Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the banking sector, suggesting that several banks are undervalued based on their asset quality and excess provisioning metrics [4][3]. Core Insights - The valuation premium of banks typically arises from their middle-income and liability advantages, while valuation discounts are often due to concerns over asset quality [2][10]. - The report introduces two key indicators: "broad non-performing asset ratio" and "excess provisioning profit multiple" to objectively assess and compare the current asset quality status of banks [2][10]. - A total of 56 AH-listed banks are analyzed, expanding from the previous report's focus on 42 A-share listed banks, to provide a comprehensive overview of excess provisioning levels and trends [2][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Introduction: Significance of Asset Quality - The report emphasizes the importance of objectively assessing asset quality, as it significantly impacts bank valuations and performance [10]. 2. How to Objectively Assess Bank Non-Performing Assets - Traditional asset quality indicators may not accurately reflect the true provisioning situation due to inconsistent standards and incomplete coverage of assets [14]. - The report proposes a "broad non-performing asset ratio" to better capture the credit risk within banks [14][15]. 3. Construction of Excess Provisioning Profit Multiple Indicator - The excess provisioning profit multiple is constructed to measure the performance elasticity of banks, indicating their potential for future earnings recovery [7][14]. - The report highlights that banks with higher excess provisioning ratios, such as Hangzhou Bank, show strong risk mitigation capabilities [7][14]. 4. Valuation from the Perspective of Broad Excess Provisioning - The long-term correlation between bank valuation levels and ROE is noted, with excess provisioning contributing to performance and valuation improvements [3][4]. - Several banks, including Wuxi Bank and Agricultural Bank (H), are identified as being significantly above the PB-excess provisioning profit multiple regression line, indicating potential investment opportunities [3][4].

Core Insights - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a slight increase of 0.28% on October 17, with Jiangyin Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3839.76, down 1.95%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12688.94, down 3.04% [1] Stock Performance - Jiangyin Bank (002807) closed at 4.87, up 1.88% with a trading volume of 520,200 shares and a transaction value of 252 million [1] - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) closed at 4.46, up 0.90% with a trading volume of 560,500 shares and a transaction value of 250 million [1] - Other notable performances include: - Hunan Rural Commercial Bank (601825) at 8.86, up 0.57% [1] - Ruifeng Bank (601528) at 5.53, up 0.55% [1] - Yuanxi Bank (600908) at 6.16, up 0.16% [1] - Changshu Bank (601128) at 7.13, up 0.14% [1] - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank (601077) at 7.28, unchanged [1] - Zijin Bank (601860) at 2.90, down 0.34% [1] - Sunong Bank (603323) at 5.25, down 0.38% [1] - Qingnong Bank (002958) at 3.24, down 0.61% [1] Capital Flow - The rural commercial bank sector saw a net outflow of 182 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 240 million [1] - Detailed capital flow for selected banks includes: - Changshu Bank (601128) had a main fund net inflow of 24.33 million, with a retail net inflow of 16.99 million [2] - Ruifeng Bank (601528) had a main fund net inflow of 11.44 million, with a retail net inflow of 1.54 million [2] - Jiangyin Bank (002807) experienced a main fund net outflow of 18.85 million, but a retail net inflow of 35.68 million [2] - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) had a significant main fund net outflow of 53.27 million, with a retail net inflow of 37.39 million [2] - Hunan Rural Commercial Bank (601825) also faced a main fund net outflow of 55.29 million, with a retail net inflow of 36.06 million [2]

重慶農村商業銀行股份有限公司Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.*（「本行」）董 事會（「董事會」）茲通告謹定於2025年10月28日（星期二）舉行董事會會議，以審議及通過 （其中包括）本行及其附屬公司截至2025年9月30日止九個月的未經審核季度業績及其發 佈。 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其 準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容 而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. * * : 3618 董事會會議召開日期 * 本行經中國銀行業監督管理機構批准持有B0335H250000001號金融許可證，並經重慶市市 場監督管理局核准領取統一社會信用代碼為91500000676129728J的企業法人營業執照。本 行根據香港銀行業條例（香港法例第155章）並非一家認可機構，不受香港金融管理局監管， 及不獲授權在香港經營銀行╱接受存款業務。 承董事會命 重慶農村商業銀行股份有限公司* Chon ...

