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2025年9月A股及港股月度金股组合:持续看多市场-20250829
EBSCN· 2025-08-29 07:19
Group 1 - The A-share market continued to rise in August, with major indices showing an upward trend, particularly the Sci-Tech 50, which increased by 21.4%, while the Shanghai 50 had the smallest increase of 5.1% [1][8] - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a volatile upward trend, influenced by rising expectations of overseas interest rate cuts and improved domestic risk appetite, with the Hang Seng Technology Index rising by 4.5% [1][11] Group 2 - The report maintains a bullish outlook on the A-share market, suggesting that the logic supporting the market's rise remains unchanged, with reasonable valuations and new positive factors emerging, such as the potential start of a Federal Reserve rate cut cycle [2][17] - Short-term investment focus should be on sectors that are lagging behind, while medium to long-term attention should be on three main lines: technological self-reliance, domestic consumption, and dividend stocks [2][21] Group 3 - The report suggests a "dumbbell" strategy for Hong Kong stocks, focusing on technology growth and high dividend yield stocks, with an emphasis on sectors benefiting from domestic supportive policies amid the US-China competition [3][23] - Despite the continuous rise in the Hong Kong market, overall valuations remain low, indicating a high cost-performance ratio for long-term investments [3][26] Group 4 - The A-share stock selection for September includes ten stocks: Huayou Cobalt, Zhongwei Company, Xinyi Sheng, Perfect World, Zhengguang Co., CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, Haier Smart Home, Aolai De, and China Merchants Shekou [4][27] - The Hong Kong stock selection for September includes nine stocks: SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Horizon Robotics, Meitu, Gao Wei Electronics, Sunny Optical Technology, Huiju Technology, AAC Technologies, and Xindong Company [4][32]
鑫闻界|秋季策略会密集举行,机构都看好A股哪些方向?
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-08-29 06:24
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that institutions are optimistic about the continuation of policies and improvement in liquidity, with confidence in the long-term revaluation trend of Chinese assets [2][3] - Major technology sectors are favored for investment, with various institutions highlighting different opportunities within this space [5][6] Group 2 - Liquidity is expected to drive continued market growth, with significant improvements noted in domestic fiscal policies and market liquidity [3][4] - As of August 27, the average daily trading volume of A-shares exceeded 2.2 trillion yuan, marking a historical high since 2010 [3] - The focus for the market will shift towards whether corporate performance can keep pace with valuation and sentiment recovery in the fourth quarter [4] Group 3 - The "big technology" sector is anticipated to maintain a structural market characteristic similar to that of the Nasdaq, with a long-term focus on resource optimization [6] - Analysts from various institutions are also looking at consumer and manufacturing sectors for potential investment opportunities, with a focus on cyclical recovery and long-term growth logic [7]
关于秋季市场,券商最新展望!
天天基金网· 2025-08-29 05:56
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes a positive outlook for China's asset market, driven by improved liquidity and supportive fiscal policies, with a long-term trend of asset revaluation expected [2][4][5]. Group 1: Market Outlook - Analysts from Huatai Securities express optimism about the continuation of diverse fiscal policies and improved liquidity, which are expected to support growth [5]. - The chief macroeconomic analyst at Huatai Securities highlights the need for investors to be cautious about the declining credibility of the US dollar and suggests a shift towards scarce assets like equities [5]. - The chief strategist at Guojin Securities describes the current market as entering a "dawn" phase, with expectations of stabilizing capital returns for domestic manufacturing firms [6]. Group 2: Liquidity and Capital Flows - Huatai Securities reports a significant net inflow of trading funds into the market, reaching the highest activity level since 2016, with further room for foreign capital to increase positions in A-shares [8]. - Data indicates that the net inflow of funds into A-shares accounts for approximately 2.1% of the free float market value, suggesting a slight net inflow status [8]. - Analysts note a potential shift of household funds from bank wealth management products to non-bank financial products and capital markets, indicating a positive trend for stock market investments [8]. Group 3: Investment Focus - Analysts recommend focusing on the technology sector, which is expected to lead the market as China transitions from a follower to a leader in the global economy [10]. - The structural characteristics of the market are anticipated to resemble those of the Nasdaq, with technology being a core asset for both domestic and foreign investors [10]. - Recommendations include paying attention to physical assets benefiting from overseas manufacturing recovery and capital goods, as well as insurance and brokerage sectors expected to see improved capital returns [11].
