Core Insights - The ETF market has recently experienced record outflows, with broad-based ETFs seeing over 200 billion yuan in outflows in a single week, while sector and thematic ETFs in technology and cyclical sectors continue to attract inflows [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The outflow of funds from broad-based ETFs indicates a significant market adjustment, which may help temper market sentiment and promote rationality in capital market operations [1] - Small-cap stocks have been less impacted by the outflows, while sectors such as banking, food and beverage, coal, and non-bank financials have faced greater challenges [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The current investment strategy suggests focusing on broad-based products like the ChiNext 50, ChiNext Index, Double Innovation 50, and CSI 1000 ETFs, as well as thematic products in new energy, non-ferrous metals, agriculture, pharmaceuticals, and medical devices [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market has seen a significant increase in equity financing activities, with a total of HKD 390.9 billion raised as of January 19, 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 316.27% [1] - In 2025, the total equity financing scale in the Hong Kong primary market reached HKD 6,127 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 248.8% [1] - Chinese securities firms are increasingly dominating the equity underwriting business in the Hong Kong market, holding six out of the top ten positions in underwriting amounts, with a combined market share of 56.15% [1] Group 2 - Mu Qiguo has stepped down as the head of the research institute at Western Securities, with Zhao Yinghua taking over the role [2] - The leadership change reflects the updated requirements of the company's "14th Five-Year" strategic plan for research and development capabilities [2] - Mu Qiguo will focus on the company's intelligent investment research and the establishment of research operations for its Hong Kong subsidiary [2] Group 3 - In 2025, insurance asset management institutions registered a total of 314 debt and equity investment plans and private equity funds, with a total scale of CNY 510.443 billion, showing a year-on-year decrease of 20.71% in quantity and 26.08% in scale [3] - The number of debt investment plans decreased significantly to 285, with a scale of CNY 441.905 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 24% and 28.46% respectively [3] - Conversely, the number of equity investment plans increased to 22, with a scale of CNY 33.532 billion, indicating a year-on-year growth of 83.33% in quantity and 12.52% in scale [3]

Core Viewpoint - The AI application sector has emerged as a primary investment theme for 2026, with a year-to-date increase of 19%, leading the A-share market [1] Group 1: AI Application Trends - The acceleration of AI applications is expected to continue, driven by multiple catalysts [1] - The CES 2026 event has provided significant insights into the future directions of AI application deployment [1] Group 2: Hardware and Software Developments - On the hardware side, AI is gradually penetrating daily life, with diverse hardware entry forms including automobiles, robots, smart glasses, smart homes, and wearable devices [1] - Software advancements, particularly in model inference capabilities, are facilitating the rapid deployment of enterprise-level Agentic AI [1] - Next-generation hardware platforms, such as Rubin, are significantly reducing token and inference costs, which is likely to further accelerate application deployment [1] Group 3: Market Position and Growth Potential - China possesses advantages in the pace of application deployment and user scale, indicating substantial growth potential for AI applications [1]

Group 1: Core Insights - The development of computing power is expected to have high certainty by 2026, with continuous upgrades in supernode technology and sustained high capital expenditure (Capex) from major cloud service providers (CSPs), indicating investment opportunities in computing chips and system-level manufacturers [1][2] - The AI application sector is reaching a turning point, with significant improvements in model capabilities and new opportunities for overseas expansion, leading to accelerated order and revenue growth for AI application companies [1][3] Group 2: Computing Power Trends - The transition to supernode technology is enhancing cluster performance, with leading overseas server companies validating excess market share and profits through supernode system capabilities [2] - Domestic computing power is rapidly improving its competitiveness, supporting local models, and shifting competition from single-card performance to system-level capabilities by 2026 [2] Group 3: AI Applications - Next-generation large models (e.g., Gemini 3.0/GPT-5) are expected to benefit complex reasoning and multimodal scenarios, facilitating the large-scale implementation of AI [3] - The domestic AI application landscape is evolving, with independent model providers emerging due to strong R&D capabilities, and applications are expanding beyond traditional areas like chatbots and customer service to include multimodal and embodied intelligence scenarios [3] Group 4: Domestic Demand Support - Continuous policy support for technology in sectors like satellites, healthcare, and consumption is anticipated to strengthen in 2026, driving demand for satellite technology and medical AI [4] - Structural recovery in domestic demand is expected to be a key focus for the computing sector in 2026, with policies promoting consumption and regulating fiscal systems [4]

