Group 1: Aviation Sector - The aviation sector is expected to see strong demand during the summer peak season, with a recommendation to focus on pre-peak investment opportunities. The industry has gradually emerged from the low-demand season since March, with rational pricing strategies from airlines supporting demand [3][12]. - In 2024, the total revenue of six listed airlines is projected to reach 521.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with a tax pre-profit of 3 billion yuan, a significant recovery from a loss of 9 billion yuan in 2023. Different airlines show varying degrees of profit improvement [10][12]. - The report highlights that the international oil price decline will significantly enhance airline profits. A 5% drop in Brent crude oil prices could increase the pre-tax profits of major airlines by 29 billion yuan for Air China and 23 billion yuan for Eastern Airlines [14][15]. Group 2: Express Delivery Sector - The express delivery sector is anticipated to maintain strong growth resilience, with business volumes expected to increase by 21.5% in 2024 and 21.6% in Q1 2025. The total business volume for 2024 is projected to reach 1.758 billion pieces [32][35]. - The market concentration in the express delivery industry is on the rise, with the CR8 index expected to reach 85.2% in 2024 and 86.9% in Q1 2025, indicating a more consolidated market [32][35]. - Revenue for the express delivery industry is forecasted to grow by 13.8% in 2024, reaching 1.4 trillion yuan, with a slight pressure on average ticket prices, which are expected to decline by 14.2% [35][36]. Group 3: Dividend and Asset Value - The report emphasizes the value of dividend assets in the transportation sector, with cash dividend ratios for highways, railways, and ports projected at 51%, 47%, and 36% respectively for 2024, indicating strong cash flow stability [44][45]. - The TTM dividend yields for these sectors are expected to be 3.0% for highways, 3.3% for railways, and 2.3% for ports, reflecting a stable increase compared to previous years [44][45]. Group 4: Shipping Sector - The shipping sector faces short-term pressure due to US-China tariff disputes, but structural opportunities may arise. The report suggests that the tariff situation could lead to a shift in import demands, particularly for agricultural products, which may benefit dry bulk shipping [48][56]. - Historical data indicates that previous trade disputes have led to increased shipping rates for certain routes, suggesting potential for similar outcomes in the current context [48][56].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the aviation transportation industry is "Positive" [2]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the supply in the aviation industry is gradually contracting, with a narrowing decline in ticket prices. An improvement in supply-demand dynamics is expected during the peak travel season [3][4]. - The industry is experiencing a high passenger load factor, with limited room for recovery in utilization rates. The supply contraction is intensifying, leading to a trend of narrowing year-on-year ticket price declines, which may improve the industry’s supply-demand relationship [14][3]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key airlines such as Air China, China Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, Juneyao Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines due to the anticipated recovery in air travel demand during the peak season [3][14]. Industry Supply Contraction and Ticket Price Trends - The industry’s passenger load factor remains high, with an increasing proportion of grounded aircraft. In April 2025, the industry’s Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) and Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPK) increased by 8.1% and 11.5% year-on-year, respectively, with a passenger load factor of 84.5%, up 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [4][16]. - The average ticket price in June 2025 was down 5.9% year-on-year, with the average domestic ticket price for 2025 year-to-date at 837 RMB, a decline of 9.4% year-on-year [5][26]. Oil Prices and Exchange Rates - The average price of aviation kerosene in Q1 and Q2 2025 was 5,952 RMB/ton and 5,385 RMB/ton, respectively, showing a year-on-year decrease of 10.0% and 17.0%. The Brent crude oil price averaged 67.95 USD/barrel as of June 16, 2025, down 18.1% year-on-year [6][37][38]. Airline Capacity and Load Factors - In May 2025, airlines increased their international capacity, with domestic load factors remaining high. The overall ASK for major airlines showed a year-on-year increase, with international routes recovering faster than domestic routes [45][46]. - The report indicates that the passenger load factors for domestic routes exceeded those of 2019, with significant increases noted for China Eastern and China Southern Airlines on international routes [45][47].

