Economic Indicators - In January, China's CPI rose by 0.2% year-on-year, down from 0.8% in the previous month, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.8% [2] - The PPI increased by 0.4% month-on-month, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth, with a year-on-year decline of 1.4%, a reduction in the decline compared to the previous month [2] - The recent base period adjustment had a minimal impact on CPI and PPI, averaging about 0.06 and 0.08 percentage points respectively [2][3] Real Estate Market - In January, the average price of second-hand residential properties in 100 cities fell by 0.85% month-on-month and 8.67% year-on-year, while major cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen saw transaction volumes increase [4] - Beijing's second-hand home transactions were 15,000 units, down 12.3% month-on-month but up 20.8% year-on-year, indicating a mixed market response [4] - Despite some recovery in transaction volumes, the overall market remains in a price-for-volume situation, with a nationwide recovery expected to take longer [5] Automotive Industry - In January, China's automotive production and sales reached 2.45 million and 2.346 million units respectively, with a slight year-on-year production increase of 0.01% and a sales decline of 3.2% [6] - New energy vehicle sales were stable, with production and sales of 1.041 million and 945,000 units, reflecting year-on-year growth of 2.5% and 0.1% respectively [6] - The automotive export market showed strong growth, with 302,000 new energy vehicles exported, doubling year-on-year [6][7] Technology and AI - The daily active users of the Qianwen App surged by 727.7% to 58.48 million on the first day of its promotional campaign, significantly narrowing the gap with competitors [8] - Byte's Doubao has taken a more cautious approach in the "red envelope war," focusing on differentiated product positioning, which has helped establish a user base [9] - Semiconductor manufacturer SMIC reported a 23.2% increase in net profit for Q4 2025, driven by demand recovery and domestic orders, with a revenue of 17.813 billion yuan [10][11] Consumer Brands - FountainVest Partners is considering selling its Chinese franchise operator CFB Group, which operates over 1,800 stores for brands like DQ and Papa John's, reflecting a trend of international brands reassessing their Chinese operations [12] - The sale of control over these brands is seen as a strategic move to adapt to changing consumer preferences in China, rather than a withdrawal from the market [12][13] Satellite Internet - Amazon received approval to deploy 4,500 satellites as part of its plan to expand its satellite constellation to compete with SpaceX, aiming to provide satellite internet services [14][15] - The deployment is part of Amazon's strategy to integrate its existing cloud services with satellite technology, potentially enhancing its service offerings [14]

长江商报消息●长江商报记者 江楚雅 集成电路制造领军企业中芯国际（688981.SH、00981.HK）业绩稳定增长。 2月10日晚间，中芯国际发布2025年第四季度及全年业绩快报。公司2025年全年平均产能利用率 93.5%，同比提升8个百分点；实现营业收入673.23亿元，同比增长16.5%；实现归母净利润50.41亿元， 同比大增36.3%，营收与利润双双刷新历史纪录。 面向2026年，中芯国际释放积极信号。公司预计，2026年全年销售收入增幅将高于可比同业平均水平， 资本开支与2025年大致持平，扩产节奏保持稳健。2025年，中芯国际资本开支达81亿美元，新增约5万 片12英寸产能；2026年预计再新增折合12英寸约4万片月产能。 产能扩张稳步推进，支撑增长目标落地。2025年中芯国际新增约5万片12英寸产能，2026年预计再新增 折合12英寸约4万片月产能。受外部设备交付节奏影响，产能释放呈现渐进式节奏，但长期扩产方向不 变。随着产能稳步释放与产品结构持续升级，公司有望在BCD、模拟、存储、MCU、显示驱动等优势 赛道持续扩大份额。 量价齐升驱动业绩高增 2025年，中芯国际交出亮眼成绩单。 根据业 ...

机构：国信证券 研究员：胡剑/胡慧/张大为 基于公司4Q25 业绩及1Q26 指引，我们上调公司2025-2027 年归母净利润至6.85/8.76/10.31 亿美元（前 值为6.48/8.08/9.45 亿美元），2026 年2 月10 日股价对应2026 年3.3 倍PB，维持"优于大市"评级。 风险提示：下游需求放缓；扩产不及预期；国际关系紧张的风险。 4Q25 营收超指引上限，预计2026 年收入增幅高于可比同业均值。公司4Q25实现销售收入24.89 亿美元 （YoY +12.8%，QoQ +4.5%），高于指引(QoQ 0%-2%)上限，续创季度收入新高，晶圆收入占总收入的 92.4%；毛利率因折旧增加降至19.2%(YoY -3.4pct，QoQ -2.7pct)，符合指引；归母净利润为1.73 亿美元 (YoY +60.7%，QoQ -10.0%)。预计1Q26 营收环比持平，毛利率为18%-20%，2026 年全年收入增幅高于 可比同业平均值。 收购中芯北方全部少数股权，增资中芯南方并提高股权比例。公司拟发行股份购买中芯北方49%全部少 数股权，中芯北方2025 年1-8 月收入90 亿元 ...

