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中国海油(600938):油价回落明显,成本优势及增储上产凸显韧性
Dongxing Securities· 2025-09-04 10:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that CNOOC has demonstrated resilience through increased reserves and production despite a significant drop in oil prices, with Brent crude averaging $70.94 per barrel, down 14.58% year-on-year [2][3] - CNOOC's oil production reached 296.1 million barrels, an increase of 4.48% year-on-year, while natural gas production rose by 11.97% to 516.2 million barrels [2] - The company has successfully managed costs, with the average cost per barrel of oil equivalent at $26.94, a decrease of 2.9% year-on-year [2] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, CNOOC reported revenue of RMB 207.61 billion, a decline of 8% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 69.53 billion, down 12.8% [1] - Oil and gas sales revenue was approximately RMB 171.75 billion, reflecting a decrease of 7.2% year-on-year [2] - The company is projected to maintain stable net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with estimates of RMB 1344.28 billion, RMB 1370.74 billion, and RMB 1407.40 billion respectively, corresponding to EPS of 2.83, 2.88, and 2.96 [9][10] Exploration and Development - CNOOC has intensified exploration efforts, achieving five new discoveries in Chinese waters and significant breakthroughs in metamorphic rock exploration in the South China Sea [3] - The company has signed oil contracts in Iraq and Kazakhstan, further solidifying its resource base for future development [9] Strategic Initiatives - CNOOC is focusing on green transformation initiatives, including offshore CCUS and gas recovery measures, alongside advancements in its offshore floating wind power projects [9]
9月4日券商今日金股:16份研报力推一股(名单)
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-09-04 08:21
Core Insights - Securities firms have given "buy" ratings to nearly 70 A-share listed companies on September 4, focusing on industries such as liquor, automotive, food and beverage, fertilizer, home appliances, semiconductors, and oil [1] Group 1: Key Stocks Recommended by Securities Firms - Wuliangye (000858) received significant attention with 16 reports from various securities firms, highlighting its strong brand position despite competitive pricing pressures [2][3] - BYD (002594) was the second most recommended stock, with 14 reports noting a rebound in sales and a focus on high-end products and exports [2][3] - Shanxi Fenjiu (600809) ranked third, with 12 reports emphasizing its competitive advantages in a changing market [2][4] Group 2: Financial Projections and Ratings - Wuliangye is projected to achieve revenues of 903 billion, 948 billion, and 1,007 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 320 billion, 336 billion, and 354 billion yuan [3] - BYD's net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 450 billion, 589 billion, and 710 billion yuan, with a target price of 161 yuan based on a PE ratio of 25 for 2026 [3] - Shanxi Fenjiu's report indicates a stable outlook with a focus on product structure and market advantages, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]
华安证券给予中国海油“买入”评级,2025H1业绩符合预期,产量增长抵消油价波动影响
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 07:50
Group 1 - Huazhong Securities issued a report on September 4, giving China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) a "Buy" rating based on steady growth in oil and gas net production and a strengthened cost competitive advantage [1] - The report highlights the company's proactive approach in advancing new project launches [1] Group 2 - Potential risks mentioned include the possibility of new project progress falling short of expectations, changes in industry policies, and significant fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices [1]
中国海油(600938):25H1业绩符合预期,产量增长抵消油价波动影响
Huaan Securities· 2025-09-04 07:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 met expectations, with production growth offsetting the impact of oil price fluctuations [1] - CNOOC reported a revenue of RMB 207.61 billion in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 69.53 billion, down 12.79% year-on-year [5] - The company achieved a net production of 384.6 million barrels of oil equivalent in H1 2025, an increase of 6.1% year-on-year, with domestic production rising by 7.6% [5][6] - Brent crude oil futures averaged USD 66.71 per barrel in Q2 2025, a decrease of 21.55% year-on-year, while the company's average realized oil price was USD 69.15 per barrel, down 13.9% year-on-year [6] - CNOOC's cost control measures have strengthened its competitive advantage, with operating costs per barrel decreasing to USD 6.76, down 0.7% year-on-year [6] Financial Performance - CNOOC's revenue for H1 2025 was RMB 207.61 billion, with a net profit of RMB 69.53 billion [5] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be RMB 140.37 billion, RMB 146.32 billion, and RMB 154.52 billion, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.88, 8.52, and 8.07 [9] - Key financial indicators for 2025E include revenue of RMB 420.60 billion, net profit of RMB 140.37 billion, and a gross margin of 54.2% [11] Production and Exploration - CNOOC's net production of oil and gas has steadily increased, with significant contributions from projects like "Deep Sea No. 1" Phase II [5][7] - The company made five new discoveries in the South China Sea and successfully evaluated 18 oil and gas structures in H1 2025 [7][8] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for H1 2025 was approximately RMB 57.6 billion, a decrease of 8.8% year-on-year [8]
小摩:上调中国海洋石油(00883)目标价 评级上调至“增持”
智通财经网· 2025-09-04 05:52
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised the target price for CNOOC (00883) to HKD 23 and RMB 30 for A-shares, citing improved medium to long-term earnings per share and free cash flow outlook [1] Group 1: Target Price and Ratings - The H-share rating for CNOOC has been upgraded from "Underweight" to "Overweight," while the A-share rating remains "Overweight" [1] - The upgrade reflects an anticipated increase in oil prices by USD 5 per barrel and recent progress in optimizing natural gas sales by CNOOC [1] Group 2: Performance Comparison - CNOOC's A/H shares have underperformed compared to China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (00857) A/H shares by 13-22% year-to-date [1] - The report suggests that OPEC's production increase signals demand recovery and healthy global inventory levels rather than chaos or price wars within OPEC [1] Group 3: Dividend Strategy - CNOOC's unexpected willingness to align its dividend yield with that of China Petroleum, which has successfully decoupled from oil prices, may help limit the downside risk for its stock price [1] - Even with potential oil price declines to USD 55 per barrel by Q1 2026, this strategy could provide some support for CNOOC's stock [1]
