证券研究报告 中国海油 (883 HK/600938 CH) 天然气产量同比快速增长，提质降本成果卓越 Q1 公司油气净产量 188.8 百万桶油当量，同比+4.8%，其中石油液体/天然 气产量 145.5 百万桶/253.0 十亿立方英尺，同比分别+3.4%/+10.2%。Brent 期货 Q1 均价同比-8.3%至 75.0 美元/桶，公司实现油价同比-7.7%至 72.7 美元/桶，实现气价同比+1.2%至 7.78 美元/千立方英尺。公司桶油成本控制 良好，Q1 同比下降 0.56 美元/桶至 27.03 美元/桶，主要系产量结构调整叠 加油价下行带动其他税金降低。公司 Q1 油气销售收入同比-1.9%至 882.7 亿元，综合毛利率同环比+1.2/+3.9pct 至 54.6%。 港股通 油气产量创新高，重点项目有序推进 | 华泰研究 | | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 30 日│中国内地/中国香港 | 石油（天然气）开采 | 中国海油于 4 月 29 日发布一季报：Q1 实现营业收入 1069 亿元，同环比 -4.1%/+ ...

上 市 公 司 石油石化 2025 年 04 月 30 日 中国海油 (600938) ——业绩表现好于油价变化，降本增效成果显著 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 基础数据: | 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 16.49 | | 资产负债率% | 28.74 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 47,530/2,990 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/44,540 | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 04-29 05-29 06-29 07-29 08-29 09-29 10-29 11-29 12-29 01-29 02-28 03-31 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 中国海油 沪深300指数 (收益率) 相关研究 证券分析师 刘子栋 A0230523110002 liuzd@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 陈悦 A0230524100003 chenyue@swsresearch.com 联系人 陈悦 (86 ...

25Q1 油气当量产量维持高增，天然气产量同比增长10.2%公司持续加快上产步伐，25Q1 实现净产量 188.8 百万桶油当量，同比增长4.8%。其中，原油产量同比+3.4%，天然气产量同比+10.2%；中国净产 量130.8百万桶油当量，同比+6.2%，主要得益于渤中19-6 等油气田的贡献；海外净产量58 百万桶油当 量，同比+1.9%，主要由于巴西Mero2 等项目的贡献。实现价格方面，25Q1 公司平均实现油价72.65 美 元/桶，同比-7.7%，平均实现天然气价格为7.78 美元/千立方英尺，同比+1.2%。2025Q1，公司资本支出 277 亿元，有力支撑新项目建设和产量增长。 25Q1 公司共获得2 个新发现，并成功评价14 个含油气构造。其中，惠州19-6油田探明地质储量超1 亿 吨油当量，涠洲10-5 油气田展示了北部湾盆地潜山领域广阔的勘探前景；成功评价绥中36-1 南，有望 成为中型油田。期内，番禺10/11 区块联合开发项目、东方29-1 气田开发项目、渤中26-6 油田开发项目 （一期）、文昌19-1 油田二期项目以及巴西Buzios7 项目等多个新项目已成功投产。其他新项目正在 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1] Core Views - The company's performance demonstrates resilience during periods of oil price fluctuations, with significant cost reduction and efficiency improvements [6][11] - CNOOC's net profit for Q1 2025 is projected to be 366 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 7.95% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 71.84% [5][11] - The company continues to enhance its production capacity and maintain cost advantages, with a focus on high-quality development and stable production growth [10][11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, CNOOC achieved total revenue of 1,069 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.14% but an increase of 13.09% compared to the previous quarter [5] - The average realized oil price was 72.65 USD per barrel, down 7.7% year-on-year, while natural gas prices increased by 1.2% to 7.78 USD per thousand cubic feet [7] Production and Exploration - CNOOC's net production in Q1 2025 reached 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, with natural gas production growing by 10.2% [7] - The company made two new discoveries and successfully evaluated 14 oil and gas structures during the quarter, indicating strong exploration potential [8] Cost Management - The company reported a decrease in oil production costs to 27.03 USD per barrel, down 2.0% year-on-year, showcasing its effective cost control measures [9] - CNOOC's operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was 573 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.5% but maintaining a high level of cash flow [6] Capital Expenditure and Future Outlook - CNOOC plans to maintain high capital expenditures in 2025, with a budget of 1250-1350 billion yuan to support stable production growth [10] - The company aims for a production target of 760-780 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2025, with a focus on sustainable growth in the following years [10][11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][6] Core Views - The report highlights that the company achieved excellent performance in Q1 2025, demonstrating its investment value even in adverse conditions [1][6] - The company reported a total revenue of 1068.54 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.14% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.09% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 365.63 billion yuan, down 7.95% year-on-year but up 71.84% quarter-on-quarter [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 365.63 billion yuan, with a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.77 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8.33% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 75.00% [1] - The company's revenue and net profit figures indicate resilience despite a challenging market environment [1][6] Production and Output - The company produced 145.5 million barrels of oil liquids in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.41% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.62% [3] - Natural gas production reached 2530 billion cubic feet, up 10.24% year-on-year and 8.63% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to contributions from specific projects [3] Pricing and Costs - The average oil price realized by the company was 72.65 USD per barrel, down 6.10% year-on-year but up 2.57 USD per barrel quarter-on-quarter [4] - The company maintained a low oil cost of 27.03 USD per barrel, which is a decrease from the previous year, indicating effective cost management [4] Capital Expenditure and Future Outlook - The company reported capital expenditures of 27.7 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a stable budget for 2025 set between 1250-1350 billion yuan [5] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate a net profit of 1364.41 billion yuan in 2025, with expected growth rates of -1.1%, 4.3%, and 5.3% for the following years [5][6]

