Group 1 - International gold prices have significantly increased, with spot gold surpassing $3470 per ounce, reaching a new high since April 22, and COMEX gold futures also rising [1][6] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have followed suit, with multiple brands seeing prices return to over 1000 yuan per gram, including Chow Tai Fook at 1015 yuan (+0.59%) and Lao Feng Xiang at 1025 yuan (+0.89%) [1][2] - The gold jewelry index in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks surged by 4.56%, with companies like Western Gold and Yuguang Jin Lead hitting the daily limit [3][4] Group 2 - Analysts predict that the gold price will likely break the $3500 per ounce mark soon, driven by expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and declining U.S. economic data [6][9] - Several gold mining companies have reported growth in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, including Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold, benefiting from high gold prices [6] - Long-term investment strategies are focusing on gold as a hedge against inflation, with recent market movements indicating a potential for further price increases [7]

| 全部商品 | 婚嫁 | CTF for YOU定制 | 企业业务 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 今日金价 | | | | | 更新于2025年09月01日 09:30:59 | | | キ | | 足金 (饰品、工艺品类) | 1027 元/克 | | 零售金价 | | 投资黄金类 | 909 元/克 | | 半 | | 黄金增值服务金价 | 903 元/克 | | 黃金增值服务 | | (金条、金章不作增值服务) | | | 黄金回收服务 | | 黄金回收服务金价 | 763 元/克 | | | | 以上为今日即时金价,部分货品工费另计 | | | | | | 元用 | | | 甄选之礼 | 产品欣赏 | 关于老庙 | 来源：中新经纬 9月1日，现货黄金高开，盘中涨超3450美元/盎司。过去一周，金价持续上涨，现货黄金周内涨超80美 元/盎司，涨幅超2%，同时创下近四个月新高。COMEX黄金近一周也持续上涨，今日盘中站上3500美 元关口。 截至发稿，现货黄金报3451.020美元/盎司，涨0.12%，COMEX黄金报3510.3美元/盎司，跌0.16%。 受此影响 ...

今日早参 2025 年 9 月 01 日 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 今日热点 宏观：人民币：蓄势已久的升值 近日人民币兑美元和一篮子货币加速升值。8 月 28-29 两个交易日，离岸人 民币兑美元升值 0.4%。一方面，每日美元兑人民币中间价近来有所上调，但 另一方面，市场力量也开始加速推动人民币走强——近日在岸人民币交易价 格接近中间价、而离岸人民币汇率强于在岸即是例证（图表 10）。近期，全 球对配置中国权益资产的偏好上升可能是近期人民币汇率走强的催化剂之一 （参见华泰策略组报告《外资对中国资产关注度升温》，2025/8/24）。然而， 我们认为，人民币兑美元升值"蓄势"已久，有进一步走强的空间，且可能 成为驱动美元名义有效汇率（NEER）下一轮贬值的最大权重货币。往前 看，人民币汇率有较强的基本面支撑，仍有进一步升值动力，我们重申 12 个 月美元兑人民币汇率 6.98 的预测（参见《人民币或将有升值动力》， 2025/5/22，以及《中国 2025 年下半年宏观展望："再平衡"中孕育新机 遇》,2025/6/ ...

近日，A股市场和港股市场黄金产业链的多家上市公司披露了2025年上半年或2025年第二季度业绩。 相关业绩公告显示，高金价之下，处于产业链上游的金矿上市公司普遍营收和利润大幅增长，而处在下游的黄金珠宝公司则出现分化，一些公司似乎对高金 价的压力"无感"，实现快速增长，另一些公司则受到高金价冲击，业绩出现下滑。 "金矿"上市公司业绩喜人 高金价之下，处于黄金产业链上游的金矿上市公司上半年业绩普遍出现增长。 比如业内龙头企业山东黄金日前披露的2025年半年报显示，2025年上半年，公司实现营业收入567.66亿元，同比增加109.92亿元，增幅24.01%；实现利润 总额54.83亿元，同比增加26.75亿元，增幅95.23 %；归属于上市公司股东的净利润28.08亿元，同比增加14.25亿元，增幅102.98%；加权平均净资产收益 率9.81%，同比增加4.80个百分点；基本每股收益0.57元，较上年同期的0.26元增加0.31元。2025年上半年，山东黄金矿产金产量24.71吨；自产金销量 23.60吨。 另一家业内龙头企业中金黄金披露的2025年半年报显示，2025年上半年，公司实现营业收入350.67亿元 ...

Group 1 - As of August 31, international gold price is reported at $3448.1 per ounce, international palladium at $1108.2 per ounce, and international silver at $39.66 per ounce [1] - Domestic gold price is reported at 788.5 yuan per gram [1] - Major domestic gold retailers have varying prices, with Lao Feng Xiang at the highest price of 1025 yuan per gram and China Gold at the lowest price of 969 yuan per gram [1] Group 2 - Other notable prices from major brands include Chow Tai Fook at 1015 yuan per gram, Chow Sang Sang at 1016 yuan per gram, and Liufuk Jewelry at 1015 yuan per gram [1] - Additional prices include Xie Rui Lin at 1015 yuan per gram, Jin Zun at 1015 yuan per gram, Chao Hong Ji at 1015 yuan per gram, and Cai Bai Jewelry at 995 yuan per gram [1] - Zhou Liu Fu is priced at 1000 yuan per gram, while Lao Miao Gold is also at 1015 yuan per gram [1]