小摩:上调中国海洋石油目标价 评级上调至“增持”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 05:49
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised the target price for CNOOC (00883) to HKD 23 and RMB 30 for A-shares, primarily due to improved medium to long-term earnings per share and free cash flow outlook [1] Group 1: Target Price and Ratings - The H-share rating for CNOOC has been upgraded from "Underweight" to "Overweight," while the A-share rating remains "Overweight," reflecting a projected increase in oil prices by USD 5 per barrel [1] - CNOOC's A/H shares have underperformed compared to China Petroleum (00857) A/H shares by 13-22% year-to-date [1] Group 2: Market Signals and Dividend Strategy - The increase in OPEC production is viewed as a signal of demand recovery and healthy global inventory levels, rather than a sign of OPEC disarray or a price war [1] - CNOOC's unexpected willingness to align its dividend yield with that of China Petroleum, which has successfully decoupled from oil prices, may help limit its stock price downside, even if oil prices could drop to USD 55 per barrel by Q1 2026 [1]
天然气日产量突破一亿立方米
8月28日,中国海洋石油有限公司宣布,该公司国内天然气日产量突破1亿立方米,再创新高。 中国海油坚持"稳油增气、向气倾斜"工作方针,推进海上天然气和陆上非常规天然气产量与产能建 设稳步提升,超额完成国内油气增储上产"七年行动计划"天然气地质储量指标。今年6月,"深海一 号"二期项目全面投产,"深海一号"超深水大气田高峰年产量从30亿立方米跃升至45亿立方米。来自深 水气田的天然气产量贡献超中国海油天然气产量的三成。今年7月,渤海油田天然气日产量超1200万立 方米,自投产以来总产量达520亿立方米。渤中19-6凝析气田产量同比增长100万立方米/天,低渗气藏 开发能力取得突破。陆上非常规天然气建设规模及协同化水平不断提升。 ...
中国海油9月3日获融资买入9948.05万元,融资余额17.83亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 01:27
Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) experienced a decline in stock price and trading volume on September 3, with significant net financing outflows, indicating a cautious market sentiment towards the company [1][2]. Financing Summary - On September 3, CNOOC had a financing buy-in amount of 99.48 million yuan and a financing repayment of 145 million yuan, resulting in a net financing outflow of 45.43 million yuan [1]. - The total financing and securities balance for CNOOC reached 1.797 billion yuan, with the financing balance accounting for 2.27% of the circulating market value, which is below the 50th percentile level over the past year, indicating a low financing position [1]. - CNOOC's securities lending on the same day included a repayment of 41,500 shares and a sale of 1,300 shares, with a total sale amount of 34,100 yuan, while the remaining securities lending balance was 53.90 million shares, exceeding the 90th percentile level over the past year, indicating a high lending position [1]. Company Overview - CNOOC, established on August 20, 1999, and listed on April 21, 2022, primarily engages in the exploration, production, and sales of crude oil and natural gas, with operations in various countries including China, Canada, the USA, the UK, Nigeria, and Brazil [2]. - The company's revenue composition is as follows: 84.57% from oil and gas sales, 13.11% from trading, and 2.32% from other businesses [2]. - As of June 30, 2025, CNOOC reported a total revenue of 207.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 69.53 billion yuan, down 12.79% year-on-year [2]. Dividend and Shareholder Information - Since its A-share listing, CNOOC has distributed a total of 224.34 billion yuan in dividends, with 176.36 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. - As of June 30, 2025, the number of CNOOC shareholders was 232,800, a decrease of 0.25% from the previous period, with an average of 12,936 circulating shares per person, an increase of 5.50% [2][3].
中国海油:文昌16-2油田开发项目投产
Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has announced the commencement of the Wenchang 16-2 oilfield development project, which is expected to enhance its production capacity significantly [1] Group 1: Project Details - The Wenchang 16-2 oilfield is located in the western waters of the Pearl River Mouth Basin, with an average water depth of approximately 150 meters [1] - The project will utilize existing facilities from the Wenchang oilfield group and includes the construction of a new jacket platform that integrates oil and gas extraction, offshore drilling operations, and personnel living support [1] Group 2: Production Expectations - The project plans to develop 15 production wells and is expected to reach a peak production of approximately 11,200 barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2027 [1] - The oil produced from this project is characterized as light crude oil [1]
中国海油9月2日获融资买入2.41亿元,融资余额18.29亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 01:30
Group 1: Company Overview - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is primarily engaged in the exploration, production, and sales of crude oil and natural gas, with operations in China, Canada, the USA, the UK, Nigeria, and Brazil [2] - The company's revenue composition includes 84.57% from oil and gas sales, 13.11% from trading, and 2.32% from other businesses [2] - As of June 30, 2025, CNOOC had 232,800 shareholders, a decrease of 0.25% from the previous period, with an average of 12,936 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 5.50% [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, CNOOC reported operating revenue of 207.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 69.53 billion yuan, down 12.79% year-on-year [2] - CNOOC has distributed a total of 224.33 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 176.36 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Group 3: Market Activity - On September 2, CNOOC's stock rose by 1.70%, with a trading volume of 2.641 billion yuan [1] - The financing buy-in amount for CNOOC on the same day was 241 million yuan, with a net financing buy of 13.48 million yuan, while the total financing balance reached 1.844 billion yuan [1] - CNOOC's margin trading balance accounted for 2.32% of its market capitalization, indicating a high level of financing activity [1]