688, indicating a further reduction in store count; however, same-store sales area increased by 6.5% year-on-year, reflecting improved channel structure [1] - Despite a double-digit decline in offline customer traffic, retail revenue only decreased by 3% year-on-year, supported by strong online performance with double-digit growth [1] Inventory and Cash Flow - Inventory decreased by 5% year-on-year, aligning with revenue performance; inventory turnover days increased slightly to 150 days, maintaining a healthy level [1] - Net operating cash flow significantly exceeded net profit, indicating strong operational quality [1] Gross Margin and Cost Control - FY2026H1 gross margin stood at 41%, stable year-on-year, despite a challenging retail environment and increased discounts [2] - Sales and management expense ratios showed a slight decrease and increase respectively, indicating continued effective cost control [2] Future Outlook - The company is believed to be at the bottom of its operating cycle, gradually moving upwards; if the recovery of Nike in China exceeds expectations, there could be significant improvements in revenue and gross margin [2] - Projected net profits for FY2026-FY2028 are 1.28 billion, 1.43 billion, and 1.57 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15, 14, and 13 times; expected dividend yield for FY2026 is around 7% [2]

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities reports that Tmall (06110) experienced a decline in revenue and net profit for FY1H26, with year-on-year changes of -5.8% and -9.7% respectively, indicating ongoing pressure from customer traffic and discounts [1] Company Summary - Tmall's revenue and net profit for FY1H26 decreased by 5.8% and 9.7% year-on-year, reflecting persistent challenges in customer traffic and discount pressures [1] - The company maintains its full-year performance guidance despite short-term weaknesses in offline customer traffic and an increasing share of heavily discounted online channels [1] - In the medium to long term, Tmall is expected to gradually return to a stable growth trajectory due to improved inventory health in the industry, recovery in sales momentum from key brands like Nike, and the performance growth of newly independent brands in running and outdoor categories such as SOAR, Norrna, and Norda [1] - CITIC Securities assigns a 15x PE for the fiscal year 2026, corresponding to a target price of HKD 3.5, and maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Industry Summary - The industry is currently facing weak offline customer traffic and significant discounting pressures across all channels [1] - The shift towards online channels with deeper discounts is impacting overall channel discount levels [1] - The recovery of key brands and the introduction of new independent brands in the running and outdoor segments are anticipated to support future growth in the industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities reports that Tmall's (06110) FY1H26 revenue and net profit decreased by 5.8% and 9.7% year-on-year, indicating ongoing pressure from customer traffic and discounts [1] Company Summary - Tmall's revenue and net profit for FY1H26 showed a decline of 5.8% and 9.7% respectively, reflecting persistent challenges in customer traffic and discounting pressures [1] - The company maintains its full-year performance guidance despite the short-term weakness in offline customer traffic and the increasing proportion of heavily discounted online channels [1] - In the medium to long term, Tmall is expected to gradually return to a stable growth trajectory as industry inventory health improves and sales momentum from key brands like Nike recovers, along with the performance of newly independent brands in running and outdoor categories [1] Industry Summary - The overall industry is experiencing weak offline customer traffic, with a continued rise in the share of online channels that offer significant discounts [1] - The recovery of inventory health in the industry and the sales momentum of major brands are anticipated to support a rebound in performance [1] - The emergence of new independent brands in the running and outdoor segments is expected to contribute positively to the industry's growth [1] Valuation - CITIC Securities assigns a 15x PE for Tmall for the fiscal year 2026, corresponding to a target price of 3.5 HKD, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 12.3 billion yuan for FY2026H1, a year-on-year decrease of 5.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 790 million yuan, down 9.7% year-on-year. The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 810 million yuan, with a payout ratio of 102% [2][4]. - Retail sales showed a decline in Q2, contributing to the overall revenue drop, with retail income down 3% and wholesale income down 20% year-on-year [6]. - The company is optimizing channel efficiency, with a net store closure of 332, bringing the total to 4,688 stores. Despite a decrease in store count, the sales area per store increased by 6.5% year-on-year, indicating improved channel structure [6]. - Gross margin remained strong at 41%, stable year-on-year, despite a challenging retail environment and increased discounts. The company maintained excellent cost control, with sales and management expense ratios showing minor changes [6]. - The company is believed to be at the bottom of its operating cycle, gradually moving upwards. If the recovery of Nike in China exceeds expectations, significant improvements in revenue and gross margin are anticipated [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY2026H1 revenue was 12.3 billion yuan, down 5.8% year-on-year; net profit was 790 million yuan, down 9.7% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company expects to achieve net profits of 1.28 billion, 1.43 billion, and 1.57 billion yuan for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 14, and 13 [6][8]. Operational Insights - Retail sales in Q2 showed a decline, with retail income down 3% and wholesale income down 20% year-on-year [6]. - The company closed 332 stores, resulting in a total of 4,688 stores, while the sales area per store increased by 6.5% year-on-year [6]. Margin and Cost Control - Gross margin for FY2026H1 was 41%, stable year-on-year, despite a challenging retail environment [6]. - The company maintained strong cost control, with minor changes in expense ratios [6].

