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顺丰控股(002352):25Q4业绩超预期,拐点已现,成长可期
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-04-01 07:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target P/E of 22x for 2026, corresponding to a reasonable valuation of 53.82 yuan per share [3][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a 10% year-on-year growth in Q4 2025, exceeding market expectations, with revenue reaching 83 billion yuan and net profit at 2.81 billion yuan, also up 10% year-on-year [1]. - The operational adjustments have shown effectiveness, with Q4 2025 gross margin recovering sequentially to 14.3%, the highest for the year, driven by a strategy to phase out low-margin businesses [1]. - The company is experiencing a solid growth trajectory in its core express delivery business, with a significant increase in business volume and revenue across various segments, including a 43.4% year-on-year growth in same-city revenue [2]. Financial Performance - For the full year 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 308.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.4%, and a net profit of 11.12 billion yuan, up 9.3% year-on-year [1][4]. - The gross profit margin for 2025 was 13.3%, slightly down by 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, but the net profit margin improved by 0.2 percentage points to 3.8% [1]. - The company plans to increase its share buyback program to 3-6 billion yuan, reflecting strong cash flow of 17.9 billion yuan for 2025 [3]. Business Segments - In 2025, the core express delivery business generated 131 billion yuan in revenue, growing 7.2% year-on-year, while the economic express segment saw a 17.6% increase to 32.1 billion yuan [2]. - The logistics and international business segments also showed promising growth, with a 55.4% year-on-year increase in revenue from international express and cross-border e-commerce logistics [2]. Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 12.33 billion yuan, 13.77 billion yuan, and 15.41 billion yuan for 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, representing growth rates of 10.9%, 11.7%, and 11.9% [3][4].
顺丰控股:四季度盈利重回增长轨道-20260401
HTSC· 2026-04-01 04:35
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained for both A-shares and H-shares [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 308.23 billion RMB for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.12 billion RMB, up 9.31% year-on-year [1]. - The fourth quarter of 2025 saw a net profit of 2.81 billion RMB, exceeding expectations due to improved parcel volume structure and increased gross profit [1]. - The outlook remains positive, driven by the express logistics business, supply chain, and international operations, which are expected to expand further [1][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 308.23 billion RMB, with a net profit of 11.12 billion RMB and a non-recurring net profit of 9.26 billion RMB [1]. - The revenue from express logistics was 131.05 billion RMB, accounting for 41% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 7.2% [2]. - The economic express segment saw a revenue increase of 17.6% to 32.05 billion RMB, driven by a significant rise in parcel volume [2]. Business Segments - The express logistics business generated 2,285.6 billion RMB in revenue, growing 11.1% year-on-year, while the combined revenue from freight, same-city delivery, cold chain, and pharmaceuticals reached 654.6 billion RMB, up 16.2% [3]. - The supply chain and international business revenue grew by 3.5% to 729.4 billion RMB, with a notable improvement in profitability [4]. Shareholder Returns - The company has committed to increasing its cash dividend payout ratio from 35% in 2023, with a planned buyback of shares amounting to 30-60 billion RMB for A-shares and 500 million HKD for H-shares [4]. - The total shareholder return, including dividends and buybacks, is projected to be 55% of net profit, translating to a dividend yield of approximately 3.3% for A-shares and 4.1% for H-shares [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is adjusted downwards for 2026 and 2027 to 12.01 billion RMB and 13.30 billion RMB, respectively, with a new estimate for 2028 at 14.88 billion RMB [5]. - The company is valued at 8.2x EV/EBITDA for A-shares and 6.8x for H-shares, reflecting a premium over comparable companies [5].
顺丰控股(06936) - 海外监管公告 - 关於回购公司A股股份的进展公告
2026-03-31 22:04
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確 性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部分內容所產生或因 依賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 S.F. Holding Co., Ltd. 順豐控股股份有限公司 (於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司) (股份代號:6936) 根據中華人民共和國的有關法例規定,順豐控股股份有限公司(「本公司」)在巨 潮資訊網( www.cninfo.com.cn )刊發了以下公告。茲載列如下,僅供參閱。 承董事會命 順豐控股股份有限公司 聯席公司秘書 甘玲 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條刊發。 中國深圳,2026年4月1日 於本公告日期,本公司董事會成員包括董事長及執行董事王衞先生,執行董事何捷先生及 徐本松先生;及獨立非執行董事陳尚偉先生、李嘉士先生及丁益博士。 证券代码:002352 证券简称:顺丰控股 公告编号:2026-027 顺丰控股股份有限公司 关于回购公司 A 股股份的进展公告 公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假记载、误导 ...
