2025 年 04 月 11 日 结构升级夯实长期景气，新兴市场表现亮眼 ——一拖股份（601038.SH）公司事件点评报告 买入(维持) 事件 2025 年 3 月 27 日，一拖股份发布 2024 年年报，2024 年全年 营收 119.04 亿元，同比增长 3.21%；归母净利润 9.22 亿 元，同比下降 7.52%。 投资要点 ▌产品结构加速升级，支撑行业长期景气 据中国统计局数据， 2024 年全年大型拖拉机累计产量 11 万 台，中型拖拉机累计产量 24 万台；随着农业生产规模化水平 提升，大拖市场占比持续增长，2024 年大型拖拉机占比增长 至 22.85%，产品大型化趋势持续强化。政策端来看，"优机 优补" 差异化补贴机制，引导行业技术升级。同时，随着农 村人口结构变动及土地集中化趋势，行业将长期受益于农业 现代化。在政策与市场双重驱动下，农机产品呈现大型、高 效、智能化的发展态势。 ▌海外业务承压显韧性，渠道优化驱动逆势突破 受俄罗斯等关键市场出口量下滑拖累，一拖股份全年海外营 收同比减少 6.27%（2023 年为 9.85 亿元）。面对地缘政治风 险扰动，公司通过渠道精细化运营、强化本 ...

公司第九届董事会审核委员会： 黄绮汶（主席）、苗雨、徐立友 公司第九届董事会提名委员会： 王书茂（主席）、赵维林、黄绮汶 公司第九届董事会薪酬委员会： 徐立友（主席）、杨建辉、王书茂 公司第九届董事会战略投资及可持续发展委员会： 赵维林（主席）、魏涛、方宪法、徐立友 特此公告。 第一拖拉机股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 4 月 11 日 第一拖拉机股份有限公司 关于调整第九届董事会专门委员会委员的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 第一拖拉机股份有限公司（以下简称公司）于 2025 年 4 月 10 日召开第九 届董事会第三十四次会议，审议通过《关于调整公司第九届董事会专门委员会 委员的议案》，同意增补黄绮汶女士为公司第九届董事会审核委员会委员、第 九届董事会提名委员会委员，并担任董事会审核委员会主席；同意增补徐立友 先生为第九届董事会薪酬委员会委员，并担任主席。上述人员任期至公司第九 届董事会完成换届之日止。除上述调整外，公司第九届董事会专门委员会其他 成员保持不变。本次调整完成后，第九届董事会各专 ...

