柳州钢铁股份有限公司 2025 年第三季度报告 证券代码：601003 证券简称：柳钢股份 柳州钢铁股份有限公司 2025 年第三季度报告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者 重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 公司董事会及董事、高级管理人员保证季度报告内容的真实、准确、完整，不存在虚假记载、误 导性陈述或重大遗漏，并承担个别和连带的法律责任。 公司负责人、主管会计工作负责人及会计机构负责人（会计主管人员）保证季度报告中财务信息 的真实、准确、完整。 第三季度财务报表是否经审计 □是 √否 一、主要财务数据 （一） 主要会计数据和财务指标 单位：元 币种：人民币 | | | 本报告期比 | | 年初至报告期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期增 | 年初至报告期末 | 末比上年同期 | | | | 减变动幅度 | | 增减变动幅度 | | | | (%) | | (%) | | 营业收入 | 16,122,699,391.64 | 5.57 | 50,797,675 ...

Market Performance - The steel sector saw a slight increase of 0.2% on October 29, with Xinxing Casting leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4016.33, up 0.7%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13691.38, up 1.95% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Xinxing Casting (000778) closed at 4.38, up 2.82% with a trading volume of 1.77 million shares and a transaction value of 770 million [1] - Linggang Co. (600231) closed at 2.32, up 1.75% with a trading volume of 411,400 shares [1] - Liugang Co. (601003) closed at 5.17, up 1.37% with a trading volume of 232,600 shares [1] - Other notable performers include Nanjing Steel (600282) and Maanshan Steel (600808), with increases of 1.35% and 1.28% respectively [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The steel sector experienced a net outflow of 7.6 million from institutional investors and 98.63 million from speculative funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 106 million [2] - Xinxing Casting had a net outflow of 29.73 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 6.71 million [3] - Chongqing Steel (601005) saw a net inflow of 25.28 million from institutional investors, indicating strong interest [3]

Market Overview - The steel sector experienced a decline of 1.81% on October 28, with Wujin Stainless Steel leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3988.22, down 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13430.1, down 0.44% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Notable gainers included: - Sangang Min Guang (002110) with a closing price of 4.48, up 0.90% on a trading volume of 784,300 shares and a turnover of 356 million yuan [1] - Ben Steel Plate (000761) closed at 3.63, up 0.83% with a trading volume of 141,200 shares and a turnover of 51.01 million yuan [1] - Significant decliners included: - Wujin Stainless Steel (603878) which fell 4.85% to a closing price of 10.60, with a trading volume of 356,800 shares and a turnover of 383 million yuan [2] - Baotou Steel (600010) decreased by 3.00% to 2.59, with a trading volume of 11,064,600 shares and a turnover of 2.892 billion yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The steel sector saw a net outflow of 922 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 668 million yuan [2] - Key stocks with significant capital flow include: - Nanjing Steel (600282) with a net inflow of 20.27 million yuan from main funds, but a net outflow of 11.52 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Heibei Steel (000709) recorded a net inflow of 18.79 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors had a net outflow of 22.39 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the steel industry, including Xining Steel, Nanjing Steel, Hualing Steel, and Baosteel, indicating strong potential for price appreciation in the coming months [8]. Core Insights - The steel market is experiencing fluctuations, with black metals remaining in a low-level oscillation while precious metals have seen a significant pullback. The report suggests that these short-term fluctuations do not indicate a change in the overall cyclical trend [2]. - China's GDP for the first three quarters of the year reached 101.5 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2%. The report anticipates that the overall economic growth target for the year will be met [2]. - The report highlights the importance of supply fluctuations in steel profitability, noting discrepancies in steel production data since May, which may be linked to increased production restrictions [2][4]. - The report emphasizes the potential for recovery in the steel industry, particularly for companies that are currently undervalued and have strong safety margins [2]. Supply Analysis - The average daily pig iron production has slightly decreased to 239.9 million tons, with a small decline in capacity utilization among steel mills [11][17]. - The total inventory of steel has decreased, with a week-on-week decline of 1.7%, indicating a tightening supply situation [23][24]. Demand Analysis - Apparent consumption of steel has shown a month-on-month increase, with total apparent consumption reaching 892.7 million tons, up 2.0% from the previous week [47]. - The demand for rebar has increased, with weekly average transactions rising to 10.1 million tons, reflecting a recovery in construction activity [36][37]. Price and Profitability - The report notes a slight increase in steel prices, with the Myspic comprehensive steel price index rising by 0.2% week-on-week. The report anticipates continued improvement in the industry fundamentals, which may support stronger steel prices [69]. - Current profit margins for long-process steel production remain negative, with costs for rebar and hot-rolled coils at 3,458 yuan/ton and 3,684 yuan/ton, respectively [70][71]. Key Companies to Watch - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel, Baosteel, and Xining Steel, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing recovery in the steel market and favorable economic conditions [2][8].

