证券代码：601886 证券简称：江河集团 公告编号：临 2025-042 江河创建集团股份有限公司 2025年半年度权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.15元 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/10/10 | － | 2025/10/13 | 2025/10/13 | 3. 分配方案： 本次利润分配以方案实施前的公司总股本1,133,002,060股为基数，每股派发现金红利 0.15元（含税），共计派发现金红利169,950,309.00元。 三、 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/10/10 | － | 2025/10/13 | 2025/10 ...

Market Overview - The decoration and renovation sector experienced a decline of 0.91% on September 22, with ST Ruihe leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.58, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13157.97, up 0.67% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the sector included: - *ST Dongyi: Closed at 5.16, up 4.03% with a trading volume of 250,400 shares and a turnover of 130 million yuan - *ST Chuangxing: Closed at 4.32, up 3.35% with a trading volume of 138,200 shares and a turnover of 59.57 million yuan - *ST Jianyi: Closed at 9.26, up 1.87% with a trading volume of 24,900 shares and a turnover of 2.29 million yuan [1] - Decliners included: - ST Ruihe: Closed at 5.76, down 4.95% with a trading volume of 157,200 shares and a turnover of 93.41 million yuan - Quanzhu Co.: Closed at 3.12, down 2.80% with a trading volume of 1,646,300 shares and a turnover of 516 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The decoration and renovation sector saw a net outflow of 85.73 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 46.59 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks showed: - Zhongtian Jingzhuang: Net inflow of 10.97 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 9.34 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Yaxia Co.: Net inflow of 4.59 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 468,340 yuan from retail investors [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The construction industry is experiencing revenue and profit pressure, but recovery momentum is gradually accumulating under supportive policies [4][8] - In the first half of 2025, the construction sector achieved revenue of 3.97 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.02%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 91.5 billion yuan, down 6.60% year-on-year [4][8] - Despite the overall decline, the gap between revenue and net profit growth rates has narrowed significantly compared to the first half of 2024, indicating a temporary easing of profit pressure [4][8] - The issuance of 4.4 trillion yuan in special bonds and ongoing investment stabilization policies are expected to gradually open up profit recovery space for the sector [4][8] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction sector's revenue growth is slowing, with profits under pressure. In the first half of 2025, the sector's revenue decreased by 6.02% year-on-year, while net profit fell by 6.60% [8] - The revenue growth rate has declined by 3.04 percentage points compared to the first half of 2024, but the net profit growth rate has improved by 2.77 percentage points [8] - The overall gross margin for the construction sector in the first half of 2025 was 10.02%, down 0.16 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 2.87%, down 0.04 percentage points [13] Subsector Performance - The performance of subsectors is mixed, with the steel structure sector showing revenue growth of 2.02%, driven by overseas industrial building orders [4][32] - The landscaping sector and chemical engineering saw significant profit growth, with net profits increasing by 70.48% and 19.81% respectively [4][32] - The gross margin improvements are concentrated in landscaping, chemical engineering, and international engineering, while the net margin for steel structures and central enterprises has declined [34] Central Enterprises and Orders - In the first half of 2025, the nine major central construction enterprises signed new orders totaling 7.79 trillion yuan, a slight increase of 0.17% year-on-year, despite an overall industry decline [4][56] - The central enterprises' new orders in overseas markets grew by 16.35% year-on-year, becoming a significant support for order structure optimization [56] - The valuation of central enterprises remains low, with expected PE ratios around 5 times and PB ratios below 0.5 times, indicating strong shareholder returns [59]

