智通财经APP获悉，信达证券发布研报称，聚焦政策抬升天花板与设备端"先行兑现"的投资机会。2026 年中小盘的机会可沿两条主线系统化挖掘：一是政策抬升行业天花板与交易结构优化带来的估值与基本 面双重重估；二是先进智造/新兴产业的设备端在技术节点前后"订单—交付—现金流"加速兑现的先行 收益。筛选维度上，优先锁定政策有明确信号、并购落地路径清晰、打新收益改善的交易结构，以及在 固态电池、半导体设备、人形机器人/具身智能、AIDC配套等方向具备订单与量产验证的设备龙头与平 台化公司。 风险因素：宏观经济增速不及预期风险、行业竞争加剧风险、终端需求疲软风险、原材料价格上涨风 险、流动性与市场交易风险。 具身智能硬件：潜在技术突破有望抬升硬件需求强度 具身智能硬件是"智能体落地"的确定性主线，政策自上而下明确其为未来产业，产业链呈"上游基础支 撑—中游本体集成—下游场景服务"全栈协同，硬件环节与软件基础设施深度耦合，构成投资框架的底 盘。其中，端侧"双层控制器（AI决策SoC+实时运动控制）+场景化数据闭环"是工程化落地的标准路 径，该行认为2026年有望成为AI+机器人规模落地元年，硬件价值量与国产替代进程同步释放 ...

平安证券指出，非银金融行业中，证券板块近期市场景气度改善、交投活跃度维持高位，板块从估 值到业绩均具备β属性，全面受益。长期看资本市场新一轮改革周期开启，券商仍有较大发展增量空 间。中金公司"三合一"重大资产重组预案出炉，合并后主体有望发挥原有中金公司投资银行、私募股权 投资、机构业务、资产管理和国际化业务优势，吸收信达证券和东方证券在企业纾困、并购重整、区域 布局、零售客户上的特色资源，实现汇金系"投行+AMC资源"的深度协同，加快一流投资银行和投资机 构建设进程。 证券ETF（512880）跟踪的是证券公司指数（399975），该指数从A股市场中选取涉及证券经纪、 投资银行、资产管理等业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映证券行业相关上市公司证券的整体表 现。证券公司指数覆盖了各类证券相关业务，具有较强的周期性和市场敏感性，是衡量资本市场活跃度 的重要指标之一。 风险提示：数据来源wind、截至2025.12.19，证券ETF规模为568.02亿，在同类21只产品中排名第 一。提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供参考，不代 表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保 ...

Group 1: LPR and Monetary Policy - The last LPR quote for the year shows no change in both 1-year and 5-year rates, with only one interest rate cut in 2025 [1] - The Federal Reserve has cut rates three times this year, totaling a reduction of 75 basis points, contributing to the appreciation of the RMB against the USD [2][12] - This situation has reduced barriers for international capital flow into China and indicates significant monetary policy space for the upcoming year [13] Group 2: M&A Activity - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) is set to absorb and merge with both Xinda and Dongxing Securities [3][14] - The merger involves a complex share exchange where 1 share of Dongxing will convert to 0.4373 shares of CICC, and 1 share of Xinda will convert to 0.5188 shares of CICC [15] - Current share prices indicate a discrepancy, with Dongxing's implied post-merger price at 15.77 CNY and Xinda's at 18.71 CNY, while their actual prices are 14.21 CNY and 17.85 CNY, respectively, showing a price difference of 9.89% and 4.6% [6][15] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Strategies - The price difference arises from two factors: uncertainty regarding the execution of the merger and the time required for regulatory approvals [7][16] - If the merger is successful, the share prices of Xinda and Dongxing are expected to converge towards their implied merger prices as the execution date approaches [16] - Investors can consider strategies such as buying Xinda or Dongxing while shorting CICC to lock in the price difference, although this involves risks if the merger fails [7][16] Group 4: Cash Exit Options - Shareholders of Xinda and Dongxing have the option to choose cash instead of shares if they do not wish to become shareholders of CICC, which is a protective measure for shareholders [18] - The cash exit prices are set at 34.8 CNY for CICC, 17.79 CNY for Xinda, and 13.13 CNY for Dongxing, with hidden cash exit prices calculated based on the share exchange ratios [19] - Various strategies can be employed around these cash exit prices, including buying below the cash exit price and selling at the hidden cash exit price [19]

