证券研究报告 航天军工 长征十号一级箭体实现受控海上溅落 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 23 日│中国内地 行业周报（第七周） 本周观点：长征十号一级箭体实现受控海上溅落，火箭运力瓶颈加速 突破 (4.0) (2.0) 0.0 2.0 4.0 传 媒 计 算 机 电 子 通 信 建 材 有 色 金 属 航 天 军 工 机 械 设 备 汽 车 煤 炭 电 力 设 备 与 新 能 源 教 育 和 人 力 资 源 轻 工 制 造 基 础 化 工 钢 铁 综 合 环 保 建 筑 与 工 程 家 用 电 器 房 地 产 开 发 社 会 服 务 医 药 健 康 证 券 公 用 事 业 多 元 金 融 交 通 运 输 银 行 保 险 农 林 牧 渔 石 油 天 然 气 纺 织 服 装 食 品 饮 料 商 业 贸 易 房 地 产 服 务 (%) 2026 年 2 月 11 日，我国在文昌航天发射场成功组织实施长征十号运载火箭 系统低空演示验证与梦舟载人飞船系统最大动压逃逸飞行试验。可回收火箭 的进展是商业航天板块的重要催化，也是加速航天产业发展、建设航天强国 的关键之一。随着我国可回收火箭逐渐成熟，发射运力提升的同时带来发 ...

证券日报网讯2月12日，中航高科（600862）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2026年2月10日收 盘，公司股东户数95734户。 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [4]. Core Insights - The successful flight test of the Long March 10 rocket and the Mengtian spacecraft marks a significant breakthrough in China's manned lunar exploration program, with plans to achieve manned moon landing by 2030 [2][4]. - The report anticipates rapid development in new areas of the space economy, including space tourism, smart infrastructure, resource development, and traffic management, positioning commercial aerospace as a core investment direction in the military industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan [2][4]. Summary by Sections - **Recent Developments**: On February 11, 2026, China successfully conducted a low-altitude demonstration of the Long March 10 rocket and the maximum dynamic pressure escape flight test of the Mengtian spacecraft, validating key functions and performance for future lunar missions [4]. - **Future Plans**: The lunar exploration program is set to fully launch, with the Chang'e 7 mission planned for 2026 and Chang'e 8 for 2028, aiming to establish an international lunar research station by 2028 and achieve manned lunar landing by 2030 [4]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Recommended stocks include Aerospace Electronics, Shaanxi Huada, Zhimingda, Guobo Electronics, Guangwei Composite, and AVIC High-Tech, with related stocks such as Chaojie Co., Zhenlei Technology, China Satellite, Aerospace Electric, Zhongtian Rocket, and Sruy New Materials [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the aerospace and military industry, with specific recommendations for several companies [8][42]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the increasing uncertainty in international security, highlighting opportunities in military trade as countries ramp up defense spending. For instance, the U.S. has approved military sales worth $6.67 billion to Israel and $9 billion to Saudi Arabia, indicating a vibrant military trade market [11][12]. - The report suggests that China's military equipment demand is expected to grow, particularly in new domains and advanced weaponry, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" [13][17]. - The military trade market is anticipated to remain active, with China positioned as a key supplier capable of providing comprehensive solutions [11][12]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The aerospace and military industry is rated as "Buy" with a focus on specific companies such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, Guorui Technology, and others [8][42]. Key Companies - Recommended companies include: - AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation (600760 CH) - Guorui Technology (600562 CH) - Western Superconducting Technologies (688122 CH) - Guotai Group (603977 CH) - Ruichuang Micro-Nano (688002 CH) - Steel Research and Testing (300797 CH) - Northern Navigation (600435 CH) - Gaode Infrared (002414 CH) - Aerospace Rainbow (002389 CH) - Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing (300446 CH) [3][42]. Market Trends - The report notes a structural shift in military equipment demand, with a focus on new technologies such as unmanned systems and advanced weaponry. The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to drive significant growth in these areas [13][15][16]. - The military trade market is projected to grow, with China's market share expected to increase from 5.87% to a more competitive position as global military spending rises [17][18]. Performance Metrics - As of February 6, 2026, the Shenyuan Defense and Military Index has a PE (TTM) of 95.29, indicating a high valuation relative to historical levels [39][40].