Market Overview - On September 18, the decoration and renovation sector declined by 0.58% compared to the previous trading day, with Meizhi Co., Ltd. leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3831.66, down 1.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13075.66, down 1.06% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the decoration sector included: - Quanzhu Co., Ltd. with a closing price of 3.31, up 9.97% and a trading volume of 2.74 million shares [1] - Decai Co., Ltd. with a closing price of 21.40, up 3.93% and a trading volume of 54,000 shares [1] - Zhongtian Jingzhuang with a closing price of 38.01, up 2.67% and a trading volume of 190,400 shares [1] - Major decliners included: - Meizhi Co., Ltd. with a closing price of 10.30, down 3.74% and a trading volume of 44,100 shares [2] - ST Jianyi with a closing price of 9.15, down 3.68% and a trading volume of 46,800 shares [2] - Haoersai with a closing price of 12.93, down 3.44% and a trading volume of 71,700 shares [2] Capital Flow - The decoration and renovation sector experienced a net outflow of 7.65 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 47.38 million yuan [2][3] - Specific stock capital flows included: - Quanzhu Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 98.48 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 32.18 million yuan [3] - Decai Co., Ltd. saw a net inflow of 11.03 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors experiencing a net outflow of 740,530 yuan [3] - ST Ruihe had a net inflow of 5.56 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 170,180 yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the construction engineering industry [8] Core Insights - In August, broad infrastructure investment decreased by 6.4%, with a month-on-month decline of 4.5 percentage points, while narrow infrastructure investment fell by 5.9%, with a month-on-month decline of 0.8 percentage points [4][6] - Real estate investment in August saw a year-on-year decline of 19.9%, with the drop expanding compared to July [7] - The report highlights a trend towards stabilization in the real estate market, despite ongoing challenges [7] - Infrastructure investment from January to August grew by 2.0% year-on-year, outpacing overall investment growth [7] Summary by Sections Infrastructure Investment - Broad infrastructure investment in August decreased by 6.4%, a decline of 12.6 percentage points compared to the same month in 2024, and a month-on-month drop of 4.5 percentage points [6] - Narrow infrastructure investment fell by 5.9%, with a year-on-year decline of 7.1 percentage points and a month-on-month decrease of 0.8 percentage points [6] - Specific sectors such as water conservancy saw a significant drop of 29.8% year-on-year, while public facilities decreased by 11.6% [6] Real Estate Market - Real estate investment in August dropped by 19.9% year-on-year, with sales area declining by 11.0% [7] - New construction area fell by 19.8%, and completed area decreased by 21.2% [7] - The report indicates that the real estate market is moving towards stabilization, with inventory reduction efforts showing results [7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends undervalued high-dividend stocks such as China State Construction (dividend yield 4.85%), China Railway Construction (dividend yield 3.74%), and Tunnel Corporation (dividend yield 4.48%) [7] - It also highlights the potential for growth in private investment in infrastructure, particularly in green energy [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the decoration and renovation sector experienced a decline of 0.75% on September 17, with Mingdiao Co. leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3876.34, up 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13215.46, up 1.16% [1] - A detailed table of individual stocks in the decoration and renovation sector shows various closing prices and percentage changes, with ST Mingjia Hui at 3.98, up 2.05%, and ST Jianyi at 9.50, down 0.73% [1] Group 2 - The net capital flow in the decoration and renovation sector showed a net outflow of 135 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 135 million yuan [3] - The table of capital flow indicates that while main funds and speculative funds saw outflows, retail investors were the primary contributors to the inflow [3]

Macro Research - The US labor market is experiencing a significant slowdown in new job creation, raising concerns about a potential recession, although it has not yet reached that point. The impacts of immigration and retirement on labor supply are diminishing, making it difficult to maintain the current balance between supply and demand in the labor market, which has raised alarms about a potential slowdown [4][12][14] - The average monthly new job creation needed to keep the unemployment rate stable is estimated to be between 150,000 and 180,000. However, the recent average has fallen to 120,000, which is below this range, indicating a need for policy adjustments to stimulate job growth [14][16] Company Research: Anhui Expressway - Anhui Expressway completed the acquisition of group road assets in Q1 2025, significantly enhancing its performance. The company is also benefiting from the accelerated recovery of toll revenues following the expansion of the Xuanguang Expressway, with a 13% year-on-year increase in toll revenue [6][7] - The company has committed to a high dividend policy, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of no less than 60% of net profit for 2025-2027, which is expected to yield dividend rates of 4.9%, 4.9%, and 4.7% respectively [7][9] - Despite recent stock price pressure due to shareholder reduction announcements, the long-term value of Anhui Expressway remains intact, supported by its strong return on equity (ROE) and stable cash flow [7][9] Industry Research: Transportation - The transportation sector is seeing a recovery in toll revenues, particularly in the context of expressway expansions, which is expected to continue driving stable growth in comparable performance metrics [6][7] - The overall market sentiment is influenced by changes in risk appetite, with a focus on high dividend yields and stable cash flows in the transportation industry [7][9] Industry Research: Coal - The coal industry is strategically viewed positively, with expectations of upward price trends driven by increased demand and supply constraints. The total coal production for the year is projected to remain stable, with a slight decrease expected in the second half due to regulatory impacts [31][33] - The price of thermal coal has seen a slight decline, but overall demand is expected to improve, particularly in Q3, as the market adjusts to supply dynamics [34][31] Industry Research: Textile and Apparel - The textile and apparel industry is facing challenges, with export growth slowing down in both China and Vietnam. In August, China's textile and apparel exports fell by 5% year-on-year, indicating a significant decline in growth momentum [35][36] - Several Taiwanese manufacturers reported a slowdown in revenue growth, highlighting the pressures faced by the manufacturing sector amid changing market conditions [36][35]

