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港股评级汇总:招商证券(香港)将巨子生物评级降至中性
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 07:31
Group 1 - China Merchants Securities (Hong Kong) downgraded the rating of Giant Bio to neutral due to challenges such as a reputation crisis and a decline in sales during the Double Eleven shopping festival, indicating a potential strategic adjustment period in 2026 with no clear catalysts for rebound [1] Group 2 - CICC maintained a "outperform" rating for He Yu-B, setting a target price of 20 HKD, highlighting the approval of its first self-developed innovative drug, with an overall response rate (ORR) of 54%, which could provide new growth momentum for the company [2] Group 3 - CICC maintained a "outperform" rating for Mixue Group with a target price of 555 HKD, noting the brand's resilience in growth despite reduced delivery subsidies and the rapid expansion of its stores, indicating strong growth potential [3] Group 4 - CICC maintained a "outperform" rating for Tmall with a target price of 3.88 HKD, reporting that Q3 sales met expectations with healthy inventory and stable discounts, suggesting a potential stabilization in the channel [4] Group 5 - Huachuang Securities maintained a "strong buy" rating for Geely Automobile with a target price of 27.01 HKD, citing the completion of the Zeekr privatization significantly enhancing profits and brand synergy, with multiple flagship new models driving sales and average selling price (ASP) increases [5] Group 6 - Changjiang Securities maintained a "buy" rating for Aikang Medical, emphasizing its leading position in orthopedics and revenue surpassing pre-collection levels, with effective overseas expansion strategies [6] Group 7 - Changjiang Securities maintained a "buy" rating for Genscript Biotech, highlighting the establishment of a high-barrier pipeline in tumor vaccines and CAR-T therapies, with significant clinical trials expected to start soon [7] Group 8 - Shenwan Hongyuan maintained a "buy" rating for Tmall, noting improvements in channel efficiency and the end of a large-scale store closure phase, with a clear trend of recovery in the terminal market [8] Group 9 - Shenwan Hongyuan initiated coverage on China Railway with a "buy" rating, citing a substantial order backlog of 7.54 trillion, a high gross margin of 59.45% in its resource segment, and attractive valuation due to significant H-share discounts [9] Group 10 - Guosen Securities maintained an "outperform" rating for Zhongxin Innovation, reporting that the company's power battery installation volume ranked among the top three globally in October, with a year-on-year increase of over 75% in energy storage battery shipments [10]
滔搏(06110):需求弱复苏及竞争加剧下零售承压
HTSC· 2025-12-24 07:01
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 3.84 [7][5]. Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in total sales for its retail and wholesale business in FY26 Q3, with retail performance better than wholesale. Overall terminal demand remains in a weak recovery phase [1]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its store network and has adopted a cautious approach to opening and closing stores. The retail environment is characterized by weak recovery and ongoing promotional activities [1][3]. - The main brand, NIKE, is expected to drive retail recovery in the short term through new professional sports products and integrated marketing strategies, which may improve profitability [1][4]. - The company is also enhancing its multi-brand strategy, with successful launches of new products tailored to the local market, which are gaining market recognition [4]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In Q3, retail business performance was slightly weaker than the first half of the fiscal year, primarily due to weak terminal consumption. However, the performance gap between online and offline channels has narrowed [2]. - Online sales have increased, leading to a deeper discount rate year-on-year, but the overall discounting pressure has improved compared to the first half of the fiscal year [2]. Store Operations - The company is focused on improving the operational efficiency of its stores, with a 13.4% year-on-year decrease in gross sales area of direct-operated stores by the end of Q3 FY26. The net store closure trend has slowed down compared to Q2 [3]. Brand Strategy - NIKE is concentrating on core categories such as running, basketball, and outdoor sports, with plans for independent stores for its ACG sub-brand. The company aims to enhance brand recognition and market share in the outdoor segment [4]. - The Adidas brand is also performing well, with positive market feedback on localized products, indicating a strong sales momentum [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for FY2026-2028 downwards by 4.2%, 4.0%, and 4.1% to RMB 1.25 billion, 1.43 billion, and 1.63 billion respectively. The target price has been adjusted to HKD 3.84 [5][11]. - The expected PE ratio for FY27 is 15.2x, reflecting the company's ongoing efforts to enhance retail efficiency and maintain competitive advantages [5].