Market Trends - A new upturn in the defense industry is underway, with the military trade expectations continuously enhancing due to events like the India-Pakistan air battle and military parades[2] - The defense industry index increased by 58.5% from the beginning of 2025 to its peak on January 12, 2026[18] - The global geopolitical situation is tense, leading to an unprecedented increase in military spending worldwide[3] Commercial Aerospace Development - The launch of multiple new medium and large rockets is expected to accelerate in 2026, breaking the bottleneck in launch capacity for commercial aerospace[4] - The Taiyuan Satellite Launch Center will play a crucial role in the high-frequency deployment of satellite internet[4] Investment Recommendations - Recommended sectors include the missile weapon industry chain, new aviation equipment industry chain, unmanned equipment industry chain, and commercial aerospace industry chain[4] - Key companies to focus on include: - Beifang Navigation (600435.SH) - Buy-A[7] - AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760.SH) - Buy-A[7] - AVIC High-Tech (600862.SH) - Hold-A[7] - Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group (600967.SH) - Hold-A[7] - Aerospace Electric (002025.SZ) - Hold-A[7] - Guobo Electronics (688375.SH) - Hold-A[7] Risks - Potential risks include delays in domestic military equipment deployment, overseas orders falling short of expectations, and setbacks in rocket development and satellite constellation construction[10]

Core Viewpoint - Ceramic Matrix Composites (CMC) exhibit excellent high-temperature performance and have broad applications in commercial aerospace, aviation, nuclear power, and automotive sectors, with significant market potential. China leads in brake and thermal protection for aircraft but lags in aviation engine applications [3][4]. Group 1: CMC Characteristics and Applications - CMC is defined as composites that incorporate reinforcing materials into a ceramic matrix, resulting in superior properties such as high-temperature resistance, low density, high specific strength, and oxidation resistance [4][15]. - SiCf/SiC composites are a research focus due to their enhanced oxidation resistance and longevity, making them ideal for high-temperature applications [4][21]. - In the aerospace sector, SiCf/SiC is recognized as an ideal material for the hot end of aviation engines, already in mass production for static components, with ongoing exploration for rotating parts [5][25]. - In nuclear energy, SiCf/SiC composites are considered ideal candidates for reactor cladding and control rods due to their high melting point and excellent neutron irradiation stability [5][44]. Group 2: Market Growth and Trends - The global CMC market was valued at $11.9 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 10.5%, reaching $21.6 billion by 2028, with the highest market share in defense and aerospace applications [6]. - The demand for CMC in China's aviation engine sector is expected to reach a turning point in 2024, driven by technological advancements and cost reductions [11][9]. Group 3: CMC Production and Industry Landscape - CMC production involves complex processes with high barriers to entry, including fiber preparation, preform weaving, interface layer preparation, matrix preparation, and densification [7][8]. - GE has established a vertically integrated CMC supply chain, producing 20 tons of CMC prepreg and 10 tons of SiC fibers annually, with a tenfold increase in CMC component production expected over the next decade [8][39]. - China's CMC industry is relatively complete, with advancements in the production of second-generation SiC fibers and ongoing development of third-generation fibers, although industrial-scale production remains a challenge [9][10]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The potential for growth in China's aviation engine sector for CMC is significant, with upstream raw material demand expected to increase as applications mature [11][9]. - As CMC manufacturing technologies improve and fiber costs decrease, midstream CMC component manufacturers are poised for rapid development [11].

Core Viewpoint - The aviation equipment sector experienced a significant increase of 4.39% on February 3, with Triangular Defense leading the gains, reflecting positive market sentiment in this industry [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1]. - Triangular Defense (300775) saw a closing price of 44.13, with a remarkable increase of 17.99%, leading the sector [1]. - Other notable performers included Hangya Technology (688510) with a 14.26% increase, and Parker New Materials (605123) with a 10.00% rise [1]. Group 2: Trading Volume and Value - Triangular Defense had a trading volume of 977,300 shares and a transaction value of 4.047 billion yuan [1]. - The aviation equipment sector recorded a total net inflow of 1.714 billion yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 377 million yuan [2]. Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - Triangular Defense had a net inflow of 340 million yuan from main funds, while it experienced a net outflow of 233 million yuan from speculative funds [3]. - Hangfa Control (000738) attracted a net inflow of 308 million yuan from main funds, with a significant net outflow of 158 million yuan from speculative funds [3]. - The overall trend indicates that while main funds are entering the sector, speculative and retail investors are withdrawing [2][3].

Group 1 - The company, AVIC High-Tech, is responding to customer demands by systematically advancing and coordinating production capacity [2] - The company is actively participating in civil aircraft projects, striving to contribute to the large aircraft industry [2]

Group 1 - The company has completed the construction of its production line and is steadily advancing product testing and certification work [2]

Core Viewpoint - As of January 30, 2026, the number of shareholders for AVIC High-Tech is reported to be 100,729 [2] Company Summary - AVIC High-Tech has engaged with investors through an interactive platform, providing transparency regarding its shareholder count [2] - The company is actively communicating with its investors, indicating a focus on shareholder engagement and information dissemination [2]