Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the construction and decoration industry, particularly focusing on international engineering leaders such as China National Materials (中材国际), China Steel International (中钢国际), and others [9][24]. Core Viewpoints - The expectation of a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict has increased, which could lead to significant reconstruction investments in Ukraine, estimated at $523.6 billion over the next decade, creating substantial demand for construction projects and building materials [2][18]. - Chinese construction companies are well-positioned to benefit from overseas projects, especially in post-war reconstruction efforts in Ukraine, as they possess competitive advantages in technology, efficiency, and cost [3][20]. - The trend of urbanization and industrialization in emerging markets, combined with the relocation of some manufacturing capacities from China, indicates a long-term trend of Chinese construction companies expanding overseas [7][24]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The report highlights the potential for large-scale reconstruction in Ukraine if the conflict ends, with significant investment needs in housing (16% of total needs) and infrastructure (32.4% of total needs) [2][18]. - The demand for basic construction materials like cement and steel is expected to rise significantly due to reconstruction efforts [18][19]. Investment Recommendations - Key companies recommended for investment include: - China National Materials (中材国际) with a PE of 7.2X and a dividend yield of 5.5% - China Steel International (中钢国际) with a PE of 9.6X and a dividend yield of 5.3% - Northern International (北方国际) with a PE of 11X - China Chemical Engineering (中国化学) with a PE of 6.3X and a PB of 0.70X - Jianghe Group (江河集团) with a PE of 12X and a dividend yield of 6.5% - Precision Steel Structure (精工钢构) with a PE of 10X and a dividend yield of 6.9% [8][24][26]. Market Trends - The report notes that overseas construction demand remains robust, driven by urbanization and industrialization in emerging markets, such as Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 and various infrastructure initiatives in Southeast Asia [7][22][23]. - The report cites that 68% of A-share listed companies have disclosed overseas business income, indicating a growing trend of Chinese companies expanding internationally [7][24].

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model tracks the distance of stock prices or indices from their 250-day high to monitor market trends and identify potential market leaders. It is based on the momentum and trend-following strategy, which has been proven effective in various studies[11][18]. - **Model Construction Process**: The 250-day new high distance is calculated as follows: $ 250 \text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ Where: - $\text{Close}_{t}$ represents the latest closing price - $\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}$ represents the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days If the latest closing price reaches a new high, the distance is 0. If the price has fallen from the high, the distance is a positive value, indicating the degree of decline[11]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model effectively identifies market trends and highlights stocks or indices that are leading the market, aligning with the principles of momentum and trend-following strategies[11][18]. 2. Model Name: Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model focuses on selecting stocks that exhibit stable price paths and consistent momentum, as smoother price trajectories are associated with stronger momentum effects[24][27]. - **Model Construction Process**: The selection process involves the following criteria: - **Analyst Attention**: At least 5 buy or overweight ratings in the past 3 months - **Relative Strength**: 250-day price change in the top 20% of the market - **Price Stability**: Stocks are ranked based on: - **Price Path Smoothness**: Ratio of price displacement to the total price path - **Sustainability of New Highs**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 120 days - **Trend Continuity**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 5 days The top 50 stocks based on these criteria are selected[24][27]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model emphasizes the importance of smooth price paths and consistent momentum, which are less likely to attract excessive attention and thus yield stronger returns[24][27]. --- Model Backtesting Results 1. 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distance**: - Shanghai Composite Index: 4.83% - Shenzhen Component Index: 8.65% - CSI 300: 6.20% - CSI 500: 9.69% - CSI 1000: 7.59% - CSI 2000: 7.40% - ChiNext Index: 12.16% - STAR 50 Index: 16.45%[12][13][32] 2. Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Selected Stocks**: 15 stocks were identified, including Heertai, Sray New Materials, and Zangge Mining. - **Sector Distribution**: - Manufacturing: 5 stocks (e.g., construction industry) - Cyclical: 5 stocks (e.g., non-ferrous metals industry)[28][33] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: 250-Day New High Distance - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor measures the relative distance of a stock's price from its 250-day high, serving as an indicator of momentum and trend strength[11]. - **Factor Construction Process**: The formula is: $ 250 \text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{\text{Close}_{t}}{\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}} $ Where: - $\text{Close}_{t}$ is the latest closing price - $\text{ts\_max(Close, 250)}$ is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days[11]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures momentum and trend-following characteristics, making it a reliable indicator for identifying market leaders[11]. 