Core Viewpoint - Liu Steel Co., Ltd. has experienced a significant stock price increase of 88.04% year-to-date, but recent trading shows volatility with a 4.60% decline over the past 20 days and a 33.38% decline over the past 60 days [2] Company Performance - As of June 30, Liu Steel reported a revenue of 34.675 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.32%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 368 million yuan, showing a remarkable year-on-year increase of 579.54% [2] - The company has not distributed any dividends in the past three years, with a total payout of 6.491 billion yuan since its A-share listing [3] Stock Market Activity - On October 23, Liu Steel's stock price fell by 2.08% to 5.19 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 21.12 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.16%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 13.301 billion yuan [1] - The stock has appeared on the daily trading leaderboard 13 times this year, with the most recent appearance on July 28, where it recorded a net buy of -1.2084 million yuan [2] Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, Liu Steel had 36,300 shareholders, a decrease of 6.21% from the previous period, with an average of 70,627 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 6.62% [2] - Notable institutional shareholders include Guangfa High-end Manufacturing Stock A, which is the third-largest shareholder with 26.3151 million shares, and several new entrants among the top ten shareholders [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the steel industry [5]. Core Insights - The steel industry is experiencing a shift in focus from demand to supply as countries enter a mature industrialization phase. The overall economy is expected to remain stable, with potential for recovery in the steel sector [2][4]. - The report highlights the importance of government fiscal policies in influencing trade balances and commodity prices, particularly gold, which is seen as a counter to the U.S. dollar's credit [2]. - The report emphasizes the need for steel mills to implement production cuts effectively to stabilize the market and improve valuations of certain companies within the industry [2][4]. Supply Analysis - The average daily pig iron production has slightly decreased to 2.409 million tons, with a decline in rebar and hot-rolled coil production [11]. - The capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces across 247 steel mills is reported at 90.3%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous period [16]. - The total inventory of five major steel products has decreased by 1.2% week-on-week, indicating a tightening supply [23]. Demand Analysis - Apparent consumption of five major steel products has rebounded by 16.5% week-on-week, although it remains down 2.0% year-on-year [47]. - Rebar demand has shown a significant increase of 43.5% week-on-week, while overall building material transactions have decreased by 6.3% [37][38]. Price and Profitability - The report notes a slight decline in the current steel prices, with the Myspic comprehensive steel price index down by 1.5% week-on-week [69]. - The current profit margins for long-process rebar and hot-rolled products are negative, indicating pressure on profitability [70]. Key Companies - The report recommends several companies for investment, including: - Hualing Steel (华菱钢铁) [8] - Nanjing Steel (南钢股份) [8] - Baosteel (宝钢股份) [8] - New Steel (新钢股份) [8] - Jiuli Special Materials (久立特材) [8] - Yongjin Co., Ltd. (甬金股份) [8] - Changbao Steel (常宝股份) [8] - Wujin Stainless Steel (武进不锈) [2][8].

Market Overview - On October 17, the general steel sector declined by 0.68% compared to the previous trading day, with Wujin Stainless Steel leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3839.76, down 1.95%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12688.94, down 3.04% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Lingang Co. (600231) saw a significant increase of 10.00%, closing at 2.42, with a trading volume of 596,400 shares and a transaction value of 142 million [1] - Other notable performers included Sansteel Minguang (002110) with a 1.90% increase, and Liugang Co. (601003) with a 1.73% increase [1] - Conversely, Wujin Stainless Steel (603878) experienced the largest drop of 8.54%, closing at 10.17, with a trading volume of 699,000 shares and a transaction value of 723 million [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The steel sector experienced a net outflow of 337 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 244 million [2] - The main funds showed a significant net inflow in Liugang Co. (649.51 million) and Lingang Co. (586.69 million), while experiencing outflows in Wujin Stainless Steel and other companies [3] - Retail investors primarily contributed to the net inflow in stocks like Wujin Stainless Steel and Sansteel Minguang, despite overall sector outflows [3]

Core Viewpoint - The steel sector experienced a significant surge in early trading on October 17, with notable gains in several companies, indicating a positive market sentiment in the industry [2] Company Summaries - Lingang Co., Ltd. reached the daily limit up, reflecting strong investor confidence and demand [2] - Jinling Mining saw an increase of over 5%, contributing to the overall positive performance of the steel sector [2] - Other companies such as Liugang Co., Hainan Mining, and Dazhong Mining also experienced upward movement, indicating a broader rally within the steel industry [2]

Group 1 - The steel sector experienced a significant rise on October 17, with companies like Guangdong Mingzhu and Lingang Co. reaching the daily limit, while others like Jinggong Steel Structure and Hainan Mining saw increases of over 4% [1] - The China Iron and Steel Association held a meeting on October 15 to discuss the "14th Five-Year" development plan, indicating a general downward trend in domestic steel demand during this period, emphasizing the need for production adjustment in response to carbon emission regulations [1] - The association highlighted opportunities for market expansion, particularly in green steel structure buildings, which are seen as having unmatched advantages under high-quality development requirements [1] Group 2 - Guotai Junan Securities noted that over 40% of steel companies are currently operating at a loss, indicating a market clearing process is beginning [2] - The recently released "Steel Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" emphasizes continued production reduction policies to support advanced enterprises and phase out inefficient capacities, aiming for a balance between supply and demand [2] - Long-term trends in the steel industry point towards increased concentration and a focus on high-quality development, with companies that have product structure and cost advantages expected to benefit significantly [2]

证券之星消息，10月15日普钢板块较上一交易日上涨0.07%，武进不锈领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3912.21，上涨1.22%。深证成指报收于13118.75，上涨1.73%。普钢板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603878 | 武进不锈 | 12.36 | 7.85% | 77.57万 | 9.11亿 | | 600581 | 八一钢铁 | 4.77 | 3.25% | 77.22万 | 3.69亿 | | 600808 | 司钢股份 | 4.19 | 3.20% | 133.50万 | 5.53亿 | | 600782 | 新钢股份 | 4.20 | 1.69% | 55.12万 | 2.32亿 | | 600231 | 凌钢股份 | 2.26 | 1.35% | 56.29万 | 1.28亿 | | 601003 | 柳钢股份 | 5.41 | 1.31% | 21.04万 | 1.13亿 | | 600569 | 安阳钢铁 | 2.33 | 1.30 ...