Group 1 - The technology sector, represented by TMT indices, has seen significant growth, with indices in communication, electronics, and media rising over 30% as of September 15 [1] - In contrast, the dividend sector has underperformed, with the CSI Dividend Index declining over 1% this year [1] - Long-term effectiveness of dividend strategies remains intact, with low valuation and high dividend yields attracting long-term capital [1] Group 2 - Companies with high dividend potential are gaining attention, with over 600 companies disclosing shareholder return plans for 2025-2027 [2] - Jianghe Group plans to distribute at least 80% of its net profit or a minimum of 0.45 yuan per share in cash dividends during 2025-2027 [2] - Huaihe Energy aims to distribute no less than 75% of its net profit or a minimum of 0.19 yuan per share in cash dividends during the same period [2] Group 3 - China Shenhua and Mindray Medical are tied for third place, each planning to distribute at least 65% of their net profit in cash dividends from 2025 to 2027 [3] - Other companies like Guodian Power, Zhongfu Industrial, and Wantong Expressway also have dividend rates of at least 60% [3] - Historical data shows that these companies have strong dividend records, with cumulative dividends exceeding 100% of net profits in the last three years for some [3] Group 4 - Institutions predict earnings per share for high dividend companies, with Sichuan Road and Bridge expected to have a dividend yield exceeding 6% based on a 60% payout ratio [4] - Zhongfu Industrial is also projected to have a dividend yield over 5% based on similar calculations [4] - A total of 25 stocks are forecasted to have dividend yields exceeding 2%, with an average annual increase of nearly 11%, outperforming the CSI Dividend Index [4]

Core Viewpoint - Over 600 companies have disclosed their shareholder return plans for 2025-2027, indicating a strong focus on dividend payouts in the upcoming years [1] Summary by Category Dividend Rates - Jianghe Group has the highest projected dividend rate, followed by Huaihe Energy, with China Shenhua and Mindray Medical tied for third place [1] Earnings Predictions and Dividend Yields - Based on consensus earnings per share forecasts, 25 stocks are expected to have dividend yields exceeding 2% [1] - The average annual increase for these 25 stocks is nearly 11%, significantly outperforming the performance of the CSI Dividend Index during the same period [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances include Zhongfu Industrial and Tianshan Aluminum, both of which have seen annual increases exceeding 50% [1] - Jianghe Group has experienced an annual increase of over 48%, ranking third, with a commitment to a minimum dividend rate of 80% over three years, which is the highest among the companies mentioned [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for Jianghe Group [9] Core Views - The company demonstrated a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a growth of 30.4% in Q2 2025, while the first half of 2025 saw a net profit increase of 1.7%. The high dividend yield of 7.26% highlights the company's investment value [1][5] - The company has secured a contract for the world's first building exceeding 1000 meters in height, further establishing its global market presence [5] Financial Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 9.34 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.9% year-on-year. The construction decoration segment generated 8.76 billion yuan, down 6.5%, while the healthcare segment saw an increase to 580 million yuan, up 5.4% [3] - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 15.7%, with a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points. The net profit margin attributable to shareholders was 3.5%, up 0.2 percentage points [3] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 170 million yuan, with a dividend yield of 7.26% as of September 12, 2025 [5] - The company has a target price of 10 yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 16.4 times for 2025 [2][9] Operational Highlights - The company signed new contracts worth 13.69 billion yuan in the construction decoration segment, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.3%. Notably, overseas contracts increased by 61%, with a significant portion coming from the facade segment [4] - The company reported a negative operating cash flow of 1.03 billion yuan for H1 2025, compared to a negative 450 million yuan in the same period of 2024 [4]