格隆汇10月16日丨重庆农村商业银行(03618.HK)发布公告，董事会谨定于2025年10月28日（星期二）举 行董事会会议，以审议及通过（其中包括）本行及其附属公司截至2025年9月30日止九个月的未经审核 季度业绩及其发布。 ...

中國•重慶，2025年10月16日 於本公告日期，本行執行董事為隋軍先生；本行非執行董事為胡淳女士、殷祥林先生及 彭玉龍先生；及本行獨立非執行董事為張橋雲先生、李明豪先生、李嘉明先生及畢茜女 士。 * 本行經中國銀行業監督管理機構批准持有B0335H250000001號金融許可證，並經重慶市市 場監督管理局核准領取統一社會信用代碼為91500000676129728J的企業法人營業執照。本 行根據香港銀行業條例（香港法例第155章）並非一家認可機構，不受香港金融管理局監管， 及不獲授權在香港經營銀行╱接受存款業務。 重慶農村商業銀行股份有限公司Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.*（「本行」）董 事會（「董事會」）茲通告謹定於2025年10月28日（星期二）舉行董事會會議，以審議及通過 （其中包括）本行及其附屬公司截至2025年9月30日止九個月的未經審核季度業績及其發 佈。 承董事會命 重慶農村商業銀行股份有限公司* Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.* 執行董事兼行長 隋軍 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易 ...

Market Performance - The rural commercial bank sector increased by 1.54% on October 16, with Jiangyin Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3916.23, up 0.1%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13086.41, down 0.25% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Jiangyin Bank (002807) closed at 4.78, up 2.14% with a trading volume of 462,300 shares and a transaction value of 2.19 billion [1] - Other notable performers include: - Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank (601825) at 8.81, up 1.85% [1] - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (601077) at 7.28, up 1.82% [1] - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) at 4.42, up 1.61% [1] - Suzhou Rural Bank (603323) at 5.27, up 1.15% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a net outflow of 114 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 117 million [1] - Detailed capital flow for individual stocks shows: - Changshu Bank (601128) had a net inflow of 20.74 million from institutional investors [2] - Jiangyin Bank (002807) had a net outflow of 7.53 million from institutional investors [2] - Suzhou Rural Bank (603323) had a significant net outflow of 26.89 million from institutional investors [2]

