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兴业基金:分享周期行情投资机会 关注兴业中证全指自由现金流ETF
Zhong Zheng Wang· 2026-01-30 02:04
Group 1 - The China Securities Index Free Cash Flow Index rose by 2.15% on January 28, with a year-to-date increase of 8.71%, and several constituent stocks such as Silver Nonferrous, China Aluminum, and others reached their daily limit [1] - The index has a significant representation from the non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, and oil and petrochemicals sectors, each accounting for over 8% [1] - Since December 2024, the index has undergone five adjustments, maintaining a strong focus on the oil and petrochemical and non-ferrous metal sectors, with the basic chemicals sector seeing a notable increase in weight during the last three adjustments [1] Group 2 - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has been a core constituent in all five adjustments, representing about 10% of the index, with net cash flow from operating activities exceeding 200 billion yuan annually from 2022 to 2024 [1] - China Aluminum has also consistently been a significant constituent, with a weight exceeding 3% in the index [1] - The index shows a preference for the consumer manufacturing sector, with the home appliance sector consistently above 8%, and automotive becoming a major weight in the December 2025 adjustment, while the food and beverage sector's weight has decreased [1][2]
股票市场概览:资讯日报:美联储维持利率不变,符合市场普遍预期-20260129
Market Overview - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%-3.75%, aligning with market expectations[9] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 27,827, down 2.58% for the day but up 8.57% year-to-date[3] - The S&P 500 index closed at 6,978, with a slight decrease of 0.01% for the day and a year-to-date increase of 1.94%[3] Stock Performance - Gold prices surged, with spot gold exceeding $5,280 per ounce, marking a monthly increase of over 22%[9] - Semiconductor stocks saw significant gains, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising by 2.34%[9] - Major tech stocks showed mixed results, with Intel up 11.04% and Microsoft down 6% post-earnings report[9] Sector Highlights - Oil stocks continued to rise, with Shanghai Petrochemical gaining over 5% due to geopolitical tensions driving oil prices up by 3%[9] - New consumer concept stocks performed well, with a snack retail chain soaring 69% on its debut[9] - Airline stocks faced pressure, with China Southern Airlines down 6.83% due to rising operational costs[9] Economic Indicators - The U.S. dollar index fell to 95.51, the lowest since February 2022, contributing to the rise in gold prices[9] - The Japanese yen strengthened, impacting export-related stocks negatively, with Toyota down 3.24%[13] - The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to 0.75%, the highest in 30 years, indicating a cautious approach to future rate hikes[13]
太猛了!加快轮动了
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-29 11:49
Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share liquor sector experienced a significant surge, with a rise of 9.68% on January 29, leading the market performance for the day [1][2] - The oil and gas extraction and service sector also saw a notable increase of 8.18%, with a total transaction volume of 32.31 billion [2] - The precious metals sector rose by 8.04%, with a transaction volume of 70.62 billion, indicating strong market interest [2] Group 2: Energy and Petrochemical Sector Dynamics - The energy and petrochemical sector's rise began in early January 2026, with domestic crude oil futures rebounding from 411 yuan/barrel to 475 yuan/barrel, a 15% increase [4] - The oil and gas extraction and service sector has accumulated a remarkable increase of 44.22% year-to-date, ranking second in market performance, only behind precious metals [7] - The petrochemical ETF (159731) has shown a cumulative increase of 14.71% since the