Group 1: Food and Beverage Industry - The EU's anti-subsidy measures on dairy products have been implemented, which is expected to accelerate the domestic substitution in deep processing of dairy products. The measures include temporary anti-subsidy deposits on EU dairy imports starting December 23, 2025 [3] - From 2020 to March 2024, EU dairy product imports accounted for 23.6% to 34.6% of China's total dairy imports. The imposition of anti-subsidy taxes is likely to drive the deep processing business to shift domestically [3] - Domestic dairy companies such as Miao Ke Lan Duo, Yili, Mengniu, and Li Gao are focusing on deep processing, with current domestic milk prices being lower than overseas prices, which may further accelerate domestic substitution [3] - The deep processing sector is expected to enhance the consumption of raw milk, thereby improving the supply-demand dynamics in the upstream raw milk industry [3] Group 2: Electronics Industry - Lingyi Technology (002600.SZ) plans to acquire a 35% stake in Limin Da for 875 million RMB, gaining control over 52.78% of voting rights. This acquisition will integrate Limin Da into the company's consolidated financial statements [5] - Limin Da specializes in thermal management solutions for enterprise-level servers, providing key hardware products such as liquid cooling connectors and modules. The company has established a strong customer base, including leading clients in the overseas computing industry [5] - For the first nine months of 2025, Limin Da reported revenues of 486 million RMB and a net profit of 21 million RMB, showing significant improvement in profitability compared to the previous year [5] - The acquisition is expected to enhance the company's capabilities in the server liquid cooling business, reduce development costs, and improve product validation cycles, thereby expanding the scale and profitability of the AI hardware server segment [5]

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月23日 滔搏（06110.HK） 三季度流水下滑高单位数，折扣同比加深幅度收窄 |  | 公司研究·海外公司快评 |  | 纺织服饰·服装家纺 |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 丁诗洁 | 0755-81981391 | dingshijie@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980520040004 | | 证券分析师： | 刘佳琪 | 010-88005446 | liujiaqi@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980523070003 | 事项： 公司公告：2026 财年第三季度，集团零售及批发业务之总销售金额按年同比录得高单位数下降。截至 2025 年 11 月 30 日，直营门店毛销售面积较上一季末减少 1.3%，较去年同期减少 13.4%。 国信纺服观点：1)流水增长：2026 财年第三季度销售额同比下滑高单位数，线上渠道增速仍好于线下渠道， 但受基数影响，分化较上半年收窄；2）库存折扣：三季度末库存总额同比下降，与销售表现方向一致， 保持良 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market index [2][5][19]. Core Insights - The company reported third-quarter results that were generally in line with expectations, with healthy operational metrics, although demand is still awaiting recovery [2][5]. - Retail and wholesale sales saw a high single-digit decline year-on-year, with retail performing better than wholesale, and online sales outpacing offline [5][14]. - Inventory levels remain healthy, with a decrease in total inventory and stable discount rates year-on-year, indicating effective inventory management [5][14]. - The company is focusing on product innovation and enhancing retail capabilities, particularly through partnerships with key brands like NIKE to optimize online market management [5][14]. - The company anticipates a reduction in store closures compared to the previous fiscal year, with a slight decrease in retail space and a focus on finding growth opportunities [5][14]. - Despite challenges in retail performance in the fourth quarter, the company is working towards meeting its annual guidance, with cost-saving measures expected to materialize in the second half of the year [5][14]. Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - The company's revenue for FY2024 is projected at 28.93 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7%. However, revenues are expected to decline in FY2025 and FY2026, with forecasts of 27.01 billion RMB and 25.27 billion RMB respectively [5][15]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 2.21 billion RMB for FY2024, with a significant decline to 1.29 billion RMB in FY2025, followed by a slight recovery in subsequent years [5][15]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to decrease from 0.36 RMB in FY2024 to 0.21 RMB in FY2025, reflecting the anticipated drop in profitability [5][15]. - The gross margin is projected to decline from 41.8% in FY2024 to 38.4% in FY2025, indicating pressure on profitability [5][15].