Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The report indicates that the upward trend in thermal coal prices is expected to continue due to supply constraints from the November central safety production assessments and improving demand as winter approaches, with prices likely to exceed expectations [5][6] - For coking coal, despite short-term demand pressure from the off-season, the current low inventory and tight supply suggest significant price recovery potential if pro-cyclical policies are reintroduced globally [5][6] - The report emphasizes the importance of recognizing the bottom reversal opportunities in the coal sector, supported by low price-to-book ratios and low holdings [6] Summary by Sections Thermal Coal - As of November 14, the market price for thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port is 834 RMB/ton, a week-on-week increase of 17 RMB/ton. The report anticipates continued price increases due to tight supply and low port inventories, alongside seasonal demand improvements [5][13] - The report notes that the inventory at the northern three ports is 12.58 million tons, down 12% year-on-year, while power plant inventories are 130 million tons, down 1.5% year-on-year, with usable days at 25.9 days, up 1.2 days year-on-year [6][14] Coking Coal - The price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port remains stable at 1860 RMB/ton as of November 14. The report highlights that while steel mill demand is currently weak, the supply situation for coking coal is tight, indicating potential for price elasticity [5][6] - The report also mentions that the average daily pig iron production at sample steel mills is 2.3688 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.4% [15] Valuation and Market Dynamics - The report suggests that the current price-to-book ratios for coking coal and major thermal coal companies are at the lower third percentile since 2016, indicating undervaluation compared to other cyclical resource sectors [6] - The report recommends a mixed strategy for investment, highlighting companies like Yanzhou Coal Mining Company and China Shenhua Energy as stable leaders, while also suggesting more aggressive plays in companies like Lu'an Environmental Energy and Jinneng Holding Group [6][27]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several companies in the coal sector, including Shanxi Coal International, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and Yanzhou Coal Mining [2][3][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights a strong demand-supply imbalance in the coal market, with prices expected to continue rising due to seasonal demand and regulatory constraints on supply [1][7][8]. - October saw a decrease in national raw coal production, with a daily average of 13.12 million tons, down 4.3% month-on-month [1][37]. - The report anticipates that coal prices may peak at around 1000 RMB/ton by the end of the year, driven by tight supply and increasing demand as winter approaches [1][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - The report notes that seasonal demand is gradually being realized, with port coal prices continuing to rise and stabilizing in the latter half of the week [1][7]. - Regulatory inspections have led to a significant contraction in coal supply, particularly in regions like Ulanqab and Linfen [2][11]. 2. Market Performance - As of November 14, the coal sector's weekly decline was 0.8%, outperforming the broader market indices [14][17]. - The report identifies that the coking coal sub-sector experienced the highest weekly increase of 6.2% [17]. 3. Company Dynamics - The report recommends focusing on companies with high spot market exposure, such as Shanxi Coal International and Lu'an Environmental Energy, as well as stable growth companies like Jinko Coal and Huayang Co [12][21]. - Notable stock performance includes An Tai Group, which saw a significant increase of 57.29% in its stock price [21]. 4. Industry Developments - The report discusses the impact of international coal trade dynamics, including increased imports by India and Taiwan, which may influence domestic supply and pricing [25][35]. - It also highlights the ongoing safety inspections and regulatory measures that are expected to limit coal production capacity in the near term [1][26]. 5. Coal Data Tracking - The average price of Shanxi thermal coal remained stable at 682 RMB/ton, while coking coal prices increased slightly to 1484 RMB/ton [45].