证券代码：600938 证券简称：中国海油 公告编号：2025-014 中国海洋石油有限公司 2025 年第五次董事会决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者 重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、董事会会议召开情况 中国海洋石油有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 29 日召开 2025 年第五次董事会。本次董事会的会议通知及议案已于 2025 年 4 月 10 日发送给公 司全体董事。本次会议应出席董事 8 人，实际出席董事 7 人。执行董事穆秀平女 士因公不能到会，已书面委托副董事长、执行董事周心怀先生代为行使表决权。 会议由副董事长周心怀先生主持。会议的召集、召开、表决程序符合有关法律法 规及《中国海洋石油有限公司组织章程细则》的相关规定，合法、有效。 二、董事会审议情况 （一）审议通过《关于公司 2025 年第一季度报告的议案》 具体内容详见公司于上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）披露的《中国 海洋石油有限公司 2025 年第一季度报告》。本议案已经公司审核委员会审议通 过，并同意提交董事会审议。 表决 ...

Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for Q1 2025 was RMB 106,854 million, a decrease of 4.1% compared to RMB 111,468 million in the same period last year[4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was RMB 36,563 million, down 7.9% from RMB 39,719 million year-on-year[4] - The net cash flow from operating activities was RMB 57,274 million, reflecting a decline of 4.5% from RMB 59,978 million in the previous year[4] - The company's oil and gas sales revenue for Q1 2025 was approximately RMB 882.7 billion, a decrease of 1.9% compared to the previous year, primarily due to falling oil prices[16] - Net profit for Q1 2025 was RMB 36,601 million, down 7.1% from RMB 39,726 million in Q1 2024[24] - The total comprehensive income for Q1 2025 was RMB 36,229 million, down from RMB 39,877 million in Q1 2024, indicating a decline of 6.6%[24] Asset and Liability Overview - The total assets at the end of the reporting period were RMB 1,102,706 million, an increase of 4.4% from RMB 1,056,281 million at the end of the previous year[5] - The company's total assets as of March 31, 2025, amounted to RMB 1,102.7 billion, compared to RMB 1,056.3 billion at the end of 2024[20] - The total liabilities as of March 31, 2025, were RMB 316.9 billion, an increase from RMB 306.8 billion at the end of 2024[21] Production and Exploration - In Q1 2025, the company's total net production reached 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, an increase of 4.8% year-on-year[15] - The company achieved 2 new discoveries and successfully evaluated 14 oil and gas structures in Q1 2025, indicating strong exploration prospects[15] Pricing and Costs - The average realized price for crude oil was USD 72.65 per barrel, down 7.7% from USD 78.75 per barrel in the same period last year[10] - The average realized oil price in Q1 2025 was $72.65 per barrel, a decrease of 7.7% year-on-year, while the average realized gas price was $7.78 per thousand cubic feet, an increase of 1.2%[16] - The company reported a cost per barrel of $27.03, a decrease of 2.0% year-on-year[16] - Total operating costs decreased to RMB 56,530 million in Q1 2025 from RMB 59,520 million in Q1 2024, reflecting a reduction of 5.0%[23] Shareholder Information - The number of ordinary shareholders at the end of the reporting period was 233,407, with the largest shareholder holding 60.54% of the shares[11] - The company's basic and diluted earnings per share for Q1 2025 were both RMB 0.77, compared to RMB 0.84 in Q1 2024, representing a decline of 8.3%[24] Cash Flow and Investments - Cash flow from operating activities for Q1 2025 was RMB 57,274 million, a decrease of 4.5% from RMB 59,978 million in Q1 2024[28] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2025 totaled RMB 101,403 million, down from RMB 158,407 million at the end of Q1 2024[28] - Investment activities resulted in a net cash outflow of RMB 35,408 million in Q1 2025, compared to RMB 33,884 million in Q1 2024[28] - The company reported an investment loss of RMB 637 million in Q1 2025, contrasting with a gain of RMB 577 million in Q1 2024[23] Capital Expenditures - Capital expenditures totaled RMB 27,713 million, a decrease of 4.5% from RMB 29,014 million year-on-year[10] - Capital expenditures for Q1 2025 were approximately RMB 277.1 billion, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year due to reduced exploration and adjustment work[16] Non-recurring Items - Non-recurring losses amounted to RMB 464 million, primarily due to asset disposal losses of RMB 704 million[7]

