Core Viewpoint - The expansion of personal consumption loan interest subsidy policies by regional banks in Guizhou, Sichuan, and Chongqing aims to stimulate local consumption and enhance the competitiveness of regional financial institutions [1][6]. Group 1: Implementation of Subsidy Policies - Regional banks such as Guiyang Bank, Guizhou Bank, and Chengdu Bank have announced the implementation of personal consumption loan interest subsidies, expanding the original 23 financial institutions to include more local banks [1][2]. - The subsidy policies are in response to national calls to boost local consumption, with other provinces expected to follow suit [1][6]. Group 2: Specifics of Subsidy Programs - In Guizhou, the subsidy period is from December 1, 2025, to December 31, 2025, with a maximum subsidy of 3,000 yuan for eligible borrowers [2][4]. - In Chongqing, the subsidy applies to personal consumption loans issued from September 1, 2025, to August 31, 2026, with three local banks included as loan issuers [3][4]. - Chengdu Bank and Chengdu Rural Commercial Bank have set a subsidy cap of 1,500 yuan for borrowers during their policy period [5]. Group 3: Variations in Subsidy Standards - The annual subsidy rate for personal consumption loans in Guizhou and Chongqing is set at 1%, but the maximum subsidy amounts differ, with Guizhou and Chongqing allowing up to 3,000 yuan per borrower [4]. - Chengdu's subsidy cap is lower, at 1,500 yuan, indicating regional differences in subsidy implementation [5]. Group 4: Future Prospects and Market Impact - The introduction of these subsidy policies is expected to create a "national subsidy + local subsidy" synergy, enhancing regional banks' market competitiveness and stimulating local consumption [6][7]. - The policies are seen as a short-term growth opportunity for banks, but long-term sustainability may be challenged due to differences in customer base and risk management capabilities compared to larger banks [7].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the banking sector [7]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the significant improvement in the cost of liabilities for banks in 2025, with a notable decrease of 28 basis points (bp) in the first half of the year, compared to only 4 bp in the same period last year. This improvement is primarily driven by reductions in deposit and interbank liabilities costs, contributing 19 bp and 7 bp respectively [3][11]. - The net interest margin (NIM) is expected to decline by approximately 5 bp in 2026, with the downward pressure on margins continuing to ease marginally, suggesting that some banks may stabilize their NIMs [2][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Liability Cost Improvement in 2025 - The first half of 2025 saw a significant reduction in the cost of interest-bearing liabilities, with the cost rate dropping to 1.70%, a decrease of 28 bp from 2024. This was supported by improvements in both deposit and interbank liability costs [11]. 2. Liability Side: Deposit Maturity and Repricing Benefits 1) **Term Structure**: The proportion of long-term deposits entering the repricing cycle has increased, with the share of deposits with a remaining maturity of 1-5 years declining by 1.5 percentage points (pct) to 22.6% by the end of Q2 2025. Some banks, such as those in Ningbo and Chongqing, experienced declines exceeding 10 pct [4]. 2) **Price Factors**: Regulatory focus on maintaining reasonable NIM levels has increased, with expectations of further interest rate cuts. The maximum reduction for three-year deposits could exceed 100 bp, indicating substantial room for cost improvement [5]. 3. Asset Side: Yield Pressure Expected to be Better than 2025 1) **Loans**: The repricing pressure on loans is expected to ease, with the five-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) declining by only 10 bp in 2025, significantly less than the 50 bp drop the previous year [6]. 2) **Debt Replacement**: The shift from high-interest to low-interest debt is anticipated to have a limited impact on net interest margins, estimated to drag down margins by about 4 bp [6]. 3) **Bond Maturity**: The widening gap between new bond issuance rates and existing bond yields is expected to exert downward pressure on investment yields, with an estimated drag of 6 bp on margins from the reallocation of bonds maturing within one year [6]. 4. NIM Projections - The report forecasts a 5 bp decline in NIM for 2026, with the downward trend continuing to converge. The asset yield is expected to decrease by 17 bp, while the cost of liabilities is projected to improve by 13 bp, with deposit costs improving by 17 bp [7][10].