beginning of the year, reflecting strong investor interest [9] Group 3: Geopolitical and Economic Influences - The recent surge in the petrochemical sector is driven by escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and Iran, raising concerns over oil supply stability [11] - The market has priced in a risk premium of $3-8 per barrel due to fears of potential disruptions in oil supply from Iran, which produces approximately 3.3 million barrels per day [11] - The classic rotation pattern in commodity markets, where precious metals lead, followed by industrial metals and then energy, is being validated again [14][16] Group 4: Agricultural Sector Insights - The agricultural sector is expected to gain market attention as commodity prices rise, driven by increased costs in agricultural production due to higher energy prices [17][24] - The CPI and food prices have shown signs of recovery, with the CPI rising by 0.8% year-on-year, indicating a potential shift in consumer price dynamics [18] - The agricultural ETF (516810) tracks a comprehensive index covering the entire agricultural value chain, which may benefit from the rising commodity prices [26] Group 5: Industry Outlook - The petrochemical industry is at a turning point, with new policies aimed at preventing excessive competition and improving profitability [22] - The capital expenditure ratios in the refining and chemical sectors are showing a trend towards conservatism, indicating a strategic shift among companies [23] - The anticipated recovery in the petrochemical sector is supported by both geopolitical factors and the broader commodity market dynamics, suggesting a favorable outlook for industry leaders [24][25]
油气开采板块1月29日涨2.71%,洲际油气领涨,主力资金净流出2.23亿元
Group 1 - The oil and gas extraction sector increased by 2.71% compared to the previous trading day, with Intercontinental Oil leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] - Intercontinental Oil's stock price rose by 10.06% to 5.69, with a trading volume of 8.5569 million shares [1] Group 2 - The oil and gas extraction sector experienced a net outflow of 223 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 111 million yuan [1] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) had a net inflow of 2.611 million yuan from institutional investors, representing 2.71% of its total trading [2] - Intercontinental Oil faced a significant net outflow of 294 million yuan from institutional investors, accounting for 6.35% of its total trading [2]
中信海直(000099):国内通用航空运输领导者,增量探索低空经济运营服务
交通运输 | 证券研究报告 — 首次研究报告 2026 年 1 月 29 日 6 000099.SZ 增持 原评级:未有评级 市场价格:人民币 21.27 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 (3.8) 0.1 (6.9) (14.3) 相对深圳成指 (7.3) (5.1) (14.6) (53.4) 发行股数 (百万) 775.77 流通股 (百万) 775.77 总市值 (人民币 百万) 15,856.74 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) 297.94 主要股东 (15%) (4%) 8% 19% 31% 42% Jan-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 May-25 Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 中信海直 深圳成指 资料来源:公司公告, Wind ,中银证券 以 2026 年 1 月 26 日收市价为标准 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 交通运输:航空机场 证券分析师:王靖添 jingtian.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业 ...
中国海油股价创新高
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-29 01:47
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 每经AI快讯,中国海油涨2.92%,报36.61元/股,股价再创新高,总市值突破1.74万亿元,成交额达 4377.45万元。 ...
驻中国海油纪检监察组:发现不法供应商与相关领导干部长期深度绑定
近日,驻中国海油纪检监察组组长钟庆明与8位党组成员一对一、面对面开展约谈。这已经是该组连续 第5年全覆盖约谈党组成员,也是全面派驻改革后的首次约谈。5年来,约谈工作在坚持中不断深入深 化,成为贯通落实"两个责任"的有力抓手和加强党组班子建设的重要载体。 驻中国海油纪检监察组始终把学习贯彻习近平总书记重要指示批示精神和党中央重大决策部署作为约谈 的首要方面,推动党组成员结合分管领域,深入思考贯彻落实的具体思路和方法举措。 在查办某严重违纪违法案件过程中,驻中国海油纪检监察组发现不法供应商与相关领导干部长期深度绑 定。结合约谈,督促分管的党组成员做实查办案件"后半篇文章",对涉案供应商与案发单位业务往来情 况全面起底,针对性开展整改整治。 抓住了"关键少数",就抓住了责任落实的"牛鼻子"。驻中国海油纪检监察组把整改落实情况纳入日常监 督,并在下一年度约谈时,听取党组成员关于上年度通报问题整改情况。 "每次谈话结束后,我们都专门召开会议,专题研究约谈通报的问题。"有的党组成员表示,同时指导推 动其联系单位每季度也定期研究党风廉政建设和反腐败工作。 "上次通报项目廉洁风险情况后,我们迅速采取了措施。"有的党组成员说道 ...
