Core Viewpoint - Qilu Bank has demonstrated balanced and coordinated development in scale, efficiency, and quality, achieving significant improvements in asset quality and delivering a high-quality development report for 2024 [1] Financial Performance - Total assets of Qilu Bank reached 6895.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.01% [2] - Operating income was 12.496 billion yuan, up 4.55% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.986 billion yuan, reflecting a 17.77% increase [1][2] - The bank's loan total was 3371.42 billion yuan, growing by 12.31%, and deposits reached 4395.41 billion yuan, increasing by 10.42% [2] Asset Quality Improvement - Non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.19%, down 0.07 percentage points from the previous year [3] - The coverage ratio for provisions rose to 322.38%, an increase of 18.80 percentage points, indicating enhanced risk mitigation capabilities [3] Business Structure Optimization - Qilu Bank's net interest income was 9.031 billion yuan, a 1.73% increase, while non-interest income grew by 12.70% to 3.465 billion yuan [2] - The proportion of fee and commission income in total revenue increased by 0.76 percentage points to 10.12% [2] Shareholder Returns - The bank has a consistent cash dividend policy, proposing a cash dividend of 1.39 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, marking a 21% increase from the previous year [4] - Qilu Bank's stock price has seen significant appreciation, ranking among the top in A-share listed banks [4] Innovation and Strategic Focus - The bank focuses on serving urban and rural residents, small and medium enterprises, and local economic development, with a strong emphasis on inclusive finance, green finance, and technology finance [5][6] - Qilu Bank's inclusive finance loans reached 747.04 billion yuan, growing by 13.97%, with an average interest rate of 4.27% [6] Digital Transformation - Qilu Bank is actively embracing digital transformation, enhancing customer engagement and operational efficiency through data analysis and automation [9][10] - The bank has developed a digital talent framework and is fostering a team of over 500 data analysts to support its digital initiatives [11] Social Responsibility - The bank is committed to supporting local economic development, with a 15.51% increase in corporate loan balances and a 46.64% rise in loans to technology enterprises [12] - Qilu Bank has launched various initiatives to promote rural revitalization and enhance its corporate culture [13] Future Outlook - Qilu Bank aims to strengthen its market competitiveness and enhance its strategic business pillars by focusing on steady progress and innovation [14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for Qilu Bank, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance relative to market benchmarks [10]. Core Views - Qilu Bank's revenue and net profit have shown consistent growth, with 2024 revenue increasing by 4.6% year-on-year and net profit rising by 17.8%. In Q1 2025, revenue grew by 4.7% and net profit by 16.5% [2][3]. - The bank's asset quality is improving, as evidenced by a decrease in the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio to 1.17% in Q1 2025, down 2 basis points from the previous quarter. The provision coverage ratio has increased to 324.1% [2][5][9]. - Qilu Bank's loan growth remains robust, with a year-on-year increase of 12.6% in 2024 and 12.3% in Q1 2025, primarily driven by corporate loans [4][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Qilu Bank's revenue for 2024 was reported at 125 billion, with a projected growth rate of 4.6% for 2025. The net profit for 2024 was 50 billion, with a growth rate of 17.8% [11]. - The bank's net interest income increased by 7.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, contributing to stable revenue growth [3]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio has shown a downward trend, with a current rate of 1.17% and a provision coverage ratio of 324.1%, indicating a strong buffer against potential loan losses [5][9]. - The bank's retail loan NPL ratio has increased to 2%, reflecting broader industry trends, while corporate loan NPL rates remain stable [9]. Loan and Deposit Growth - Qilu Bank's total loans reached 3,371 billion in 2024, with a significant portion allocated to infrastructure and wholesale retail sectors [4][11]. - The bank's deposit growth is also strong, with a projected increase of 10.4% in 2025 [11]. Future Outlook - The bank is expected to maintain a high growth trajectory, with projected net profit growth rates of 16.9%, 15.2%, and 14.9% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10][11]. - The report anticipates that