封关政策显著带动海南旅游市场升温，机票预订量迎来快速增长。2026年元旦期间，飞往海口、三亚的 机票预订量同比分别增长19%/51%，其中三亚作为核心免税目的地，机票需求增幅领先。国际客流同样 表现强劲，海口入境国际机票订单量增长超40%，2026年春节飞往海口的国际机票销售量更是同比翻 倍，俄罗斯、新加坡、澳大利亚等国成为主要客源地。旅游客流的持续涌入，为离岛免税消费提供了充 足的需求支撑，形成"旅游+免税"的良性互动格局。 信达证券（601059）发布研报称，海南自由贸易港于2025年12月18日正式启动全岛封关运作，封关运作 带来的政策红利直接惠及离岛免税消费领域。建议关注：商社免税赛道及海南板块相关标的：中国中免 （601888）(601888.SH，海南离岛免税龙头，全牌照+全渠道布局)、王府井（600859）(600859.SH， 2020年获离岛免税牌照，运营万宁王府井国际免税港，"免税+有税"双轨运营)、海南机场（600515） (600515.SH，机场流量+物业+参股三重参与，参股海口美兰机场免税店)、珠免集团（600185）(有税 +跨境为主，与三亚旅文集团合资运营"珠海免税-三亚旅投商 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector [7]. Core Insights - The non-bank sector has shown strong performance this week, with notable developments in the brokerage sector, including the merger plans of China International Capital Corporation (CICC) with Dongxing and Xinda, indicating a further acceleration of supply-side reforms in the industry. The insurance sector is also seeing regulatory advancements with the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) seeking public opinion on the draft asset-liability management guidelines for insurance companies. The report suggests that the long-term outlook is positive, with improved return on equity (ROE) and valuation recovery expected, making the sector increasingly attractive for investment [2][4]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with stable profit growth and dividend rates, such as Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, which have strong market positions and business models. Additionally, it highlights companies like New China Life, China Life, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Caifu, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings based on their earnings elasticity and valuation levels [4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 2.9% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 by 3.2%. Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index is up 9.8%, but underperformed the CSI 300 by 6.3% [5]. - The average daily trading volume in the market decreased to 17,604.84 billion yuan, down 9.86% week-on-week, with a daily turnover rate of 1.83%, down 19.91 basis points [5]. Industry News and Company Announcements - Key announcements include the merger plans of CICC with Dongxing and Xinda, and the CBIRC's public consultation on insurance asset-liability management guidelines. The report also notes the upcoming dividend announcements from Huaxi Securities, CICC, and Shenwan Hongyuan [6][19]. Insurance Sector Insights - In October 2025, the cumulative insurance premium income reached 548.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.99%. Life insurance premiums grew by 9.56%, while property insurance premiums increased by 4.02% [23][24]. - The total assets of insurance companies reached 40.59 trillion yuan, with life insurance companies holding 35.68 trillion yuan, reflecting a 0.68% increase [27][28]. Brokerage Sector Insights - The report highlights a decline in the overall equity market, with the CSI 300 index down 0.28% and the ChiNext index down 2.26%. The brokerage sector's investment assets are primarily in bonds, with equity investments comprising about 10%-30% [40][46]. - Margin trading balances decreased to 2.50 trillion yuan, down 0.34% week-on-week, indicating a cautious approach to stock pledge business due to previous credit risks [49]. Financing and Asset Management - In November 2025, equity financing reached 50.65 billion yuan, while bond financing totaled 706 billion yuan, indicating a recovery in financing activities [53]. - The report notes a rebound in the issuance of collective asset management products, with 4.387 billion units issued in November, up 4.1% from the previous month [55].

格隆汇12月22日丨气派科技(688216.SH)公布，2025年12月22日，公司已收到信达证券聚合2号出具的 《股份减持计划实施结果告知函》，信达证券聚合2号本次披露的减持计划期限已届满，在本次减持计 划期间，信达证券聚合2号减持股份16,100股，占公司总股本的0.0150%，本次减持结束后，信达证券聚 合2号持有公司股份5,343,900股，占公司总股本的4.9999%，不再是公司持股5%以上的股东。 ...

