Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Qilu Bank [4] Core Views - Qilu Bank's performance shows a marginal increase in growth rates, with revenue growth of 4.74% year-on-year in Q1 2025, compared to 4.57% for the entire year of 2024. Net profit growth for Q1 2025 is 16.44%, compared to 17.77% for 2024 [6][10] - The bank's asset quality continues to improve, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.17% in Q1 2025, down 2 basis points quarter-on-quarter and 8 basis points year-on-year [24] - The bank is focusing on county-level finance and innovation in financial services to maintain competitive advantages in a challenging environment [6] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - Q1 2025 revenue increased by 4.74% year-on-year, while net profit rose by 16.44% [10] - The bank's net interest margin decreased by 3 basis points to 1.48% in Q1 2025, with an annualized asset yield down by 15 basis points to 3.25% [14][16] Asset Quality - The NPL ratio and NPL generation rate are on a downward trend, with the NPL generation rate at 0.5% in Q1 2025, down 13 basis points from the previous quarter [24] - The provision coverage ratio increased to 324.09%, reflecting a strong buffer against potential loan losses [24] Loan and Deposit Growth - Q1 2025 saw a 14.3% year-on-year increase in deposits, with a stable growth trend in interest-bearing liabilities [17] - The loan growth rate for Q1 2025 was 12.6%, with corporate loans increasing by 18.1% [16] Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income decreased by 3.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, primarily due to a decline in other non-interest income [20] - Fee income, however, showed a positive growth of 8.4% year-on-year [20] Future Outlook - The report projects net profits of 56 billion, 62 billion, and 67 billion for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively, reflecting slight adjustments from previous estimates [6]

Core Viewpoint - Qilu Bank is actively cultivating and promoting a distinctive financial culture in China, integrating cultural elements into its core competitiveness to achieve high-quality development [1][2][5] Group 1: Cultural Development - Qilu Bank emphasizes the importance of deep learning to enhance ideological motivation, focusing on the internalization and transformation of financial culture [2] - The bank has established the "Qilu Lecture Hall" to improve employees' political literacy, professional skills, and innovative thinking, thereby supporting strategic implementation [2] - A strong atmosphere for promoting Chinese financial culture has been created internally through various activities and initiatives [2][6] Group 2: Practical Implementation - Qilu Bank is committed to practical actions that yield effective results, aligning with national financial service directives in areas such as technology, green finance, and inclusive finance [3][4] - The bank has launched innovative financial products like research loans and sustainable development-linked loans to support local economic growth and green transformation [4] - It has developed a comprehensive service system for enterprises, integrating various financial services to enhance digital finance capabilities [4] Group 3: Cultural Innovation - Qilu Bank focuses on creativity and innovation in its cultural initiatives, establishing a corporate culture system centered on "home culture" [5] - The bank has defined seven core cultural concepts and seven functional cultural principles to guide decision-making and service delivery [5] - It has achieved recognition in various competitions, reflecting its commitment to enhancing the public's understanding and trust in the financial industry [5]

Core Viewpoint - Qilu Bank is experiencing steady growth in asset scale, profitability, and asset quality, outperforming industry averages, but faces challenges such as declining growth rates and regulatory penalties [2][3][5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Qilu Bank achieved operating income of 12.496 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.55%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.986 billion yuan, up 17.77% [2][3]. - Revenue growth has slowed for three consecutive years, with growth rates of 28.11%, 8.82%, 8.03%, and 4.55% from 2021 to 2024 [3]. - Interest income remains the primary source of revenue, contributing 9.031 billion yuan in 2024, a 1.73% increase, while non-interest income, particularly from investment gains, has become a significant growth driver [3][5]. Asset Quality - Qilu Bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improved to 1.19% by the end of 2024, down 0.07 percentage points from the previous year, while the coverage ratio increased to 322.38% [5][6]. - The bank's corporate loans grew by 15.51% to 240.289 billion yuan, with the corporate loan NPL ratio decreasing to 0.95% [6]. Regulatory Issues - Qilu Bank faced significant regulatory penalties totaling 14.9513 million yuan for multiple violations in credit management, marking the largest penalty for a city commercial bank in 2024 [7][8]. - The penalties highlight weaknesses in internal control and compliance across various business lines [8]. Market Confidence - The bank has experienced significant shareholder reductions, with major shareholder Chongqing Huayu Group reducing its stake, raising concerns about market confidence [9][10]. - Despite a 51.35% increase in stock price from March 2024 to March 2025, the current price remains below its historical high of 11.66 yuan per share [10]. Future Outlook - Qilu Bank plans to implement a mid-year dividend policy, distributing a total of 1.286 billion yuan, which is 27.62% of its net profit for 2024, while focusing on strengthening core capital to address external challenges [11]. - The bank aims to balance growth and compliance, emphasizing the need to enhance retail business and internal controls to maintain its competitive edge in the regional banking sector [11].

