Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the aerospace and defense sector [9]. Core Insights - The report indicates that during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, the production pace of domestic commercial aircraft and the self-sufficiency of commercial aviation engines are expected to accelerate, becoming significant growth drivers for the military aviation sector. This is anticipated to lead to a revaluation of related stocks in the aviation sector [3]. - Over the next 20 years, the global commercial aviation market is projected to reach approximately 48.5 trillion yuan, averaging about 2.4 trillion yuan annually. The Chinese market is expected to accumulate around 10 trillion yuan, averaging over 500 billion yuan per year [6]. - By 2029, China's civil aviation fleet is expected to require more than 400 new commercial aircraft annually, with a cumulative need for nearly 2,000 aircraft during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [6][18]. Summary by Sections Domestic Commercial Aircraft - The domestic commercial aircraft market is expected to break the oligopoly of Airbus and Boeing, which currently hold over 90% of the global market share. The C919 aircraft has various models, including the basic, extended, and plateau versions, with plans for an extended version to enhance market coverage [6][25][33]. - The structure of the C919 aircraft is primarily produced by domestic manufacturers, achieving basic localization. The body structure accounts for approximately 30%-35% of the total value, while the engine and onboard systems account for 20%-25% and 25%-30%, respectively [38][39]. Domestic Commercial Aviation Engines - The domestic commercial aviation engine market is projected to exceed 2.9 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with an expected demand for over 900 engines annually by 2029. Currently, the market is dominated by foreign manufacturers, with no domestic engines in operation as of 2024 [7][46][49]. - The report highlights that the domestic engine manufacturer, AVIC Engine, is making strides towards self-sufficiency, with products like the CJ1000 and CJ2000 engines showing technological maturity [7][46]. Commercial Aviation Industry Chain - The commercial aviation industry chain consists of three main segments: aircraft body, onboard systems, and engines. Key players include AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group, AVIC Heavy Machinery, and others, which are positioned to benefit from the growth of the domestic aircraft market [8][9]. - The report emphasizes the importance of achieving self-sufficiency in the aviation engine sector, as it is currently a critical bottleneck for domestic aircraft production [7][46].

Core Viewpoint - Ceramic matrix composites (CMC) exhibit excellent high-temperature performance and have broad applications in aerospace, nuclear power, and automotive industries, with significant market potential. China leads in brake and thermal protection for aircraft but lags in aerospace engine applications. The demand for CMC in China's aerospace industry may reach a turning point in 2024, driven by advancements in production technology and cost reductions [2][9]. Group 1: CMC Characteristics and Applications - CMCs are defined as composites that incorporate reinforcing materials into a ceramic matrix, resulting in superior properties such as high-temperature resistance, low density, and high strength [4][18]. - SiCf/SiC composites are ideal materials for the hot sections of aerospace engines, already in mass production for static components, with ongoing exploration for rotating parts [5][24]. - In the nuclear sector, SiCf/SiC composites are considered ideal candidates for reactor components due to their high melting point, thermal conductivity, and stability under neutron irradiation [42]. - Cf/SiC composites are widely used in aerospace for thermal protection and satellite mirrors, effectively addressing the thermal protection and weight reduction needs of hypersonic vehicles [46][49]. - CMCs are emerging as the preferred choice for high-performance brake materials, already in mass production for automotive and aviation applications [53][54]. Group 2: Market Growth and Trends - The global CMC market was valued at $11.9 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 10.5%, reaching $21.6 billion by 2028, with the highest market share in defense and aerospace [6]. - The demand for CMCs in the aerospace sector is expected to surge, particularly for SiCf/SiC materials, as they can withstand temperatures exceeding 2000K, significantly improving engine efficiency and reducing nitrogen oxide emissions [27][30]. Group 3: CMC Production and Industry Landscape - The production of CMC components involves complex processes with high barriers to entry, including fiber preparation, preform weaving, interface layer preparation, matrix densification, and machining [7][8]. - GE has established a vertically integrated CMC supply chain, producing 20 tons of CMC prepreg and 10 tons of SiC fibers annually, with a tenfold increase in CMC component production expected over the next decade [8][39]. - China's CMC industry has developed a relatively complete supply chain, with advancements in the production of second-generation SiC fibers and ongoing efforts to achieve industrial-scale production of third-generation fibers [9][12]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The anticipated turning point in demand for CMCs in China's aerospace industry in 2024 presents significant growth potential for related companies, particularly as production costs decrease and application maturity increases [13]. - The verification phase for SiCf/SiC applications will drive demand for upstream raw materials, with the potential for rapid growth in midstream CMC component manufacturing as production scales up [13].