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported third-quarter operational data for FY26, which was generally in line with expectations, with retail and wholesale sales experiencing a high single-digit decline year-on-year [7] - Retail performance outpaced wholesale, with online sales outperforming offline sales. The decline in retail was mitigated by a low base effect from the previous year, while online growth slowed due to a high base [7] - Inventory levels remain healthy, with a stable discount rate year-on-year. The total inventory decreased, and the company is focused on maintaining a healthy inventory turnover [7] - The core brand is enhancing product innovation and retail capabilities while increasing inventory recovery efforts. Collaborations with key retailers aim to optimize online market management and address pricing inconsistencies in the industry [7] - The company is expected to significantly reduce store closures compared to FY25, with a slight decrease in direct store sales area [7] - Retail demand has weakened since the fourth quarter, posing challenges to achieving annual guidance, although the company is still working towards this goal [7] - The company focuses on high-quality growth in sports apparel retail, with a slight downward adjustment in profit forecasts for FY26-28 [7] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2024 to FY2028 are as follows: - FY2024: 28.93 billion RMB (7% growth) - FY2025: 27.01 billion RMB (7% decline) - FY2026E: 25.27 billion RMB (6% decline) - FY2027E: 26.62 billion RMB (5% growth) - FY2028E: 28.27 billion RMB (6% growth) [6] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are: - FY2024: 2.21 billion RMB (21% growth) - FY2025: 1.29 billion RMB (42% decline) - FY2026E: 1.25 billion RMB (3% decline) - FY2027E: 1.39 billion RMB (11% growth) - FY2028E: 1.51 billion RMB (9% growth) [6] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be around 41.8% in FY2024, declining to 38.4% in FY2025, and gradually improving to 40.0% by FY2028 [6]

最新公告列表 《2025/26 财政年度第三季度运营表现》 截至2025年12月23日收盘，滔搏（06110）报收于2.98元，较前一交易日下跌4.49%，该股当日开盘3.11 元，最高3.11元，最低2.87元，成交额达1.63亿元。近52周最高3.77元，最低2.38元。 近日，滔搏國際控股有限公司（股份代號：6110）自願發出公告，提供其2025/26財政年度第三季度 （2025年9月1日至2025年11月30日）的運營表現。期間，集團零售及批發業務的總銷售金額按年同比錄 得高單位數下跌。截至2025年11月30日，直營門店毛銷售面積較上一季末減少1.3%，較去年同期減少 13.4%。零售業務銷售金額涵蓋線下門店及線上電商平台收益，批發業務銷售金額則來自與下游零售商 的銷售收益，均包含增值稅。上述數據基於未經審計的運營資料，不構成對集團收益或財務表現的全面 反映，可能存在調整。董事會提醒股東及潛在投資者交易時謹慎行事。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Tabo (06110) is a leading company in the sports footwear and apparel distribution channel, with improvements in retail efficiency driven by digital transformation and optimized store structures. The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.229 billion, 1.379 billion, and 1.533 billion yuan for FY2026-FY2028, with a current price corresponding to a FY2026 PE of 14 times, maintaining a "buy" rating [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - In FY2026 Q3, the company's total sales (including retail and wholesale) are expected to decline by a high single-digit percentage, with direct store sales area decreasing by 1.3% quarter-on-quarter and 13.4% year-on-year [1] - The decline in sales is attributed to store closures, with a net reduction of 332 stores in FY2026 H1, bringing the total to 4,688 stores as of the end of November 2025 [1] - The company anticipates that offline sales will continue to face pressure due to fluctuating consumer environments and market competition, although retail sales are expected to outperform wholesale [1] Group 2: E-commerce Growth - The company is expected to continue its growth momentum in e-commerce, leveraging its strong operational capabilities and enhancing its e-commerce system [2] - The strategy includes extending the online reach of physical stores through platforms like Douyin, Xiaohongshu, WeChat Mini Programs, and instant retail [2] - The company aims to improve its operational capabilities in both platform e-commerce and content e-commerce [2] Group 3: Brand and Market Expansion - The company is focusing on expanding its brand presence in the outdoor and