【深圳商报讯】（首席记者 谢惠茜）近日，国家金融监督管理总局官网公开信息显示，因对相关贷 款、存款、贴现、票据业务管理不审慎等违规行为，成都银行（601838）被罚款90万元，同时，其旗下 绵阳分行、眉山分行、天府新区分行、都江堰支行、成华支行、双流支行等15家分支行被罚款合计635 万元，作出处罚机关为四川金融监管局。 四川金融监管局还对孙洵、艾志伟、袁勇、严勇军、李丹、刘峰、向蕾、雷建华、杨毅、邱黎源、蒋 瑛、樊蕊、杨琼等13名相关责任人警告并罚款合计73万元。公开信息显示，其中多数被罚人员为相关分 支行行长。 这并非成都银行今年首次收到监管罚单。今年1月份，证监会四川监管局官网披露行政监管措施，成都 银行因基金销售业务存在内部控制制度不健全、部分基金销售人员未取得基金从业资格、内部考核机制 不健全等情况，被出具警示函；今年9月，因违规办理经常项目付汇业务，成都银行股份有限公司宜宾 分行被国家外汇管理局宜宾市分局罚款并没收违法所得，罚没款金额为25.2万元。 公开资料显示，成都银行成立于1996年12月，是四川省首家上市银行、全国第8家A股上市城市商业银 行，曾引入马来西亚丰隆银行作为境外战略投资合作伙伴 ...

Summary of Chengdu Bank Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Chengdu Bank - **Industry**: Banking and Financial Services Key Points and Arguments Credit Growth and Loan Structure - In 2026, credit growth will primarily focus on corporate loans, with a slight increase in single customer ratios. Overall credit growth is expected to slow compared to 2025, influenced by regulatory limits on asset scale growth [2][8] - The bank's credit issuance in Q4 2025 met initial expectations, with corporate loans remaining the main focus. Retail assets showed no significant improvement [3] - Future growth in corporate business will mainly come from national and Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle infrastructure projects, with stricter approvals for provincial and municipal projects due to debt resolution impacts [4][5] Retail Loan Performance - The real estate market in Chengdu is relatively stable, but the overall environment is poor, making mortgage loans unlikely to be a primary growth driver. The focus will shift to consumer loans, which have significant growth potential [6] - Current mortgage loans total approximately 100 billion, while consumer loans are around 20 billion, indicating a strong potential for consumer loan growth [6] Interest Rates and Pricing - New loan pricing is generally on a downward trend, with retail asset pricing remaining stable. Corporate loans face downward pressure due to weak demand and competition [11] - The bank expects the asset yield to remain stable in 2026, with minimal fluctuations unless there are significant changes in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) [11][14] Cost of Liabilities - The cost of liabilities is expected to improve, particularly for Chengdu Bank compared to other city commercial banks, due to a larger space for cost reduction [12] - Active liabilities, such as bond issuance, have a minimal impact on profit margins due to the bank's smaller scale [13] Non-Performing Loans and Risk Management - Chengdu Bank's non-performing loan generation rate is around 0.2%, which is low compared to the industry average. Risks are mainly concentrated in the wholesale and retail sectors, particularly in the fuel vehicle business [19] - The quality of mortgage loans remains stable, with a significant portion of loans secured by collateral, reducing risk exposure [21][20] Future Growth and Strategic Planning - The bank's international business will be a key focus for future growth, aiming to enhance financial service capabilities and customer loyalty [24] - The bank aims to maintain a dividend payout ratio of no less than 30%, with potential increases contingent on future earnings and regulatory approvals for equity financing [23] Regional and Competitive Advantages - Chengdu Bank benefits from its strategic location in a growing region, with strong demand for financing in infrastructure and industry projects. The region's social financing growth has been leading nationally for over 30 months [28] - The bank competes directly with larger banks rather than other city commercial banks, maintaining a strong market position in loan and deposit growth since 2020 [28] Profitability and Return on Equity (ROE) - The bank anticipates a gradual decline in ROE over the coming years, with current estimates around 15% for the year [26] - Profit growth targets are not strictly quantified but are aligned with key performance indicators set by regulatory bodies [27] Conclusion - Chengdu Bank is positioned to navigate a challenging economic environment with a focus on corporate loans and consumer lending growth. The bank's strategic initiatives and regional advantages are expected to support its performance and profitability in the coming years [28][29]