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the "Interim Regulations on Accounting Treatment of Enterprise Data Resources" marks a significant step towards the market-oriented allocation of data assets, with Huayang Group leading the way in the coal industry by completing the first data asset registration in the sector [1] Group 1: Company Actions - Huayang Group has successfully completed the compliance registration of the "Receivables Management Decision Analysis Data Set" on June 30, becoming the first coal enterprise to do so [1] - The company received the "Data Asset Registration Certificate" and, with the support of Shanxi Data Exchange, initiated a comprehensive process including data inventory, ownership identification, quality assessment, cost aggregation, and value analysis [1] - This process led to the formal inclusion of data resources in the financial statements, establishing a complete closed-loop from compliance registration to financial reporting [1] Group 2: Industry Impact - The "Receivables Management Decision Analysis Data Set" focuses on improving the efficiency of receivables collection and reducing bad debt risks through in-depth data analysis and application [1] - This initiative not only aids internal management decisions but also confirms the assetization of data resources, representing the first financial recognition of data assets in the national coal industry [1] - The successful registration and assetization of data resources by Huayang Group serve as a leading example and demonstration for the industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - The sodium-ion battery emergency power supply developed by Huayang Group serves as both a "safety guardian" and an "energy manager," showcasing the activation of traditional energy equipment value through new production capabilities [1][3]. Group 1: Product Features and Innovations - The sodium-ion battery emergency power supply has a capacity of 17.04 MWh, providing emergency support for critical coal mine equipment such as ventilation fans and gas pumps, while achieving daily savings exceeding 1,000 yuan through peak and valley electricity price differences [1][4]. - The product addresses the reliability challenges of power supply in coal mines, replacing traditional diesel generators, which are slow to start, costly to maintain, and environmentally harmful [3]. - The sodium-ion battery system operates stably in extreme temperatures ranging from -40°C to 60°C, and features a rapid black start capability, ensuring safe evacuation for personnel [3][4]. Group 2: Economic and Environmental Benefits - The system utilizes electricity price differentials to optimize energy usage, charging during low-price periods and discharging during high-price periods, resulting in estimated daily savings of over 1,700 yuan and annual savings exceeding 600,000 yuan [4]. - Compared to traditional emergency equipment, the sodium-ion system eliminates high costs associated with diesel procurement and maintenance, achieving zero emissions and low noise operation, aligning with carbon neutrality goals [4][5]. Group 3: Market Position and Future Prospects - Huayang Group has successfully transitioned from technology validation to commercial promotion of the sodium-ion battery emergency power supply, positioning itself among the leading players in the sodium-ion industry in China [5]. - The company aims to explore additional application scenarios for the sodium-ion emergency power supply, enhancing its value contribution to the development of a clean, low-carbon, and efficient modern energy system [5].

Core Viewpoint - On November 14, the A-share market experienced a collective decline across the three major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 1.93%, and the ChiNext Index down by 2.82% [1] Market Performance - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was approximately 1,958.08 billion yuan, a decrease of about 83.88 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Out of the total stocks, 1,961 stocks rose while 3,323 stocks fell, with 89 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 9 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] Sector Performance - The Hainan and Fujian sectors showed strength, with pharmaceutical stocks related to influenza leading in gains, while the gas and photovoltaic equipment sectors also performed well [1] - The storage chip sector underwent a correction, along with adjustments in the CPO and food and beverage sectors [1] Regional Performance - Despite the overall decline in the three major indices, the Shanxi sector demonstrated resilience, with a slight increase of 0.21% on November 14 [1] Individual Stock Performance - In the Shanxi sector, three stocks hit the daily limit up, with China New Energy and Antai Group reaching limit up around 10 AM, ultimately closing with gains of 10.11% and 10.02% respectively; Yongtai Energy also hit limit up in the afternoon, closing with a gain of 9.82% [1] - Additionally, two other stocks in the Shanxi sector rose by over 2%, with Zhendong Pharmaceutical up by 3.08% and Jinlihua Electric up by 2.80% [1] - Leading the decline was Lu Hua Technology, which fell by 4.16% compared to the previous trading day; other notable decliners included Keda Control, Jinkong Coal Industry, Huayang Co., and Northern Copper, with declines of 3.73%, 3.46%, 3.46%, and 3.31% respectively [1]

