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中信证券:维持滔搏(06110)“增持”评级 目标价3.5港元
智通财经网· 2025-10-29 03:32
Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities reports that Tmall's (06110) FY1H26 revenue and net profit decreased by 5.8% and 9.7% year-on-year, indicating ongoing pressure from customer traffic and discounts [1] Company Summary - Tmall's revenue and net profit for FY1H26 showed a decline of 5.8% and 9.7% respectively, reflecting persistent challenges in customer traffic and discounting pressures [1] - The company maintains its full-year performance guidance despite the short-term weakness in offline customer traffic and the increasing proportion of heavily discounted online channels [1] - In the medium to long term, Tmall is expected to gradually return to a stable growth trajectory as industry inventory health improves and sales momentum from key brands like Nike recovers, along with the performance of newly independent brands in running and outdoor categories [1] Industry Summary - The overall industry is experiencing weak offline customer traffic, with a continued rise in the share of online channels that offer significant discounts [1] - The recovery of inventory health in the industry and the sales momentum of major brands are anticipated to support a rebound in performance [1] - The emergence of new independent brands in the running and outdoor segments is expected to contribute positively to the industry's growth [1] Valuation - CITIC Securities assigns a 15x PE for Tmall for the fiscal year 2026, corresponding to a target price of 3.5 HKD, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]
滔搏(06110):经营质量稳健,后续谨慎乐观
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-28 08:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 12.3 billion yuan for FY2026H1, a year-on-year decrease of 5.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 790 million yuan, down 9.7% year-on-year. The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 810 million yuan, with a payout ratio of 102% [2][4]. - Retail sales showed a decline in Q2, contributing to the overall revenue drop, with retail income down 3% and wholesale income down 20% year-on-year [6]. - The company is optimizing channel efficiency, with a net store closure of 332, bringing the total to 4,688 stores. Despite a decrease in store count, the sales area per store increased by 6.5% year-on-year, indicating improved channel structure [6]. - Gross margin remained strong at 41%, stable year-on-year, despite a challenging retail environment and increased discounts. The company maintained excellent cost control, with sales and management expense ratios showing minor changes [6]. - The company is believed to be at the bottom of its operating cycle, gradually moving upwards. If the recovery of Nike in China exceeds expectations, significant improvements in revenue and gross margin are anticipated [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY2026H1 revenue was 12.3 billion yuan, down 5.8% year-on-year; net profit was 790 million yuan, down 9.7% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company expects to achieve net profits of 1.28 billion, 1.43 billion, and 1.57 billion yuan for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 14, and 13 [6][8]. Operational Insights - Retail sales in Q2 showed a decline, with retail income down 3% and wholesale income down 20% year-on-year [6]. - The company closed 332 stores, resulting in a total of 4,688 stores, while the sales area per store increased by 6.5% year-on-year [6]. Margin and Cost Control - Gross margin for FY2026H1 was 41%, stable year-on-year, despite a challenging retail environment [6]. - The company maintained strong cost control, with minor changes in expense ratios [6].
招银国际:升滔搏目标价至3.77港元 维持“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 02:43
Core Viewpoint - 招银国际's report indicates that 滔搏 (06110) slightly exceeded expectations for the first half of the fiscal year ending August 2025, benefiting from resilient gross margins [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company showed a slight performance improvement in the first half of 2025, attributed to strong gross margin resilience [1] - Despite a cautious outlook for sales growth in the second half of fiscal year 2026, profit margins are expected to expand due to strong support from core brands and the closure of underperforming stores [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - The report expresses increased confidence in the company's recovery prospects, particularly due to positive signs from Nike, although a full recovery may take considerable time [1] - The target price for the company's stock has been raised from HKD 3.62 to HKD 3.77, with an expected dividend yield of 8% for fiscal year 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]
大行评级丨招银国际:微升滔搏目标价至3.77港元 维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-28 02:42
Core Viewpoint - 招银国际 reports that 滔搏's performance for the first half of the fiscal year ending August slightly exceeded expectations, benefiting from resilient gross margins [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - 滔搏's sales growth outlook for the second half of fiscal year 2026 is approached with caution, despite strong support from core brands and the closure of underperforming stores [1] - The company is expected to see margin expansion due to these strategic adjustments [1] - The mid-term dividend payout ratio reached 102% [2] Group 2: Market Outlook - 招银国际 expresses increased confidence in 滔搏's recovery prospects, particularly due to positive signs from Nike, although a full recovery may take considerable time [1] - The target price for 滔搏 has been raised from HKD 3.62 to HKD 3.77, maintaining a "Buy" rating based on an anticipated dividend yield of 8% for fiscal year 2027 [1]