the narrowing of interest margin declines will further support profitability [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong recommendation for the company [5] Core Views - The company has demonstrated strong growth in revenue, PPOP, and net profit, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.55%, 3.05%, and 17.77% for 2024, and 4.72%, 4.36%, and 16.47% for Q1 2025, indicating robust performance [1][2] - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.17% as of Q1 2025, down 2 basis points from Q4 2024, and a provision coverage ratio of 324.06%, which has increased by 1.68 percentage points [3][4] - The company is benefiting from a favorable policy environment and a deepening inclusive finance strategy, leading to rapid scale expansion and solid performance compared to peers [3][4] Summary by Sections Performance - The company reported total revenue of 11,952 million in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 8.03%. For 2024, the revenue is projected to be 12,496 million, reflecting a growth of 4.55% [9][15] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is expected to reach 4,986 million, with a growth rate of 17.8% [9][15] Non-Interest Income - The company’s net fee and commission income grew by 13.0% in 2024 and maintained an 8.6% growth rate in Q1 2025, driven by improvements in transaction banking services [2][32] Interest Margin and Asset-Liability Management - The net interest margin for 2024 was reported at 1.51%, with a slight contraction of 3 basis points from the first half of 2024. The company managed to improve its funding cost, which mitigated the pressure from declining asset yields [2][3] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio as of Q1 2025 is 1.17%, showing a decrease from the previous quarter. The company has also seen a decline in the attention rate to 1.03% [3][4] Capital and Shareholder Information - The company has a total market capitalization of 30.5 billion, with a current share price of 6.3 yuan and a return on equity (ROE) of 10.8% [5][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for Qilu Bank, indicating a positive outlook based on its growth potential and improving asset quality [10]. Core Views - Qilu Bank's revenue and net profit have shown consistent growth, with 2024 revenue increasing by 4.6% year-on-year and net profit rising by 17.8%. In Q1 2025, revenue grew by 4.7% and net profit by 16.5% [2][3]. - The bank's asset quality is improving, as evidenced by a decrease in the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio to 1.17% in Q1 2025, down 2 basis points from the previous quarter, and an increase in the provision coverage ratio to 324.1% [2][5][9]. - Qilu Bank is expanding its credit offerings, with loan growth rates of 12.6% for 2024 and 12.3% for Q1 2025, primarily driven by corporate loans [4][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Qilu Bank's net interest income increased by 7.9% year-on-year, contributing to stable revenue growth. Non-interest income also saw positive growth, with fees and commissions rising by 8.6% [3][4]. - The bank's dividend payout ratio increased to 27.62% for 2024, translating to a dividend yield of 4.22% based on the closing price on April 25, 2025 [3]. Asset Quality - The overall asset quality is on an upward trend, with the NPL ratio decreasing and the coverage ratio improving. The bank's NPL generation rate is relatively low compared to peers [5][9]. - Retail loan quality has shown some deterioration, with the NPL ratio rising to 2%, but this is considered a common trend across the industry [9]. Growth Prospects - Qilu Bank is expected to maintain high growth rates in net profit, with projections of 16.9%, 15.2%, and 14.9% for 2025 to 2027, respectively. The bank's book value per share (BVPS) is also projected to grow steadily [10][11]. - The bank's rapid expansion in credit and improving asset quality are anticipated to support sustained profitability [10].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [12] Core Insights - The Longjiang Bank Index increased by 0.6% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.2% and underperforming the ChiNext Index by 1.4%. The banking sector's defensive attributes have gained traction due to a decline in market risk appetite [2][6] - The performance of listed banks remains stable, with city commercial banks exceeding expectations in their Q1 reports, supporting upward valuation adjustments. Notably, Chongqing Bank and Nanjing Bank reported significant year-on-year growth in net interest income of 28% and 18%, respectively, driven by a low base from last year and improved interest margins [2][7][29] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Longjiang Bank