国元国际:建议关注滔搏(06110) 核心品牌加大大中华区重视
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 06:33
经营承压但符合预期,全年利润持平目标面临挑战 事件 公司于12月22日盘后公告三季度运营表现并举行了经营电话交流会。公司FY2025/26第三季度(9-11 月),零售及批发业务销售金额同比高单位数下跌,毛销售面积环比上季度末-1.3%,同比-13.4%。 智通财经APP获悉,国元国际发布研报称,滔搏(06110)经营层面一定程度经过拐点,主要体现包括,净 关店数量基本稳定、单位坪效持续改善、核心品牌加大实质性支持。滔搏核心品牌耐克(NKE.US)新品 逐步推出市场,建议关注。 国元国际主要观点如下: 该行认为,未来仍需考虑消费环境的恢复程度,后期耐克新产品的终端市场成效以判断公司实质性经营 恢复情况。该行会着重观察公司下半财年的利润率改善情况和耐克新产品未来的终端市场反馈。 Q3销售同比下滑高单位数,零售表现优于批发。线下受低基数带动略有改善,但线上因高基数增速放 缓。折扣方面,受线上占比提升影响,同比略有加深,但环比上半财年收窄。管理层坦言,宏观环境及 线下客流依旧低迷,财年利润额同比持平的目标面临一定压力,但公司预计最终业绩可能存在偏差,但 在可控范围内。 耐克品牌加大对大中华区库存和老旧货品占比较高的 ...
滔搏:深化可持续战略,共建绿色产业生态
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-12-24 06:27
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights how Tmall, a leading sports retail operator in China, systematically deepens its sustainable development strategy through its ESG vision of being a "green consumption promoter and leader" [1][3] Group 1: Sustainable Development Initiatives - Tmall integrates sustainable development into its business operations by creating a systematic sustainable innovation practice matrix, using the "GREENBOX" public welfare IP as a key tool to connect brands and consumers, reaching over 89 million users with green consumption concepts [3][4] - The "GREENBOX" initiative includes various programs such as the "Recycling and Regeneration Plan" and "Healing Energy for Pets," with over 3 tons of old clothing recycled and approximately 10 tons of carbon emissions reduced [3][4] Group 2: Collaboration with Industry Partners - Tmall actively extends its green practices beyond internal operations to the entire industry value chain, achieving a 3.4% reduction in direct energy consumption, a 14% reduction in water usage, and a 41.8% reduction in packaging materials over the past year [4][5] - The company aims to reduce absolute greenhouse gas emissions by 40.2% by the fiscal year 2034/2035 and collaborates with over 70% of its brand partners who have set carbon reduction goals [4][5] Group 3: Corporate Culture and Employee Engagement - Tmall recognizes that sustainable development is rooted in corporate culture and organizational capability, fostering a diverse, inclusive, and responsible culture to support long-term sustainability [5][6] - The company employs over 27,000 employees from 35 different ethnic groups, with a training coverage rate of 95% and over 266 million total training hours, emphasizing the importance of talent in driving sustainability [5][6] Group 4: Strategic Execution and Transparency - Tmall's ESG practices demonstrate a comprehensive strategic framework for building a sustainable development system, with interconnected strategies from carbon reduction goals to green store certifications and inclusive culture building [6][7] - The company's actions are measurable and verifiable, showcasing meticulous management and transparent communication, providing a valuable model for the retail industry and broader platform enterprises in implementing ESG [6][7]
国元国际:建议关注滔搏 核心品牌加大大中华区重视
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 06:25
国元国际发布研报称,滔搏(06110)经营层面一定程度经过拐点,主要体现包括,净关店数量基本稳 定、单位坪效持续改善、核心品牌加大实质性支持。滔搏核心品牌耐克(NKE.US)新品逐步推出市场, 建议关注。 国元国际主要观点如下: Q3销售同比下滑高单位数,零售表现优于批发。线下受低基数带动略有改善,但线上因高基数增速放 缓。折扣方面,受线上占比提升影响,同比略有加深,但环比上半财年收窄。管理层坦言,宏观环境及 线下客流依旧低迷,财年利润额同比持平的目标面临一定压力,但公司预计最终业绩可能存在偏差,但 在可控范围内。 耐克支持力度增强,对大中华区库存问题加大重视 耐克品牌加大对大中华区库存和老旧货品占比较高的问题的重视,通过加大核心零售商的旧货回购力 度、回收后核销。一方面降低零售伙伴运营资金压力,同时也改善品牌在大中华区新旧货品比例。公司 在经营层面已在一定程度上度过拐点,主要体现包括,净关店数量基本稳定、单位坪效持续改善、核心 品牌加大实质性支持。分别对应,公司经营调改基本稳定、公司新业务模型具有成效、伙伴支持有望反 映在报表端。 该行认为,未来仍需考虑消费环境的恢复程度,后期耐克新产品的终端市场成效以判断 ...