格隆汇12月22日丨气派科技(688216.SH)公布，2025年12月22日，公司已收到信达证券聚合2号出具的 《股份减持计划实施结果告知函》，信达证券聚合2号本次披露的减持计划期限已届满，在本次减持计 划期间，信达证券聚合2号减持股份16,100股，占公司总股本的0.0150%，本次减持结束后，信达证券聚 合2号持有公司股份5,343,900股，占公司总股本的4.9999%，不再是公司持股5%以上的股东。 ...

证券研究报告 金融行业周报 ——中金公司重组预案出炉，中央财办进一步明确政策导向 证券分析师 袁喆奇S1060520080003（证券投资咨询） 李冰婷S1060520040002（证券投资咨询） 许 淼S1060525020001（证券投资咨询） 研究助理 李灵琇S1060124070021（一般证券业务） 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 2025年12月22日 1 1、中金公司"三合一"重大资产重组预案出炉。12月17日晚间，中金公司与东兴证券、信达证券同步披露重大资产重组预 案，中金公司换股吸收合并两家公司的交易定价与方案明晰。3家上市券商A股股票均于12月18日开市起复牌。本次合并后主 体有望在发挥原有中金公司投资银行、私募股权投资、机构业务、资产管理和国际化业务优势的基础上，吸收信达证券和东 方证券在企业纾困、并购重整、区域布局、零售客户上的特色资源，新主体资本金得到进一步补充的情况下，有望充分发挥 AMC产业优势和股东赋能，实现汇金系"投行+AMC资源"的深度协同，加快一流投资银行和投资机构建设进程。 2、中央财办详解2025年中央经济工作会议精神。12月16日，中央财办有关负责同志详解年中央经济工作会 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the express delivery industry is experiencing a recovery in performance due to price increases and seasonal volume growth, with a recommendation for leading companies like SF Holding and Zhongtong Express [1][5] - In November, the express delivery business volume grew by 5.0% year-on-year, with a cumulative total of 1,807.4 billion parcels from January to November, reflecting a 14.9% increase year-on-year [2][3] - The average unit price for SF Holding increased by 0.29 yuan in November, indicating a shift from scale-driven growth to value-driven growth, which is beneficial for profit margin recovery [3][4] Group 2 - The express delivery industry saw a significant price increase of 1.9% month-on-month in November, with the average unit price at 7.62 yuan, although it remains down 8.3% year-on-year [4] - The competitive landscape is changing, with a focus on high-quality development and a notable shift in market dynamics due to the "anti-involution" trend, which has led to price recovery since August [5] - The market share for express delivery companies from January to November shows that Zhongtong holds 15.6%, Shentong 13.1%, Yunda 13.0%, and SF Holding 8.4%, with SF Holding gaining 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that mergers and acquisitions (M&A) are effective means for securities firms to achieve external growth, enhance industry competitiveness, optimize resource allocation, and promote healthy market development under the trend of policy-driven high-quality development in the securities industry [1][2] - The report highlights that the merger and acquisition activity will help increase industry concentration and create scale effects, suggesting a focus on potential acquisition targets and leading securities firms [1][2] Group 2 - On December 17, major asset restructuring proposals were announced by China International Capital Corporation (CICC), Dongxing Securities, and Xinda Securities, with CICC planning to absorb and merge the other two firms through a share swap [2] - The share swap prices are set at 36.91 CNY per share for CICC, 16.14 CNY for Dongxing Securities, and 19.15 CNY for Xinda Securities, with respective swap ratios of 1:0.4373 and 1:0.5188 [2] - The restructuring involves both A-share and H-share listed companies, enhancing resource integration and scale effects, which will strengthen customer coverage and regional layout [3] Group 3 - Post-merger, CICC's estimated operating revenue is projected to reach approximately 27.4 billion CNY, with the number of outlets increasing from 245 to 436 and retail clients rising from 9.72 million to over 14 million [4] - The merger is expected to enhance CICC's overall strength, optimize business layout, and improve core competitiveness in capital strength, customer base, and comprehensive services [4][5] - The integration of CICC with Dongxing and Xinda Securities will leverage their differentiated advantages in network coverage, customer base, and capital strength, facilitating comprehensive financial solutions for a broader client base [5]