证券代码：601038 证券简称：一拖股份 公告编号：临 2025-17 第一拖拉机股份有限公司 关于董事会、监事会延期换届及部分独立董事辞任的 公司董事会及监事会延期换届不会影响公司正常运营。公司将积极推进新 一届董事会、监事会换届选举工作，并按照相关规定及时履行信息披露义务。 二、独立董事任期届满 根据《上市公司独立董事管理办法》、公司《章程》等相关规定，上市公 司独立董事占董事会成员的比例不得低于三分之一，独立董事在上市公司连续 任职时间不得超过六年。公司现任独立董事薛立品先生任期将于 2025 年 4 月 12 日届满且连任时间已六年，因此薛立品先生申请辞去公司独立董事、董事会审 核委员会主席、董事会薪酬委员会主席及董事会提名委员会委员职务，辞职报 告自送达公司董事会之日起生效。 薛立品先生确认与公司董事会无任何意见分歧，且无任何需要通知公司股 东的其他事项。薛立品先生辞任后，公司董事会由 8 名董事组成，其中独立董 事 3 名，公司董事会成员人数未低于法定人数，且公司独立董事人数未少于董 事会成员的三分之一。 薛立品先生担任公司独立董事期间恪尽职守、勤勉尽责，公司及公司董事 会对薛立品先生任职期间为 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責， 對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何 部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.43條而刊發。 第一拖拉機股份有限公司（「本公司」）的董事（「董事」）會（「董事會」）宣佈將於二零 二五年四月二十八日舉行董事會會議，以審議及批准（當中包括）本公司截至二零 二五年三月三十一日止三個月的第一季度業績以作刊發之用，以及處理任何其他事 項。 承董事會命 第一拖拉機股份有限公司 于麗娜 公司秘書 中國 • 洛陽 二零二五年四月十日 於本公告日期，董事會成員包括執行董事趙維林先生（董事長）及魏濤先生；非執行 董事方憲法先生、楊建輝先生及苗雨先生；以及獨立非執行董事王書茂先生、徐立 友先生及黃綺汶女士。 董事會會議召開日期 * 僅供識別 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future investment returns exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Views - The company experienced a slight increase in revenue but a decline in net profit, attributed to a weak agricultural machinery market and increased promotional efforts to gain market share [1][2]. - Long-term demand for agricultural machinery is expected to grow due to three main factors: government subsidies, land transfer policies, and stable grain prices, which enhance the attractiveness of machinery investments [3]. - The trend towards larger and higher-end tractors is evident, with the proportion of large tractors increasing from 19.4% in 2023 to 22.8% in 2024, indicating a shift in market dynamics [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 11.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, while net profit was 922 million yuan, a decrease of 7.5% [1]. - The sales gross margin was 14.8%, down 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 7.8%, down 0.9 percentage points [1]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue drop of 8.9% year-on-year and a significant 60.1% decline quarter-on-quarter, resulting in a net loss of 1.8 billion yuan [1]. Market Trends - The total tractor production in China for 2024 is projected at 489,000 units, a decrease of 11.3% year-on-year, marking the lowest level in three years [2]. - The company’s agricultural machinery business gross margin was 13.6%, down 0.7 percentage points, while the power machinery business gross margin increased by 1.2 percentage points to 11.0% [2]. Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 downwards by 19.3% and 22.7%, respectively, but anticipates benefiting from the ongoing trend towards high-end and large tractors [4]. - The report projects net profits of 1.05 billion yuan for 2025 and 1.14 billion yuan for 2026, with corresponding EPS of 0.94 yuan and 1.02 yuan [4][5]. - The company is expected to benefit from the growing trend of exporting agricultural machinery, with a 19.7% year-on-year increase in tractor exports in early 2025 [3].

[Table_StockNameRptType] 一拖股份（601038） 公司点评 盈利端短期承压，坚定看好出海+行业大型高端化 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025-04-02 | | 570 收盘价（元） | 13.75 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 20.49/13.03 | | 总股本（百万股） | 1123.65 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 731.71 | | 流通股比例（%） | 65.12 | | 总市值（亿元） | 154.50 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 100.61 | [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 一拖股份 沪深300 [分析师：张帆 Table_Author] 执业证书号：S0010522070003 邮箱：zhangfan@hazq.com 相关报告 ⚫ 投资建议 1.《国内农机领军者，立足中国，放眼 世界》2024-09-26 2.《业绩短期承压，看好未来长期发展》 2024-11-08 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 11.90 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.21%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.92 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.52% [4] - The company is focusing on enhancing its overseas market presence and high-end product offerings, despite short-term pressure on profitability [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 11.90 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.21% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.92 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 7.52% year-on-year [4] - The gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 14.78% and 7.82%, respectively, both showing a decrease [5] - The company sold 74,300 large and medium-sized tractors in 2024, marking a 2.73% increase year-on-year [6] - The company expects revenues of 12.56 billion yuan, 13.84 billion yuan, and 15.25 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [7] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 0.99 billion yuan, 1.09 billion yuan, and 1.20 billion yuan, respectively [7] Cost Management and Profitability - The company has optimized its cost management, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios at 1.31%, 2.98%, and 4.34%, respectively [5] - The increase in R&D expense ratio is attributed to investments in high-end, intelligent, and green technology projects [5] Market Position and Strategy - The company is enhancing its product lineup and market competitiveness, particularly in the tractor segment [6] - The company is expanding its overseas market strategy, including a contract for supplying 301 tractors to Nigeria [6]