running segments, collaborating with brands like Norda, Soar, Ciele, and Norr na to meet diverse consumer needs [3] - A new running ecosystem brand, Ektos, has been established, with a store opened in Shanghai and participation in the Shanghai Marathon to attract runners [3] - The company plans to leverage its marketing and retail advantages to help new brands expand their market presence and share opportunities in the running segment [3] Group 4: Financial Outlook - The company is projected to experience a decline in net profit, with a forecasted revenue decrease of 7% and a net profit drop of around 4% for FY2026 [4] - The overall consumer environment remains volatile, negatively impacting terminal sales [4] - The main brand Adidas is expected to perform relatively well in the Greater China region, with a 6% revenue growth on a currency-neutral basis for the period of July to September 2025, while Nike is still in the process of inventory reduction, with a 16% revenue decline in the same region [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Tabo (06110) is a leading company in the downstream channel of sports footwear and apparel, with improvements in retail efficiency driven by store structure optimization and digital transformation, alongside effective membership operations that enhance user loyalty. The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.229 billion, 1.379 billion, and 1.533 billion yuan for FY2026-FY2028, with a current price corresponding to a FY2026 PE of 14 times, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1 - In FY2026 Q3, the company experienced a high single-digit decline in total sales, with direct store sales area decreasing by 1.3% quarter-on-quarter and 13.4% year-on-year [1] - The decline in sales is attributed to store closures, with a net closure of 332 stores in FY2026 H1, resulting in a total of 4,688 stores as of the end of November 2025 [1] - The company anticipates that offline sales will continue to face pressure due to fluctuations in consumer traffic and market competition, although it expects a reduction in net store closures in FY2026 H2 compared to FY2026 H1 [1] Group 2 - The company is expected to maintain growth in e-commerce sales due to its strong operational capabilities, enhancing its e-commerce system by leveraging offline stores and expanding into various online channels [2] - The company is focusing on new brand and business layout in the outdoor and running segments, collaborating with brands like Norda, soar, Ciele, and Norrøna to meet differentiated consumer demands [3] - The company has established the running ecosystem brand ektos and opened a store in Shanghai, which gained attention during the Shanghai Marathon [3] Group 3 - For FY2026, the company is projected to see a decline in net profit, with an estimated revenue drop of 7% and a net profit decrease of around 4% due to a volatile consumer environment impacting terminal sales [4] - The main brand Adidas is expected to perform relatively well in the Greater China region, with a 6% revenue growth on a currency-neutral basis for the period of July to September 2025 [4] - Nike is currently undergoing inventory destocking in the Greater China region, with a 16% revenue decline on a currency-neutral basis for the period of September to November 2025, but is expected to improve its operational performance in the long term [4]

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market opened high but experienced fluctuations, closing with the Hang Seng Index down 0.11% at 25,774.14 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.69% at 5,488.89 points, the National Enterprises Index down 0.29% at 8,913.83 points, and the Red Chip Index down 0.19% at 4,067.53 points [1] Sector Performance - Large tech stocks showed mixed performance: Alibaba rose 0.55%, Tencent fell 2.03%, JD.com increased by 0.45%, Xiaomi dropped 1.51%, NetEase decreased by 0.65%, Meituan rose 0.39%, Kuaishou fell 3.52%, and Bilibili decreased by 0.05% [1] - Gold stocks continued to rise, with WanGuo Gold Group up over 5%, Shandong Gold up over 4%, and Zhaojin Mining up over 2% [1] - Wind power stocks led gains, with Dongfang Electric up over 8% [1] - Biotech stocks declined, with Yaojie Ankang down over 18% [1] - Chinese brokerage stocks opened high but closed