顺丰控股(002352):经营拐点已现,看好持续调优带动利润稳增
Guohai Securities· 2026-03-31 12:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][7] Core Insights - The report indicates that the company has reached an operational turning point, with expectations for sustained profit growth driven by continuous optimization [1][6] - In 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 308.23 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.37%, with Q4 revenue of 82.97 billion yuan, up 6.97% year-on-year [3][6] - The report highlights the performance of various business segments, including express delivery, economic express, freight, and instant delivery, with significant growth in instant delivery at 43.4% year-on-year [3][6] Revenue Summary - The company’s revenue breakdown for 2025 includes: - Express delivery revenue of 131.05 billion yuan, up 7.2% year-on-year - Economic express revenue of 32.05 billion yuan, up 17.6% year-on-year - Freight revenue of 42.13 billion yuan, up 11.9% year-on-year - Instant delivery revenue of 12.72 billion yuan, up 43.4% year-on-year - Supply chain and international business revenue of 72.94 billion yuan, up 3.5% year-on-year [3][6] Profit Summary - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.12 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.31%, with Q4 net profit of 2.81 billion yuan, up 10.01% year-on-year [3][6] - The profit margin for 2025 was 3.39%, an increase of 0.09 percentage points year-on-year [3][6] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2026 to 2028 are as follows: - 2026: 342.25 billion yuan, growth rate of 11.04% - 2027: 376.18 billion yuan, growth rate of 9.91% - 2028: 410.03 billion yuan, growth rate of 9.00% [5][6] - Net profit projections for the same period are: - 2026: 12.35 billion yuan, growth rate of 11.12% - 2027: 13.86 billion yuan, growth rate of 12.22% - 2028: 15.65 billion yuan, growth rate of 12.90% [5][6] Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.3 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 4.46 billion yuan for 2025, with a dividend payout ratio of about 40% [6][7] - The company has increased its share buyback plan from 3 billion to 6 billion yuan, reflecting confidence in future growth [6][7]
顺丰控股(002352) - 关于回购公司A股股份的进展公告
2026-03-31 11:37
证券代码:002352 证券简称:顺丰控股 公告编号:2026-027 顺丰控股股份有限公司 关于回购公司 A 股股份的进展公告 公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假记载、误导 性陈述或重大遗漏。 基于对未来发展前景的坚定信心和对自身价值的高度认同,顺丰控股股份有 限公司(以下简称"公司")于 2025 年 4 月 28 日召开第六届董事会第二十次会 议审议通过《关于 2025 年第 1 期 A 股回购股份方案的议案》,并分别于 2025 年 10 月 30 日、2026 年 3 月 30 日召开董事会审议通过对原方案的调整及变更。 变更后的回购股份方案为:回购资金总额不低于人民币 30 亿元且不超过人民币 60 亿元,回购股份的种类为公司发行的 A 股社会公众股,回购价格不超过人民 币 60 元/股1,回购实施期限延长至董事会审议通过变更方案之日起 12 个月内止 (即 2027 年 3 月 29 日),回购股份用途为注销并减少注册资本 2。 根据《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 9 号——回购股份》等相关 规定,公司现将回购进展情况公告如下: 一、回购进展 公司自 202 ...
顺丰控股(002352) - H股公告-翌日披露报表
2026-03-31 11:09
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 順豐控股股份有限公司(於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司) 呈交日期: 2026年3月31日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 否 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 002352 | 說明 | A股(於深圳交易所上市) | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | 事件 | | 已發行股份(不包 ...
