| 交易日期 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | 成交价(元) 成交金额(万元) 成交量( * ) 买入营业部 | | | | | 卖出营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-10-15 | 成都银行 | 601838 | 18.34 | 2468.01 | 134.57 | 国泰海通证券股份 有限公司总部 | 中信证券股党更暨 | | 10月15日，成都银行大宗交易成交134.57万股，成交额2468.01万元，占当日总成交额的4.76%，成交价18.34元，较市场收盘价18.34元持平。 ...

Market Performance - The city commercial bank sector rose by 0.62% on October 15, with Chongqing Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3912.21, up 1.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13118.75, up 1.73% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Chongqing Bank (601963) closed at 10.07, up 1.72% with a trading volume of 455,900 shares and a transaction value of 461 million [1] - Jiangsu Bank (616009) closed at 10.86, up 1.31% with a trading volume of 2.17 million shares and a transaction value of 2.337 billion [1] - Other notable performers include Changsha Bank (601577) at 9.35 (+1.08%), Shanghai Bank (601229) at 9.70 (+1.04%), and Nanjing Bank (600109) at 11.66 (+1.04%) [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The city commercial bank sector experienced a net outflow of 301 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 136 million [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors are increasing their positions [2] Detailed Capital Flow for Selected Banks - Qilu Bank (601665) had a net outflow of 38.24 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 3.55 million [3] - Ningbo Bank (002142) saw a net outflow of 18.51 million from institutional investors, with retail investors contributing a net inflow of 1.63 million [3] - Beijing Bank (601169) experienced a net outflow of 6.04 million from institutional investors, but retail investors added 35.47 million [3]

Market Performance - The city commercial bank sector increased by 2.39% on October 14, with Chongqing Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3865.23, down 0.62%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12895.11, down 2.54% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Chongqing Bank's stock price rose by 6.68% to 9.90, with a trading volume of 486,300 shares and a transaction value of 471 million [1] - Xiamen Bank increased by 4.04% to 6.69, with a trading volume of 402,500 shares and a transaction value of 266 million [1] - Jiangsu Bank's stock rose by 3.98% to 10.72, with a trading volume of 3,446,000 shares and a transaction value of 3.655 billion [1] - Other notable performances include Nanjing Bank (+2.85%), Suzhou Bank (+2.27%), and Hangzhou Bank (+2.16%) [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The city commercial bank sector experienced a net outflow of 28.68 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 15.82 million [1] - Chongqing Bank had a net inflow of 32.99 million from retail investors but a net outflow of 33.67 million from institutional investors [2] - Xiamen Bank and Beijing Bank also saw mixed capital flows, with varying net inflows and outflows from different investor types [2]

责任编辑：石秀珍 SF183 值得一提的是，华泰柏瑞红利低波ETF（512890）自2017年12月成立以来表现优异。截至2025年10月 14日，该基金累计回报率达131.14%，不仅超越业绩比较基准，在502只同类产品中排名前20%（第80 位）。专家建议，普通投资者可将红利低波ETF（512890）作为资产配置中稳健收益的核心组成部分， 通过定投方式分散入场时点，降低短期波动影响。对于没有股票账户的投资者，也可通过其场外联接基 金（A类份额代码：007466；C类份额代码：007467；I类份额代码：022678；Y类份额代码：022951） 进行配置。 风险提示：基金有风险，投资需谨慎。过往业绩并不预示其未来表现。投资者在做出投资决策前，应认 真阅读基金合同、招募说明书等文件，结合自身风险承受能力理性投资。 | 股票名称 | 持仓市值(元) | 持仓数目 | 相对上期增减 | 占殿票市值比 | 日要金净值比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 成在哪很行 | 586,106,532,90 | 29.159.529 | 20.25% | 3.15%1 | ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the top-performing stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index, showcasing significant daily and year-to-date gains along with dividend yields [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The top stock, 中江海能 (600026.SH), experienced a daily increase of 4.50% and a year-to-date increase of 12.39%, with a dividend yield of 3.37% [1]. - 渝农商行 (601077.SH) saw a daily rise of 4.16% and a year-to-date rise of 17.11%, offering a dividend yield of 4.51% [1]. - 南京银行 (601009.SH) reported a daily increase of 3.79% and a year-to-date increase of 7.13%, with a dividend yield of 4.36% [1]. Group 2: Additional Notable Stocks - 新澳股份 (6038888 CH) had a daily gain of 3.35% and a year-to-date gain of 20.30%, with a dividend yield of 3.74% [1]. - 岱美股份 (603730.SH) increased by 2.86% daily and 3.26% year-to-date, with a dividend yield of 3.94% [1]. - 上海银行 (601229.SH) saw a daily rise of 2.83% and a year-to-date rise of 5.45%, with a dividend yield of 5.29% [1].

格隆汇10月14日｜A股市场银行股普跌，其中，渝农商行、浦发银行、成都银行、上海银行、青岛银 行、农业银行跌超1%，中信银行、杭州银行、齐鲁银行跌近1%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector has experienced a notable rebound, with regional banks gaining favor, particularly led by Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, which rose by 5.66% on October 13, amidst a broader market correction [1][2]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The China Securities Banking Index increased by 0.75% on October 13, with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank leading the gains [1][2]. - Other banks such as Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and Nanjing Bank also saw significant increases of over 4% and 3%, respectively [1][2]. - In contrast, many state-owned banks experienced declines, with Postal Savings Bank down by 0.88% and Industrial and Commercial Bank down by 0.55% [2]. Investment Trends - The recent rally in bank stocks is attributed to a shift in market sentiment, with funds seeking temporary safe havens, leading to a preference for regional banks over larger state-owned banks [1][5]. - The banking sector has seen a cumulative decline of 14% since July, while the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index have risen over 11% and 15%, respectively [3]. Economic Impact - The announcement of additional tariffs on Chinese goods by the U.S. is expected to have a controllable impact on banks, particularly affecting regional banks with higher exposure to foreign trade [6]. - The report from Galaxy Securities suggests that while the overall impact on banks is manageable, regional banks reliant on export-oriented businesses may face increased risks [6]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the upcoming dividend distribution period and stable bank performance may present opportunities for a rebound in bank stocks if market sentiment stabilizes [7]. - The banking sector's price-to-book (PB) ratio has fallen to 0.67, indicating potential value for investors, especially given the average dividend yield of state-owned banks at 4.11% [7][8].

