该行认为，中芯国际是中国本地人工智能GPU供应链的关键推动者。此外，随着晶圆利用率维持高位， 且均价呈上升趋势，相信公司可吸收部分因持续扩产而上升的折旧成本。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，中芯国际(00981)在结构上处于有利位置，可受惠于内地人 工智能运算能力建设，有助于抵销消费需求的周期性波动。该行维持公司"增持"评级，续予目标价80港 元。 大摩表示，中芯国际引指今年首季收入按季持平，毛利率为18%至20%，略低于预测，反映部分面向消 费者的客户在记忆体价格上行周期中持谨慎态度，并对终端需求可见度感到忧虑。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Chip ETF Huatai Fu (516920), which opened with a slight increase of 0.27% at 1.132 yuan [1] - The major holdings of the Chip ETF include companies such as Cambricon, which rose by 0.10%, SMIC by 0.47%, and Haiguang Information by 1.96% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI Chip Industry Index return, managed by Huatai Fu Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 12.94% since its inception on July 27, 2021, and a recent one-month return of -0.72% [1]

高盛发表报告指，中芯国际2025年第四季营运利润胜预期，今年首季收入指引符预期。该行预期公司今 年将受惠于国内客户需求增长、持续扩增产能，以及产品组合优化，高毛利产品需求增速将超越传统产 品。该公司于2025年新增4.9万片晶圆/周产能(以12吋晶圆计)，同时维持强劲的晶圆良率，反映出AI热 潮、供应链产业重组契机及本土化生产趋势下的需求增长。基于乐观增长前景，高盛预期中芯国际将持 续扩产并推进先进制程技术转移，目标价134港元，评级"买入"。 ...

瑞银发表研报指，中芯国际去年第四季盈利按季增4.5%，表现优于常规季节性，并高于指引及市场预 期，主要受惠于晶圆出货量及混合产品均价轻微上升。其他收入因临近年底光罩出货而按季增64%。毛 利率为19.2%，符合18%至20%的指引，但低于市场预期的20%。毛利率因折旧费用上升而按季下跌2.8 个百分点。需求方面，中芯管理层指BCD工艺、储存器及储存器相关产品的需求持续强劲，供不应 求，并已于2025年实现价格上调。其他产品领域如CIS及LCD驱动芯片，由于行业产能被调配至BCD及 其他高需求领域，价格正趋于稳定。该行上调中芯2026至2029年收入预测4%，以反映更大的本土化机 遇及更佳的供需格局，同时下调盈利预测8%至18%，以反映更高的折旧负担；维持"中性"评级，目标 价为76港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a significant shift towards localization, with companies like SMIC benefiting from increased domestic demand and restructuring effects throughout the year [1][3]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2025, SMIC reported revenue of 17.813 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.9%, and a net profit of 1.223 billion yuan, up 23.2%. The gross margin was 19.2%, down 2.8 percentage points from Q3 [1]. - For the full year 2025, SMIC achieved a record revenue of 67.323 billion yuan, a 16.5% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 5.041 billion yuan, up 36.3%. The gross margin improved to 21.0% due to increased wafer sales and higher capacity utilization [1]. Capacity Utilization - In Q4 2025, SMIC's capacity utilization reached 95.7%, significantly higher than 85.5% in the same period of 2024. The revenue breakdown showed that consumer electronics accounted for 47.3% of total revenue, while smartphone and computer/tablet products contributed 21.5% and 11.8%, respectively [2]. - The company achieved a monthly capacity of 1.059 million 8-inch equivalent wafers by the end of 2025, with an average capacity utilization rate of 93.5%, an increase of 8 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Strategic Planning - SMIC's capacity expansion is a long-term strategy, with a focus on stable growth and long-term supply agreements. The company is facing uncertainties due to rapid demand changes and competitive expansion from other manufacturers [4]. - The company plans to maintain a portion of excess capacity to quickly respond to sudden demand surges, which is crucial for retaining long-term clients [4]. Capital Expenditure and Depreciation - SMIC's capital expenditures for the past two years were approximately 7.3 billion and 8.1 billion USD, respectively. The company anticipates that the depreciation from these investments will increase significantly, but it aims to manage this through market share stability and cost control [5]. Market Dynamics - The semiconductor industry is facing challenges from a storage cycle, with AI driving strong demand for storage chips, impacting supply for other applications. The company expects a reversal in the tight supply situation for consumer electronics by Q3 2026 [6][7]. - SMIC is advising clients to prepare for potential demand increases in Q3 rather than reducing production in response to short-term fluctuations [7]. Pricing Strategy - SMIC's pricing adjustments are aligned with market supply and demand changes. The company has noted that prices for certain products, particularly in storage, have stabilized or increased due to supply constraints and improved product quality [8].