2. Factor Name: Price Path Smoothness - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor evaluates the smoothness of a stock's price trajectory, as smoother paths are associated with stronger momentum effects[24]. - **Factor Construction Process**: - Calculate the ratio of price displacement to the total price path over a specified period - Rank stocks based on this ratio and select the top performers[24]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor highlights stocks with stable momentum, which are less likely to attract excessive attention and thus yield stronger returns[24]. --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. 250-Day New High Distance Factor - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distance**: - Shanghai Composite Index: 4.83% - Shenzhen Component Index: 8.65% - CSI 300: 6.20% - CSI 500: 9.69% - CSI 1000: 7.59% - CSI 2000: 7.40% - ChiNext Index: 12.16% - STAR 50 Index: 16.45%[12][13][32] 2. Price Path Smoothness Factor - **Selected Stocks**: 15 stocks were identified, including Heertai, Sray New Materials, and Zangge Mining. - **Sector Distribution**: - Manufacturing: 5 stocks (e.g., construction industry) - Cyclical: 5 stocks (e.g., non-ferrous metals industry)[28][33]

Group 1 - The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors that are reaching new highs, indicating market trends and hotspots [1][4][24] - As of November 21, 2025, the distance to the 250-day new high for major indices is as follows: Shanghai Composite Index 4.83%, Shenzhen Component Index 8.65%, CSI 300 6.20%, CSI 500 9.69%, CSI 1000 7.59%, CSI 2000 7.40%, ChiNext Index 12.16%, and STAR 50 Index 16.45% [5][24] - Among the CITIC primary industry indices, the sectors closest to their 250-day new highs include petroleum and petrochemicals, textiles and apparel, basic chemicals, home appliances, and steel [8][24] Group 2 - A total of 1,127 stocks reached a 250-day new high in the past 20 trading days, with the highest number of new highs in the basic chemicals, machinery, and power equipment and new energy sectors [2][13][24] - The highest proportion of new high stocks is found in the textiles and apparel, coal, and non-ferrous metals sectors, with respective proportions of 41.41%, 38.89%, and 38.71% [13][24] - The cyclical and manufacturing sectors had the most new high stocks this week, with 364 and 315 stocks respectively [15][24] Group 3 - The report identifies 15 stocks that have shown stable new highs, including Heertai, Sry New Materials, and Cangge Mining, with the manufacturing and cyclical sectors contributing the most stocks [3][20][25] - The construction industry had the highest number of new highs within the manufacturing sector, while the non-ferrous metals industry led in the cyclical sector [20][25]

Group 1 - The new policy financial tools have been fully deployed, supporting private investment and REITs issuance [2] - As of October 29, 500 billion yuan of new policy financial tools have been allocated, with a portion supporting key private investment projects [2] - A total of 18 private investment projects have been recommended to the CSRC, with 14 projects already issued, raising nearly 30 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - The central bank aims to maintain reasonable price levels and ensure steady growth, employment, and expectations [3] - In October, new social financing amounted to 815 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 597 billion yuan [3] - The central bank emphasizes the importance of promoting reasonable price recovery as a key consideration in monetary policy [3] Group 3 - The National Energy Administration has issued guidelines to promote the integrated development of renewable energy [4] - The guidelines aim to enhance the complementary development of various renewable energy sources and optimize energy structures [4] - There is a focus on improving the collaborative development of wind, solar, hydrogen, and storage technologies [4] Group 4 - Recommendations include sectors such as copper and cobalt resources, energy storage, dividends, and infrastructure in the western region [5] - Specific stock recommendations include China Railway (601390) for copper, China Metallurgical (601618) for nickel, and China Construction (601668) for low valuation and high dividends [5] - The report also highlights opportunities in AI and low-altitude economy sectors, recommending companies like Design Institute (603357) and Huazhong International (002949) [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the construction and decoration industry, emphasizing long-term growth logic, low valuations, and high dividend yields [12][15][22]. Core Viewpoints - The market has been characterized by a "high cut low" trend since the fourth quarter, with the dividend index rising by 8.3% from early October, significantly outperforming major indices [2][15]. - The construction sector has shown significant underperformance year-to-date, with a rise of only 11.6%, ranking 23rd among 30 industries, while valuations remain at historical lows [2][22]. - Key investment directions include overseas expansion driven by urbanization and industrialization in emerging markets, and regional economic support in areas like Sichuan and Xinjiang [3][7][15]. Summary by Sections Overseas Demand and Expansion - The report highlights the sustained high demand for overseas construction, driven by urbanization and industrialization in emerging countries, such as Saudi Arabia's "Vision 2030" and