Core Insights - The report highlights the promising outlook for the commercial aerospace sector and increased attention on large aircraft and military trade [2][3] - The construction of a space power is accelerating, with a focus on breakthroughs in reusable rocket technology and the development of new industries such as commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy [5][13] - Airbus has set a record for civil aircraft orders, with a total of 8,754 aircraft in backlog by the end of 2025, indicating strong market demand [5][13] - Military trade is expected to improve, with significant defense export growth reported in the UK, reaching over £20 billion in 2025 [5][14] Investment Strategy - The report recommends focusing on companies that align with the "S-curve" evolution, emphasizing supply chain reform and automation trends, with specific recommendations for companies like Aero Engine Corporation and AVIC [5][15] - It also suggests targeting companies involved in military trade, large aircraft, and low-altitude economy, highlighting firms such as Guorui Technology and China Power [5][15] - New emerging industries such as commercial aerospace, AI, and quantum computing are also identified as key areas for investment, with recommendations for companies like Ruichuang Micro-Nano and Ziguang Guowei [5][15] Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed financial metrics for key companies in the defense and aerospace sector, including expected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025 and 2026 [6] - For instance, Aero Engine Corporation is projected to have an EPS of 0.22 CNY in 2025, with a PE ratio of 184.41x, indicating strong growth potential [6] - Other companies like AVIC Heavy Machinery and Guorui Technology are also highlighted for their expected profitability and market positioning [6][25][27]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Outperform the Market" [4] Core Insights - The commercial aerospace industry is entering a period of explosive growth, with significant improvements in low-orbit satellite constellation construction and launch capabilities. China plans to launch 12,992 commercial satellites to create a global internet satellite constellation [1] - The demand for liquid rocket engines is increasing due to the trend towards large-capacity and reusable rockets in commercial aerospace, leading to a substantial rise in the demand for liquid propellants [2] - The market for electronic specialty gases is projected to reach $6.023 billion globally by 2025, with a CAGR of 6.39% from 2022 to 2025 [2] - The carbon fiber industry is experiencing structural differentiation, with high-performance carbon fiber demand rising in aerospace, while the mid-to-low-end market faces oversupply and price wars [9] - Advanced structural ceramics and composite materials are critical for high-end equipment in aerospace and other key sectors, with ongoing technological advancements in China [9] Summary by Sections Commercial Aerospace Development - The commercial aerospace sector is witnessing rapid advancements, with the establishment of launch sites and the development of new rocket technologies [1] - The government is promoting the safe and healthy development of emerging industries, including commercial aerospace, through various action plans [1] Market Demand and Growth - The demand for liquid propellants and specialty gases is expected to grow significantly, driven by advancements in rocket technology and increased satellite production [2] - The electronic specialty gas market in China is projected to reach 23 billion yuan by 2024, with a CAGR of 10.31% from 2022 to 2024 [2] Material Applications - High-performance materials such as carbon fiber, advanced ceramics, and quartz glass fibers are increasingly used in commercial aerospace applications [9][11] - Companies like Jiufeng Energy and Guangwei Composites are leading in the domestic market for specialty gases and carbon fibers, respectively, with ongoing projects to meet the growing demand [2][9] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in rocket fuel and satellite production, as well as those producing specialty fibers and advanced materials for aerospace applications [11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Zhonghang Gaoke is actively supporting Changsheng Technology, a high-tech enterprise specializing in the research, production, and sales of high-performance carbon fiber, which has leading technology and stable production capacity in China [1] - The company emphasizes its commitment to promoting market expansion and innovative development for Changsheng Technology, aiming to enhance business collaboration and cooperation [1] - The focus on high-performance carbon fiber indicates a strategic direction towards strengthening the supply chain and fostering healthy industry development [1]

