Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform" [2] Core Viewpoints - The overall operating income, pre-provision profit, and net profit growth rates for listed banks in the first three quarters of 2025 are 0.91%, 0.56%, and 1.48% respectively, indicating a recovery in performance driven by scale and an ongoing improvement in fee income [4][12] - The growth rate of interest-earning assets for listed banks is 9.40% year-on-year, with loans and debt investments increasing by 7.83% and 13.94% respectively [4][5] - The net interest margin for listed banks is stable at 1.35%, with a slight decline in state-owned banks, while other types of banks have stabilized [5] - Non-interest income has increased by 5.02% year-on-year, although it has seen a quarter-on-quarter decline due to adjustments in the bond market [5] - The asset quality is improving, with the non-performing loan ratio at 1.23%, showing a slight decrease from the previous half-year [5] Summary by Sections 1. Performance Recovery Driven by Scale and Fee Improvement - In the first three quarters of 2025, listed banks showed a growth in operating income, pre-provision profit, and net profit, with respective growth rates of 0.91%, 0.56%, and 1.48% [12] - City commercial banks outperformed other types of banks, while state-owned banks also showed positive growth [12] 2. Growth of Interest-Earning Assets and Slower Expansion of Liabilities - The year-on-year growth rate of interest-earning assets for listed banks is 9.40%, with loans and debt investments increasing by 7.83% and 13.94% respectively [4][5] 3. Stabilization of Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin for listed banks is stable at 1.35%, with a slight decline in state-owned banks [5] 4. Non-Interest Income Performance Affected by Bond Market Adjustments - Non-interest income increased by 5.02% year-on-year, but saw a quarter-on-quarter decline due to bond market adjustments [5] 5. Improvement in Asset Quality and Declining Credit Costs - The non-performing loan ratio for listed banks is 1.23%, showing a slight decrease from the previous half-year, with a significant decline in credit costs [5][12] 6. Investment Recommendations - Focus on banks with significant deposit maturities and potential for interest margin improvement, such as Chongqing Bank, China Merchants Bank, and Bank of Communications [6] - Attention to city commercial banks that will benefit from improvements in fixed asset investment, such as Jiangsu Bank, Qilu Bank, and Qingdao Bank [6]

本期债券于 2025 年 11 月 11 日簿记建档，并于 2025 年 11 月 13 日发行完毕。 本期债券发行规模为人民币 40 亿元，为 3 年期固定利率品种，票面利率为 1.83%。 本期债券的募集资金将全部用于发放小型微型企业贷款，为小微企业提供金 融服务，且优先用于投向科技创新类企业的贷款项目，加大对科技创新的支持力 度。 证券代码：601665 证券简称：齐鲁银行 公告编号：2025-078 齐鲁银行股份有限公司关于2025年 小型微型企业贷款专项金融债券发行完毕的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 经中国人民银行核准，齐鲁银行股份有限公司在全国银行间债券市场成功发 行"齐鲁银行股份有限公司 2025 年小型微型企业贷款专项金融债券"（以下简称 "本期债券"）。 特此公告。 齐鲁银行股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 11 月 13 日 1 / 1 ...

Group 1 - Qilu Bank has successfully issued "Qilu Bank Co., Ltd. 2025 Special Financial Bonds for Small and Micro Enterprises Loans" approved by the People's Bank of China [1] - The bond issuance was completed on November 13, 2025, with a total scale of RMB 4 billion and a fixed interest rate of 1.83% for a 3-year term [1] - The funds raised from this bond will be exclusively used for providing loans to small and micro enterprises, with a priority on projects related to technological innovation [1]

Core Points - The city commercial bank sector experienced a slight decline of 0.02% on November 13, with Changsha Bank leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4029.5, up 0.73%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13476.52, up 1.78% [1] Summary by Category Stock Performance - Ningbo Bank (002142) closed at 29.79, with an increase of 1.57% and a trading volume of 268,200 shares, totaling a transaction value of 792 million yuan [1] - Chongqing Bank (601963) closed at 11.43, up 0.70%, with a trading volume of 97,500 shares, totaling 111 million yuan [1] - Zhengzhou Bank (002936) closed at 2.06, up 0.49%, with a trading volume of 1,339,300 shares, totaling 273 million yuan [1] - Other banks such as Lanzhou Bank, Shanghai Bank, and Suzhou Bank showed minor fluctuations in their stock prices, with varying trading volumes and values [1] Capital Flow - The city commercial bank sector saw a net outflow of 67.9693 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 99.3293 million yuan [3] - Conversely, speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 166.7 million yuan [3]