Index's performance reflects a shift towards defensive investments in the banking sector amid rising risk aversion. The index's performance is supported by the positive earnings reports from major banks [2][6] Earnings Reports - As of April 25, 2025, 15 A-share listed banks have disclosed their Q1 earnings. Most banks reported positive revenue growth, with only two banks experiencing declines. The net profit for all but one bank also showed positive growth. The asset quality remains stable, with non-performing loan ratios generally declining or stable [7][29] - The rebound in net interest income growth is a key highlight, with nine banks reporting year-on-year increases. The overall improvement in net interest margins is attributed to a significant reduction in funding costs [29][30] Dividend Yields - As of April 25, 2025, the average dividend yield for the five major state-owned banks in A-shares is 4.5%, with a spread of 280 basis points over the 10-year government bond yield. The H-shares have an average yield of 6.0%, with a spread of 435 basis points, indicating a more attractive yield in the H-share market [6][23] Monetary Policy Insights - The Central Political Bureau meeting on April 25, 2025, reiterated the need for timely interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions. The meeting emphasized the creation of new structural monetary policy tools to support technological innovation and consumption expansion [35][37]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Qilu Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - Qilu Bank reported a revenue of 12.5 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.55%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5 billion yuan, up 17.77% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue reached 3.2 billion yuan, growing 4.72% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.4 billion yuan, an increase of 16.47% year-on-year [1][10] - The bank's asset quality continues to improve, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.17% and a provision coverage ratio of 324.06% as of Q1 2025, showing a decrease of 2 basis points and an increase of 1.7 percentage points respectively compared to the end of the previous year [1][4] Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, net interest income grew by 7.89% year-on-year, with a narrowing decline in net interest margin, which was 1.51% in 2024, down 3 basis points from the second half of 2024. The decline in interest margin is attributed to significant improvements in the cost of liabilities [2] - Fee and commission income increased by 8.62% year-on-year, while other non-interest income decreased by 13.96% year-on-year, influenced by market fluctuations [3] - The bank's total assets and loans reached 716.4 billion yuan and 357.7 billion yuan respectively by the end of Q1 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 14.65% and 12.60% [5][10] Asset Quality - The NPL generation rate further declined in Q1 2025, with the NPL ratio at 1.17% and the attention ratio at 1.03%, indicating ongoing improvement in asset quality [4] - The NPL ratio for corporate loans decreased significantly, while personal loan NPLs saw a slight increase due to macroeconomic pressures [4] Financial Metrics - The bank's dividend payout ratio increased to 27.62% in 2024 from 26.73% in 2023, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders [1] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.19 yuan, with a net profit growth forecast of 15.83% [11][12]

Core Insights - Qilu Bank reported a revenue of 12.496 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.55% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 4.986 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 17.77% [1] - Basic earnings per share were 0.97 yuan, reflecting an 11.49% growth compared to the previous year [1] Revenue Breakdown - Interest income amounted to 9.031 billion yuan, up 1.73% year-on-year, accounting for 72.27% of total revenue [1] - Net fee and commission income was 1.264 billion yuan, increasing by 12.97%, representing 10.12% of total revenue [1] - Other non-interest income reached 2.201 billion yuan, with a growth of 12.55%, making up 17.61% of total revenue [1] - Investment income specifically was 1.746 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 12.67% [1] County Market Expansion - By the end of 2024, Qilu Bank's county branch deposits totaled 134.414 billion yuan, a growth of 16.87% from the previous year [2] - Loan balances in county areas reached 99.933 billion yuan, marking a 15.49% increase [2] - The number of county customers grew to 2.2451 million, up 13.05% year-on-year [2] - The bank established 3 new primary county branches, bringing the total to 83, and set up 62 county inclusive finance centers [2] - Qilu Bank launched 80 differentiated products under the "one county, one product" model to cater to local economic needs [2] Employee Compensation - Business and management expenses for Qilu Bank were 3.413 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.50% increase [2] - Employee compensation expenses reached 1.938 billion yuan, an increase of 155 million yuan from the previous year [2] - Qilu Bank has seen employee compensation grow for 8 consecutive years from 2016 to 2024 [2]