various infrastructure investment plans in Southeast Asia [3][24]. - Chinese companies are accelerating their overseas operations, with 3,667 A-share companies disclosing overseas revenue, totaling 9.52 trillion yuan, a 56.58% increase from 2020 [3][27]. - Recommended companies benefiting from this trend include China Chemical Engineering, Jinggong Steel Structure, Jianghe Group, and China National Materials [6][15][22]. Regional Economic Opportunities - The report identifies Sichuan, Xinjiang, and Tibet as regions likely to receive significant policy support, with Sichuan positioned as a strategic hub for national development [7][29]. - Investment in Xinjiang's coal chemical industry is projected to accelerate, with estimated annual investments of 690 billion yuan in 2025, 1,293 billion yuan in 2026, and 2,156 billion yuan in 2027 [7][30]. - Key companies recommended in this context include Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Chemical Engineering, Sanwei Chemical, and Donghua Technology [7][15][35]. High Dividend Yield Opportunities - Many recommended companies have committed to high dividend payouts, with Sichuan Road and Bridge promising a minimum payout ratio of 60% from 2025 to 2027, and Jinggong Steel Structure committing to at least 70% [8][35]. - Expected dividend yields for 2026 are projected at 6.6% for Sichuan Road and Bridge, 6.3% for Jinggong Steel Structure, and 5.4% for China National Materials, indicating strong investment appeal [8][35]. Semiconductor Cleanroom Sector - The report notes that the AI development wave is driving demand for semiconductor cleanrooms, with global investment expected to reach 168 billion yuan by 2025 [9][35]. - Key players in this sector include Yaxin Integration, Shenghui Integration, and Bocheng Co., which are positioned to benefit from the expanding market [9][35]. Commercial Satellite Sector - The report emphasizes the increasing support for the commercial aerospace industry, with a focus on low-orbit satellite constellations and a projected surge in satellite launches starting next year [10][11]. - Recommended companies in this area include Shanghai Port Bay, which is expected to benefit from the increase in launch activities [10][11].

Core Insights - Jianghe Group's stock increased by 5.37%, reaching 8.43 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 76.80 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.83%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 9.55 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Jianghe Group was established on February 4, 1999, and went public on August 18, 2011. The company is located at 5 Niu Hui Bei Wu Street, Shunyi District, Beijing [1] - The main business activities include providing green building systems and high-quality medical health services, with revenue composition being 93.82% from construction decoration services and 6.18% from medical health services [1] Fund Holdings - Huiquan Fund has a significant position in Jianghe Group, with its Huiquan Zhixiang Quantitative Stock Mixed A Fund (020922) holding 37,500 shares, accounting for 1.79% of the fund's net value, making it the sixth-largest holding [2] - The fund was established on August 6, 2024, with a latest scale of 5.21 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 11.73%, ranking 5796 out of 8140 in its category, while the one-year return is 15.59%, ranking 4508 out of 8056 [2] - The fund manager, Yang Yu, has a tenure of 22 years and 251 days, managing total assets of 1.28 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 262.75% and the worst being -19.83% [2]

Core Points - Jianghe Group's stock price increased by 2.01% to 8.11 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 9.189 billion CNY as of November 11 [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 67.22%, with recent trading performance showing a 2.53% increase over the last five days [1] - Jianghe Group's main business revenue consists of 93.82% from construction decoration services and 6.18% from healthcare services [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jianghe Group reported a revenue of 14.554 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 5.63%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 5.67% to 458 million CNY [1] - The company has distributed a total of 3.308 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.042 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [2] Shareholder Information - As of October 31, 2025, Jianghe Group had 17,700 shareholders, a decrease of 1.87% from the previous period, with an average of 63,845 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 1.91% [1] - Notable changes in institutional holdings include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the fourth largest shareholder, reducing its stake by 5.0182 million shares, while new shareholders include several mutual funds [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the construction and engineering sector [9] Core Views - The construction sector exhibits characteristics such as low valuation, low institutional holdings, large market capitalization, and stable outlook for quality targets. The report identifies four key investment directions within the construction industry: 1) Companies with strong Q3 performance and short-term earnings certainty 2) High dividend yield stocks providing a safety cushion 3) Strong long-term growth potential 4) Large-cap stocks with low absolute valuations [5][6][7] Summary by Sections Valuation Metrics - As of the latest closing, the Jiangsu Construction Index has a PE ratio of 12.83, ranking 28th across all industries, with a 10-year percentile of 68.5%. The PB ratio stands at 0.84, ranking 31st, with a 