Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on sub-sectors with performance elasticity during the upcoming Spring Festival peak season, including duty-free, certain scenic spots, supermarkets, and gold jewelry [9] - It suggests that the recent fundamentals of duty-free and travel chains have improved, warranting ongoing observation and validation [9] - For 2026, the report recommends focusing on service consumption and product consumption, particularly in the duty-free and travel chain sectors, as well as the gold jewelry sector and Miniso, which have high valuation attractiveness [9] Summary by Relevant Sections Retail Sector Outlook for Q4 2025 - Gold Jewelry: - Lao Feng Xiang: Expected net profit growth of -15% to 5% - Zhou Da Sheng: Expected net profit growth of 15% to 30% - Chao Hong Ji: Forecasted net profit of 436 million to 533 million, a year-on-year increase of 125% to 175% - Cai Bai Co.: Expected net profit of 1.06 billion to 1.23 billion, corresponding to a growth of 150% to 254% - Yu Garden Co.: Forecasted loss of 4.312 billion, primarily due to asset impairment provisions [1] - Trendy Toys: - Miniso: Expected revenue growth of 25% to 30%, with adjusted operating profit and net profit growth of 10% to 20% [1] Supermarket and Department Store Outlook for Q4 2025 - Chongqing Department Store: Expected net profit of 1.021 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 22.4% - Wangfujing: Expected net profit of -45 million to -23 million, with a growth rate of -6.6% to 7.3% - Yonghui Supermarket: Expected loss of 2.14 billion, with a growth rate of -3.1% - Jiajiayue: Expected net profit of 198 million to 228 million, growth of 50.1% to 72.8% - Hongqi Chain: Expected net profit growth of -10% to 0% [2] Cross-Border and E-commerce Outlook for Q4 2025 - Small Commodity City: Expected net profit growth of 5% to 15% - Anker Innovation: Expected net profit growth of 10% to 20% - Saiwei Times: Expected net profit of 90 million to 130 million - Huakai Yibai: Expected net profit of 80 million to 110 million, driven by improved operational efficiency [3] Social Services Sector Outlook for Q4 2025 - Duty-Free: China Duty-Free Group: Expected net profit growth of 29% to 173% - Tourism: - Songcheng Performance: Expected net profit growth of -204% to 294% - Tianmu Lake: Expected net profit growth of -10% to 5% [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Small Commodity City, China Duty-Free, Huazhu Group, Shoulu Hotel, Jinjiang Hotel, Chao Hong Ji, Jiuhua Tourism, Ruoyu Chen, Qingmu Technology, and Miniso, while also keeping an eye on other companies with potential [10]

作者：行情君 本文源自：市场资讯 2月1日10点，国际金价报4860.3美元/盎司，国际钯金报1698.5美元/盎司，国际银价报84.42美元/盎司， 国内金价报1125.0元/克。 根据国内主要品牌金店报价，周大福价格最高为1625元/克，老凤祥价格最低为1498元/克；周生生今日 黄金价格1618元/克，六福珠宝今日黄金价格1625元/克，谢瑞麟今日黄金价格1625元/克，金至尊今日黄 金价格1625元/克，潮宏基今日黄金价格1625元/克，菜百首饰今日黄金价格1552元/克，老庙黄金今日黄 金价格1546元/克，中国黄金今日黄金价格1552元/克，周六福今日黄金价格1620元/克。 ...

Group 1 - The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the Federal Reserve Chairman by President Trump has triggered hawkish market expectations, leading to panic selling in precious metals [1][3] - Gold and silver prices experienced significant volatility, with silver dropping as much as 35.89% and gold falling 12.92%, reaching a low of $4682 per ounce [1] - As of the close, gold was reported at $4880.034 per ounce, marking a 9.25% decline, the largest single-day drop since April 1, 1980 [1] Group 2 - The sharp decline in gold prices has led to a corresponding drop in domestic gold jewelry prices, with brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang reporting significant overnight price reductions [5] - Retailers have implemented strict return policies, with some stating that returns will incur a fee of 500 yuan, emphasizing that customers must take responsibility for their purchases [5][6] - The market for gold recovery has cooled due to the price drop, with consumers becoming more hesitant to sell, although some platforms have reported a surge in inquiries about selling gold [8][10] Group 3 - Consumers have reported issues with transparency in gold recovery transactions, including unexpected fees and discrepancies between promised and actual payout amounts [12][13] - The gold recovery process is often complicated by hidden fees and unclear pricing structures, leading to consumer complaints about high charges and misleading practices [14] - Experts advise consumers to be cautious and informed about the gold recovery process, recommending that they understand market prices and fees before engaging in transactions [14]