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Viewpoints - The passenger load factor has reached a new high, and price expectations are improving. The civil aviation passenger volume in May 2025 showed good year-on-year performance, with major airlines experiencing an increase of over 5%, particularly Eastern Airlines with a growth of 10.8% and Spring Airlines with a 14.6% increase [4][13] - The domestic market remains stable while the international market is gradually expanding. The average daily flight volume in May 2025 was stable compared to April, with a year-on-year growth of 3.2%. Major airlines have shown slight growth in domestic routes, with Spring Airlines achieving double-digit growth [5][15] - Aircraft introduction remains low, and with the peak summer travel season approaching, the industry is expected to perform well in terms of volume and pricing. The fleet size of civil aviation is projected to grow by only 2.8% year-on-year, indicating a slow supply growth [6][25] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Basic Situation - The closing point is 2012.96, with a 52-week high of 2398.85 and a low of 1625.59 [1] Recent Operational Data - In May 2025, major airlines reported a year-on-year increase in passenger transport volume, with Eastern Airlines at 10.8% and Spring Airlines at 14.6%. The overall passenger load factor for major airlines improved by approximately 3 percentage points [4][13] - Domestic flight volume remained stable, with a year-on-year increase of 3.2%. Eastern Airlines achieved a domestic load factor of 87.2%, up 4.4 percentage points year-on-year [5][15] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for the civil aviation industry, with stable pricing and improved revenue management. Recommended stocks include Spring Airlines, Juneyao Airlines, and Huaxia Airlines, with a focus on the recovery of major airlines' performance [7][29]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [5] Core Insights - The overall passenger load factor remains high, indicating a recovery in demand compared to the previous year [1][9] - Domestic airlines have increased capacity by 2.8% year-on-year and 4.8% month-on-month in May, driven by seasonal demand from the May Day holiday [2][13] - The passenger load factor for domestic routes improved by 0.6 percentage points month-on-month and approximately 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [29][37] - International routes saw a 20.3% year-on-year increase in capacity, although the growth rate has slowed due to a higher base from the previous year [4][48] - The overall load factor for international routes increased by 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, despite a 1.1 percentage point decrease month-on-month [4][48] Summary by Sections Domestic Routes - Capacity for domestic routes increased by 2.8% year-on-year and 4.8% month-on-month in May, with major airlines showing over 5% growth in capacity due to seasonal factors [2][14] - The overall passenger load factor for domestic airlines rose to 92% in May, recovering from a dip below 90% in April [36][43] - Major airlines have stabilized their ticket sales strategies, contributing to a more predictable pricing environment [3][10] International Routes - International capacity increased by approximately 20.3% year-on-year, with a 1.0% increase month-on-month, indicating a gradual recovery [4][48] - The load factor for international routes improved significantly year-on-year, primarily due to a low base from the previous year [4][48] - The industry anticipates continued pressure on international routes due to capacity management in domestic routes, which may lead to an oversupply situation [50] Airport Throughput - Major airports such as Shanghai and Shenzhen reported significant year-on-year increases in international passenger throughput, with growth rates of 25% and 31% respectively [55][63] - Compared to 2019, international throughput at these airports has also shown strong recovery, indicating a robust rebound in international travel [55][63]