此外，阎洪涛还表示，公司始终坚持全球配置油气资产的原则，如若国际油价继续下跌，对于中国海油这种有大 量现金流、桶油成本较低且利润率较高的公司而言，或是较好的并购机会。公司将根据彼时的市场情况、国际形 势，以及公司的技术专长和管理能力，具体分析并决策，按照市场运行原则，寻求调整和优化公司油气资产组合 的机会。 "基于对全球石油供需长期情况的预判，我们并不悲观。低油价不会影响中国海油的长期发展战略，公司2025年的 投资计划和产量目标指引也不会调整。"阎洪涛指出，当前低油价是受特朗普政府相关关税政策影响，市场预期未 来全球经济下行将影响石油需求，"低油价是结果，而非原因。"基于此，他认为，低油价不会造成石油行业在全 球所有行业中地位变弱，也不代表石油公司的经济性、地位在全球范围内下降，特朗普关税政策对全球的影响 是"一贯且连续的"。 面对国际油价低位震荡现状，阎洪涛表示，中国海油将继续坚持低成本策略，始终在全球主要石油公司中保持桶 油成本优势。"在高油价时不盲目乐观，不大手笔花钱、增加桶油成本；低油价时也不悲观，要坚守成本优势。" 不过，油气销量上升，以及公司对桶油成本的控制一定程度抵消了油价下跌影响。今年一季度 ...

Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, despite an increase in oil and gas production, highlighting the impact of falling international oil prices on financial performance [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, CNOOC achieved operating revenue of 106.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.1% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 36.56 billion yuan, down 7.9% year-on-year [1] - The average realized oil price was 72.65 USD/barrel, a decrease of 7.7% year-on-year, while the average realized gas price increased by 1.2% to 7.78 USD/thousand cubic feet [2] Production and Exploration - CNOOC's net production reached 188.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, an increase of 4.8% year-on-year, with domestic production rising by 6.2% [1][2] - The company made two new discoveries and successfully evaluated 14 oil and gas structures during the quarter [2] - Significant contributions to production came from the Bohai region and overseas projects, particularly from Brazil's Mero2 [1][2] Capital Expenditure and Projects - Capital expenditure for the quarter was approximately 27.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year [2] - Several new projects, including the Panyu 10/11 block and the Wenchang 19-1 oil field, have been successfully put into production [2][3] - The Wenchang 9-7 oil field development project was announced to have commenced production, with an expected peak output of about 12,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2027 [3][4] Future Outlook - CNOOC's controlling shareholder announced plans to increase shareholdings in the company by 2 to 4 billion yuan over the next 12 months, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term investment value [3] - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and achieve its annual production and operational targets [3]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.20% on April 28, with five sectors rising, led by banking and steel, which increased by 0.98% and 0.53% respectively [1] - The real estate and comprehensive sectors experienced the largest declines, down by 3.66% and 2.52% respectively [1] - The oil and petrochemical sector saw a slight decrease of 0.03% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 29.894 billion yuan, with only two sectors seeing net inflows: steel with 200 million yuan and oil and petrochemicals with 66.93 million yuan [1] - The electronics sector had the largest net outflow, totaling 3.104 billion yuan, followed by the automotive sector with a net outflow of 2.516 billion yuan [1] Oil and Petrochemical Sector Details - Within the oil and petrochemical sector, there are 48 stocks, with 9 rising and 36 falling, including one hitting the daily limit down [2] - The top net inflow stocks in this sector included China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) with 53.071 million yuan, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) with 50.902 million yuan, and Huajin Chemical with 44.7347 million yuan [2] - The stocks with the largest net outflows included ST Xinchao with 39.0339 million yuan, Intercontinental Oil and Gas with 22.5732 million yuan, and Bohai Chemical with 17.033 million yuan [2][3]