Core Insights - Qilu Bank's revenue growth for 2024 is projected at 4.6%, with a net profit growth of 17.8%, indicating strong financial performance [1] - The bank's asset quality continues to improve, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.19% at the end of 2024, down from the beginning of the year [1][5] Financial Performance - For 2024, interest income growth is at 1.7%, recovering from a decline of 2.1% in the first three quarters, while non-interest income growth is at 12.7% [2] - The bank's net interest margin for 2024 is reported at 1.51%, with a decrease of 23 basis points year-on-year [4] - The bank's total loans grew by 12.3% in 2024, with corporate loans increasing by 15.5% and retail loans by 3.2% [3] Asset Quality - The bank's NPL generation rate decreased to 0.63%, reaching a new low since its listing, indicating improved asset quality [5] - The corporate loan NPL ratio has decreased, while the real estate sector shows an increase in NPLs, although its impact is limited due to its small proportion of total loans [5] Capital and Dividends - The bank's dividend payout ratio for 2024 is set at 26%, with an expected dividend yield of 4.5% [5] - The bank's valuation is currently at 0.71x 2025 price-to-book ratio, suggesting potential for capital growth [5]

Core Viewpoint - Qilu Bank has demonstrated balanced and coordinated development in scale, efficiency, and quality, achieving significant improvements in asset quality and delivering a high-quality development report for 2024 [1] Financial Performance - Total assets of Qilu Bank reached 6895.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.01% [2] - Operating income was 12.496 billion yuan, up 4.55% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.986 billion yuan, reflecting a 17.77% increase [1][2] - The bank's loan total was 3371.42 billion yuan, growing by 12.31%, and deposits reached 4395.41 billion yuan, increasing by 10.42% [2] Asset Quality Improvement - Non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.19%, down 0.07 percentage points from the previous year [3] - The coverage ratio for provisions rose to 322.38%, an increase of 18.80 percentage points, indicating enhanced risk mitigation capabilities [3] Business Structure Optimization - Qilu Bank's net interest income was 9.031 billion yuan, a 1.73% increase, while non-interest income grew by 12.70% to 3.465 billion yuan [2] - The proportion of fee and commission income in total revenue increased by 0.76 percentage points to 10.12% [2] Shareholder Returns - The bank has a consistent cash dividend policy, proposing a cash dividend of 1.39 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, marking a 21% increase from the previous year [4] - Qilu Bank's stock price has seen significant appreciation, ranking among the top in A-share listed banks [4] Innovation and Strategic Focus - The bank focuses on serving urban and rural residents, small and medium enterprises, and local economic development, with a strong emphasis on inclusive finance, green finance, and technology finance [5][6] - Qilu Bank's inclusive finance loans reached 747.04 billion yuan, growing by 13.97%, with an average interest rate of 4.27% [6] Digital Transformation - Qilu Bank is actively embracing digital transformation, enhancing customer engagement and operational efficiency through data analysis and automation [9][10] - The bank has developed a digital talent framework and is fostering a team of over 500 data analysts to support its digital initiatives [11] Social Responsibility - The bank is committed to supporting local economic development, with a 15.51% increase in corporate loan balances and a 46.64% rise in loans to technology enterprises [12] - Qilu Bank has launched various initiatives to promote rural revitalization and enhance its corporate culture [13] Future Outlook - Qilu Bank aims to strengthen its market competitiveness and enhance its strategic business pillars by focusing on steady progress and innovation [14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for Qilu Bank, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance relative to market benchmarks [10]. Core Views - Qilu Bank's revenue and net profit have shown consistent growth, with 2024 revenue increasing by 4.6% year-on-year and net profit rising by 17.8%. In Q1 2025, revenue grew by 4.7% and net profit by 16.5% [2][3]. - The bank's asset quality is improving, as evidenced by a decrease in the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio to 1.17% in Q1 2025, down 2 basis points from the previous quarter. The provision coverage ratio has increased to 324.1% [2][5][9]. - Qilu Bank's loan growth remains robust, with a year-on-year increase of 12.6% in 2024 and 12.3% in Q1 2025, primarily driven by corporate loans [4][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Qilu Bank's revenue for 2024 was reported at 125 billion, with a projected growth rate of 4.6% for 2025. The net profit for 2024 was 50 billion, with a growth rate of 17.8% [11]. - The bank's net interest income increased by 7.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, contributing to stable revenue growth [3]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio has shown a downward trend, with a current rate of 1.17% and a provision coverage ratio of 324.1%, indicating a strong buffer against potential loan losses [5][9]. - The bank's retail loan NPL ratio has increased to 2%, reflecting broader industry trends, while corporate loan NPL rates remain stable [9]. Loan and Deposit Growth - Qilu Bank's total loans reached 3,371 billion in 2024, with a significant portion allocated to infrastructure and wholesale retail sectors [4][11]. - The bank's deposit growth is also strong, with a projected increase of 10.4% in 2025 [11]. Future Outlook - The bank is expected to maintain a high growth trajectory, with projected net profit growth rates of 16.9%, 15.2%, and 14.9% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10][11]. - The report anticipates that the narrowing of interest margin declines will further support profitability [10].