lower, with Dongfang Securities down over 1% [1] Company News - Cathay Pacific reported 2.5304 million passengers in November, a year-on-year increase of 26% [2] - Shandong High New Energy's subsidiary signed an EPC contract worth RMB 405.5 million [2] - China General Nuclear Power's units are in testing, with adjusted operational timelines for 2026 [2] - Lehua Entertainment signed a business cooperation framework agreement with Youku [3] - Dipo Technology entered a strategic cooperation agreement with Muxi Co., focusing on enterprise-level AI applications [4] - Nanshan Aluminum's alumina design capacity has been increased to 4 million tons [7] Institutional Insights - Huatai Securities noted that the market is still in a left-side layout phase, with supply and demand pressures expected to persist into the year-end [10] - Guotou Securities highlighted the historical strength of U.S. stocks at year-end, despite uncertainties regarding interest rates and inflation paths for 2026 [10] - Galaxy Securities recommended focusing on the tech sector as a long-term investment theme, anticipating a rebound due to multiple favorable factors [10]

Core Viewpoint - Macquarie has downgraded the target price for Tmall (06110) by 5% to HKD 3.9, maintaining an "outperform" rating due to weak demand impacting revenue forecasts and increasing expense ratios [1] Group 1: Financial Forecasts - The forecast for Tmall's net profit in FY2026 has been reduced by 4.2%, while the FY2027 forecast has been cut by 3.9% [1] - Revenue for the second half of FY2026 is expected to decline by 10.8%, with net profit projected to increase by 12% to RMB 459 million, indicating a year-on-year net profit decrease of 3% [1] Group 2: Sales Performance - Sales in the third quarter of FY2026 have decreased in line with management expectations, remaining consistent with the second quarter [1] - The company believes that foot traffic in offline stores continues to be under pressure, with weak demand persisting into December [1] Group 3: Brand and Market Dynamics - Nike, Tmall's main brand, has indicated that a reset in China will take time, and Tmall is closely collaborating with Nike to build a foundation for long-term growth [1] - Ongoing discounts in online channels may lead to higher growth in the third quarter compared to offline retail channels, resulting in greater discounting across the channel mix [1] Group 4: Margin and Cost Control - Despite the ongoing discounts, the negative impact is believed to be diminishing as the year-on-year change in offline retail discounts has narrowed [1] - Cost control measures are expected to continue alleviating pressure on gross margins in the second half of FY2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Macquarie has downgraded the target price for Tmall (06110) by 5% to HKD 3.9, maintaining a "Outperform" rating, primarily due to weak demand impacting revenue forecasts and increasing expense ratios [1] Group 1: Financial Forecasts - The forecast for Tmall's net profit for the fiscal year 2026 has been reduced by 4.2%, while the 2027 forecast has been lowered by 3.9% [1] - For the second half of the fiscal year 2026, revenue is expected to decline by 10.8%, while net profit is projected to increase by 12% to RMB 459 million, indicating a year-on-year decrease of 3% in net profit for the fiscal year 2026 [1] Group 2: Sales Performance - The sales decline in the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 aligns with management's expectations and is comparable to the second quarter, with continued pressure on foot traffic in offline stores and weak demand persisting in December [1] - The main brand, Nike, has indicated that a reset in China will take time, and Tmall is closely collaborating with Nike to build a foundation for long-term growth [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The ongoing discounts in online channels may lead to higher growth in the third quarter compared to offline retail channels, resulting in greater discounting across the channel mix [1] - Despite the discounting pressures, the negative impact is believed to be diminishing as the year-on-year change in offline retail discounts has narrowed [1] - Cost control measures are expected to continue alleviating gross margin pressure in the second half of fiscal year 2026 [1]