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中信证券:星上算力已成共识 科技巨头逐鹿太空
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 00:55
中信证券研报认为,OpenAI正寻求设立、投资或者并购一家火箭公司,目的是在太空算力领域和马斯 克竞争。美国科技巨头陆续开始布局空间算力,投资界也开始认识到其巨大商业价值。随着中国星网和 G60千帆星座先后进入批量化发射阶段,以及海南商业航天发射场和商业运载火箭的投入使用,大运 力、低成本趋势正引领商业航天开启新时代,同时空间算力也进一步打开行业天花板,万亿市场规模的 新赛道即将扬帆起航,为相关产业链带来巨大的发展契机。 (文章来源:第一财经) ...
中信证券:持续看好燃气轮机新一轮的扩张周期
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 00:55
(文章来源:第一财经) 中信证券研报称,我们结合全球"两机"(航空发动机和燃气轮机)OEM与国内配套供应商在近期的财 报表现,梳理目前的燃机订单和产能情况,经我们测算,预计至2028年全球燃机的供需逐步实现平衡。 在未来主要OEM的新一轮扩产周期中,我国供应链将充分且持续受益于下游订单与交付的高景气度。 ...
中信证券:今年全年出口有望实现5.3%左右增长 判断明年出口基本面也有较强支撑
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 00:55
中信证券研报称,11月我国出口增速高于预期和前值,主要受对非美地区出口呈现较强韧性带动,产品 结构上汽车产业链、半导体产业链、机械与交运设备对出口的拉动作用较大,劳动密集型产品对总体出 口的拖累有所减小。进口方面,11月进口增速低于预期,或与11月制造业景气回落相关,大宗品类中铁 矿、铜矿、天然气进口数量增速较前值增加,原油、煤炭进口数量增速下降。非美出口保持韧性叠加中 美贸易摩擦阶段性缓和的背景下,今年全年出口有望实现5.3%左右增长,我们判断明年出口基本面也 有较强支撑。 ...
中信证券:空间算力进一步打开行业天花板 为相关产业链带来巨大的发展契机
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-09 00:55
Core Viewpoint - OpenAI is seeking to establish, invest in, or acquire a rocket company to compete in the space computing sector against Elon Musk [1] Industry Summary - Major US tech giants are beginning to invest in space computing, recognizing its significant commercial value [1] - The entry of China's StarNet and G60 Qianfan constellation into mass launch phases, along with the operationalization of Hainan's commercial space launch site and commercial launch vehicles, is leading to a new era in commercial aerospace characterized by high capacity and low costs [1] - The space computing sector is poised to unlock a trillion-dollar market opportunity, presenting substantial growth prospects for the related industry chain [1]
中信证券:预计年内人民币有望偏强运行,汇率中枢或难突破7.0
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 00:54
来源:市场资讯 长期:2026年人民币有望温和升值,汇率中枢破7的行情或需要内外因素的进一步共振。一是因美日和 美欧货币政策差导致的美日和美欧利差收窄、美国财政等政策以及特朗普干预美联储独立性等措施导致 美元指数信用受损,美元指数偏弱运行的趋势或将延续。二是2026年央行有望继续保持张弛有度的汇率 政策,助力人民币保持相对韧性。三是若国内政策协同发力,并带动经济内生动能逐步修复,则内外部 因素有望形成较大的合力,对人民币汇率持续走升形成催化。 ▍总结:11月下旬以来,美元指数走软为人民币汇率创造了较为友好的外部环境,叠加央行中间价报价 释放的引导信号,人民币汇率逐步升至年内新高并实现"三价合一"。 展望后市:1)短期来看,考虑到市场对于美联储12月的降息预期已充分定价,同时国内政策性金融工 具和其他增量政策对于经济的提振效果仍有待显现,央行的稳汇率政策更多在于防止单边一致性预期, 预计年内人民币有望偏强运行,汇率中枢或难突破7.0。但考虑到年底结汇的季节性效应,不排除阶段 性突破7.0的概率;2)进入2026年,我们预计美元指数偏弱运行的趋势或将延续,为人民币汇率构成相 对友好的外部环境。同时央行稳汇率政策张 ...
资本市场包容性适应性改革为科创注入强劲动能
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-08 18:18
(上接1版)在中信证券总经理邹迎光看来,资本市场的风险偏好与新质生产力行业更加兼容,能够提 供满足完整生命周期的全链条融资服务,并以激励机制有效促进创新活动与企业家精神的发挥。 "资本市场包容性、适应性有望不断提升。"南开大学金融发展研究院院长田利辉接受上证报记者采访时 表示:一方面,通过接纳科技型、创新型、专精特新等多元企业,更适配不同发展阶段的融资需求,借 助差异化制度设计,打破"盈利门槛"等传统限制,让优质资产与资金高效对接。另一方面,市场对外部 变化的动态响应能力不断提升,体现为面对科技创新的不确定性,为科技企业留足发展空间;依托并购 重组、再融资等政策工具箱灵活调节市场流动性与资源配置方向;通过互联互通扩容、跨境监管协作等 方式,平衡开放与风险防控,确保市场功能稳定发挥。 同时,险资等中长期资金入市政策持续"松绑",有望为科技创新注入持续稳定的金融活水。今年4月发 布的《关于调整保险资金权益类资产监管比例有关事项的通知》,上调了险资权益资产配置比例上限, 最高可达50%;12月发布的《关于调整保险公司相关业务风险因子的通知》,下调了保险公司投资相关 股票的风险因子。 数据显示,截至今年三季度末,人身 ...