Core Viewpoint - Qilu Bank's Binzhou Branch is innovating financial services to support the high-quality development of local private enterprises by focusing on green finance, technology innovation finance, and specialized financial products [1][2][4][6]. Green Finance - Under the "dual carbon" goals, Qilu Bank's Binzhou Branch is exploring innovative paths in green finance, creating localized green financial products to support the low-carbon transformation of traditional industries [2]. - By June 2025, the bank's green loan balance reached 1.2 billion yuan, a significant increase of 59% from the beginning of the year, indicating a strong commitment to green financing [3]. - The bank has implemented a sustainable development-linked loan scheme based on hydrogen recovery metrics, establishing a market-driven incentive mechanism that promotes a cycle of emission reduction, cost reduction, and efficiency enhancement [2]. Technology Innovation Finance - Qilu Bank's Binzhou Branch has introduced a "Technology Innovation Finance Marketing Toolkit" to provide tailored financial services for technology enterprises, addressing traditional financing challenges [4]. - The bank has supported over 160 technology enterprises, including five national-level specialized "little giant" companies, by offering flexible and expedited financing solutions [4]. - The bank's efficient service model allows for loan disbursement within one week, helping enterprises save approximately 60,000 yuan annually in financing costs [4]. Specialized Financial Products - The bank has developed a series of inclusive financial products tailored to local industries, such as the "Cookware Loan" for the commercial kitchenware sector, which addresses the unique financing needs of small and micro enterprises [6][7]. - The "Cookware Loan" product enabled a company to expand its production capacity by 40% and create 20 new jobs, demonstrating the effectiveness of the bank's targeted financial solutions [6]. - In the first half of the year, the bank's inclusive financial products saw an increase in deployment of 264 million yuan, showcasing the vitality and effectiveness of its specialized financial offerings [7].

Summary of Key Points Overall Credit Growth - The decline in credit growth is a reasonable phenomenon, reflecting changes in China's financial supply-side structure. The focus should be on social financing scale and money supply as more comprehensive indicators compared to bank loans [1][8]. - Factors contributing to the decline include local special bonds replacing financing platform loans, the reform of small and medium-sized banks, and the trend of long-term economic structural evolution [9][12]. - Since last year, local governments have issued 4 trillion yuan in special refinancing bonds, with approximately 60-70% used to repay bank loans [10]. - In 2024, financial institutions are expected to write off about 1.3 trillion yuan in loans, with over 1 trillion yuan already written off in the first nine months of this year [11]. - The decline in real estate loans and the low credit dependence of light asset industries make it difficult to fill the gap left by real estate [12]. Structural Emphasis - The monetary policy report emphasizes the "Five Major Articles," with increased focus on supporting county economies and personal credit repair [2][18]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" highlights technology finance as a key area, with policies aimed at breaking through economic growth ceilings and stabilizing macroeconomic environments [16]. - New measures include improving financial support mechanisms for county economic development and implementing policies for personal credit repair, which will not display certain default information in credit systems for individuals who have repaid loans [18][19]. Interest Rates - Maintaining a reasonable interest rate relationship is crucial, with new mortgage rates remaining stable [3][21]. - Continuous optimization of bank liability costs is necessary to lower financing costs for the real economy. The report notes that loan rates are decreasing faster than deposit rates, which compresses banks' net interest margins [21]. - As of September 2025, new loan rates for general loans, personal housing loans, and corporate loans are 3.67%, 3.06%, and 3.14%, respectively, with year-on-year declines of 48 basis points, 25 basis points, and 37 basis points [22]. Investment Recommendations - The banking sector is transitioning from a "pro-cyclical" to a "weak cyclical" phase, with a focus on the stability and sustainability of the sector [4]. - Two main investment lines are suggested: regional banks with strong certainty and high dividend stability, particularly in areas like Jiangsu, Shanghai, and Fujian [4].