滔搏(06110):三季度零售下滑高单位数,静待Nike大中华区调整效果:滔搏(06110.HK)
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-12-24 06:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The third quarter retail sales declined significantly, and the company is awaiting the effects of Nike's adjustments in the Greater China region [4] - The company has a strong partnership with international brands like Nike and Adidas, which is expected to drive future growth [6] - The introduction of new brands is anticipated to diversify the company's offerings and expand its customer base [6] Financial Performance Summary - For FY2024, the company is projected to have a revenue of 28,933.20 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.87% - In FY2025, revenue is expected to decline to 27,012.90 million RMB, reflecting a decrease of 6.64% - The net profit attributable to the parent company for FY2024 is forecasted at 2,213.00 million RMB, with a growth rate of 20.49% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for FY2024 is estimated at 0.36 RMB, with a return on equity (ROE) of 22.47% [5] - The company’s financial metrics indicate a projected net profit of 1,287 million RMB in FY2026, with a slight growth of 0.09% [7]
港股收评:恒指涨0.13%、科指涨0.14%,核电及半导体板块走高,科网股走势分化,航空股普跌
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-24 04:11
Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed a mixed performance with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.13% to 25,808.79 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.14% to 5,496.52 points. The National Enterprises Index fell by 0.03% to 8,911.15 points, and the Red Chip Index decreased by 0.14% to 4,061.97 points [1] Company News - Vanke Enterprises extended the grace period for the repayment of its fourth tranche of medium-term notes (total principal of 2 billion yuan) to 30 trading days [2] - Cathay Pacific reported a passenger count of 2.5304 million in November, marking a 26% year-on-year increase [3] - China General Nuclear Power's units 1 and 2 in Huizhou are in the debugging phase, with expected operational dates adjusted to the first half and second half of 2026, respectively [3] - Nanshan Aluminum International has increased its annual production capacity of alumina to 4 million tons [7] - He Yu Pharmaceutical's CSF-1R inhibitor received approval from China's NMPA [5] - Shengnuo Pharmaceutical completed Phase I trials for its drug STP707 and submitted a clinical research report to the FDA [6] Industry Insights - Huatai Securities noted that the market is still in a left-side layout phase, with a strong consensus on an early spring rally, but year-end supply and demand pressures may create uncertainty for a "Santa rally" [10] - CITIC Construction pointed out that after a period of single-sided growth in September, the Hong Kong market has experienced adjustments, with some quality assets returning to a high cost-performance ratio [10] - Guotai Junan Securities highlighted that historical data shows strong performance in U.S. stocks during year-end, despite uncertainties regarding interest rates and inflation paths for 2026 [11] - GF Fund mentioned that while short-term liquidity disturbances may impact the market, the upward trend in the AI industry cycle remains intact, suggesting that the market structure for Hong Kong stocks will not change [11]
研报掘金丨中金:下调滔搏目标价至3.88港元 下调2026及27财年每股盈利预测
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-24 03:09
格隆汇12月24日|中金发表报告指,滔搏今年11月底止第三财季符合公司预期,后续展望审慎。考虑需 求偏弱及主力品牌仍在调整期,该行下调公司2026及27财年每股盈利预测4%及13%至0.2及0.23元,相 应下调目标价7%至3.88港元,维持"跑赢行业"评级。 ...