- Model Name: Expected High Dividend Portfolio; Model Construction Idea: The model uses a two-stage approach to construct the expected dividend yield indicator. The first stage calculates the dividend yield based on the annual report's profit distribution, and the second stage predicts and calculates the dividend yield using historical dividends and fundamental indicators. Additionally, two short-term factors affecting dividend yield—reversal factor and profitability factor—are used to assist in screening, and the selection is made from the CSI 300 constituent stocks to construct the expected high dividend portfolio. The portfolio holds 30 stocks each period and rebalances monthly[3][8] - Model Construction Process: 1. Exclude suspended and limit-up stocks from the CSI 300 constituent stocks to form the candidate stock pool[13] 2. Exclude the top 20% of stocks with the highest short-term momentum (i.e., the top 20% of stocks with the highest 21-day cumulative gains) from the stock pool[13] 3. Exclude stocks with declining profitability (i.e., stocks with a negative year-on-year growth rate of quarterly net profit)[13] 4. Rank the remaining stocks in the stock pool by expected dividend yield and select the top 30 stocks with the highest expected dividend yield to construct the portfolio equally weighted[9] - Model Evaluation: The model's historical performance is outstanding, with a cumulative return of 358.90% and a cumulative excess return of 107.44% relative to the CSI 300 Total Return Index. The annualized excess return is 8.87%, with a maximum rolling one-year drawdown of only 12.26% and a monthly excess win rate of 60.19%[11] Model Backtest Results - Expected High Dividend Portfolio, average return in September 2025: -5.35%, underperformed the CSI 300 Index by 8.09% and the CSI Dividend Index by 3.87%[3][14] - Best performing stocks in September 2025: CITIC Special Steel (3.81%), Yutong Bus (-0.35%), Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (-1.75%), Shuanghui Development (-1.90%)[15] Factor Construction and Evaluation - Factor Name: Expected Dividend Yield Factor; Factor Construction Idea: The factor is constructed by predicting dividend distribution using the method of dividend distribution combined with fundamental indicators. Two short-term factors affecting dividend yield—reversal factor and profitability factor—are used to assist in screening[14] - Factor Construction Process: 1. Calculate the dividend yield based on the annual report's profit distribution[8] 2. Predict and calculate the dividend yield using historical dividends and fundamental indicators[8] - Factor Evaluation: The factor is used to assist in screening and constructing the expected high dividend portfolio, which has shown outstanding historical performance[3][8] Factor Backtest Results - Expected Dividend Yield Factor, average return in September 2025: -5.35%, underperformed the CSI 300 Index by 8.09% and the CSI Dividend Index by 3.87%[3][14]

Core Insights - The A-share market saw a rise in bank stocks, with notable increases in shares of Pudong Development Bank and Nanjing Bank ahead of the "Eleventh" holiday [1][2] - Pudong Development Bank announced that Dongfang Asset increased its stake through the secondary market by purchasing common shares and convertible bonds [1] Summary by Category Stock Performance - Pudong Development Bank rose by 5.57%, with a total market capitalization of 391.9 billion and a year-to-date increase of 25.16% [2] - Nanjing Bank increased by 4.63%, with a market cap of 139.8 billion and a year-to-date rise of 7.99% [2] - Other banks such as Chongqing Bank, Qilu Bank, and Chengdu Bank also experienced gains ranging from 2.22% to 3.85% [2] Market Activity - The increase in bank stocks occurred despite broader market trends, indicating a specific interest in the banking sector [1] - The announcement from Pudong Development Bank regarding the stake increase by Dongfang Asset may have contributed to the positive sentiment in the banking stocks [1]

截至2025年10月13日 13:52，红利低波ETF泰康(560150)翻红上涨0.09%，冲击3连阳+3连涨，成交502.99 万元。跟踪指数中证红利低波动指数(H30269)上涨0.49%，成分股南京银行(601009)上涨4.44%，渝农商 行(601077)上涨4.16%，重庆银行(601963)上涨2.88%，四川路桥(600039)上涨2.73%，成都银行(601838) 上涨2.57%。 截至10月10日，红利低波ETF泰康(560150)近1年净值上涨5.58%，居可比基金第一。 华泰证券认为，9 月高股息板块整体表现走弱，原因包括权重板块拖累、对立资产虹吸资金以及高股息 策略相对吸引力有所回落等。短期来看，高股息资产相对收益制约因素或仍在，往年 10 月市场风格更 注重基本面因子，消费、科技板块胜率较高，传统高股息板块胜率较低，且量化视角下高股息信号体系 当前均仍发出偏空信号。但长期来看，在低利率背景下，增配红利股仍然是险资长期目标，建议关注 "反内卷" 相关周期型红利及部分潜力型红利品种。 中国银河证券指出，关税不确定性加剧全球资产价格波动，催生防御性配置需求，带来银行配置机遇。 银行板 ...