Core Viewpoint - Qilu Bank reported strong growth in revenue, PPOP, and net profit for 2024 and Q1 2025, with net profit growth exceeding 16% [1][6] Financial Performance - For 2024, revenue, PPOP, and net profit grew by 4.55%, 3.05%, and 17.77% respectively, while Q1 2025 figures showed growth rates of 4.72%, 4.36%, and 16.47% [1] - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) for 2024 was reported at 1.51%, with a slight contraction of 3 basis points from the first half of 2024 [4] - Non-interest income from fees and commissions increased by 13.0% in 2024 and maintained an 8.6% growth in Q1 2025, driven by improvements in transaction banking [4] Asset and Liability Management - The growth rate of interest-earning assets was 13.65% for 2024 and 15.71% for Q1 2025, with loans growing at 12.31% and 12.60% respectively [3] - Deposits showed a recovery with growth rates of 10.03% for 2024 and 14.24% for Q1 2025 [4] - Investment assets increased by 19.13% year-on-year as of Q1 2025, primarily due to OCI [4] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio rose to 1.17% at the end of Q1 2025, up 4 basis points from Q4 2024, indicating pressure on personal loan quality [5] - The provision coverage ratio improved to 324.06%, reflecting a solid buffer against potential loan losses [5] Strategic Outlook - The bank is well-positioned in the Shandong provincial capital economic circle, benefiting from favorable policies and a focus on county-level inclusive finance [6] - The issuance of 8 billion yuan in convertible bonds is expected to strengthen the bank's capital base for future growth [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Qilu Bank is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - Qilu Bank's performance remains strong, with a reported operating income of 12.5 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.55%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.99 billion yuan, up 17.77% year-on-year [2][3] - In Q1 2025, the bank achieved an operating income of 3.17 billion yuan, reflecting a 4.72% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 1.37 billion yuan, which is a 16.47% increase year-on-year [2][3] - The bank's total assets reached 716.4 billion yuan by the end of Q1 2025, marking a 14.7% year-on-year growth [3] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, Qilu Bank's total operating income was 12,496 million yuan, with a growth rate of 4.55% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 4,986 million yuan, with a growth rate of 17.77% year-on-year [5] - The bank's earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 was 1.03 yuan, with a projected EPS of 1.21 yuan for 2025 [5] - The net interest margin for 2024 was 1.51%, slightly lower than the previous year, but the bank has managed to control costs effectively [3][5] Asset Quality and Risk Management - Qilu Bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased to 1.17% by the end of Q1 2025, down 2 basis points from the end of 2024, while the provision coverage ratio increased to 324.06% [3][4] - The bank has been actively managing its loan portfolio, with a focus on improving asset quality and reducing risks associated with non-performing loans [4][6] Growth Prospects - The bank is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with projected net profit growth rates of 17.65%, 18.01%, and 17.99% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6] - Qilu Bank's strategy includes expanding its market presence in county-level areas and enhancing its service offerings to institutional clients [3][6]

[Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 齐鲁银行(601665) | 投资评级 | 增持 | | --- | --- | | 上次评级 | 增持 | 证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_Author] 张晓辉 银行业分析师 执业编号：S1500523080008 邮 箱：zhangxiaohui@cindasc.com 相关研究 [Table_OtherReport] 齐鲁银行 2024 业绩快报点评：年末收 官业绩亮眼，资产质量持续向好 齐鲁银行 2024 三季报点评：利润增速 再提升，资本边际更为充足 齐鲁银行 2024 中报点评：县域贡献度 不断提高，资产质量持续稳中向好 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B [Table_Title] 齐鲁银行 2024 年报&2025 一季报点评：业绩 表现持续不俗，Q1 开启扩表新篇章 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 04 月 26 日 [Table_S 事件： 4ummar 月 25y]日晚，齐鲁银行发布 2 ...