Core Viewpoint - 招银国际's report indicates that 滔搏 (06110) slightly exceeded expectations for the first half of the fiscal year ending August 2025, benefiting from resilient gross margins [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company showed a slight performance improvement in the first half of 2025, attributed to strong gross margin resilience [1] - Despite a cautious outlook for sales growth in the second half of fiscal year 2026, profit margins are expected to expand due to strong support from core brands and the closure of underperforming stores [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - The report expresses increased confidence in the company's recovery prospects, particularly due to positive signs from Nike, although a full recovery may take considerable time [1] - The target price for the company's stock has been raised from HKD 3.62 to HKD 3.77, with an expected dividend yield of 8% for fiscal year 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - 招银国际 reports that 滔搏's performance for the first half of the fiscal year ending August slightly exceeded expectations, benefiting from resilient gross margins [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - 滔搏's sales growth outlook for the second half of fiscal year 2026 is approached with caution, despite strong support from core brands and the closure of underperforming stores [1] - The company is expected to see margin expansion due to these strategic adjustments [1] - The mid-term dividend payout ratio reached 102% [2] Group 2: Market Outlook - 招银国际 expresses increased confidence in 滔搏's recovery prospects, particularly due to positive signs from Nike, although a full recovery may take considerable time [1] - The target price for 滔搏 has been raised from HKD 3.62 to HKD 3.77, maintaining a "Buy" rating based on an anticipated dividend yield of 8% for fiscal year 2027 [1]

Core Viewpoint - 招银国际's report indicates that 滔搏 (06110) slightly exceeded expectations for the first half of the fiscal year ending August 2025, benefiting from resilient gross margins [1] Financial Performance - The company is expected to experience profit margin expansion due to strong support from core brands and the closure of underperforming stores [1] - The forecast for the second half of fiscal year 2026 sales growth is cautious, reflecting potential challenges [1] Market Outlook - There are positive signs from Nike, which enhances confidence in the company's recovery prospects, although it may take a considerable amount of time [1] - The projected dividend yield for fiscal year 2027 is estimated to reach 8% [1] Investment Rating - 招银国际 maintains a "Buy" rating for 滔搏, with the target price raised from HKD 3.62 to HKD 3.77 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a full-year guidance for Topsports International Holdings, targeting a net profit amount roughly flat year-on-year alongside an improvement in net profit margin [4][10]. Core Insights - In 1H FY2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of RMB 12.30 billion, a decrease of 5.8% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to owners at RMB 790 million, down 9.7% YoY [2][8]. - The gross profit margin for 1H FY2025 was 41.0%, slightly contracting by 0.1 percentage point YoY but expanding by 2.5 percentage points compared to 2H FY2024, exceeding market expectations due to brand partner subsidies [2][8]. - The company reported a significant decline in operating cash flow, down 48.2% YoY to RMB 1.35 billion, attributed to increased cash payments to suppliers and slower customer collections [3][9]. - Management indicated stable operational performance early in Q3 FY2025, with sales trends consistent with Q2, and maintained the FY2025 guidance focusing on profit-oriented strategies [4][10]. Financial Performance Summary - Total operating revenue for 1H FY2025 was RMB 12.30 billion, with retail business revenue down 3% and wholesale business revenue down 10.3% YoY [2][8]. - The effective tax rate for 1H FY2025 was 20.0%, up from 17.6% in the same period last year [2][8]. - The company declared an interim dividend of RMB 0.13 per share, with a payout ratio of 102%, slightly higher than the previous year [3][9]. Operational Trends - The total number of directly operated stores decreased by 19.4% YoY to 4,688, but the sales area per store increased by 6.5% [5][11]. - The company has built a digital matrix with over 800 Douyin accounts and over 3,600 mini-program stores, driving double-digit growth in online retail sales [5][11]. - Membership base grew to 89 million, with member sales accounting for 92.9% of total sales, indicating strong user loyalty [5][11].