Core Insights - The ETF market has recently experienced record outflows, with broad-based ETFs seeing over 200 billion yuan in outflows in a single week, while sector and thematic ETFs in technology and cyclical sectors continue to attract inflows [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The outflow of funds from broad-based ETFs indicates a significant market adjustment, which may help temper market sentiment and promote rationality in capital markets [1] - Small-cap stocks have been less impacted by the outflows, while sectors such as banking, food and beverage, coal, and non-bank financials have faced greater challenges [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on broad-based products like the ChiNext 50, ChiNext Index, Double Innovation 50, and CSI 1000 ETFs, as well as thematic products in new energy, non-ferrous metals, agriculture, pharmaceuticals, and medical devices [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the AI application sector has become a primary focus for 2026, with a year-to-date increase of 19%, leading the A-share market [1] - The ongoing catalysts for AI applications are expected to continue, with a trend of accelerated implementation [1] - The CES 2026 event held at the beginning of the year provided a significant window for observing the future direction of AI application deployment [1] Group 2 - On the hardware side, AI is gradually penetrating daily life, with diverse hardware entry forms including automobiles, robots, glasses, smart home devices, and wearables like smart glasses, rings, headphones, and smart toys [1] - On the software side, upgrades in model inference capabilities are facilitating the accelerated deployment of enterprise-level Agentic AI [1] - Next-generation hardware platforms, such as Rubin, are significantly reducing token and inference costs, which is expected to further accelerate application deployment [1] Group 3 - Overall, China possesses advantages in the pace of application deployment and user scale, indicating that there is still considerable growth potential for AI applications [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the growth level of the industry is expected to exceed that of the CSI 300 index over the next six months [3][37]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the securities sector experienced a decline of 2.21% during the week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.64 percentage points. The current price-to-book (PB) ratio for the brokerage sector is 1.38 times [1][2]. - CITIC Securities reported a net profit of 30.051 billion yuan for 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 38.46%, and its operating revenue reached 74.83 billion yuan, up 28.75% year-on-year. This performance is attributed to the overall upward trend in the domestic capital market and increased investor confidence [2][35]. - The report emphasizes that the growth drivers for the industry in 2025 will be diverse, with traditional businesses showing resilience and investment banking benefiting from a recovery in the equity financing market [2][6]. Summary by Sections Securities Weekly Data Tracking - The brokerage sector's performance is closely monitored, with traditional businesses like brokerage and proprietary trading showing high elasticity in growth due to increased market activity [2][9]. Insurance Weekly Data Tracking - The insurance sector saw a decline of 3.59%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.02 percentage points. China Life Insurance reported over 62.24 million claims in 2025, with a total claim amount exceeding 100.4 billion yuan, reflecting a 10% year-on-year increase [7][8]. - The overall insurance industry achieved a premium income of 576.29 billion yuan in November 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 7.56% [25][8]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that regulatory encouragement for industry consolidation is present, with mergers and acquisitions seen as effective means for brokerages to achieve external growth. This consolidation is expected to enhance industry competitiveness and resource allocation [3][6][30].

格隆汇1月20日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示，2026年1月16日，中广核电力(01816.HK)获中信证券资产管理有限公司在场内以每股均价3.0296港元增 持1279.2万股，涉资约3875.5万港元。 增持后，中信证券资产管理有限公司最新持股数目为2,237,113,000股，持股比例由19.92%上升至20.04%。 | 表格序號 | 大股東/董事/最高行政人員名 作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的 每股的平均價 | | | | 持有權益的股份數目 佔已發行的 有關事件的日期 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 股份數目 | | | | (請參閱上述*註 | | | | | | | | | 份自分比 | | A BREASE OF CONSULTION OF CONSULTION OF CONSULTION OF COLLECTION OF COLLECTION OF COLLECTION OF COLLECTION O CS20260116E00601 | 中信证券资产管理有限公司 | 1101(L) | 12,792,000( ...

Macro Strategy - The economic growth target of 5% for the year was successfully achieved, with Q4 GDP growth at 4.5% and nominal GDP growth at 3.8%, indicating a narrowing decline in the GDP deflator index from -1.1% to -0.7% [1][16] - Economic growth was primarily driven by exports and services, with service sector GDP growth at 5.4% and industrial GDP growth at 4.5%. Exports increased by 6.1%, while fixed asset investment decreased by 3.8% [1][16] - Q4 price recovery was noted, although still weak, with service retail growth at 5.5% and total retail sales growth at 3.7% [1][16] Industry Insights - The aerospace sector is highlighted as a long-term strategic focus under the 15th Five-Year Plan, with continued attention on semiconductor equipment, particularly in advanced processes and domestic replacements [5] - The report recommends focusing on semiconductor equipment ETFs as key investment targets due to favorable policies and performance expectations [5] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to maintain its growth trajectory, supported by strategic planning and market demand [22] Company Recommendations - Qianli Technology (601777) is projected to achieve revenues of 8.9 billion, 10.6 billion, and 12.8 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a "buy" rating based on successful AI transformation and expected growth in smart driving business [14] - IFBH (06603.HK) is expected to see revenues of 188 million, 257 million, and 331 million USD from 2025 to 2027, with a "buy" rating due to improving fundamentals and channel strategies [15] - Hangcha Group (603298) maintains a profit forecast of 2.2 billion, 2.4 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, with a "hold" rating reflecting stable performance and market position [15]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has seen active financing since the beginning of the year, with equity financing reaching HKD 39.09 billion, a year-on-year increase of 316.27% [1] - Chinese securities firms are increasingly taking a leading role in the Hong Kong market, with six out of the top ten equity underwriting positions held by Chinese institutions, accounting for a total market share of 56.15% [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 27.77% in 2025, and the primary market equity financing reached HKD 612.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 248.8% [1] - The active investment and financing environment is attributed to the deep involvement of intermediary institutions, providing valuable development opportunities for investment banks [1] Group 2: Underwriting and Advisory Services - In IPO sponsorship, China International Capital Corporation (CICC) led with a sponsorship scale of HKD 51.65 billion, followed by CITIC Securities (Hong Kong) at HKD 46.03 billion [2] - CICC also demonstrated a strong advantage in refinancing underwriting, with a scale of HKD 24.97 billion and 13 transactions [2] Group 3: Strategic Developments - Chinese securities firms are enhancing their presence in Hong Kong to capture growth opportunities, with several firms increasing capital for their subsidiaries and providing guarantees for business development [4] - For instance, Guotai Junan Securities announced plans to secure a bank loan of up to HKD 35 million to support its Hong Kong subsidiary [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - The Hong Kong market is becoming a crucial platform for Chinese securities firms to expand internationally, with expectations of increased opportunities as international investors seek quality Chinese assets [3] - The core opportunity for Chinese securities firms lies in leveraging their client networks and understanding of Chinese enterprises to serve "A+H" listed companies and support the internationalization of domestic industry chains [5]