格隆汇2月10日丨中芯国际(688981.SH)公布2025年第四季度业绩快报，报告期内实现营业总收入178.13 亿元，同比增长11.9%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润12.23亿元，同比增长23.2%；基本每股收益0.15 元。 ...

2月11日，恒生指数高开0.23%，恒生科技指数涨0.21%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | HSI | 恒生指数 | 27246.18 | 63.03 | 0.23% | | HSTECH | 恒生科技 | 5462.70 | 11.67 | 0.21% | | HSBIO | 恒生生物科技 | 16098.96 | 169.61 | 1.06% | | HSCEI | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9258.27 | 15.52 | 0.17% | | HSCI | 恒生综合指数 | 4167.19 | 5.96 | 0.14% | AI大模型概念延续强势，智谱再度高开，涨近5%。MINIMAX-WP涨超2%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅~ | | --- | --- | --- | | 智谱 | 333.000 | 4.78% | | 阜博集团 | 5.450 | 4.21% | | MINIMAX-WP | 552.500 | 2.50% | | 有赞 | 0.136 | 1.49% | | 多点数智 | 8.7 ...

Core Viewpoint - The current decline in terminal demand is attributed not to a loss of consumer willingness but rather to a supply chain resource mismatch caused by the explosion of AI demand [3][5]. Financial Performance - In 2025, SMIC reported a record annual revenue of $9.327 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.2%, and a net profit of $685 million, up 39.1% [2]. - The gross margin for Q4 2025 decreased by 2.8 percentage points to 19.2%, with guidance for Q1 2026 indicating a range of 18%-20% [2][9]. Supply Chain Dynamics - The memory chip market is experiencing price volatility, leading to heightened supply chain tensions, with memory prices significantly increasing in Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025 [3]. - AI's strong demand for storage chips, particularly HBM and high-density DDR5, is squeezing the supply available for mobile and other applications [5][6]. Capacity Utilization and Market Trends - SMIC maintained a high capacity utilization rate of 95.7% in Q4 2025, but the revenue structure showed subtle changes, with the PC and tablet segment's revenue share slightly increasing to 15.2% [5]. - The company is shifting its production capacity towards high-demand areas such as data centers and automotive sectors, as orders for mid-range mobile and PC devices decline due to storage shortages [11]. Capital Expenditure and Depreciation - SMIC's capital expenditure reached $8.1 billion in 2025, exceeding initial expectations, primarily to meet strong customer demand and adapt to external changes [9][10]. - The company anticipates a 30% year-on-year increase in total depreciation in 2026 due to rising unit depreciation costs from new factory operations [9][10]. Future Outlook - For 2026, SMIC expects revenue growth to exceed the average of comparable peers, driven by internal efficiency improvements and high capacity utilization [14]. - The company is optimistic about navigating through the high depreciation phase and entering a phase of healthy development as capacity gradually releases and market demand rebounds [14][15]. Industry Trends - The semiconductor industry is undergoing a localization shift, with significant opportunities arising from domestic design companies capturing supply chain shares [16]. - As AI technology penetrates edge devices, there will be an upgrade in specifications for mobile and PC devices, leading to increased demand for higher-value chips [16].

2月10日，中芯国际发布2025年第四季度业绩快报，报告期内，公司实现营业收入178.13亿元，同比增 长11.9%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润12.23亿元，同比增长23.2%；基本每股收益0.15元。 此外，中芯国际公告显示，2025年第四季度销售收入为24.89亿美元，环比增长4.5%，毛利率为19.2%。 2025年全年销售收入为93.27亿美元，同比增长16.2%，毛利率为21%。 展望2026年，综合各因素，公司给出的一季度指引为：销售收入环比持平，毛利率在18%-20%之间。 编辑丨瑜见 公司表示，业绩变动主要是由于本年晶圆销售量增加、产能利用率上升及产品组合变动。 | | | 甲山: 儿 中代:人民日 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 项目 | 2025年第四季度 | 2024年第四季度 | 增减变动 幅度 | | | (10-12月) | (10-12月) | | | | | | (%) | | 营业总收入 | 17.812.776 | 15,916,850 | 11.9 | | 营业利润 | 2.114.049 | 2.746.202 | -23.0 | | ...