A股放量上涨!后市关注这些机会
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 15:26
12月8日,A股量价齐升,日成交额重返2万亿元上方,资金偏爱科技股,创业板指大涨2.6%,超3400只个股收涨。其 中,"牛市旗手"券商板块回暖,共封装光学(CPO)等科技细分赛道飙升,"易中天"三只个股成交火爆。 受访人士表示,年末通常攻势偏弱,但宏观数据、微观流动性与产业趋势多方共振,市场动能仍有支撑,A股上行有 望延续。不过,结构性分化加剧,后续须紧盯政策落地节奏及增量资金能否持续进场。 日成交额突破2万亿元 交易量能明显放量,今日成交额增至2.05万亿元,上个交易日成交额为1.74万亿元,一扫上周缩量阴跌的颓势;杠杆 资金方面,截至12月5日,沪深京两融余额共计2.48万亿元。 盘面上主线清晰,科技股强势。CPO概念大涨近6%,半导体、电子元件、电子设备制造、光电子器件、PCB等涨势 喜人。不过,白酒、饮料、石油天然气、白色家电、煤炭、电力等传统股微跌。 | | 东财概念指數 | | | | 东财行业指数 | | | | A股市场模心指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ...
关于吴清主席在中证协会员大会致辞的点评:业绩面、政策面、资金面共同驱动券商站上价值竞争新起点
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-08 13:43
Investment Rating - The report rates the securities industry as "Overweight," indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [3]. Core Insights - The securities industry is increasingly recognized for its importance in the capital market, serving as a financing hub and guiding the reallocation of household savings. Since the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan, securities firms have assisted nearly 1,200 technology innovation companies in going public and facilitated over 51 trillion yuan in domestic equity and debt financing [3]. - The report emphasizes the need for securities firms to enhance their service capabilities to the real economy through a "three-in-one" model of investment research, investment, and investment banking, particularly focusing on key national priorities such as artificial intelligence and green energy [3]. - The report highlights the ongoing transformation of household wealth allocation from real estate to the stock market, driven by demographic changes and economic factors, positioning securities firms as key players in this transition [3]. - The report discusses the global asset reallocation opportunities and the role of securities firms in enhancing the weight and pricing power of the renminbi in global asset allocation [3]. - The report anticipates a shift in competition within the securities industry from price-based to value-based, with a differentiation between leading comprehensive brokers and regional specialty brokers [3]. - The report suggests that the securities industry is poised for a new phase of growth driven by improved performance, clearer policies, and the easing of financial pressures, with a notable mismatch between fundamentals and stock prices [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The securities industry has played a crucial role in supporting the real economy and facilitating significant capital market activities, including the listing of technology firms and extensive financing efforts [3]. Market Dynamics - The report notes a significant shift in household asset allocation trends, with a growing preference for stock investments over real estate, influenced by various economic factors [3]. Competitive Landscape - The report outlines a future competitive landscape characterized by two types of firms: leading comprehensive brokers focusing on value creation and regional brokers specializing in niche markets [3]. Investment Outlook - The report expresses optimism about the securities industry's future, driven by favorable market conditions and regulatory support, suggesting a potential revaluation of the sector [3].
“牛市旗手”券商股再度抬头,释放什么信号?机构最新解读
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-12-08 13:32
12月8日,A股量价齐升,日成交额重返2万亿元上方,资金偏爱科技股,创业板指大涨2.6%,超3400只个股收涨。其 中,"牛市旗手"券商板块回暖,共封装光学(CPO)等科技细分赛道飙升,"易中天"三只个股成交火爆。 日成交额突破2万亿元 受上周末利好消息提振,A股周一高开高走,主要指数全线收红。沪指收涨0.54%报3924.08点,创业板指收涨2.6%报 3190.27点,深证成指收涨1.39%,科创50收涨1.86%,北证50收涨1.27%,沪深300、上证50涨幅均不超过1%。 交易量能明显放量,今日成交额增至2.05万亿元,上个交易日成交额为1.74万亿元,一扫上周缩量阴跌的颓势;杠杆 资金方面,截至12月5日,沪深京两融余额共计2.48万亿元。 | 东财行业指数 | | 东财概念指數 | | | | | | | | A股市场核心指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 白酒 | CPO概念 | 煤化工 | | | | | | 东方财富全A | | 国证1000 ...
全市场规模最大机构间REITs顺利发行,广连高速项目引领基础设施融资新范式
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 13:07
近日,广连高速持有型不动产资产支持专项计划(简称"广连高速项目")在上交所成功发行。本次项目 发行规模达150亿,盘活底层资产估值超400亿,本项目是单笔发行规模最大、首单获政策性银行审批通 过的机构间REITs(又称为持有型不动产ABS)。本交易作为中交集团深化产融协同的战略性举措,不 仅为中交集团"十五五"发展提供了坚实的权益资本支撑,更为金融服务实体经济、持续推动基础设施项 目投资建设打造了可复制、可推广的案例。广连高速项目由中信证券股份有限公司担任计划管理人,中 交第四航务工程局有限公司、中国公路工程咨询集团有限公司作为原始权益人,中交资本控股有限公司 作为总协调人。(中国基金报) ...