Summary of China Yituo's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: China Yituo - **Fiscal Year**: 2024 - **Industry**: Agricultural Machinery Key Financial Performance - **Revenue**: CNY 11.904 billion, up 3.26% year-on-year [3] - **Total Profit**: CNY 1.052 billion, up 4.85% year-on-year [3] - **Net Profit**: CNY 922 million, down 7.52% year-on-year due to increased tax expenses [3] - **Sales Volume of Tractors**: 74,300 units, up 2.73% year-on-year [3] - **Large Tractors**: 34,700 units, up 12% [3] - **Medium Tractors**: 39,500 units, down approximately 5% [3] - **Gross Margin**: 13.58%, slightly down [3] Product Performance - **Export of Tractors**: 7,100 units, up 8.23% year-on-year, with significant decline in the Russian market due to scrappage tax policy [3][5] - **Diesel Engine Sales**: 146,000 units, with a 6% decline in external sales [6] - **Market Trends**: Shift from quantity expansion to quality improvement in the agricultural machinery industry [7] Future Outlook - **New Product Launches**: Introduction of power shift, electronic control, and CET products in 2025, expected to increase costs and prices [8] - **International Strategy**: New chairman focusing on channel and product layout to enhance internationalization and technological innovation [9][10] - **Dividend Policy**: Plans to maintain a stable dividend rate around 36% despite high capital expenditure [13][15] Challenges and Market Conditions - **Market Demand**: Continued insufficient demand into 2025, with farmers hesitant to purchase due to low grain prices [12] - **Competition**: Small enterprises using older machinery impacting mainstream market [12] - **Product Acceptance**: New products may face initial resistance from users, requiring strategic pricing and promotions [22][40] Investment and Capital Expenditure - **2025 Capital Expenditure**: Estimated at CNY 500 million, focusing on high-end products and international market expansion [35][36] - **Long-term Investment Strategy**: Maintaining investment intensity to support technological upgrades and capacity expansion [36] Export and International Trade - **Export Goals for 2025**: Targeting at least 20% growth in exports, with opportunities in South America, Africa, and Central and Eastern Europe [42] - **International Trade Initiatives**: Strengthening overseas market development and increasing trade personnel [41] Conclusion - **Industry Position**: China Yituo is navigating a challenging agricultural machinery market with a focus on innovation, international expansion, and maintaining shareholder value through stable dividends and strategic investments [44][47]

[Table_Tag] [投Table_Summary] 资要点 ◼ 事件：2025 年 3 月 27 日，公司发布 2024 年年度报告。 ◼ 促销导致业绩略低于预期，看好粮价回暖带动行业景气度上行 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·专用设备 一拖股份（601038） 2024 年报点评：业绩略低于市场预期，长期 看好行业大型化、高端化 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 11534 | 11904 | 13176 | 14457 | 15914 | | 同比（%） | (8.20) | 3.21 | 10.68 | 9.72 | 10.08 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 997.02 | 922.02 | 1,022.25 | 1,122.68 | 1,254.70 | | 同比（%） | 46.39 | (7.52) | 10.87 | 9.82 | 11.76 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·专用设备 一拖股份（601038） 2024 年报点评：业绩略低于市场预期，长期 看好行业大型化、高端化 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 11534 | 11904 | 13176 | 14457 | 15914 | | 同比（%） | (8.20) | 3.21 | 10.68 | 9.72 | 10.08 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 997.02 | 922.02 | 1,022.25 | 1,122.68 | 1,254.70 | | 同比（%） | 46.39 | (7.52) | 10.87 | 9.82 | 11.76 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.89 | 0.82 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.12 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 15.55 | 16.82 | 15.17 | 13.81 | 12.36 | [Table ...