10-year percentile of 16.22%. Notably, the construction sector and the banking sector are the only indices within the Jiangsu framework that are trading below book value [5][6] Institutional Holdings - The construction sector has historically low institutional holdings, which may reflect a weak outlook for the industry and a lack of attention from investors. This could lead to undervaluation of high-quality construction stocks [6] Market Capitalization - The construction sector has a limited number of listed companies, with eight major state-owned enterprises collectively valued at 941.19 billion, accounting for 47% of the Jiangsu Construction Index's market capitalization. These enterprises play a crucial role in stabilizing economic growth and are likely to be favored in a market shift towards undervalued sectors [6][7] Investment Directions - **Direction One**: Focus on companies with strong Q3 earnings, such as Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Chemical, and others, which show robust growth and sufficient order backlogs [7] - **Direction Two**: Invest in high dividend yield stocks like Jianghe Group (6.2%), Sichuan Road and Bridge (5.6%), and others, which provide a strong holding safety net [7] - **Direction Three**: Target companies with strong long-term growth potential, such as Honglu Steel Structure and others benefiting from semiconductor capital expenditure [7] - **Direction Four**: Invest in large-cap stocks with low absolute valuations, including eight major state-owned enterprises that are all trading below book value [7]

Market Overview - The decoration and renovation sector increased by 0.78% compared to the previous trading day, with *ST Mingjia leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4018.6, up 0.53%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13427.61, up 0.18% [1] Stock Performance - *ST Mingjia (300506) closed at 5.06, up 10.00% with a trading volume of 337,400 shares and a turnover of 167 million yuan [1] - *ST Baoying (002047) closed at 3.73, up 5.07% with a trading volume of 1.28 million shares and a turnover of 466 million yuan [1] - *ST Dongyi (002713) closed at 15.26, up 5.02% with a trading volume of 48,400 shares and a turnover of 7.39 million yuan [1] - ST Keli Da (603828) closed at 7.23, up 4.93% with a trading volume of 134,100 shares and a turnover of 9.63 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The decoration and renovation sector experienced a net outflow of 127 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 175 million yuan [2] - The main capital inflow was observed in Jin Tanglang (002081) with a net inflow of 16.18 million yuan, while Jianghe Group (601886) had a net inflow of 11.85 million yuan [3] - *ST Mingjia (300506) recorded a net inflow of 11.04 million yuan from main capital, despite a net outflow from retail investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the construction and decoration industry, highlighting their long-term growth potential and attractive dividend yields [12][11][15]. Core Insights - The fourth quarter is expected to see institutions locking in profits, with a shift towards defensive market styles. High-quality stocks with clear long-term growth logic, low valuations, and high dividend yields are likely to attract capital [15][11]. - The construction sector has significantly lagged since the beginning of the year, with a year-to-date increase of only 11.0%, ranking 21st among 30 industries, and is still at historical low valuation levels [22][11]. - Key high-growth areas include: 1. **Overseas Expansion**: The trend of Chinese construction companies expanding overseas is expected to accelerate due to urbanization and industrialization in emerging markets, as well as the relocation of some manufacturing capacities from China [15][11]. 2. **Regional Prosperity**: Regions like Sichuan, Xinjiang, and Tibet are anticipated to receive policy support, leading to sustained high levels of infrastructure investment [15][11]. 3. **Cleanroom Engineering**: The semiconductor cleanroom sector is expected to benefit from the ongoing demand for AI and advanced manufacturing [15][11]. 4. **Commercial Satellites**: The report highlights the growth potential in the satellite energy supply systems, particularly focusing on Shanghai Port and East Pearl Ecology [15][11]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - China Chemical (PE 6.8X, expected dividend yield 2.6%) [12][11]. - Precision Steel Structure (PE 11.1X, expected dividend yield 6.3%) [12][11]. - China National Materials (PE 7.5X, expected dividend yield 5.3%) [12][11]. - Jianghe Group (PE 12X, expected dividend yield 6.7%) [12][11]. - Sichuan Road and Bridge (PE 9.5X, expected dividend yield 6.3%) [12][11]. - Yaxiang Integration (sub-industry share 98%) [12][11]. - Shanghai Port (expected dividend yield 55.4%) [12][11]. - East Pearl Ecology (focus on satellite communication) [12][11]. Market Performance Overview - The construction sector saw a weekly increase of 1.85%, ranking 10th among 31 A-share industries, with notable performances from sub-sectors like decoration and chemical engineering [16][11]. - Key stocks that performed well include Dongyi Risheng (27.68%), Chongqing Construction (25.24%), and Yaxiang Integration (19.17%) [16][11]. Industry Dynamics - The report emphasizes the importance of long-term growth logic, low valuations, and high dividend yields in the current market environment, suggesting that these factors will attract investor interest [22][11]. - The cleanroom engineering sector is projected to see significant growth driven by the AI boom, with global investments in semiconductor cleanrooms expected to reach approximately $168 billion by 2025 [32][11].