招银国际:升滔搏(06110)目标价至3.77港元 维持“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2025-10-28 02:38
Core Viewpoint - 招银国际's report indicates that 滔搏 (06110) slightly exceeded expectations for the first half of the fiscal year ending August 2025, benefiting from resilient gross margins [1] Financial Performance - The company is expected to experience profit margin expansion due to strong support from core brands and the closure of underperforming stores [1] - The forecast for the second half of fiscal year 2026 sales growth is cautious, reflecting potential challenges [1] Market Outlook - There are positive signs from Nike, which enhances confidence in the company's recovery prospects, although it may take a considerable amount of time [1] - The projected dividend yield for fiscal year 2027 is estimated to reach 8% [1] Investment Rating - 招银国际 maintains a "Buy" rating for 滔搏, with the target price raised from HKD 3.62 to HKD 3.77 [1]
滔搏(06110):1HFY25业绩优于市场预期,维持全年指引
Investment Rating - The report maintains a full-year guidance for Topsports International Holdings, targeting a net profit amount roughly flat year-on-year alongside an improvement in net profit margin [4][10]. Core Insights - In 1H FY2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of RMB 12.30 billion, a decrease of 5.8% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to owners at RMB 790 million, down 9.7% YoY [2][8]. - The gross profit margin for 1H FY2025 was 41.0%, slightly contracting by 0.1 percentage point YoY but expanding by 2.5 percentage points compared to 2H FY2024, exceeding market expectations due to brand partner subsidies [2][8]. - The company reported a significant decline in operating cash flow, down 48.2% YoY to RMB 1.35 billion, attributed to increased cash payments to suppliers and slower customer collections [3][9]. - Management indicated stable operational performance early in Q3 FY2025, with sales trends consistent with Q2, and maintained the FY2025 guidance focusing on profit-oriented strategies [4][10]. Financial Performance Summary - Total operating revenue for 1H FY2025 was RMB 12.30 billion, with retail business revenue down 3% and wholesale business revenue down 10.3% YoY [2][8]. - The effective tax rate for 1H FY2025 was 20.0%, up from 17.6% in the same period last year [2][8]. - The company declared an interim dividend of RMB 0.13 per share, with a payout ratio of 102%, slightly higher than the previous year [3][9]. Operational Trends - The total number of directly operated stores decreased by 19.4% YoY to 4,688, but the sales area per store increased by 6.5% [5][11]. - The company has built a digital matrix with over 800 Douyin accounts and over 3,600 mini-program stores, driving double-digit growth in online retail sales [5][11]. - Membership base grew to 89 million, with member sales accounting for 92.9% of total sales, indicating strong user loyalty [5][11].
国信证券:维持滔搏(06110)“优于大市”评级 合理估值3.8-4港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 09:04
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosen Securities expresses optimism about the operational resilience and long-term cash returns of Tabo (06110), highlighting a narrowing decline in retail sales and stable gross margins despite a challenging retail environment [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of the 2026 fiscal year, Tabo's revenue decreased by 5.8% year-on-year to 12.3 billion, with retail channel revenue at 10.6 billion (down 3.0%) and wholesale channel revenue at 1.62 billion (down 20.3%) [1] - The main brands, Nike and Adidas, generated 10.81 billion in revenue, down 4.8%, while other brands saw a 12.2% decline to 1.41 billion [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 9.8% to 790 million, with a slight decrease in gross margin to 41.0% and a net profit margin of 6.4% [1] Group 2: Cash Flow and Dividends - Operating cash flow decreased by 48.2% year-on-year to 1.35 billion, with a net cash ratio of 1.7 [1] - The interim dividend payout ratio was 102.2%, with a dividend of 0.13 per share [1] Group 3: Store and Membership Strategy - As of August 2025, the number of direct-operated stores decreased by 1,125 to 4,688 (down 19.4%), while total sales area declined by 14.1% [2] - The cumulative user base reached 89.1 million, with membership contributing 92.9% of sales, and high-value members accounting for nearly 35% of sales [2] Group 4: Market Position and Growth Strategy - The company is strategically enhancing its presence in the running and outdoor segments, partnering with high-end brands and opening specialized stores [2] - Online retail business experienced double-digit growth, with significant contributions from content e-commerce and private domain operations [2]
国信证券:维持滔搏“优于大市”评级 合理估值3.8-4港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 08:09