12月份以来，个人消费贷款财政贴息政策在四川、贵州、重庆加速落地。川黔渝三地相继发布省级贴息 实施细则，贵阳银行、贵州银行、成都银行、成都农商行等区域头部城商行、农商行同步启动业务受 理。这标志着此前未被纳入"国补"经办体系的区域性银行，正式加入消费贷补贴阵营，"国补+地补"的 协同发力格局初步形成。 上海金融与法律研究院研究员杨海平对《证券日报》记者表示，地方消费贷贴息政策是对国家政策的响 应，与"国补"政策形成联动，可以在进一步激活消费方面发挥积极作用。预计其他省份也会跟进，出台 地方版消费贷贴息政策。该政策能够通过贴息的杠杆作用，挖掘消费信贷潜力，活跃消费信贷市场，与 一系列提振消费的政策形成合力。 "地补"接力"国补" 今年8月份，国家层面推出个人消费贷款财政贴息政策，明确6家国有大行、12家全国性股份行等机构 为"国补"经办主体，但未纳入城商行、农商行。而川黔渝三地此次落地的"地补"政策，不仅填补了这一 空白，更在衔接国家政策框架的基础上，结合区域实际形成差异化特色：川黔渝三地均设定1个百分点 的年贴息比例，且该比例不超过贷款合同利率的50%，同时在贴息上限、执行期限、覆盖范围等核心维 度作出差异化 ...

Core Viewpoint - Regional banks in China are leveraging local fiscal support to introduce consumer loan subsidy programs, aiming to reduce the cost of consumer credit and stimulate consumer spending potential [1][2]. Group 1: Introduction of Consumer Loan Subsidies - Since December, banks such as Guizhou Bank and Guiyang Bank have announced personal consumer loan interest subsidy programs to lower residents' credit costs [2]. - The subsidy program is based on guidelines from multiple departments, effective from December 1, targeting eligible consumer loan clients [2]. Group 2: Details of Subsidy Programs - Guizhou Bank and Guiyang Bank's subsidies apply to loans for comprehensive consumption and service industry loans, with specific eligibility criteria tied to the borrower's registered business location [2]. - Chengdu Bank and Chengdu Rural Commercial Bank have also released their subsidy details, with the subsidy period set from October 1, 2025, to March 31, 2026 [2]. Group 3: Subsidy Limits and Application Process - The maximum subsidy for each borrower at Guizhou Bank and Guiyang Bank is capped at 3,000 yuan, with specific limits for smaller loans [3]. - The application process is voluntary and operates on a first-come, first-served basis, with a clear requirement for supporting documentation [3]. Group 4: Benefits for Local Economies - The subsidy initiative is viewed as a "triple win" for local economies, effectively utilizing fiscal resources to stimulate consumer spending while allowing banks to expand their customer base [4][5]. - Industry experts anticipate that more regions will adopt similar consumer loan subsidy policies tailored to their fiscal conditions and market characteristics [5].