Macroeconomic Insights - Global asset performance shows mixed results, with the Hang Seng Index up 1.29% and the Shanghai Composite Index up 1.08%, while developed markets like the S&P 500 fell by 1.63%[6] - In October, the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI declined, indicating economic slowdown, while consumer confidence continued to drop according to the University of Michigan index[7] Inflation and Prices - October CPI in China rose by 0.2% year-on-year, while PPI decreased by 2.1%, indicating a stable inflation environment with core service prices reaching their highest level since March 2024[11] - The rise in core CPI is attributed to reduced food drag and increased service contributions, with gold prices significantly impacting jewelry costs[13] Trade and Exports - In October, China's exports fell by 1.1% year-on-year, while imports grew by 1.0%, leading to a slight decrease in trade surplus[16] - The export structure shows weakness in non-U.S. markets, particularly the EU, while exports to the U.S. and ASEAN remained strong[18] Investment Strategies - The asset allocation report suggests an overweight position in Chinese A-shares and industrial commodities, with equity allocation set at 45% and bonds at 45%[22] - The report emphasizes the importance of AI industry trends and the potential for volatility in global equity markets, recommending a focus on quality assets[23] Market Dynamics - The trading activity has decreased, with turnover rates and transaction volumes declining across indices, indicating a cautious market sentiment[28] - The report highlights a decrease in northbound capital flow, with a net outflow of 2.6 billion CNY in the recent week, reflecting investor sentiment shifts[34]

Group 1 - The stock price of Huayang Co., Ltd. decreased by 2.02% on November 10, trading at 8.74 CNY per share with a total market capitalization of 31.53 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, Huayang Co., Ltd. has seen a stock price increase of 28.89%, with a 5-day increase of 8.30%, a 20-day increase of 15.15%, and a 60-day increase of 17.32% [1] - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with the most recent appearance on March 25, where it recorded a net purchase of 1.59 billion CNY [1] Group 2 - Huayang Co., Ltd. was established on December 30, 1999, and listed on August 21, 2003, primarily engaged in coal production, electricity generation, and solar energy businesses [2] - The main revenue sources for Huayang Co., Ltd. include raw coal (52.34%), other (13.21%), washed coal (9.84%), purchased coal (9.50%), electricity supply (7.39%), washed raw coal (6.05%), coal slurry (1.35%), and heating (0.33%) [2] - As of October 31, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 7.22% to 90,000, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 7.78% to 40,083 shares [2] Group 3 - Since its A-share listing, Huayang Co., Ltd. has distributed a total of 12.93 billion CNY in dividends, with 5.81 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the second-largest shareholder is Guotai CSI Coal ETF, holding 71.33 million shares, an increase of 43.32 million shares from the previous period [3] - The third-largest shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 43.74 million shares, an increase of 14.07 million shares from the previous period [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zheshang Securities indicates that coal prices are experiencing a strong upward trend, with expectations for further increases in the fourth quarter, driven by supply constraints and rising demand from power plants [1] Group 1: Coal Market Overview - As of November 6, 2025, the average daily coal sales from key monitored enterprises reached 7.25 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 0.6% and a year-on-year increase of 0.1% [1] - The average daily coal production from key monitored enterprises was 7.37 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 2.5% but a year-on-year decrease of 0.4% [1] - Total coal inventory (including port storage) stood at 23.8 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 3.8% and a year-on-year decrease of 19.9% [1] Group 2: Price Trends - The price of thermal coal (Q5500K) in the Bohai Rim region was 694 CNY/ton as of November 7, 2025, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.31% [2] - The price of coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1800 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 3.4% [3] - The price of anthracite coal in Yangquan remained stable at 930 CNY/ton [4] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report anticipates a supply-demand gap to widen, with an expected increase in coal consumption of approximately 50 million tons due to heating needs, potentially