Core Insights - The city commercial bank sector experienced a slight increase of 0.05% on November 12, with Changsha Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4000.14, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13240.62, down 0.36% [1] Stock Performance - Changsha Bank (601577) closed at 10.08, up 0.90% with a trading volume of 199,800 shares and a transaction value of 201 million yuan [1] - Shanghai Bank (601229) closed at 10.22, up 0.89% with a trading volume of 597,100 shares and a transaction value of 611 million yuan [1] - Other notable performances include: - Lanzhou Bank (001227) at 2.44, up 0.41% - Jiangsu Bank (616009) at 11.13, up 0.27% - Beijing Bank (601169) at 5.73, up 0.17% [1] Capital Flow - The city commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 220 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 200 million yuan [2] - Key capital flows include: - Jiangsu Bank (600919) with a net inflow of 10.4 million yuan from main funds [2] - Beijing Bank (601169) with a net inflow of 62.5 million yuan from main funds [2] - Shanghai Bank (601229) with a net inflow of 58.5 million yuan from main funds [2]

Core Insights - Multiple A-share listed banks have seen significant share purchases by executives and major shareholders since 2025, indicating confidence in the banking sector's long-term value [1][5] - Recent quarterly reports show that most city commercial banks have stabilized and improved their net interest margins compared to the end of the first half of the year [1] Group 1: Shareholder Activity - Over 10 banks have received share purchases from shareholders or executives, including Xiamen Bank, Suzhou Bank, Chengdu Bank, Chongqing Bank, Shanghai Bank, Everbright Bank, Lanzhou Bank, Postal Savings Bank, and Wuxi Bank, with city commercial banks being the majority [1] - On November 7, Qilu Bank reported that its directors, supervisors, and senior executives had collectively increased their holdings by approximately 3.15 million yuan, accounting for 90% of the planned increase [3] - Qingdao Bank's major shareholder, Guoxin Chanin Holdings, increased its stake through the Hong Kong Stock Connect, raising its total shareholding to 15.42%, making it the largest shareholder [5] Group 2: Financial Performance - Among the 42 listed banks, 35 reported a year-on-year increase in net profit for the first three quarters, with seven banks achieving double-digit growth, including Qingdao Bank, Qilu Bank, Hangzhou Bank, Jiangyin Bank, Changshu Bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, and Chongqing Bank [5] - The recent quarterly reports reflect a positive performance for banks this year, contributing to market confidence [5]

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector is experiencing a resurgence, with the bank ETF (512800) showing positive performance amidst market volatility, indicating strong buying interest and a favorable medium to long-term outlook [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The bank ETF (512800) closed up 0.48% today, with intraday premium trading reflecting positive buying sentiment [1]. - The ETF has shown a two-day consecutive increase and is positioned above all moving averages, suggesting an optimistic medium to long-term trend [1]. - The ETF's latest scale exceeds 20.4 billion, with an average daily trading volume of over 800 million this year, making it the largest and most liquid bank ETF in A-shares [4]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Individual bank stocks are mostly performing well, with Xi'an Bank rising nearly 3%, Agricultural Bank up over 2%, and several others, including Qingdao Bank and China Merchants Bank, also showing gains [2][3]. - Over 10 listed banks have seen significant share purchases by shareholders or executives this year, indicating strong market confidence [3]. Group 3: Investment Sentiment - The current market environment has led to a shift towards stable cash flow and high-dividend sectors, with banks expected to attract more investment due to their stable and high dividend characteristics [3]. - The banking sector is perceived as being in a high cost-performance zone, with the bank ETF tracking a price-to-book ratio of only 0.72, indicating a mid-low range compared to the past decade [4]. - The dividend yield of the index tracked by the bank ETF is 4.02%, significantly exceeding the risk-free rate of 1.8%, highlighting its "quasi-fixed income" nature [4].

Market Overview - The city commercial bank sector experienced a slight decline of 0.0% on November 11, with Shanghai Bank leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4002.76, down 0.39%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13289.0, down 1.03% [1] Individual Bank Performance - Xi'an Bank saw the highest increase in share price, closing at 4.14 with a rise of 2.73% [1] - Qingdao Bank and Qilu Bank also reported positive performance, with increases of 1.39% and 0.81% respectively [1] - Shanghai Bank, on the other hand, closed at 10.13, down 0.98%, indicating a significant decline in its stock price [2] Trading Volume and Capital Flow - The city commercial bank sector recorded a net inflow of 241 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 290 million yuan [2] - Jiangsu Bank attracted the highest net inflow from institutional investors at 113 million yuan, representing 11.75% of its trading volume [3] - In contrast, Zhengzhou Bank experienced a net outflow of 421,280 yuan from institutional investors, indicating a negative sentiment towards its stock [3]