需求方面，中芯管理层指BCD工艺、储存器及储存器相关产品的需求持续强劲，供不应求，并已于 2025年实现价格上调。其他产品领域如CIS及LCD驱动芯片，由于行业产能被调配至BCD及其他高需求 领域，价格正趋于稳定。该行上调中芯2026至2029年收入预测4%，以反映更大的本土化机遇及更佳的 供需格局，同时下调盈利预测8%至18%，以反映更高的折旧负担；维持"中性"评级，目标价为76港 元。 瑞银发表研报指，中芯国际去年第四季盈利按季增4.5%，表现优于常规季节性，并高于指引及市场预 期，主要受惠于晶圆出货量及混合产品均价轻微上升。其他收入因临近年底光罩出货而按季增64%。毛 利率为19.2%，符合18%至20%的指引，但低于市场预期的20%。毛利率因折旧费用上升而按季下跌2.8 个百分点。 ...

摩根士丹利发表研报指，中芯国际在结构上处于有利位置，可受惠于内地人工智能运算能力建设，有助 于抵销消费需求的周期性波动。该行维持公司"增持"评级，续予目标价80港元。大摩表示，中芯国际引 指今年首季收入按季持平，毛利率为18%至20%，略低于预测，反映部分面向消费者的客户在存储器价 格上行周期中持谨慎态度，并对终端需求可见度感到忧虑。该行认为，中芯国际是中国本地人工智能 GPU供应链的关键推动者。此外，随着晶圆利用率维持高位，且均价呈上升趋势，相信公司可吸收部分 因持续扩产而上升的折旧成本。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the Chip ETF (159995), which opened with a gain of 0.68% at 1.913 yuan on February 12 [1] - The major holdings of the Chip ETF include companies such as SMIC, Haiguang Information, and Cambrian, with respective opening gains of 0.47%, 1.96%, and 0.10% [1] - The performance benchmark for the Chip ETF is the National Securities Semiconductor Chip Index return, managed by Huaxia Fund Management Co., with a return of 89.97% since its inception on January 20, 2020, and a near-term return of -0.05% over the past month [1]

Group 1 - The semiconductor ETF (159813) opened with a gain of 0.57%, priced at 1.225 yuan [1] - Key holdings in the semiconductor ETF include: - SMIC up 0.47% - Haiguang Information up 1.96% - Cambrian up 0.10% - North Huachuang up 0.53% - Zhaoyi Innovation up 2.08% - Zhongwei Company up 0.62% - Lanke Technology up 1.05% - OmniVision up 0.03% - Tuojing Technology up 0.89% - Changdian Technology up 0.67% [1] - The performance benchmark for the semiconductor ETF is the National Securities Semiconductor Chip Index return, managed by Penghua Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] Group 2 - Since its establishment on April 17, 2020, the semiconductor ETF has achieved a return of 82.59% [1] - The ETF has experienced a slight decline of 0.02% over the past month [1]

里昂发布研报称，现予中芯国际(00981) H股目标价93.3港元，中芯国际(688981.SH)A股目标价152元人 民币，均予"跑赢大市"评级。 中芯国际2025年第四季收入按季升4.5%至24.9亿美元，超越0%至2%的增长指引。期内毛利率为 19.2%，约处于18%至20%指引区间的中值。平均售价按季上升1%至每片晶圆914美元。 公司指引2026年首季收入按季持平，符合市场预期；而毛利率指引为18%至20%，略低于市场预期的 20.9%。公司预期2026年全年收入增长将高于行业平均水平，资本开支指引则大致与2025年81亿美元持 平。 ...