2026.01.31 本文字数：1371，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 |第一财经 宋婕 第一财经记者梳理发现，头部黄金品牌的金饰克价涨跌幅度有所分化。 部分品牌报价连跌两日之后，依然要比28日报价更高。例如，周大福今日报价的1625元/克，就比该品 牌在28日的1618元/克要高。六福珠宝的金饰克价在29日达到了1704元/克的高位，30日回落到1683元/ 克，31日报价1623元/克，依然要比该品牌在28日的1616元/克要高。 但部分品牌价格下调的幅度更大，例如老凤祥的金饰克价仅31日就降了170元。该品牌曾在1月29日达到 1713元/克，30日报价回落到1668元/克，31日报价低至1498元/克，比该品牌在28日报价1620元还要低不 少。老凤祥最新的金饰克价距离历史高价已跌去215元/克。 在金价大幅震荡的过程中，不同金饰品牌及不同品类产品的价格表现分化显著。 1月30日，黄金遇40年来最大单日跌幅，白银创历史最大盘中跌幅。国内主要品牌的金饰克价与国际金 价同频，在大涨之后迎来了大跌。29日，多家头部金饰品牌克价突破1700元大关，刷新历史记录。而大 涨的行情在30日戛然而止，金饰克价从高位回落， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant fluctuations in gold prices and how different gold jewelry brands and product categories are affected, highlighting a clear divergence in price performance among brands and types of gold jewelry [3][5]. Price Fluctuations - On January 30, gold experienced its largest single-day drop in 40 years, while silver recorded its largest intraday drop in history. Major domestic gold jewelry brands saw their prices rise above 1700 yuan per gram before experiencing a sharp decline [3]. - For instance, Chow Tai Fook's gold jewelry price dropped from 1706 yuan per gram on January 29 to 1625 yuan per gram by January 31, a decrease of 81 yuan in two days [3]. - Similarly, Chow Sang Sang's price fell from 1708 yuan per gram to 1618 yuan per gram over the same period, a total drop of 90 yuan [3][5]. Brand Performance Divergence - Some brands, despite the price drop, maintained higher prices compared to January 28. For example, Chow Tai Fook's price on January 31 was 1625 yuan per gram, higher than 1618 yuan on January 28 [5]. - In contrast, Lao Feng Xiang's price saw a significant decline, dropping 170 yuan on January 31 to 1498 yuan per gram, which is lower than its January 28 price of 1620 yuan [5]. Impact on Different Jewelry Types - The article notes that different types of gold jewelry are affected to varying degrees by price fluctuations. Lightweight gold jewelry and priced items with higher craftsmanship or licensing tend to be less impacted by gold price changes [6]. - Lightweight gold items, such as small gold beads, have lower total prices, making them less sensitive to fluctuations in gold price [6]. Consumer Trends - The article highlights a shift in consumer behavior, with younger consumers showing interest in smaller gold items, such as IP-branded small gold beads, as a more affordable option amid rising gold prices [8]. - The gold market is entering a phase characterized by inventory competition, value stratification, and functional integration, with a noticeable K-shaped divergence in market performance [8]. - The demand for gold is evolving from traditional uses in weddings and funerals to a combination of self-indulgence and asset hedging, with younger consumers focusing more on total price and quantity rather than just weight [8]. Global Demand Insights - According to the World Gold Council, despite a decline in gold jewelry demand volume in 2025, the total value of global gold jewelry demand increased by 18% year-on-year, reaching a record 172 billion USD, indicating sustained consumer interest in gold jewelry [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - The gold jewelry prices have experienced significant fluctuations, with major brands showing a marked divergence in price movements following a sharp decline in gold prices. Group 1: Price Movements - On January 30, gold experienced its largest single-day drop in 40 years, while silver saw its largest intraday drop in history [1] - Major gold jewelry brands' prices mirrored international gold price trends, with a notable increase followed by a rapid decline [1] - Chow Tai Fook's gold jewelry price dropped from 1706 CNY/gram on January 29 to 1625 CNY/gram by January 31, a total decrease of 81 CNY over two days [1] - Chow Sang Sang's price fell from 1708 CNY/gram on January 29 to 1618 CNY/gram by January 31, a total decrease of 90 CNY [1] Group 2: Brand-Specific Price Changes - Some brands, despite price declines, remained higher than their prices on January 28; for instance, Chow Tai Fook's price on January 31 was 1625 CNY/gram, compared to 1618 CNY/gram on January 28 [1] - Liufeng Jewelry's price peaked at 1704 CNY/gram on January 29, then fell to 1623 CNY/gram by January 31, still higher than its January 28 price of 1616 CNY/gram [1] - Lao Feng Xiang's price saw a significant drop of 170 CNY on January 31, falling from 1713 CNY/gram on January 29 to 1498 CNY/gram, which is 215 CNY lower than its historical high [2]