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosen Securities expresses optimism about the operational resilience and long-term cash returns of Tmall (06110), highlighting a narrowing decline in retail and stable gross margins despite a challenging retail environment [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year decreased by 5.8% year-on-year to 12.3 billion, with retail channel revenue at 10.6 billion (down 3.0%) and wholesale channel revenue at 1.62 billion (down 20.3%) [1] - Main brand revenues (Nike, Adidas) fell by 4.8% to 10.81 billion, while other brands saw a 12.2% decline to 1.41 billion [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders dropped by 9.8% to 790 million, with a slight decrease in gross margin by 0.1 percentage points to 41.0% [1] - Operating cash flow net amount decreased by 48.2% to 1.35 billion, with a net cash ratio of 1.7 [1] Store and Membership Strategy - As of August 2025, the number of direct-operated stores decreased by 1,125 to 4,688 (down 19.4%), while total sales area declined by 14.1% [2] - The cumulative user base reached 89.1 million, with membership contributing 92.9% of sales; high-value members accounted for nearly 35% of sales [2] - Online retail business experienced double-digit growth, with significant contributions from content e-commerce and private domain operations [2] Sales Trends - In the second quarter (June to August 2025), total sales for retail and wholesale businesses saw a high single-digit decline, with direct-operated store area decreasing by 3.3% quarter-on-quarter and 14.1% year-on-year [3] - Management indicated expectations for net profit to remain flat for the 2026 fiscal year, with guidance for improved net margins [3]
滔搏中期业绩透视:全域零售战略深化,高韧性发展应对市场新常态
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 07:05
Core Insights - The Chinese sports footwear and apparel industry is undergoing a significant "value reconstruction," shifting consumer decision-making from "cost-performance" to "emotional value" [1] - Retailers are facing structural differentiation, requiring them to find ways to achieve quality growth amid uncertainty [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Tmall, the largest domestic sports retail operator, reported revenue of 12.3 billion yuan and a net profit of 790 million yuan for the period ending August 31, 2025 [1] - The company has over 20 cooperative brands and a user base exceeding 89 million, indicating a strong market presence [1] Group 2: Retail Strategy - The retail strategy has shifted from "scale expansion" to "value deepening," redefining the role of stores as "super interfaces" that drive omnichannel traffic [2] - Tmall employs a "preferred + optimized" strategy for store adjustments, aiming to enhance the multi-dimensional value of stores [2] Group 3: Digital and Omnichannel Integration - Tmall operates over 800 Douyin and WeChat video accounts, with more than 3,600 mini-program stores and over 3,700 instant retail stores, achieving double-digit growth in online sales [3] - The company has established a "1 (offline store) + N (online multi-scenario)" operational model to enhance online and offline channel synergy [2] Group 4: Brand Collaboration - Tmall is expanding its brand collaboration ecosystem by exclusively operating niche brands like norda™, soar, Ciele, and Norrøna, adapting to market segmentation and consumer upgrades [4][5] - The company aims to build long-term, trust-based strategic partnerships with core brand partners to respond to market changes effectively [4] Group 5: User Value and Membership - Approximately 92.9% of Tmall's sales come from members, with high-value members contributing 35% of membership sales despite being a small percentage of the total [7] - The company focuses on deepening user value through a refined operational system that includes demand matching, scenario penetration, and experience value [7] Group 6: Digital Empowerment - Tmall's digital transformation focuses on creating a "smart retail ecosystem" through enhanced inventory sharing, member value extraction, and optimized marketing strategies [8] - The company is investing in AI technology for supply chain efficiency, marketing conversion, and operational decision-making [8]
滔搏2025年上半财年营收123.0亿元,净利润7.9亿元
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-10-27 04:37
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 12.3 billion and a net profit of 790 million for the first half of the fiscal year, with cash and cash equivalents reaching 2.54 billion [1] Group 1: Business Model and Strategy - The company implements a "1+N" model in the omnichannel retail sector, centering around offline stores while integrating content e-commerce and private domain operations [1] - Online business achieved double-digit growth year-on-year, with over 800 Douyin and WeChat video accounts and more than 3,600 mini-program stores, accumulating over 89 million users [1] Group 2: Digital Transformation and Brand Expansion - The company is advancing its digital transformation, optimizing product management and circulation efficiency around integrated omnichannel strategies [1] - New brand partnerships include exclusive operations for Norwegian outdoor brand Norrøna and running brands soar and Ciele in China, alongside the introduction of the running multi-brand store brand ektos [1] Group 3: Customer Engagement and Sales Performance - Membership sales accounted for 92.9% of total retail sales from offline and mini-programs, with repeat members contributing 60% of membership consumption, highlighting high user stickiness [1] - The company plans to continue focusing on omnichannel retail, user operations, and business innovation while deepening digital empowerment [1]