华泰证券2025年面向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券(第五期)(续发行)发行价格为100.187元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 04:11
2025年8月28日,发行人和主承销商在网下向专业机构投资者进行了簿记建档。根据簿记建档结果,经 发行人和主承销商充分协商和审慎判断,最终确定本期续发行债券发行价格为100.187元。 发行人将按上述发行价格于2025年8月29日至2025年9月1日面向专业机构投资者网下发行本期续发行债 券。 存量债券华泰证券股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券(第五期)于2025年7月28 日完成发行,期限为335天(2025年7月28日至2026年6月28日),票面利率为1.72%。 华泰证券股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券(第五期)(续发行)(简称"本期续发 行债券")的债券期限、票面利率与存量债券保持不变。本期续发行债券发行规模不超过13亿元(含13亿 元),债券面值为人民币100元,发行价格通过簿记建档确定。 华泰证券(06886)发布公告,华泰证券股份有限公司(以下简称"发行人")面向专业投资者公开发行面值余 额不超过人民币400亿元的短期公司债券(以下简称"本次债券")于2025年3月25日获中国证券监督管理委 员会出具的《关于同意华泰证券股份有限公司向专业投资者公开 ...
华泰证券(06886)2025年面向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券(第五期)(续发行)发行价格为100.187元
智通财经网· 2025-08-29 04:09
2025 年8月28日,发行人和主承销商在网下向专业机构投资者进行了簿记建档。根据簿记建档结果,经 发行人和主承销商充分协商和审慎判断,最终确定本期续发行债券发行价格为100.187元。 发行人将按上述发行价格于2025年8月29日至2025年9月1日面向专业机构投资者网下发行本期续发行债 券。 智通财经APP讯,华泰证券(06886)发布公告,华泰证券股份有限公司(以下简称"发行人")面向专业投资 者公开发行面值余额不超过人民币400亿元的短期公司债券(以下简称"本次债券")于2025 年3月25日获中 国证券监督管理委员会出具的《关于同意华泰证券股份有限公司向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券注 册的批复》(证监许可〔2025〕589号)。 存量债券华泰证券股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券(第五期)于2025年7月28 日完成发行,期限为335天(2025年7月28 日至2026年6月28日),票面利率为1.72%。 华泰证券股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券(第五期)(续发行)(简称"本期续发 行债券")的债券期限、票面利率与存量债券保持不变。本期续发行债券发行 ...
研报掘金|华泰证券:上调中国财险目标价至19.8港元 维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-29 04:05
华泰证券发表研究报告指,中国财险上半年实现净利润244.54亿元,按年增长32.3%。考虑到公司承保 表现改善、投资向好,该行维持对其"买入"评级,目标价从16港元上调至19.8港元;同时提高2025至 2027年每股盈利预测3.3%、13.5%及13.8%,分别至1.86、2.14及2.32元。该行预计,2025年中国财险 ROE达15%,全年股息为0.64元,分红率在利润大幅增长的情况下小幅下降至34%(2024年为37%)。 ...
HTSC(06886) - 海外监管公告
2025-08-29 04:00
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴 該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 (於中華人民共和國註冊成立之股份有限公司, 中文公司名稱為華泰證券股份有限公司,在香港以HTSC名義開展業務) (股份代號:6886) 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據上市規則第13.10B條規則作出。 茲載列本公司在上海證券交易所網站刊登之《華泰證券股份有限公司2025年面向 專業投資者公開發行短期公司債券(第五期)(續發行)發行價格公告》,僅供參閱。 釋義 於本公告,除文義另有所指外,下列詞彙具有以下涵義。 於本公告日期,董事會成員包括執行董事張偉先生、周易先生及王瑩女士;非執 行董事丁鋒先生、陳仲揚先生、柯翔先生、晉永甫先生及張金鑫先生;以及獨立 非執行董事王建文先生、王全勝先生、彭冰先生、王兵先生及老建榮先生。 债券代码:243436 债券简称:25 华泰 S5 华泰证券股份有限公司 2025 年面向专业投资者 公开发行短期公司债券(第五期)(续发行) 发行价格公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容不 ...
