经营拐点

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长城基金廖瀚博:关注存在经营拐点的投资机会
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-05-20 05:31
廖瀚博认为,资本市场最恐慌的阶段可能已经过去,大部分指数已经收复,或者接近收复前期的跌幅, 反映了市场对摩擦缓和的预期。目前看,个股估值普遍处于偏高水平,后续可关注当前预期偏低、经营 存在拐点的个股投资机会。 免责声明:本通讯所载信息来源于本公司认为可靠的渠道和研究员个人判断,但本公司不对其准确性或 完整性提供直接或隐含的声明或保证。此通讯并非对相关证券或市场的完整表述或概括,任何所表达的 意见可能会更改且不另外通知。此通讯不应被接收者作为对其独立判断的替代或投资决策依据。本公司 或本公司的相关机构、雇员或代理人不对任何人使用此全部或部分内容的行为或由此而引致的任何损失 承担任何责任。未经长城基金管理有限公司事先书面许可,任何人不得将此报告或其任何部分以任何形 式进行派发、复制、转载或发布,且不得对本通讯进行任何有悖原意的删节或修改。基金管理人提醒, 每个公民都有举报洗钱犯罪的义务和权利。每个公民都应严格遵守反洗钱的相关法律、法规。基金有风 险,投资须谨慎。 5月12日,中美双方发表日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明,推动解决双方在经贸领域关切的问题。在中美联合 声明公布后,人民币对美元汇率显著上升,据5月13日中国外汇 ...
非经营扰动收敛,1Q25经营拐点初现
HTSC· 2025-05-20 02:45
证券研究报告 建材 非经营扰动收敛,1Q25 经营拐点初现 华泰研究 2025 年 5 月 19 日│中国内地 专题研究 24 年非经营扰动收敛,1Q25 部分企业经营拐点出现 回顾 24 年,板块呈现强预期、弱现实态势,但受制于前三季度资金面紧张 背景,叠加下游地产景气修复偏缓,多数行业价格竞争趋于白热化,呈现量 价齐跌局面,收入规模下降及毛利率承压是盈利下滑的主要原因。资产端, 除防水板块外,减值损失多有收敛,资产负债表风险进一步压降。1Q25, 受益专项债发行加速,基建工程需求逐步企稳,建材零售需求稳健继续演绎, 消费建材多数子板块收入降幅收窄,部分板块如外加剂等经营拐点显现,重 点推荐 1Q25 报表修复已现、或受益建材零售的重点公司北新建材/三棵树/ 伟星新材/兔宝宝/中国联塑。 24 年收入规模多有下降,毛利率、费用、减值多重扰动盈利 2024 年,我们跟踪的消费建材板块 31 家公司实现收入/归母净利 1707/56 亿元,同比-6.9%/-47.8%;1Q25 为 327/13 亿元,同比-5.5%/-18.6%, 1Q~3Q24 收入降幅逐季扩大,但 4Q24 以来,随着专项债发行加速,项目 ...
科达制造(600499):经营拐点,彰显非洲建材的强竞争力
Changjiang Securities· 2025-04-30 10:17
丨证券研究报告丨 联合研究丨公司点评丨科达制造(600499.SH) [Table_Title] 经营拐点,彰显非洲建材的强竞争力 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司 2025 年 1 季度实现收入 38 亿元,同比增长 47%,归属净利润约 3.5 亿元,同比增长 11%, 扣非净利润约 3.2 亿元,同比增长 17%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 范超 赵智勇 张佩 SAC:S0490513080001 SAC:S0490517110001 SAC:S0490518080002 SFC:BQK473 SFC:BRP550 科达制造(600499.SH) cjzqdt11111 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 丨证券研究报告丨 2025-04-30 联合研究丨公司点评 [Table_Title2] 经营拐点,彰显非洲建材的强竞争力 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司 2025 年 1 季度实现收入 38 亿元,同比增长 47%,归属净利润约 3.5 亿元,同比增长 11% ...
三棵树(603737):经营拐点愈加明确
Changjiang Securities· 2025-04-29 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [5]. Core Views - The company achieved an annual revenue of 12.1 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 330 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 91%. The non-recurring net profit was approximately 150 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 234% [3][4]. - In the first quarter, the company reported a revenue of 2.1 billion yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 110 million yuan, up 123% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was approximately -10 million yuan, indicating a substantial improvement [3][4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company’s total revenue for 2024 was 12.1 billion yuan, down 3% year-on-year. The core business of wall coatings saw a 4% decline, accounting for 58% of total revenue. However, the revenue from home decoration wall paint grew by 13% [8]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue growth of 3%, with wall coatings generating 1.25 billion yuan, a 9% increase year-on-year. The engineering wall coatings also saw a 9% increase in revenue [8]. Market Performance - The company’s retail revenue continued to grow positively, while the engineering business faced challenges due to price wars. The retail revenue showed double-digit growth, contrasting with a 13% decline in engineering wall coatings revenue [8]. Cost and Margin Analysis - The gross margin for 2024 was approximately 29.6%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, but showed a quarterly improvement to 31.0% in Q1 2025, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year. The operating expense ratio also improved, with a decrease in the period expense ratio to 25.7% for 2024 [8]. Cash Flow and Financial Health - The company maintained a strong operating cash flow, with a cash collection ratio of 1.11, 1.18, and 1.15 over the past three years. The net cash flow from operating activities for 2024 was approximately 1 billion yuan, with Q1 2025 achieving a positive cash flow of 110 million yuan, marking the first positive cash flow in Q1 in history [8]. Future Outlook - The company is positioned as a core player in the stock market, adapting to the new era of renovation. The projected net profits for 2025 and 2026 are approximately 1 billion yuan and 1.31 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding valuations of 26 and 20 times [8].