中国海洋石油(00883.HK):1月28日南向资金增持451.86万股
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 19:21
证券之星消息,1月28日南向资金增持451.86万股中国海洋石油(00883.HK)。近5个交易日中,获南向资金增持的有4天,累计净增持3698.94万 股。近20个交易日中,获南向资金增持的有13天,累计净增持9483.49万股。截至目前,南向资金持有中国海洋石油(00883.HK)102.95亿股,占 公司已发行普通股的21.65%。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成投资建议。 相关ETF 红利低波50ETF (产品代码:159547) ★ 跟踪:中证红利低波动指数 近五日涨跌: -0.75% | 交易日 | 持股总数(股) | 持股变动(股) | 变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026-01-28 | 102.95亿 | 451.86万 | 0.04% | | 2026-01-27 | 102.90亿 | 24.44万 | 0.00% | | 2026-01-26 | 102.90亿 | 2590.30万 | 0.25% | | 2026-01-23 | 102.64亿 | 829.1 ...
供需+美元三重利好共振,布油升至三个月高点!油气ETF汇添富(159309)飙涨超4%,创历史新高!连续10日揽金合超1.5亿
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 13:16
Core Viewpoint - International oil prices have rebounded strongly, with Brent crude reaching a three-month high and WTI crude surpassing $62 per barrel, leading to increased activity in oil and gas stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Oil and gas stocks saw significant gains, with PetroChina hitting the daily limit and CNOOC rising over 7%, setting new historical highs [1] - The oil and gas ETF, Huatai Securities (159309), surged over 4%, also reaching a historical high, with net subscriptions exceeding 90 million yuan during the day, following a total of over 150 million yuan in net inflows over the previous ten days [1] Group 2: Market Drivers - Multiple favorable factors are supporting the oil and gas market, including geopolitical tensions in Iran, a winter storm in the U.S. reducing daily oil production by up to 2 million barrels, and OPEC+ production cuts [5] - Demand-side factors include the initiation of global reserve accumulation, a Federal Reserve interest rate cut cycle boosting refined oil demand, and rising demand in Asia, Africa, and Latin America [5] - The U.S. dollar index hitting a four-year low further supports the rise in oil prices, which are priced in dollars [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - According to Huatai Securities research, geopolitical premiums have led to a rebound in oil prices during the off-season, with expectations for prices to bottom out and rise in Q2-Q3 of 2026 due to recovering demand and global reserve accumulation [5] - The oil and gas sector is viewed as a long-term investment opportunity, with the current geopolitical risks and short-term supply shocks creating favorable conditions for investment [5]
资源股强势大涨
Tebon Securities· 2026-01-28 12:23
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a volatile upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4151.24 points, up 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose slightly by 0.09% to 14342.89 points, and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.57% to 3323.56 points, indicating a cooling risk appetite for growth stocks [6][9] - Resource stocks led the market rally, with significant gains in sectors such as non-ferrous metals (up 6.02%), coal (up 3.29%), and oil & petrochemicals (up 3.26%), contributing to a 2.54% increase in the resource stock index, reaching a new high for the year [6][9] Sector Analysis - The report highlights a strong performance in resource stocks, particularly precious metals like gold and silver, which saw substantial price increases due to international market dynamics, including gold surpassing 5200 USD/ounce [6][9] - The report suggests a shift in investment focus from technology growth stocks to cyclical stocks, with an emphasis on sectors such as non-ferrous metals, oil & petrochemicals, and basic chemicals, which are expected to show high earnings growth [7][14] Commodity Market - The commodity index continued its strong upward trend, with the South China commodity index closing at 2866.28 points, up 1.49%, marking a new high for the year, driven by significant gains in aluminum and other commodities [9][11] - The report notes that aluminum prices surged by 5.75%, driven by economic recovery expectations and increased demand from downstream processing enterprises [15] Investment Themes - The report identifies key investment themes, including a focus on photovoltaic technology, commercial aerospace, and precious metals, as sectors likely to benefit from macroeconomic recovery and policy support [7][14] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the performance of growth stocks and thematic stocks, which may face valuation pressures if annual report earnings do not meet expectations [7][14] Bond Market - The bond market showed slight increases, with the 2-year, 5-year, and 10-year treasury futures contracts experiencing minor gains, reflecting a stable liquidity environment supported by central bank operations [11][14] - The report indicates that the central bank's net injection of 140 billion yuan and the decline in short-term interest rates suggest a continued easing of monetary conditions [11][14]