Core Viewpoint - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank has shown a significant increase in stock price and trading volume, indicating positive market sentiment and potential growth opportunities for investors [1][2]. Company Overview - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, established on June 27, 2008, and listed on October 29, 2019, primarily provides banking and related financial services [2]. - The bank operates through three business segments: corporate banking, personal banking, and financial markets [2]. - The revenue composition is as follows: retail banking 40.09%, corporate banking 31.46%, and financial markets 28.06% [2]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, the bank reported a net profit of 7.699 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.63% [2]. - The bank has distributed a total of 17.819 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 9.818 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 9.71% to 124,500, while the average circulating shares per person remained unchanged at 71,613 shares [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF, with the former reducing its holdings by 54.074 million shares [3]. Market Activity - On October 16, the bank's stock price increased by 2.10% to 7.30 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 485 million yuan and a market capitalization of 82.906 billion yuan [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has risen by 27.07%, with a 13.18% increase over the last five trading days [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the banking sector [5] Core Viewpoints - The external environment's uncertainty has increased, leading to a temporary decline in market risk appetite. This, combined with the insurance sector entering a peak season, has heightened demand for dividend allocation, creating opportunities for portfolio adjustments. The report is optimistic about the relative performance of the banking sector in Q4 2025 [3][22] - The report identifies two main investment themes: 1. High-quality small and medium-sized banks with stable fundamentals, including Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (601077, Buy), Chongqing Bank (601963, Not Rated), Nanjing Bank (601009, Buy), and Hangzhou Bank (600926, Buy) 2. Large state-owned banks with solid fundamentals and good defensive value, including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398, Not Rated), China Construction Bank (601939, Not Rated), and Agricultural Bank of China (601288, Not Rated) [3][22] Summary by Sections Social Financing and Credit Growth - In September 2025, social financing grew by 8.7% year-on-year, with a monthly increase of 3.53 trillion yuan, exceeding market expectations. However, this represents a year-on-year decrease of 2.3 billion yuan [8][9] - The structure of social financing shows a year-on-year decrease in RMB loans by 366.2 billion yuan, indicating weak credit demand and the ongoing impact of debt restructuring [9][10] - Government bonds also saw a year-on-year decrease of 347.1 billion yuan, although their issuance has accelerated this year [9] - Direct financing for enterprises increased by 240.3 billion yuan year-on-year, with bond financing up by 203.1 billion yuan, largely due to a low base effect from last year [9] Loan Growth Trends - Total RMB loans grew by 6.6% year-on-year in September 2025, with new loans of 1.29 trillion yuan, slightly below expectations and a year-on-year decrease of 300 billion yuan [13] - Residential loans decreased by 107.9 billion yuan year-on-year, while corporate loans increased by 200 billion yuan [13][14] - The report notes a significant decline in bill financing, which decreased by 471.2 billion yuan year-on-year, indicating a shift in corporate financing dynamics [14] Monetary Supply and Deposits - M1 growth improved significantly, rising by 7.2% year-on-year, while M2 grew by 8.4% [19] - In September, new RMB deposits totaled 2.21 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.53 trillion yuan, with household deposits increasing by 760 billion yuan [19][21] - The report highlights a trend of funds moving back to banks, with corporate deposits increasing by 149.4 billion yuan, while fiscal deposits decreased by 604.2 billion yuan [19]

Core Insights - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a slight increase of 0.23% on October 15, with Jiangyin Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3912.21, up 1.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13118.75, up 1.73% [1] Stock Performance - Jiangyin Bank (002807) closed at 4.68, with a rise of 1.30% and a trading volume of 386,700 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 180 million yuan [1] - Other notable banks included Wuxi Bank (600908) at 6.10, up 0.83%, and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank (601825) at 8.65, up 0.82% [1] - The overall trading volume and transaction values for various banks indicate active market participation, with total trading values reaching billions [1] Capital Flow - The rural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 7.22 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 70.83 million yuan [1] - Notably, the sector experienced a net outflow of 78.05 million yuan from speculative funds [1] - Individual bank capital flows showed mixed results, with some banks like Changshu Bank (601128) experiencing significant net outflows from institutional and speculative funds [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongfang Securities indicates that the recent adjustments in LPR and deposit rates have a neutral to positive impact on banks' net interest margins, with expectations for stable interest income performance in the near term [1][2]. Group 1: Net Interest Margin and Income - The net interest margin is expected to stabilize, supporting stable interest income performance. The LPR and deposit rate adjustments are projected to have a neutral to positive effect on net interest margins, with new loan rates remaining relatively firm [1][2]. - For Q3 2025, the growth rate of interest income for listed banks is forecasted to decline by 0.8% year-on-year, but will increase by 0.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, with state-owned banks showing a growth of 0.8 percentage points [2]. Group 2: Non-Interest Income Performance - Non-interest income is expected to show differentiation, with state-owned banks likely performing better due to significant growth in equity fund products and a shift in deposits from general to interbank deposits [3]. - The forecast for Q3 2025 indicates a 3.4% year-on-year growth in net fee income for listed banks, with state-owned banks expected to see a growth of 0.3 percentage points [3]. Group 3: Asset Quality and Credit Costs - Asset quality is anticipated to remain stable, with credit costs potentially returning to a downward trend. Despite a decline in loan growth, the write-off rate remains steady, which may support stable non-performing loan indicators [4]. - For Q3 2025, the forecast for impairment losses is a year-on-year decrease of 1.2%, with net profit growth of 0.7% year-on-year for listed banks [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on two investment themes: high-quality small and medium-sized banks with stable fundamentals, and large state-owned banks with good defensive value [5].