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market experienced significant volatility on January 30, with gold prices dropping sharply, leading to multiple jewelry brands reducing their gold jewelry prices substantially [1] Price Adjustments - On January 30, several major gold jewelry brands announced significant price reductions for domestic 24K gold jewelry, with prices as follows: Chow Sang Sang at 1683 CNY per gram, Chow Tai Fook at 1685 CNY per gram, Lao Feng Xiang at 1668 CNY per gram, and Lao Miao Gold at 1668 CNY per gram [1]

当地时间29日，现货黄金上演史诗级巨震，先是 一度大跌超5%，从5500美元的高点快速回落，失守5100美元/盎司。随后，现V型反 转，逐步收复大部分跌幅。 受此影响，国内品牌金饰价格也有所回落。中新经纬30日查询发现，周生生足金饰品报1662元/克， 较前一日1708元/克大跌46元 ；老 凤祥足金饰品报1668元/克， 较前一日1713元/克跌45元 ；老庙黄金足金饰品报1690元/克， 较前一日1706元/克跌16元 。 关注" 新华网财经 "视频号 更多财经资讯等你来看 往期推荐 福耀科技大学50名大一学生被企业抢光？校长王树国回应 | | | 金价(人民币) | | --- | --- | --- | | 足金饰品 (每克) | 卖品 | ¥1662 | | | 换金价 | ¥1414 | | | 换珠宝价 | ¥1414 | | 950 | 卖品 | *1018 | | 铂金饰品 (每克) | 换金价 | ¥817 | 来源：中新经纬 男子用SIM卡炼出191克黄金，价值21万元？当事人最新回应 ...

老凤祥B 老凤祥 潮宏基 周大生 老铺黄金 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 3.49 -0.04 -1.05% 1.05% 0.77% 0.48% 0.09% 0.37% 0.65% 1.22% 3.49 3.50 3.51 3.53 3.54 3.55 3.57 09:30 10:30 11:30/13:00 14:00 15:00 0 1万 2万 3万 华夏时报记者 周梦婷 北京报道 国际现货黄金价格再攀新高。1月28日，伦敦金现再次大涨，突破5200美元/盎司，并在下午一度突破 5300美元/盎司。与此同时，国内黄金珠宝首饰企业们足金饰品价格也都涨到了1600元/克的新高度，像 老凤祥（600612）足金饰品已经达到1620元/克。然而，黄金高涨并没有浇灭消费者买金热情，1月28日 下午4点多，记者实地走访北京王府井（600859）附近金店发现，像周大福、周大生（002867）、潮宏 基（002345）等门店皆有顾客光顾，且店员也对记者表示，"这段时间黄金首饰产品卖的挺好的。" 过去两年中，现货黄金价格持续上涨，一度给周大福等以按克计价产品为主的金饰企业带来业绩压力。 随着金价上涨逐渐常态化，如何实现可 ...

Market Overview - The jewelry sector experienced a decline of 1.39% on January 29, with Cuihua Jewelry leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] Individual Stock Performance - China Gold (600916) saw a significant increase of 10.02%, closing at 13.50 with a trading volume of 482,700 shares and a turnover of 652 million yuan [1] - Diya Shares (301177) rose by 2.66%, closing at 39.79 with a trading volume of 156,900 shares and a turnover of 647 million yuan [1] - Other notable declines included: - Happiness Jewelry (002731) down 10.03% [2] - Chao Hong Ji (002345) down 9.79% [2] - ST Xin Hua Jin (600735) down 4.99% [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The jewelry sector saw a net outflow of 419 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 448 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks showed: - China Gold had a net inflow of 182 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - ST Xin Hua Jin experienced a significant net outflow of 31.94 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Retail investors contributed a net inflow of 4.87 million yuan to Cai Zi Shares (6655299) [3]