Core Viewpoint - The global competition for scarce space strategic resources has intensified, with significant developments in satellite deployment and commercial space initiatives, particularly from China and the U.S. [2][3][4] Group 1: Industry Developments - China submitted a record application to the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) for approximately 203,000 satellites, covering 14 constellations [3] - The U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) approved SpaceX's plan to deploy an additional 7,500 second-generation Starlink satellites [4] - Elon Musk proposed an ambitious target for the aerospace industry, aiming to produce 10,000 Starship spacecraft annually [5] Group 2: Market Performance - The aerospace sector has been a market focus, outperforming even AI and other tech sectors in recent months [7] - The Aerospace ETF (159227) saw a 53.33% increase over 34 trading days, reaching new net asset value highs [8] Group 3: Strategic Importance - Aerospace has been designated as a key emerging pillar industry by the Chinese government, with initiatives to promote commercial space and low-altitude economies [13] - The establishment of the Commercial Space Administration by the National Space Administration in November 2025 has improved administrative efficiency for launch approvals and licensing [14] Group 4: Technological Advancements - The emergence of reusable rocket technology is a significant breakthrough, drastically reducing space launch costs and facilitating the commercialization of the space economy [15] - The rapid development of technology and market dynamics has heightened competition and underscored the urgency for advancements [17] Group 5: Investment Trends - The commercial space industry in China is projected to reach a scale of 2.5 to 2.8 trillion yuan, with an annual growth rate exceeding 20% [22] - Funding for the aerospace sector is increasing, with total industry financing expected to reach 18.6 billion yuan in 2025, a 32% year-on-year increase [25] - The Aerospace ETF (159227) has become a leading investment vehicle, with significant inflows and a growing market presence [31] Group 6: Future Outlook - The aerospace sector is positioned at the intersection of national security, technological self-reliance, and new economic growth points [45] - 2026 is anticipated to be a critical year for validating China's aerospace technologies, with advancements in rocket recovery and satellite production lines [46][47] - The Aerospace ETF (159227) is well-positioned to capture investment opportunities arising from the commercial space and low-altitude economy sectors [48]

Group 1 - Aerospace and aviation concept stocks experienced significant declines in early trading, with Aerospace Electronics down over 8%, AVIC High-Tech down over 6%, and AVIC Heavy Machinery down over 5% [1] - Several aerospace-related ETFs also fell by more than 8%, reflecting the overall market trend [1] Group 2 - Specific ETFs reported the following price changes: Aerospace ETF (1.327, -8.67%), High-end Equipment ETF (1.222, -8.46%), Aerospace Aviation ETF (1.585, -8.28%), and others showing similar declines [2] - Analysts believe that recent improvements in top-level design and new policy support in the commercial aerospace sector have clarified the development blueprint for the industry, enhancing market confidence in its long-term growth [2] - With decreasing launch costs and increased in-orbit computing power, the future of space computing is expected to create a "more launches, more savings" scenario, potentially leading to a transformative industrial change with scalable commercial value [2]

Core Viewpoint - As of January 9, 2026, the number of shareholders for AVIC High-Tech reached 120,101 [2] Company Summary - AVIC High-Tech responded to investor inquiries on an interactive platform regarding its shareholder count [2] - The company is actively engaging with its investors through platforms to provide updates on shareholder statistics [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that AVIC High-Tech has seen a stock price increase of 5.1%, reaching 28.45 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.501 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 3.92%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 39.632 billion CNY [1] - AVIC High-Tech, established on December 21, 1988, and listed on May 20, 1994, is primarily engaged in the research, production, and sales of aerospace new materials, CNC machine tools, and aviation-specific equipment [1] - The revenue composition of AVIC High-Tech is as follows: aerospace new materials account for 97.69%, leasing business 1.16%, aviation-related equipment 0.60%, others 0.32%, metal cutting machine tools 0.22%, and high-speed rail equipment and accessories 0.00% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, one fund under China Post Fund has a significant position in AVIC High-Tech, specifically the China Post Stable and Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund (001226), which holds 50,000 shares, unchanged from the previous period, representing 3.62% of the fund's net value [2] - The China Post Stable and Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund (001226) was established on May 5, 2015, with a latest scale of 32.6974 million CNY, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 6.46%, ranking 1565 out of 9012 in its category [2] - The fund has a one-year return of 37.37%, ranking 3466 out of 8157, and a cumulative return since inception of 20.49% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Zhonghang Gaoke's trading volume reached 2.177 billion yuan, marking a new high since its listing, with the latest stock price increasing by 4.65% and a turnover rate of 5.81% [2] Trading Performance - The stock's trading volume on the previous trading day was 2.175 billion yuan [2] - The current trading volume indicates a significant interest from investors, as reflected in the increase in stock price and turnover rate [2]