Group 1 - China Southern Airlines successfully launched the Beijing Daxing-Dushanbe route on June 16, marking a significant expansion in its international operations [1] - The opening of the direct flight is expected to enhance economic, social, and cultural exchanges between China and Tajikistan, presenting substantial development prospects [1]

Group 1 - Company Xi Zhong Technology proposed to repurchase shares worth between 75 million and 150 million yuan using excess funds and self-owned funds [1] - Company Yongxi Electronics expects a revenue growth of 16.6% to 28.88% in the first half of the year, with projected revenue between 1.9 billion and 2.1 billion yuan [2] - Company Jingyi Equipment anticipates a revenue increase of 36.54% to 42.48%, with expected revenue between 690 million and 720 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - Company Haipuri received approval from the European Medicines Agency (EMA) for a new production line for Enoxaparin Sodium injection, with an annual capacity of 330 million doses [4] - Company Inner Mongolia Xinhua plans to merge its wholly-owned subsidiaries to optimize resource allocation and improve operational efficiency [5] - Company Cloud Chemical intends to sign daily related transaction framework agreements with its controlling shareholder to reduce operational costs [7] Group 3 - Company China Software received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for a specific stock issuance [8] - Company Wankong Intelligent's subsidiary won a bid for a project with the State Grid worth approximately 12.17 million yuan [9] - Company Lianlong obtained a patent for an anti-aging agent, which is expected to enhance its product offerings in polymer materials [11] Group 4 - Company Yunlu plans to increase its shares by 4 million to 12 million yuan through stock purchases by its executives [12] - Company Enhua Pharmaceutical's chairman increased his stake by 237,900 shares [14] - Company Daqin Railway announced the resignation of its general manager due to retirement [15] Group 5 - Company Hefei Urban Construction signed a land use rights transfer contract for an industrial site with an area of 78,561.78 square meters, with a payment of 103 million yuan due by July 13, 2025 [16] - Company Taiji Group received a government subsidy of 20 million yuan, representing 75.04% of its projected net profit for 2024 [17] - Company Guodian Nanrui elected a new chairman, Zheng Zongqiang, while he resigned from his previous roles [19] Group 6 - Company Xinhua Medical received a medical device registration certificate for a thromboelastography testing kit [20] - Company Baotailong's subsidiary obtained a mining license for a graphite mine with a production capacity of 2 million tons per year [21] - Company Zejing Pharmaceutical received approval for clinical trials of its innovative cancer treatment drugs [22] Group 7 - Company Aojing Medical's artificial bone repair material received registration approval in Vietnam [23] - Company Chengjian Development received a cash dividend of 90.2169 million yuan from Guoxin Securities [24] - Company Rili Technology proposed a share repurchase plan worth between 10 million and 20 million yuan [25] Group 8 - Company Deshi General Institute received approval to issue up to 1 billion yuan in technology innovation bonds [44] - Company Tongding Interconnect plans to bid for two procurement projects worth approximately 717 million yuan [46] - Company Bangji Technology plans to acquire multiple agricultural companies [46]

申万宏源发布研报称，五一假期出行超预期、节后量价进一步稳定，航空市场正稳步迈入旺季阶段，从 今年市场的供需结构来看，市场供给增长放缓，旅客量自然增长的核心逻辑不变，若后续国内航司票价 持续回暖，将验证支撑航司收益提升逻辑。继续看好航空板块，供给逻辑确定性强，需求端具备弹性， 在外部油汇变化配合下航司能够释放较大业绩提升空间，推荐中国国航（601111）(601111.SH)、华夏航 空（002928）(002928.SZ)、春秋航空（601021）(601021.SH)、吉祥航空（603885）(603885.SH)、国泰 航空(00293)、南方航空（600029）(600029.SH)、中国东航（600115）(600115.SH)。 国际市场：国际运力与运量保持恢复，部分航司恢复情况接近或超过疫情前水平 航司5月数据总体情况：五一假期带动需求旺盛，各航司运力与旅客周转量继续稳步提升 6家上市航司ASK运力同比2024年增长：中国国航(+4%)、中国东航(+9%)、南方航空(+5%)、吉祥航空 (+0.5%)、春秋航空(+11%)、海航控股（600221）(+15%)；各航司RPK旅客周转量同比增长：中国 ...