研报掘金|华泰证券:上调蒙牛乳业目标价至23.74港元 后续液态奶需求有望复苏
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-29 03:54
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Mengniu Dairy's revenue and net profit for the first half of the year were 41.57 billion and 2.05 billion yuan, representing year-on-year declines of 6.9% and 16.4% respectively [1] - The report anticipates a recovery in liquid milk demand, with the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day serving as important observation windows [1] - The ice cream business has returned to positive growth, and there is potential for improved profitability in the milk powder and cheese segments in the future [1] Group 2 - Due to the expected prolonged recovery in dairy product demand, the revenue forecast for Mengniu has been revised downwards, with projected revenues of 84.27 billion, 86.43 billion, and 88.33 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027 [1] - Considering the anticipated losses from Modern Dairy in 2025, there will be a short-term negative impact on the company's share of joint venture earnings, with expected earnings per share of 1.08 yuan, 1.45 yuan, and 1.58 yuan for 2025 to 2027 [1] - The target price for Mengniu has been raised from 22.77 HKD to 23.74 HKD, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]
研报掘金|华泰证券:维持今年布油价格预测为每桶68美元 维持中海油“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-29 02:56
Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities reports that CNOOC's revenue for the first half of the year reached 207.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 69.5 billion yuan, down 13% year-on-year [1] Demand Side Analysis - As the Northern Hemisphere enters the traditional peak season, summer travel and power generation are providing good support for global oil demand, with noticeable increases in refinery throughput in China, the US, and Europe [1] - However, considering CNOOC's continued overproduction, actual production growth may be lower than targets, alongside the steady advancement of global renewable energy alternatives [1] - The weakening willingness for collaboration within CNOOC, along with the concentrated release of low-cost incremental production from South America and Africa, is also noted [1] Price Forecast - Huatai Securities maintains its Brent crude oil price forecasts for this year and next at $68 per barrel and $62 per barrel, respectively [1] Valuation and Target Price - Given the high proportion of crude oil production, CNOOC is significantly affected by falling oil prices, leading to a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 12.5 times for 2025 and 9 times for the current year [1] - The target price for CNOOC's A-shares is set at 34.75 yuan, while the target price for H-shares is 27.49 Hong Kong dollars, with a maintained "buy" rating [1]
基本面稳定修复,但长端利率波动性明显加大
HTSC· 2025-08-29 02:53
Economic Performance - Japan's GDP in Q2 exceeded expectations with a quarter-on-quarter annualized growth rate of 0.6%[10] - The manufacturing PMI for August rose to 49.9, approaching the expansion threshold, while the services PMI decreased to 52.7[2] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 2.5%, with nominal wage growth increasing to 2.2%[19][22] Trade and Production - Exports in July fell by 2.3% year-on-year, with exports to the U.S. declining by 10.1%[3] - Industrial production index in June rebounded to a year-on-year growth of 2.8%[3] - New orders for machinery in June increased by 7.6% year-on-year, indicating resilient investment[3][43] Inflation and Prices - Japan's CPI in July decreased to 2.9% year-on-year, with energy prices contributing to the decline[3][63] - The CPI for energy fell by 1% year-on-year, a drop of 4.7 percentage points from the previous month[3] - The price of rice remains high, contributing to a 11.5% increase in agricultural product prices year-on-year[3][76] Financial Markets - The Nikkei 225 index reached a historical high, increasing by 4.2% in August[4] - The 30-year Japanese government bond yield rose to 3.21%, the highest since 1999, reflecting concerns over fiscal sustainability[4] - The 10-year Japanese government bond yield increased by 7 basis points to 1.62%[4] Monetary Policy - The Bank of Japan's interest rate expectations have slightly increased to 17 basis points as of August 25[4] - The central bank maintained the policy rate at 0.5% during the July meeting, indicating a hawkish stance[5] - There are expectations for fiscal expansion due to the ruling coalition's electoral challenges[5]