一、中国珠宝市场规模在 2029 年有望超 9000 亿 在中国，随着购买力持续提升及日常佩戴需求日益多样化，珠宝市场表现出稳健增长态势，规模从 2019 年的 6100 亿元稳步攀升至 2024 年的 7280 亿元，复合年增长率达 3.6%。 展望未来，在消费者自我满足需求增强、潮流敏感度提高，以及数字零售与电商蓬勃发展的多重驱动 下，中国珠宝市场预计将保持增长势头，到 2029 年市场规模有望达到 9370 亿元人民币，2024 年至 2029 年的复合年增长率预计为 5.2%。 三、近几年古法黄金珠宝市场保持快速增长 近年来，古法黄金珠宝凭借吉祥文化意义和美学设计吸引了年轻消费者的目光。由于主流消费群体转向 年轻一代和消费者偏好升级，古法黄金珠宝按销售收入计的市场规模由 2018 年的 130 亿元飙升至 2023 年的 1,573 亿元，复合年增长率为 64.6%。 尽管受疫情影响而导致 2022 年中国部分线下黄金珠宝零售店暂时性及区域性停业，但由于 2017 年至 2022 年市场的强劲增长抵销了疫情的影响，主要因为古法黄金珠宝在年轻一代的受欢迎程度提高、消 费者偏好升级，以及在面临不确定性时， ...

Core Viewpoint - The gold jewelry prices in the market showed differentiation, with Lao Feng Xiang leading at 1016 CNY per gram, while other brands like Chow Tai Fook and Chow Sang Sang priced their products between 1009 to 1010 CNY per gram, and China Gold maintained a lower price of 969 CNY per gram [1] Group 1 - Lao Feng Xiang's gold jewelry price is the highest in the market at 1016 CNY per gram [1] - Chow Tai Fook and Chow Sang Sang have similar pricing strategies, with their gold jewelry priced between 1009 to 1010 CNY per gram [1] - China Gold's pricing remains significantly lower at 969 CNY per gram [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent financial report of Lao Feng Xiang (老凤祥) indicates a decline in both revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year, highlighting challenges in the gold jewelry market amid fluctuating gold prices and changing consumer demand [1][4]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 33.356 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.52% year-on-year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.22 billion yuan, down 13.07% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 15.835 billion yuan, an increase of 10.51% year-on-year, while net profit was 607 million yuan, up 0.88% year-on-year [1] - Gross margin decreased to 8.68%, down 5.75% year-on-year, while net margin increased to 4.67%, up 2.69% year-on-year [1] - Total expenses (selling, administrative, and financial) amounted to 721 million yuan, accounting for 2.16% of revenue, a decrease of 3.19% year-on-year [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) was 2.33 yuan, down 13.07% year-on-year [1] Debt and Cash Flow - The company has a healthy cash position, with cash assets reported at 13.438 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.64% year-on-year [1][2] - Interest-bearing liabilities were reported at 6.123 billion yuan, down 23.64% year-on-year, indicating improved debt management [1][2] Market and Industry Trends - The gold jewelry market is facing challenges, with a reported 24.69% decline in gold jewelry sales in 2024, while gold bars and coins saw a 24.54% increase [4] - The company is adapting its product strategy to focus more on investment gold bars in response to changing consumer preferences [4] - The overall gold consumption in China decreased by 9.58% in 2024, reflecting a broader trend of consumer fatigue in the jewelry sector [4] Investment Insights - Analysts project a net profit of 1.556 billion yuan for 2025, with an average EPS estimate of 2.97 yuan [2] - The company maintains a strong return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.2%, although historical data shows a median ROIC of 13.5% over the past decade [1][4]

Core Points - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.33 yuan per share (tax included) for the fiscal year 2025, with the total cash dividend amounting to approximately 172.63 million yuan [1][2][3] - The dividend distribution will be based on the total share capital of 523,117,764 shares as of June 30, 2025, and the distribution date will be specified in a future announcement [2][3] - After the dividend distribution, the company's retained earnings will be approximately 3.50 billion yuan [2] Profit Distribution Plan - The retained earnings of the parent company for the fiscal year 2024 are reported to be approximately 1.02 billion yuan, with a cash dividend of approximately 899.76 million yuan deducted for the fiscal year 2025 [2] - The cash dividend distribution will not include stock dividends or capital reserve transfers to increase share capital [1] - The cash dividend distribution represents 14.15% of the net profit attributable to the owners of the company for the first half of 2025 [2] Decision-Making Process - The company's board of directors approved the mid-year dividend distribution plan on April 28, 2025, and submitted it for review at the annual shareholders' meeting [2][3] - The shareholders' meeting held on June 26, 2025, authorized the board to determine the specific mid-year dividend distribution plan based on various factors including profitability and future growth needs [3] - The board will complete the cash dividend distribution within two months after the approval of the mid-year profit distribution plan [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company held its 18th meeting of the 11th Board of Directors on August 28, 2025, where several key resolutions were passed, including the approval of the 2025 semi-annual report and profit distribution plan [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company approved the 2025 semi-annual report with unanimous support from all board members [1]. - A cash dividend of 0.33 yuan (including tax) per share was approved, amounting to a total cash distribution of 172,628,862.12 yuan (including tax), which represents 14.15% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 [2]. Group 2: Governance and Compliance - The board approved the revision of the "Company Information Disclosure Management System" [3]. - The board also approved the establishment of the "Temporary and Exemption Management System for Information Disclosure" [4]. - Additionally, the board approved the "Management System for Shares Held by Directors and Senior Management" [4]. Group 3: Sustainability - The company presented the "2024 Sustainable Development Report" during the meeting [4].