南都记者注意到，上述网友自称系南航飞行总队飞行员，其在社交平台持续发布视频，并手举身份证实 名反映"因拒绝参与领导安排的娱乐活动引发矛盾""实名举报领导行贿""屡遭不公与打压""累计停飞近4 年""没有任何原因和通知被停止排班一个多月"等情况。 （文章来源：南方都市报） 近日，一自称系南航飞行员的网友发布多则视频，实名反映"屡遭不公与打压""没有任何原因和通知被 停止排班一个多月"等情况，消息引发热议。6月17日，南都记者从南航飞行总队获悉，该队及相关部门 多次调查核实，未发现有关检查员及干部在飞行、训练、检查工作中存在涉事飞行员反映的故意刁难情 况，目前已按规定停止其运行。 6月17日，南航飞行总队发布情况说明回应称，飞行员李某发布有关其职业发展诉求的信息，经核实， 其反映的情况与事实严重不符。近年来，飞行总队为李某组织了多次飞行训练，安排改装不同机型，并 协助其转往其他航司，但其资质检查屡查不过，技术能力始终无法达标。李某表示无法接受，反复举报 检查不公。对李某的举报，该队及相关部门严格按程序多次调查核实，未发现有关检查员及干部在飞 行、训练、检查工作中存在其反映的故意刁难情况。对李某提出的放机长及相关诉 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended," indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [6][57]. Core Insights - The report expresses a positive outlook on the aviation sector, particularly regarding the upcoming summer travel season, driven by improved demand and operational metrics [8]. - Key factors supporting this outlook include resilient domestic demand, ongoing recovery in international routes, and supply constraints in the market [8]. - The report highlights specific airlines, such as Huaxia Airlines and Spring Airlines, as leaders in the domestic regional market, while also noting the potential for China National Aviation to release elasticity in operations [8]. Summary by Sections Airline Data Analysis - In May, the overall ASK (Available Seat Kilometers) growth rates were led by Spring Airlines (11.5%), followed by Eastern Airlines (9.3%) and Southern Airlines (5.0%) [2]. - For RPK (Revenue Passenger Kilometers), Eastern Airlines showed the highest growth at 15.4%, with Spring Airlines at 11.7% [2]. - Cumulative data from January to May indicates Spring Airlines leading in ASK growth (8.9%) and Eastern Airlines in RPK growth (12.7%) [2]. Domestic and International Routes - Domestic routes in May saw Spring Airlines with an ASK growth of 10.9% and RPK growth of 12.0% [3]. - Internationally, Juneyao Airlines led with an ASK growth of 50.1% and RPK growth of 66.7% in May [3]. - Cumulative data for international routes from January to May shows Juneyao Airlines with a significant ASK growth of 69.5% and RPK growth of 71.2% [3]. Load Factor and Fleet Size - The load factor in May was highest for Spring Airlines at 91.1%, with a year-on-year increase of 0.1 percentage points [4]. - The total fleet size of the five listed airlines increased by 6 aircraft in May, with a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [4]. Market Performance - The aviation sector's total market capitalization is reported at 730.725 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 514.519 billion yuan [6]. - The absolute performance of the sector over the last month was -3.3%, while the relative performance was +2.8% [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the aviation transportation sector [6]. Core Viewpoints - The aviation industry is expected to benefit from a strong summer travel season, with airlines likely to realize pricing and profit elasticity [2][5]. - The industry has shown a steady increase in capacity and passenger load factors, indicating a positive trend in operational performance [3][4]. - Airlines are anticipated to enter a profit cycle due to low supply growth and improved revenue management, alongside the appreciation of the Renminbi [2][5]. Summary by Sections Passenger Load Factors - In May, the three major airlines reported a passenger load factor of 84.1%, up 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, with capacity increasing by 6.0% [3][11]. - Spring Airlines achieved a load factor exceeding 90%, reflecting strong operational performance [4]. - The overall passenger load factor for the combined three major airlines, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines was 84.6%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [11]. Revenue and Pricing - The report indicates that the average ticket price has been rising for eight consecutive weeks, suggesting a positive revenue outlook for the summer peak season [2][5]. - The domestic route average ticket price was reported at 693 RMB, showing a significant improvement compared to previous weeks [5]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares in several airlines, including China National Aviation (753 HK), China Eastern Airlines (670 HK), and Spring Airlines (601021 CH), among others, with target prices set for each [9][25]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for these companies indicate a favorable investment outlook [25][27].