证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 04 月 28 日 齐鲁银行（601665.SH） 业绩高增，成长银行 总量研究/银行 齐鲁银行披露 2024 年度报告及 2025 年一季报，2024 全年营收、PPOP、归母 利润同比增速分别为 4.55%、3.05%、17.77%；2025Q1 营收、PPOP、归母 净利润同比分别增长 4.72%、4.36%、16.47%，归母净利润保持 16%以上的高 增长，业绩成长性较强。从累计业绩驱动看，24A 规模扩张、中收、其他非息、 拨备计提形成主要正贡献，净息差、成本收入比上升、有效税率上升形成拖累。 25Q1 净息差业绩拖累下降，其他非息业绩贡献转负，拨备计提依旧形成正贡献。 核心观点： 亮点：（1）资负扩表继续提速。资产端，24 年/25Q1 生息资产同比增速分别 为 13.65%/15.71%，其中，24 年/25Q1 贷款同比增速分别为 12.31%/12.60%， 贷款增速相对稳定，个人贷款增长偏弱，考虑到 24 年个人贷款不良率上升较多， 预计公司个人贷款结构有所调整，对公贷款 25Q1 末依旧保持 18%的高增长。 另外，公司投资类资产 25Q1 ...

齐鲁银行（601665.SH）：业绩保持 高增，资产质量改善 ——2024 年年报及 2025 一季报点评 事件：4 月 25 日，齐鲁银行公布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报。 2024 年、1Q25 营收同比增速分别为+4.6 %、+4.7%；归母净利润同 比增速分别为+17.8%、16.5%。一季度末不良贷款率 1.17%、环比下 降 2bp；拨备覆盖率 324.1%、环比提高 1.68pct。 点评： 1Q25 规模支撑营收平稳增长，拨备反哺净利润保持双位数增长。 2025 年 4 月 28 日 推荐/维持 齐鲁银行 公司报告 公司简介： 齐鲁银行成立于 1996 年 6 月 6 日，是全国首 批、山东省首家设立并引进境外战略投资的城商 行。战略布局根植济南，立足山东，辐射天津、 河南、河北。2021 年 6 月 18 日，齐鲁银行在上 海 证 券 交 易 所 正 式 挂 牌 上 市 （ 股 票 代 码 601665.SH）。国内主体信用评级达到 AAA 最高 等级，连续多年获得山东省地方金融企业绩效评 价"AAA 优秀"等级、济南市高质量发展考核市 管企业一等奖。齐鲁银行坚守"服务城乡居民、 ...

证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 26 年 月 日 齐鲁银行（601665.SH） 资产质量持续向好，分红比例提升至 28% 事件：齐鲁银行披露 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报，2024 年实现营收 125 亿元，同比增长 4.55%，归母净利润 50 亿元，同比增长 17.77%。2025 年一季度实现营收 32 亿元，同比增长 4.72%，归母净利润 14 亿元，同比 增长 16.47%。2025Q1 末不良率、拨备覆盖率分别为 1.17%、324.06%， 较上年末分别下降 2bps、提升 1.7pc。此外，2024 年分红比例达 27.62% （2023 年为 26.73%）。 1、业绩表现：25Q1 息差同比降幅收窄 25Q1 营业收入、归母净利润增速分别为 4.72%、16.47%，分别较 24A 提 升 0.2pc、下降 1.3pc，其中净息差降幅收窄、成本费用节约对业绩增长形 成正向贡献，具体来看： 1）利息净收入：同比增长 7.89%，较 24A 增速提升 6.2pc，24A 净息差 为 1.51%，较 24H 下降 3bps，2024 年息差降幅 ...

Core Insights - Qilu Bank reported a revenue of 12.496 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.55% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 4.986 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 17.77% [1] - Basic earnings per share were 0.97 yuan, reflecting an 11.49% growth compared to the previous year [1] Revenue Breakdown - Interest income amounted to 9.031 billion yuan, up 1.73% year-on-year, accounting for 72.27% of total revenue [1] - Net fee and commission income was 1.264 billion yuan, increasing by 12.97%, representing 10.12% of total revenue [1] - Other non-interest income reached 2.201 billion yuan, with a growth of 12.55%, making up 17.61% of total revenue [1] - Investment income specifically was 1.746 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 12.67% [1] County Market Expansion - By the end of 2024, Qilu Bank's county branch deposits totaled 134.414 billion yuan, a growth of 16.87% from the previous year [2] - Loan balances in county areas reached 99.933 billion yuan, marking a 15.49% increase [2] - The number of county customers grew to 2.2451 million, up 13.05% year-on-year [2] - The bank established 3 new primary county branches, bringing the total to 83, and set up 62 county inclusive finance centers [2] - Qilu Bank launched 80 differentiated products under the "one county, one product" model to cater to local economic needs [2] Employee Compensation - Business and management expenses for Qilu Bank were 3.413 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.50% increase [2] - Employee compensation expenses reached 1.938 billion yuan, an increase of 155 million yuan from the previous year [2] - Qilu Bank has seen employee compensation grow for 8 consecutive years from 2016 to 2024 [2]