顺丰控股(002352):动态调优初见成效,加码回购提振信心
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2026-03-31 09:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][9] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth, with 2025 revenue reaching 308.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.37%, and a net profit of 11.12 billion yuan, up 9.31% year-on-year [7] - The company is focusing on enhancing shareholder returns through increased share buybacks, with the total buyback amount adjusted to between 30 billion and 60 billion yuan [7] - The company is expected to maintain strong growth in the coming years, with projected net profits of 12.01 billion yuan in 2026, 13.84 billion yuan in 2027, and 15.94 billion yuan in 2028 [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2024A at 284.42 billion yuan, 2025A at 308.23 billion yuan, 2026E at 335.70 billion yuan, 2027E at 366.11 billion yuan, and 2028E at 402.29 billion yuan, with growth rates of 10%, 8%, 9%, 9%, and 10% respectively [2] - The company's net profit is projected to be 10.17 billion yuan in 2024A, 11.12 billion yuan in 2025A, 12.01 billion yuan in 2026E, 13.84 billion yuan in 2027E, and 15.94 billion yuan in 2028E, with year-on-year growth rates of 24%, 9%, 8%, 15%, and 15% respectively [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 2.02 yuan in 2024A, 2.21 yuan in 2025A, 2.38 yuan in 2026E, 2.75 yuan in 2027E, and 3.16 yuan in 2028E [2] Market Position and Strategy - The company achieved a market share increase to 8.4% in domestic express logistics, with a revenue of 228.56 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.1% year-on-year growth [7] - The company is transitioning its market strategy from scale-driven to value-driven, which is expected to enhance the growth of high-value businesses [7] - The company’s gross profit margin improved to 14.28% in Q4 2025, marking the highest quarterly level for the year [7]
顺丰控股(06936) - 翌日披露报表
2026-03-31 08:56
| 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06936 | 說明 | H股(於香港聯交所上市) | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份(不包括庫存股 份)數目百分比 (註3) | | 庫存股份數目 | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | 已發行股份總數 | | 於下列日期開始時的結存(註1) | 2026年3月11日 | | 240,000,000 | | 0 | | 240,000,000 | | 1). 其他 (請註明) | | | | % | | | | | 不適用 | | | | | | | | | 變動日期 | 2026年3月31日 | | | | | | | | 於下列日期結束時的結存 (註5及6) | ...
顺丰控股(002352):Q4业绩恢复正增长,加码股东回报
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 308.2 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.1 billion yuan, up 9.3% year-on-year, which aligns with expectations [4] - The express delivery business generated revenue of 131.05 billion yuan in 2025, growing by 7.2% year-on-year, driven by the company's proactive approach in activating operations and designing solutions for various scenarios [6] - The company plans to increase shareholder returns, with a total cash dividend of 4.5 billion yuan in 2025, representing 40% of the net profit [6] - The company has adjusted its share buyback plan, increasing the range for A-shares from 1.5 billion to 3 billion yuan, with the purpose of cancellation [6] - The report slightly lowers profit forecasts for 2026-2027 due to rising oil prices and labor compliance costs, projecting net profits of 12.03 billion, 13.61 billion, and 15.22 billion yuan for 2026, 2027, and 2028 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15x, 14x, and 12x [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s total revenue is projected to reach 340.43 billion yuan in 2026, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.4% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 12.03 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting an 8.2% increase [5] - The company’s earnings per share are forecasted to be 2.39 yuan in 2026, with a gross margin of 12.7% [5]
顺丰控股(06936) - 海外监管公告 - 2025年度内部控制审计报告
2026-03-30 22:27
S.F. Holding Co., Ltd. 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確 性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部分內容所產生或因 依賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 順豐控股股份有限公司 (於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司) (股份代號:6936) 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條刊發。 根據中華人民共和國的有關法例規定,順豐控股股份有限公司(「本公司」)在巨 潮資訊網( www.cninfo.com.cn )刊發了以下公告。茲載列如下,僅供參閱。 承董事會命 順豐控股股份有限公司 聯席公司秘書 企业对内部控制的责任 í 甘玲 中國深圳,2026年3月30日 於本公告日期,本公司董事會成員包括董事長及執行董事王衞先生,執行董事何捷先生及 徐本松先生;及獨立非執行董事陳尚偉先生、李嘉士先生及丁益博士。 顺丰控股股份有限公司 2025 年度内控审计报告 内部控制审计报告 普华永道中天特审字(2026) 第0101号 (第一页,共二页) 顺丰控股股份有限公司全体股东: 按照《企业 ...