滔搏寻路:销售额高单位数下降
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the sports retail operator, Tmall, continues to experience a decline in sales, with a high single-digit decrease in total sales for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, which is slightly weaker than the overall performance in the first half of the year [1] - Online sales growth remains better than offline channels, but the growth rate for online sales has slightly slowed compared to the first half of the year due to base effects, while offline performance has improved slightly compared to the first half [1] - Nike's impact is significant on Tmall's sales decline, with Nike's sales in China dropping 16% year-on-year to $1.423 billion, affected by decreased foot traffic and lower sell-through rates in stores [1] Group 2 - The sports market is under pressure, with Peak's direct sales segment reporting a cumulative loss of over 130 million yuan from January to July, leading to the divestment of three subsidiaries [2] - Anta Sports reported low single-digit positive growth in retail sales for its brand products, while FILA also recorded low single-digit positive growth, indicating a significant drop compared to previous years [2] - Li Ning experienced a direct sales decline, with a mid-single-digit decrease in retail revenue for the third quarter [2] Group 3 - A positive development for Tmall is that Nike is placing greater emphasis on this distribution channel and plans to strengthen cooperation with distributors like Tmall [3] Group 4 - Tmall is downsizing its scale, with a 1.3% reduction in gross sales area of direct stores compared to the previous quarter and a 13.4% decrease year-on-year, while also optimizing its offline store network [4] - The company plans to close fewer stores this year compared to last year, with a more significant reduction in the second half of the fiscal year compared to the first half [4] Group 5 - Tmall is also expanding its offerings, such as the launch of its running brand collective store, Ektos, at the Shanghai Marathon Sports Expo, featuring nearly 20 brands, and the introduction of the Norwegian outdoor brand Norrona through a pop-up store in Shanghai [5] Group 6 - Overall, Tmall's transformation needs to accelerate in the current market environment [6] Group 7 - On December 23, Tmall's stock closed at HKD 2.98 per share, reflecting a decline of 4.49% [7]
国信证券:维持滔搏(06110)“优于大市”评级 下调合理估值区间至3.2~3.5港元
智通财经网· 2025-12-24 02:40
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that due to significant disruptions in offline retail, the profit forecast for Tmall (滔搏) has been slightly lowered, with expected net profits for FY2026-2028 being 1.22 billion, 1.33 billion, and 1.49 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year change of -5.3%, +9.6%, and +11.5% [1] - The reasonable valuation range has been adjusted to 3.2 to 3.5 HKD, down from the previous range of 3.8 to 4.0 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 14 to 15 times for FY2027 [1] Group 2 - In Q3 of FY2026, the total sales amount for the retail and wholesale business recorded a high single-digit decline year-on-year, with the gross sales area of direct-operated stores decreasing by 1.3% quarter-on-quarter and 13.4% year-on-year [2] - The online channel's growth rate remains better than that of the offline channel, although the growth rate has slightly slowed compared to the first half of the year due to base effects [3] - The company is optimizing its offline store network by cautiously closing underperforming stores and focusing on extending online channels for offline stores, with a significant reduction in the number of store closures expected this year compared to last year [3] Group 3 - The discount rate has deepened year-on-year due to the increased proportion of online channels, but the extent of discounting has narrowed compared to the first half of the fiscal year [4] - Nike's Q2 FY2026 performance slightly exceeded previous guidance and market expectations, with revenue of 12.4 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 1%, while the Greater China region continues to face significant pressure [4] - Adidas reported Q3 results that fell short of market expectations for revenue but exceeded expectations for operating profit, with a 12% year-on-year increase in revenue for the Adidas brand [5] Group 4 - The company has maintained a strong growth momentum for its main brand, Adidas, with expectations of double-digit growth for FY2025, while Nike's performance in FY2026 Q2 was better than previous guidance but faced challenges in the Greater China market [6] - The company has been increasing its focus on outdoor and running segments, becoming the exclusive agent for several outdoor brands in the Chinese market and opening a running brand collective store [6]