leading to localized coal shortages [1] - The cumulative coal sales from key monitored enterprises this year reached 215.6 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 2.4% [1] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on flexible thermal coal companies such as China Shenhua (601088), Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (601225), and others, as well as coking coal companies like Huaibei Mining (600985) and Shanxi Coking Coal (000983) [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal industry [9] Core Viewpoints - The coal price has accelerated its upward trend, with the current market price for Qinhuangdao thermal coal reaching 817 RMB/ton, an increase of 47 RMB/ton week-on-week. The report suggests that the price could potentially rise to 931 RMB/ton based on profit recovery scenarios for power plants [2][6][16] - The report emphasizes the importance of understanding cyclical trends over pinpointing absolute price peaks, highlighting a favorable environment for coal investments due to global monetary easing and a rebound in the coal cycle [2][7] Summary by Sections Weekly Tracking Summary - The coal index (Yangtze) increased by 4.53%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.71 percentage points. The thermal coal index rose by 4.84%, while the coking coal index increased by 1.87% [16][20] - As of November 7, the market price for Qinhuangdao thermal coal was 817 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 47 RMB/ton. The main coking coal price at Jingtang Port was 1860 RMB/ton, up 100 RMB/ton [6][16] Supply and Demand Analysis - The report notes a tightening supply due to production checks and increased winter demand, predicting that coal prices in Q4 may exceed expectations. It highlights the importance of monitoring winter storage and port inventory changes [6][17] - The daily coal consumption across 25 provinces was 511.7 million tons, a decrease of 0.5% week-on-week, while coal supply increased slightly to 547.3 million tons [34] Price Projections - The report provides calculations indicating that if the profit margins for coal-fired power plants return to long-term averages, the acceptable market price for thermal coal could rise to 789 RMB/ton or even 931 RMB/ton under certain conditions [7][12] - The report also discusses the impact of upcoming capacity price adjustments in 2026, which could further influence coal pricing dynamics [7][12] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a comprehensive embrace of the coal sector's "Davis Double Play" bottom reversal trend, recommending a diversified selection of stocks based on different strategies: balanced, aggressive, and stable leaders [2][7]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for Huayang Co., Ltd. [4] Core Views - Huayang Co., Ltd. is positioned as a leading producer of anthracite coal, with a strong focus on expanding into renewable energy sectors. The company has a solid foundation in coal mining, with a total production capacity of 40.9 million tons per year and a strategic shift towards solar and energy storage solutions [6][7][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Huayang Co., Ltd. is a state-owned enterprise in Shanxi Province, primarily engaged in coal mining, electricity generation, and renewable energy. The company has a total share capital of 3,607.5 million shares and a market capitalization of approximately 32,178.9 million yuan [4][14]. Coal Production and Growth - The company has nine operational mines with a total approved production capacity of 40.9 million tons per year, primarily focusing on the production of high-value anthracite coal, which constitutes over 90% of its coal resources. The company is set to increase its production capacity significantly through the completion of several mining projects and acquisitions [6][8][32][33]. - In 2024, the company will see an increase in production capacity from its Ping Shu and Yu Shu Po mines, with a total capacity increase of 1 million tons per year expected from the Qiyuan and Bolin mines [8][32][35]. Electricity and Renewable Energy - The electricity generation segment is expected to grow significantly due to the commissioning of the Xishangzhuang project, which will increase the company's annual electricity output from approximately 1 billion kWh to 5.864 billion kWh in 2024. The company is also focusing on developing its renewable energy business, including solar and sodium-ion battery technologies [6][39][49]. - The company has initiated a sodium-ion battery project, which is expected to produce 20,000 tons of positive electrode materials and 12,000 tons of negative electrode materials annually once fully operational [49][51]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts that Huayang Co., Ltd. will achieve revenues of 238.87 billion yuan in 2025, with a projected growth rate of -5% for that year, followed by growth rates of 13% and 9% in 2026 and 2027, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 16.74 billion yuan in 2025, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 19.2x [11][41].