经济观察报记者 郑晨烨 2月11日上午，中芯国际（00981.HK/688981.SH）召开2025年第四季度业绩说明会，就在前一晚，该公司披露了2025年第四季度及全年业绩。 数据显示，中芯国际2025年全年销售收入达到93.27亿美元，同比增长16.2%，创下历史新高；归属于上市公司股东的净利润为6.85亿美元，同比增长 39.1%。 供需错配 2025年第四季度，中芯国际的产能利用率继续维持在95.7%的高位，但营收结构却出现了微妙变化。 其财报数据显示，以应用分类，电脑与平板业务的营收占比为15.2%，较第二季度的15.0%仅微增，而在此前几个季度，该板块曾是增长主力。 对于近期市场感受到的"中低端手机和电脑订单疲软"，赵海军在业绩会上解释称，终端市场的总需求实际上没有下降，目前中低端订单减少，是因为人工智 能对存储芯片的强劲需求，"挤压了手机等其他应用领域能拿到的存储芯片供应"。 赵海军表示，最近两个月公司与产业链伙伴广泛沟通后发现，人工智能（AI）对于存储芯片（特别是HBM和高密度DDR5）的强劲需求，挤压了手机等其他 应用领域能拿到的存储芯片供应。这种挤压效应通过价格和供应两个维度传导至终端厂商 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [6][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of $2.489 billion in Q4 2025, exceeding guidance and achieving a year-over-year growth of 12.8% [1]. - The gross margin decreased to 19.2% due to increased depreciation, which aligns with guidance [1]. - The company expects revenue growth in 2026 to surpass the average growth of comparable peers [1]. - The company plans to acquire 49% of the minority stake in SMIC North and increase its stake in SMIC South from 38.515% to 41.561% [3]. - The revenue from the industrial and automotive sectors grew significantly, with year-over-year increases of 81.4% and 43.4%, respectively [2]. Financial Performance - Q4 2025 sales revenue reached $2.489 billion, with wafer revenue accounting for 92.4% of total revenue [1]. - The company shipped 2.51 million 8-inch wafers in Q4 2025, a year-over-year increase of 26.3% [1]. - Capital expenditures for Q4 2025 were $2.408 billion, a 45% increase year-over-year [1]. - The company expects capital expenditures in 2026 to remain approximately the same as in 2025, around $8.1 billion [1]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of $9.327 billion, $11.008 billion, and $12.532 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 16.2%, 18.0%, and 13.8% [5]. - Net profit estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are $685 million, $876 million, and $1.031 billion, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 39.1%, 27.8%, and 17.7% [5].

Core Viewpoint - The global semiconductor industry is experiencing a new wave of price increases across the entire supply chain, driven by surging AI demand and rising raw material costs [1][3][61]. Group 1: Price Increases in Domestic Semiconductor Companies - Over 20 semiconductor companies have officially announced price increases [2][62]. - Domestic chip manufacturers are significantly raising prices, with increases as high as 80% for certain products [4][63]. - Guokewai announced price hikes for its KGD storage products, with increases of 40% to 80% [6][66]. - Zhongwei Semiconductor is raising prices for MCU and NOR Flash products by 15% to 50% due to supply chain pressures [9][73]. - Biyiwei has also announced price increases across its entire product line, citing rising raw material costs [17][76]. Group 2: Price Increases in International Semiconductor Companies - International semiconductor giants are also raising prices, with ADI increasing prices by 15% to 30% starting February 1, 2026 [21][81]. - Infineon plans to raise prices for power switches and IC products due to increased demand from AI data centers [24][83]. - Texas Instruments is expected to raise prices by over 30% across nearly all categories due to rising costs [21][81]. Group 3: Price Increases in Wafer Foundry and Packaging - Wafer foundries are increasing prices, with TSMC raising advanced process prices by 3% to 10% [25][85]. - Packaging and testing services are seeing price increases of up to 30%, driven by high demand and capacity constraints [27][86]. Group 4: Impact of Raw Material Costs - The prices of precious metals like gold, silver, and copper are rising, significantly impacting chip manufacturing costs [57][116]. - The increase in raw material costs is leading to a ripple effect across the semiconductor supply chain, prompting many companies to raise their product prices [57][116]. Group 5: Effects on End Markets - The price increases in storage chips are affecting end markets, with PC manufacturers like Dell and Lenovo planning price hikes of 10% to 30% [59][118]. - In the smartphone sector, rising storage costs are pressuring new product pricing, particularly for low-end models [59][118]. - The automotive electronics sector is also feeling the impact, with companies like Xiaomi and NIO reporting cost pressures due to rising semiconductor prices [59][119].