Core Viewpoint - Regional banks in China are leveraging local fiscal support to introduce consumer loan subsidy programs, aiming to reduce the cost of consumer credit and stimulate consumer spending [1][4]. Group 1: Consumer Loan Subsidy Programs - Since December, banks such as Guizhou Bank and Guiyang Bank have announced consumer loan interest subsidy initiatives to help lower residents' credit costs and boost consumption potential [1]. - The consumer loan "local subsidy" program offers more regional flexibility compared to the broader "national subsidy," providing new growth opportunities for regional banks and stimulating local consumption markets [1][4]. Group 2: Specifics of the Subsidy Programs - Guizhou Bank and Guiyang Bank have set a subsidy cap of 3,000 yuan per borrower, with a maximum of 1,000 yuan for small loans under 50,000 yuan [2]. - Chengdu Bank and Chengdu Rural Commercial Bank have a lower cap of 1,500 yuan for total consumer loan subsidies, with a maximum of 500 yuan for small loans [3]. Group 3: Application Process and Impact - The subsidy application process is voluntary and operates on a first-come, first-served basis, with limited funding available based on provincial fiscal allocations [3]. - The implementation of these subsidy programs is seen as a "triple win" for local governments, banks, and consumers, effectively utilizing fiscal resources to stimulate consumption and enhance banking business [4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the banking sector, indicating an expectation that stock prices will outperform the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [40]. Core Insights - The growth of M2 is primarily driven by government and corporate leverage, with government leverage's contribution increasing from 23.9% in 2015 to 45.5% in 2025, while corporate leverage is expected to contribute 63.6% to M2 growth in 2025 [5][14]. - The report highlights a divergence between the social financing (社融) and M2 growth rates, indicating a liquidity accumulation in the financial system when the demand for financing from the real economy is insufficient, which can lead to a decline in bond yields [5][19]. - The expected social financing-M2 differential for 2026 is projected to be 0.56%, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 33 basis points [32]. Summary by Sections M2 and Liquidity Analysis - M2 includes cash, personal deposits, corporate deposits, non-bank deposits, and deposits from non-deposit financial institutions. The main contributors to M2 growth are government and corporate leverage [5][13]. - The report discusses the relationship between the social financing-M2 differential and bond market performance, noting a shift in correlation since the second half of 2022 [5][19]. Social Financing Projections - For 2026, the report forecasts a total of 16.3 trillion yuan in new loans under the social financing framework, with a growth rate of 8.11% [32][34]. - The report anticipates that the net issuance of government bonds will reach 14.8 trillion yuan in 2026, with a focus on maintaining a proactive fiscal policy [34]. M2 Growth Forecast - The M2 growth rate for 2026 is projected at 7.55%, influenced by factors such as net fiscal deposits, the strengthening of the equity market, and cross-border capital flows [32][36].

Group 1 - The banking industry in 2026 will face a mixed external environment with strong macroeconomic resilience but insufficient effective demand, leading to continued moderate monetary policy and challenges in asset allocation due to a low interest rate environment [4][10] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the construction of a financial powerhouse, urging banks to leverage their resource endowments and deepen their strategic initiatives over the next five years [4][10][22] - The overall financial performance of listed banks is expected to improve in 2026, driven by the recovery of net interest income and non-interest income, with a projected net profit growth of 2.4% year-on-year [4][27] Group 2 - The net interest margin is expected to narrow by 6 basis points in 2026, with net interest income growth projected to rise to 4% compared to 0.3% in 2025 [4][27] - Non-interest income is anticipated to continue improving due to the recovery of wealth management opportunities and the fading impact of fee reductions from previous years [4][27] - The overall asset quality of the banking sector is expected to remain stable, with a focus on monitoring risks in the retail sector [4][27] Group 3 - The investment strategy emphasizes high dividend yields as a protective measure, with the banking sector's average dividend yield at 3.94%, providing a significant premium over ten-year government bonds [4][27] - Specific banks such as Chengdu Bank, Jiangsu Bank, and Shanghai Bank are highlighted for their strong regional advantages and potential for continued dividend growth [4][27][34] - The report suggests that the active capital market will provide a potential boost to quality retail banks, enhancing their recovery prospects [4][27]

转自：北京日报客户端 继消费贷"国补"，近日四川省、贵州省以及重庆市相继落地个人消费贷款财政贴息政策，三地均设定1 个百分点的年贴息比例，且该比例不超过贷款合同利率的50%。 据中新经纬不完全统计，截至发稿时，贵州银行、贵阳银行、成都银行、成都农商行等银行已发布相关 业务受理公告，重庆银行、重庆三峡银行也表示，正在制定贴息细则、实施系统改造。这也意味着，消 费贷贴息的主体进一步扩容至区域性银行。 地方接力消费贷补贴 今年8月，财政部、中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局联合印发《个人消费贷款财政贴息政策实施 方案》(下称实施方案)，也被称为金融领域的"国补"。自9月1日正式落地以来，已实施三个月有余。近 期，多地跟进出台地方个人消费贷款贴息政策。 12月3日，重庆市财政局、中国人民银行重庆市分行、国家金融监督管理总局重庆监管局联合发布《关 于做好个人消费贷款财政贴息工作的通知》(下称通知)。其中提到，2025年9月1日至2026年8月31日期 间，居民个人使用贷款经办机构发放的个人消费贷款(不含信用卡业务)中实际用于消费，且贷款经办机 构可通过贷款发放账户等识别借款人相关消费交易信息的部分，可按规定享受贴息政策 ...